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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 5, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Cavaliers47%110114
7Celtics53%11191
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 32.3
39
36
36
10
6
1
1
2
3
2
8
7-7
100%
13-18
7-13
72%
57%
1-4
25%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 25.0
32
32
19
1
5
2
1
1
0
0
1
4-5
80%
6-12
6-13
50%
50%
1-6
17%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 28.6
32
28
15
16
1
0
1
0
0
5
11
4-4
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
47%
1-5
20%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.6
31
30
12
3
0
1
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
43%
2-7
29%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 33.9
17
15
10
8
1
2
0
0
1
3
5
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
2-6
33%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 26.8
28
21
5
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 36.1
19
16
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
2-2
100%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.8
16
18
0
3
5
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 36.8
10
13
7
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
53%
1-1
100%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.9
4
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 29.0
4
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 28.4
4
4
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.5
4
4
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
43%
0-0
-
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 26.1
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 22.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.4
34
33
4
7
1
1
1
0
1
2
5
2-4
50%
1-5
5-9
20%
52%
0-3
0%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 28.2
33
29
26
4
6
0
1
1
4
0
4
7-8
88%
8-11
4-8
73%
52%
1-8
13%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.7
29
30
13
4
2
1
1
0
1
3
1
1-2
50%
3-6
3-5
50%
54%
2-5
40%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.8
28
29
12
7
3
0
1
0
2
1
6
3-3
100%
3-5
4-7
60%
56%
1-1
100%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 29.9
14
21
8
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
62%
0-0
-
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.1
25
28
4
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-4
3-6
0%
46%
1-4
25%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 20.4
19
22
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
54%
0-3
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 26.0
16
17
12
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
4-5
2-4
80%
58%
1-3
33%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 30.1
14
17
1
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-1
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 31.2
10
8
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.1
9
18
6
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
1-3
33%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.6
5
7
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 22.7
5
4
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Demetrius Jackson
G · 6'1" 201 · 22.6
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.