Final Win Prob. pScore
1346%103
112
1154%105
99
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
130.28680.3
CHA logo Hornets
111.28995.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHA112
99
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)112
99
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:16)112
99
Q4 - 0:27.0CHAMISS Walker 30' 3PT Jump Shot112
99
Q4 - 0:34.0MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)112
99
Q4 - 0:34.0MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)111
99
Q4 - 0:34.0CHAKidd-Gilchrist Personal Take Foul (P3.PN) (D.Guthrie)110
99
Q4 - 0:36.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)110
99
Q4 - 0:37.0CHAMISS Batum 26' 3PT Jump Shot110
99
Q4 - 0:40.0CHASUB: Kaminsky FOR Williams110
99
Q4 - 0:40.0CHAHORNETS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 1)110
99
Q4 - 0:40.0CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)110
99
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Dragic 27' 3PT Jump Shot110
99
Q4 - 1:02CHAWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T2) (B.Spooner)110
99
Q4 - 1:03MIAHeat Rebound110
99
Q4 - 1:04CHAMISS Williams 30' 3PT Jump Shot110
99
Q4 - 1:10CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)110
99
Q4 - 1:11MIAMISS McGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot110
99
Q4 - 1:33CHAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Kidd-Gilchrist 1 AST)110
99
Q4 - 1:39CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)110
96
Q4 - 1:40MIAZeller BLOCK (1 BLK)110
96
Q4 - 2:04CHAZeller Cutting Dunk Shot (8 PTS) (Batum 7 AST)110
96
Q4 - 2:20MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)110
94
Q4 - 2:35MIASUB: Dragic FOR Johnson107
94
Q4 - 2:35CHASUB: Kidd-Gilchrist FOR Lamb107
94
Q4 - 2:35107
94
Q4 - 2:35MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 1)107
94
Q4 - 2:41CHAWalker 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS)107
94
Q4 - 2:50CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)107
92
Q4 - 2:51MIAMISS Richardson Driving Layup107
92
Q4 - 3:13CHAWalker 14' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)107
92
Q4 - 3:30MIAJohnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Richardson 5 AST)107
90
Q4 - 3:49CHAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)104
90
Q4 - 3:59MIAJohnson 9' Jump Shot (26 PTS)104
90
Q4 - 4:21CHAWilliams 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Walker 5 AST)102
90
Q4 - 4:37MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)102
88
Q4 - 4:55CHABatum Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)99
88
Q4 - 4:55MIASUB: Whiteside FOR White99
87
Q4 - 4:55CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)99
87
Q4 - 4:55MIARichardson S.FOUL (P4.T2) (D.Guthrie)99
86
Q4 - 5:06CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)99
86
Q4 - 5:08MIAMISS McGruder 29' 3PT Jump Shot99
86
Q4 - 5:32MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)99
86
Q4 - 5:34CHAMISS Walker 29' 3PT Jump Shot99
86
Q4 - 5:59CHASUB: Zeller FOR Kaminsky99
86
Q4 - 5:59CHAHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)99
86
Q4 - 5:59MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)99
86
Q4 - 6:14MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)96
86
Q4 - 6:15CHAMISS Lamb 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot96
86
Q4 - 6:38MIASUB: McGruder FOR Dragic96
86
Q4 - 6:38MIASUB: White FOR Whiteside96
86
Q4 - 6:38CHASUB: Walker FOR Roberts96
86
Q4 - 6:38MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T7)96
86
Q4 - 6:51MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:15)96
86
Q4 - 6:52CHAMISS Roberts 1' Cutting Layup Shot96
86
Q4 - 6:59CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
86
Q4 - 7:00MIAMISS Richardson 20' Jump Shot96
86
Q4 - 7:26CHARoberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Batum 6 AST)96
86
Q4 - 7:36CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)96
83
Q4 - 7:38MIALamb BLOCK (1 BLK)96
83
Q4 - 7:52MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:14)96
83
Q4 - 7:54CHAMISS Kaminsky 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
83
Q4 - 8:05CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)96
83
Q4 - 8:07MIAMISS Dragic 11' Fadeaway Jumper96
83
Q4 - 8:30MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)96
83
Q4 - 8:32CHAMISS Kaminsky 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
83
Q4 - 8:44MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)96
83
Q4 - 8:44MIASUB: Richardson FOR Ellington95
83
Q4 - 8:44CHAKaminsky S.FOUL (P1.T1) (M.Boland)95
83
Q4 - 8:44MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (12 PTS)95
83
Q4 - 8:59CHABatum Free Throw 3 of 3 (22 PTS)93
83
Q4 - 8:59CHABatum Free Throw 2 of 3 (21 PTS)93
82
Q4 - 8:59CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 3 (20 PTS)93
81
Q4 - 8:59MIA93
80
Q4 - 8:59MIAEllington S.FOUL (P2.T1) (M.Boland)93
80
Q4 - 9:10MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)93
80
Q4 - 9:24CHABatum Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)90
80
Q4 - 9:34MIAWhiteside Dunk (10 PTS)90
80
Q4 - 9:44MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
80
Q4 - 9:46CHAMISS Batum Running Dunk88
80
Q4 - 9:52MIABatum STEAL (1 STL)88
80
Q4 - 10:11MIASUB: Johnson FOR Reed88
80
Q4 - 10:11MIASUB: Whiteside FOR White88
80
Q4 - 10:11MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)88
80
Q4 - 10:11CHAWilliams 1' Cutting Layup Shot (10 PTS) (Batum 5 AST)88
80
Q4 - 10:15CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)88
78
Q4 - 10:17MIABatum BLOCK (1 BLK)88
78
Q4 - 10:42CHAKaminsky 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)88
78
Q4 - 11:02CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)88
76
Q4 - 11:03MIAMISS Dragic 6' Jump Shot88
76
Q4 - 11:22CHAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Batum 4 AST)88
76
Q4 - 11:37MIADragic Cutting Layup Shot (31 PTS) (Ellington 3 AST)88
73
Q4 - 12:0086
73
Q3 - 0:00.0CHA86
73
Q3 - 0:00.0CHAHORNETS Rebound86
73
Q3 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Lamb 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
73
Q3 - 0:04.0MIADragic 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (29 PTS)86
73
Q3 - 0:18.0CHAKaminsky 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)84
73
Q3 - 0:33.0CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
70
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
70
Q3 - 0:59.0CHALamb Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)84
70
Q3 - 0:59.0MIASUB: Ellington FOR McGruder84
69
Q3 - 0:59.0CHALamb Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)84
69
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAReed Shooting Block Foul (P2.PN) (D.Guthrie)84
68
Q3 - 1:05CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
68
Q3 - 1:06MIAMISS McGruder 3PT Jump Shot84
68
Q3 - 1:21CHAKidd-Gilchrist Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)84
68
Q3 - 1:23CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
68
Q3 - 1:24MIAMISS Dragic 10' Jump Shot84
68
Q3 - 1:38CHAKaminsky Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)84
68
Q3 - 1:38CHAHORNETS Rebound84
67
Q3 - 1:38CHAMISS Kaminsky Free Throw 1 of 284
67
Q3 - 1:38MIAReed S.FOUL (P1.T3) (M.Boland)84
67
Q3 - 1:49MIADragic 16' Jump Shot (27 PTS)84
67
Q3 - 1:57MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
67
Q3 - 1:58CHAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot82
67
Q3 - 2:03CHAHORNETS Rebound82
67
Q3 - 2:03CHAMISS Walker 2' Layup82
67
Q3 - 2:08CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
67
Q3 - 2:09MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
67
Q3 - 2:23MIAWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
67
Q3 - 2:24CHAMISS Kaminsky 10' Jump Shot82
67
Q3 - 2:38MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)82
67
Q3 - 2:38CHASUB: Williams FOR Zeller81
67
Q3 - 2:38MIASUB: Dragic FOR Richardson81
67
Q3 - 2:38MIASUB: Reed FOR Whiteside81
67
Q3 - 2:38MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)81
67
Q3 - 2:38CHAWalker S.FOUL (P3.PN) (M.Boland)80
67
Q3 - 2:52CHALamb 16' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)80
67
Q3 - 3:05CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
65
Q3 - 3:06MIAKidd-Gilchrist BLOCK (2 BLK)80
65
Q3 - 3:23CHAKidd-Gilchrist 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Kaminsky 1 AST)80
65
Q3 - 3:41MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)80
63
Q3 - 3:41CHASUB: Kidd-Gilchrist FOR Batum79
63
Q3 - 3:41MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)79
63
Q3 - 3:41CHABatum S.FOUL (P1.PN) (D.Guthrie)78
63
Q3 - 3:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)78
63
Q3 - 3:41MIAMISS McGruder 9' Jump Shot78
63
Q3 - 3:55MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)78
63
Q3 - 3:56CHAMISS Walker 2' Layup78
63
Q3 - 4:17MIAWhite 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)78
63
Q3 - 4:37MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)75
63
Q3 - 4:40CHABatum Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)75
63
Q3 - 4:40CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)75
62
Q3 - 4:40MIARichardson S.FOUL (P3.T2) (M.Boland)75
61
Q3 - 4:54MIARichardson Foul Turnover (P1.T5)75
61
Q3 - 4:54MIARichardson OFF.Foul (P2) (M.Boland)75
61
Q3 - 4:54CHAZeller L.B.FOUL (P3.T4) (M.Boland)75
61
Q3 - 4:55MIAHeat Rebound75
61
Q3 - 4:55MIAMISS White 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
61
Q3 - 5:14CHABatum 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Zeller 3 AST)75
61
Q3 - 5:29MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)75
59
Q3 - 5:29CHASUB: Kaminsky FOR Williams74
59
Q3 - 5:29MIASUB: White FOR Dragic74
59
Q3 - 5:29MIASUB: Johnson FOR Johnson74
59
Q3 - 5:29CHASUB: Lamb FOR Kidd-Gilchrist74
59
Q3 - 5:29MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)74
59
Q3 - 5:29CHAKidd-Gilchrist S.FOUL (P2.T3) (D.Guthrie)73
59
Q3 - 5:45MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)73
59
Q3 - 5:47CHAMISS Zeller 1' Driving Layup73
59
Q3 - 5:55CHAHORNETS Rebound73
59
Q3 - 5:55CHAMISS Walker 2' Driving Layup73
59
Q3 - 6:10MIADragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)73
59
Q3 - 6:31MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)70
59
Q3 - 6:32CHAMISS Zeller 1' Driving Layup70
59
Q3 - 6:48CHAHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)70
59
Q3 - 6:48MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)70
59
Q3 - 7:02MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
59
Q3 - 7:04CHAMISS Zeller Driving Dunk67
59
Q3 - 7:18MIAWhiteside Dunk (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)67
59
Q3 - 7:33MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)65
59
Q3 - 7:34CHAMISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
59
Q3 - 7:42CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
59
Q3 - 7:44MIAMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot65
59
Q3 - 7:55MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)65
59
Q3 - 7:56CHAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
59
Q3 - 8:09MIAWhiteside 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)65
59
Q3 - 8:25MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
59
Q3 - 8:26CHAMISS Zeller 19' Jump Shot63
59
Q3 - 8:53MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)63
59
Q3 - 8:53MIAWhiteside Putback Layup (2 PTS)63
59
Q3 - 8:55MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)61
59
Q3 - 8:55MIAKidd-Gilchrist BLOCK (1 BLK)61
59
Q3 - 8:57MIAMISS Richardson 3' Layup61
59
Q3 - 9:14CHABatum Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)61
59
Q3 - 9:14MIAWhiteside T.FOUL (P3.T1) (B.Spooner)61
58
Q3 - 9:14CHA61
58
Q3 - 9:14CHAZeller P.FOUL (P2.T2) (B.Spooner)61
58
Q3 - 9:14MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)61
58
Q3 - 9:17MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup61
58
Q3 - 9:28MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)61
58
Q3 - 9:29CHAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
58
Q3 - 9:37CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
58
Q3 - 9:39MIAMISS McGruder 9' Jump Shot61
58
Q3 - 9:55MIAHeat Rebound61
58
Q3 - 9:55MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
58
Q3 - 10:11CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)61
58
Q3 - 10:11MIAMcGruder S.FOUL (P3.T1) (B.Spooner)61
57
Q3 - 10:11CHABatum 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)61
57
Q3 - 10:25MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)61
55
Q3 - 10:25CHAKidd-Gilchrist S.FOUL (P1.T1) (B.Spooner)60
55
Q3 - 10:25MIARichardson Driving Layup (10 PTS) (McGruder 3 AST)60
55
Q3 - 10:33MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
55
Q3 - 10:35CHAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
55
Q3 - 10:51MIADragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (McGruder 2 AST)58
55
Q3 - 11:08CHABatum 8' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)55
55
Q3 - 11:26MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)55
53
Q3 - 11:44CHABatum 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)52
53
Q3 - 12:0052
51
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA52
51
Q2 - 0:00.052
51
Q2 - 0:00.0CHA52
51
Q2 - 0:00.0CHAWilliams 54' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)52
51
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)52
48
Q2 - 0:04.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
48
Q2 - 0:06.0CHAMISS Batum 2' Layup49
48
Q2 - 0:25.0MIADragic 18' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)49
48
Q2 - 0:44.0CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)47
48
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAMcGruder S.FOUL (P2.PN) (M.Boland)47
47
Q2 - 0:44.0CHABatum 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)47
47
Q2 - 0:57.0CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)47
45
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
45
Q2 - 1:10MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
45
Q2 - 1:11CHAMISS Zeller 21' Jump Shot47
45
Q2 - 1:37MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)47
45
Q2 - 1:47MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
45
Q2 - 1:48CHAMISS Batum 27' 3PT Jump Shot44
45
Q2 - 2:02MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)44
45
Q2 - 2:02MIAHeat Rebound44
45
Q2 - 2:02MIAWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)44
45
Q2 - 2:17MIASUB: Dragic FOR Johnson44
45
Q2 - 2:17CHASUB: Roberts FOR Walker44
45
Q2 - 2:17CHAZeller P.FOUL (P1.T4) (M.Boland)44
45
Q2 - 2:32CHAWalker 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)44
45
Q2 - 2:42MIARichardson 11' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)44
42
Q2 - 2:58CHAZeller Cutting Dunk Shot (6 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)42
42
Q2 - 3:10MIASUB: Reed FOR Whiteside42
40
Q2 - 3:10MIAWhiteside L.B.FOUL (P3.T4) (B.Spooner)42
40
Q2 - 3:10CHAHORNETS Rebound42
40
Q2 - 3:10MIAMISS Johnson 10' Jump Shot42
40
Q2 - 3:27MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)42
40
Q2 - 3:34CHAKidd-Gilchrist Dunk (6 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)42
40
Q2 - 3:54MIAMcGruder Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T3)42
38
Q2 - 4:13CHAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Batum 3 AST)42
38
Q2 - 4:28CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
35
Q2 - 4:29MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
35
Q2 - 4:41MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
35
Q2 - 4:42CHAMISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
35
Q2 - 4:58CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)42
35
Q2 - 4:59MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot42
35
Q2 - 5:05MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
35
Q2 - 5:06CHAMISS Zeller 2' Layup42
35
Q2 - 5:26MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)42
35
Q2 - 5:49CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)39
35
Q2 - 5:49CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
34
Q2 - 5:49MIASUB: Johnson FOR Dragic39
33
Q2 - 5:49CHASUB: Kidd-Gilchrist FOR Lamb39
33
Q2 - 5:4939
33
Q2 - 5:49MIAWhiteside S.FOUL (P2.T3) (B.Spooner)39
33
Q2 - 6:03MIADragic 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)39
33
Q2 - 6:15MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)37
33
Q2 - 6:17CHAMISS Batum 11' Jump Shot37
33
Q2 - 6:40MIADragic 17' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)37
33
Q2 - 6:49CHAWalker P.FOUL (P2.T3) (B.Spooner)35
33
Q2 - 6:56MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
33
Q2 - 6:57CHAMISS Walker Free Throw 3 of 335
33
Q2 - 6:57MIASUB: Johnson FOR White35
33
Q2 - 6:57MIASUB: McGruder FOR Ellington35
33
Q2 - 6:57MIASUB: Richardson FOR Johnson35
33
Q2 - 6:57CHASUB: Zeller FOR Plumlee35
33
Q2 - 6:57CHASUB: Williams FOR Kaminsky35
33
Q2 - 6:57CHAHORNETS Rebound35
33
Q2 - 6:57CHAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 335
33
Q2 - 6:57CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)35
33
Q2 - 6:57MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Reed35
32
Q2 - 6:57MIAEllington S.FOUL (P1.T2) (M.Boland)35
32
Q2 - 7:13CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
32
Q2 - 7:14MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
32
Q2 - 7:29CHAKaminsky 5' Jump Shot (7 PTS)35
32
Q2 - 7:49CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
30
Q2 - 7:50MIAMISS Reed 15' Jump Shot35
30
Q2 - 8:04CHASUB: Walker FOR Roberts35
30
Q2 - 8:04CHASUB: Batum FOR Belinelli35
30
Q2 - 8:04CHALamb P.FOUL (P1.T2) (B.Spooner)35
30
Q2 - 8:13MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
30
Q2 - 8:15MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
30
Q2 - 8:35MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
30
Q2 - 8:36CHAMISS Kaminsky 7' Jump Shot35
30
Q2 - 8:51CHARoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
30
Q2 - 8:53MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
30
Q2 - 9:07CHARoberts Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T3)35
30
Q2 - 9:07CHARoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
30
Q2 - 9:09CHAMISS Roberts 18' Jump Shot35
30
Q2 - 9:21MIADragic Driving Reverse Layup (13 PTS)35
30
Q2 - 9:30CHAPlumlee L.B.FOUL (P1.T1) (B.Spooner)33
30
Q2 - 9:30MIAHeat Rebound33
30
Q2 - 9:30CHAMISS Belinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
30
Q2 - 9:37CHAHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)33
30
Q2 - 9:45MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ellington 2 AST)33
30
Q2 - 10:07CHAKaminsky Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)30
30
Q2 - 10:07MIAWhite S.FOUL (P1.T1) (M.Boland)30
29
Q2 - 10:07CHAKaminsky 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)30
29
Q2 - 10:29CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
27
Q2 - 10:30MIAMISS Reed 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
27
Q2 - 10:56CHALamb 12' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
27
Q2 - 11:21MIADragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)30
25
Q2 - 11:39CHARoberts 1' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Lamb 1 AST)27
25
Q2 - 12:0027
23
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA27
23
Q1 - 0:01.0CHABelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
23
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
23
Q1 - 0:18.0CHARoberts 19' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
23
Q1 - 0:33.0CHAPlumlee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
21
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Reed 9' Hook Shot27
21
Q1 - 0:55.0MIASUB: Dragic FOR Richardson27
21
Q1 - 0:55.0CHARoberts P.FOUL (P1.T2) (D.Guthrie)27
21
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
21
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
21
Q1 - 1:18CHAKaminsky 10' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)27
21
Q1 - 1:37MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (White 2 AST)27
19
Q1 - 1:46MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
19
Q1 - 1:48CHAMISS Lamb 7' Floating Jump Shot24
19
Q1 - 2:06CHAHORNETS Rebound24
19
Q1 - 2:06MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
19
Q1 - 2:06MIAMISS Johnson Putback Layup24
19
Q1 - 2:06MIARoberts BLOCK (1 BLK)24
19
Q1 - 2:14MIASUB: Reed FOR Whiteside24
19
Q1 - 2:14CHASUB: Roberts FOR Walker24
19
Q1 - 2:14CHASUB: Lamb FOR Kidd-Gilchrist24
19
Q1 - 2:14MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)24
19
Q1 - 2:22CHAWalker 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)24
19
Q1 - 2:38MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (White 1 AST)24
16
Q1 - 2:56MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
16
Q1 - 2:58CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 14' Jump Shot21
16
Q1 - 3:13MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)21
16
Q1 - 3:13MIAHeat Rebound20
16
Q1 - 3:13MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 220
16
Q1 - 3:13CHAWalker S.FOUL (P1.T1) (M.Boland)20
16
Q1 - 3:24CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
16
Q1 - 3:24CHASUB: Plumlee FOR Williams20
15
Q1 - 3:24MIASUB: White FOR Johnson20
15
Q1 - 3:24MIASUB: Ellington FOR McGruder20
15
Q1 - 3:24CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
15
Q1 - 3:24MIAWhiteside S.FOUL (P1.T4) (B.Spooner)20
14
Q1 - 3:46MIAJohnson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)20
14
Q1 - 3:55CHAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)18
14
Q1 - 4:01CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)18
14
Q1 - 4:02CHAMISS Belinelli 3PT Jump Shot18
14
Q1 - 4:17CHASUB: Belinelli FOR Batum18
14
Q1 - 4:17CHASUB: Kaminsky FOR Zeller18
14
Q1 - 4:20MIAWhiteside Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)18
14
Q1 - 4:34CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
14
Q1 - 4:34CHAWilliams 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)18
14
Q1 - 4:36CHAMISS Zeller 7' Jump Shot18
12
Q1 - 4:52MIAMcGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)18
12
Q1 - 5:08CHAZeller 7' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Batum 2 AST)15
12
Q1 - 5:17MIASUB: Johnson FOR Dragic15
10
Q1 - 5:17CHA15
10
Q1 - 5:17CHAHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)15
10
Q1 - 5:23MIAJohnson 2' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS)15
10
Q1 - 5:41CHAZeller 2' Layup (2 PTS)13
10
Q1 - 6:08MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)13
8
Q1 - 6:23MIAHeat Rebound10
8
Q1 - 6:24CHAMISS Walker 1' Layup10
8
Q1 - 6:47MIADragic P.FOUL (P1.T3) (B.Spooner)10
8
Q1 - 6:47MIAKidd-Gilchrist STEAL (1 STL)10
8
Q1 - 6:56MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
8
Q1 - 6:57CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 12' Jump Shot10
8
Q1 - 7:05CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
8
Q1 - 7:06MIAMISS McGruder 9' Jump Shot10
8
Q1 - 7:28MIAHeat Rebound10
8
Q1 - 7:28CHAMISS Walker 1' Layup10
8
Q1 - 7:33CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
8
Q1 - 7:34MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
8
Q1 - 7:44CHAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
8
Q1 - 7:54CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
8
Q1 - 7:55MIAMISS Richardson 11' Jump Shot10
8
Q1 - 8:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
8
Q1 - 8:06CHAMISS Williams 6' Jump Shot10
8
Q1 - 8:23MIADragic 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)10
8
Q1 - 8:33CHAJump Ball Kidd-Gilchrist vs. McGruder: Tip to Dragic7
8
Q1 - 8:53CHABatum 1' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Zeller 2 AST)7
8
Q1 - 9:03CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
6
Q1 - 9:04MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup7
6
Q1 - 9:18MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
6
Q1 - 9:19CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
6
Q1 - 9:29MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)7
6
Q1 - 9:40CHAWalker 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Batum 1 AST)4
6
Q1 - 9:47CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
4
Q1 - 9:48MIAMISS Richardson 12' Step Back Jump Shot4
4
Q1 - 10:13CHAKidd-Gilchrist 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Zeller 1 AST)4
4
Q1 - 10:32MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
2
Q1 - 10:41CHABatum Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 10:41CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
1
Q1 - 10:41MIAMcGruder S.FOUL (P1.T2) (D.Guthrie)2
0
Q1 - 10:55MIAJohnson 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 11:10MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:12CHAMISS Walker 2' Layup0
0
Q1 - 11:21CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
0
Q1 - 11:23CHAMISS Zeller 2' Driving Layup0
0
Q1 - 11:31MIARichardson P.FOUL (P1.T1) (M.Boland)0
0
Q1 - 11:33CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:34MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup0
0
Q1 - 12:00CHAJump Ball Zeller vs. Whiteside: Tip to Richardson0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.22 60.9%
CHA
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
21
52%
CHA
13
27
48%
Midrange
MIA
8
23
35%
CHA
14
26
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
21
31.5
40
53%
79%
CHA
8
12.0
25
32%
48%
Free Throws
MIA
11
12
92%
CHA
21
24
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic3375%16.5 / 22
J. Johnson26108%13.0 / 12
J. Richardson1963%9.5 / 15
H. Whiteside1365%6.5 / 10
T. Johnson1255%6.0 / 11
R. McGruder317%1.5 / 9
O. White350%1.5 / 3
W. Ellington338%1.5 / 4
W. Reed0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Batum2471%12.0 / 17
K. Walker1847%9.0 / 19
M. Williams1575%7.5 / 10
F. Kaminsky1365%6.5 / 10
C. Zeller833%4.0 / 12
M. Kidd-Gilchrist867%4.0 / 6
B. Roberts770%3.5 / 5
J. Lamb650%3.0 / 6
M. Belinelli0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+10
-6
90
CHA
83
+7
-6
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.22 60.9%
CHA
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
109.3
MIA 130.2 +19.0
CHA 111.2
Pace
95.0
95.3
MIA 80.3
CHA 95.9 +15.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.3
MIA 17.9
CHA 15.0 −2.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
50.1%
MIA 60.1% +10.1%
CHA 50.0%
TO %
13.2%
11.4%
MIA 8.2%
CHA 6.3% −1.9%
ORB %
24.2%
20.0%
MIA 17.9% +7.1%
CHA 10.8%
FTrt
25.1
27.9
MIA 14.3
CHA 30.8 +16.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
61.1%
MIA 57.5% +3.2%
CHA 54.3%
STL %
7.5%
7.3%
MIA 5.8% +3.6%
CHA 2.2%
BLK %
9.3%
8.6%
MIA 13.2%
CHA 15.9% +2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
53.4%
MIA 60.9% +5.9%
CHA 55.0%
Rim FG%
59.2%
58.4%
MIA 52.4% +4.3%
CHA 48.1%
Mid FG%
39.4%
39.7%
MIA 34.8%
CHA 53.8% +19.0%
3P %
36.5%
35.1%
MIA 52.5% +20.5%
CHA 32.0%
FT %
70.6%
81.5%
MIA 91.7% +4.2%
CHA 87.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
32.3%
MIA 25.0%
CHA 34.6% +9.6%
Mid Att. %
33.1%
34.2%
MIA 27.4% −6.0%
CHA 33.3%
3P Att. %
31.4%
33.5%
MIA 47.6% +15.6%
CHA 32.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions8689
Possession Minutes25.722.3
Points11299
Rebounds4036
Assists2319
Steals52
Blocks77
Turnovers (Team)6 (2)6 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)4 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (4)32 (2)
Field Goals40-8435-78
At-the-Rim FG11-2113-27
Midrange FG8-2314-26
2-Point FG19-4427-53
3-Point FG21-408-25
Free Throws11-1221-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 24
36.1
19
63%
5
5
0
1
1
4
0
5
3-3
100%
2-7
29%
4-7
57%
G · 6'3" 190 · 31
33.2
33
75%
1
4
2
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
8-12
67%
5-9
56%
F · 6'4" 200 · 26
33.2
3
17%
2
3
0
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
1-5
20%
F · 6'8" 240 · 30
32.3
26
108%
4
3
2
0
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
4-5
80%
6-7
86%
C · 7'0" 265 · 28
31.4
13
65%
20
0
1
3
1
3
4
16
3-3
100%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 186 · 25
28.8
12
55%
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
0-4
0%
3-5
60%
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
17.5
3
50%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
· 6'11" 245 · 27
14.9
0
0%
3
0
0
2
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 200 · 29
12.7
3
38%
2
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
G · 6'4" 215 · 25
F · 6'8" 235 · 37
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · F · 6'7" 225 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
61%
40
23
5
7
6
0
7
33
11-12
92%
19-44
43%
21-40
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.