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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 5, 2017
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Mavericks18%97101
2Clippers82%110112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.5
36.2
21.8
11
61%
5
6
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
45%
3-4
75%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.8
35.2
31.8
15
54%
4
2
0
1
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
5-8
5-11
63%
49%
1-5
20%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 38.8
28.0
17.3
9
41%
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
47%
1-3
33%
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 23.9
26.5
24.1
14
51%
3
6
2
1
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
4-8
2-4
50%
43%
1-4
25%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 23.0
22.0
21.1
6
61%
4
1
0
1
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.8
21.5
19.5
14
56%
3
3
0
0
0
4
0
3
1-1
100%
5-9
2-5
56%
46%
1-3
33%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 34.1
21.5
18.4
6
39%
5
4
0
1
0
0
1
4
3-4
75%
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
1-5
20%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 30.8
19.9
7.7
10
64%
9
0
2
0
1
2
4
5
2-4
50%
4-6
1-1
67%
60%
0-0
-
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.9
18.1
18.2
2
25%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Nicolas Brussino
· 6'8" 195 · 24.1
8.8
19.7
9
60%
4
1
0
1
1
1
2
2
1-1
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
2-4
50%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.7
1.1
18.1
3
150%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
54%
1-1
100%
Jarrod Uthoff
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.9
1.1
10.2
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
AJ Hammons
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.6
12.5
0
1-2
49%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 32.8
39.5
29.9
25
71%
2
1
3
1
0
1
0
2
8-8
100%
1-6
3-5
17%
50%
5-8
63%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 28.1
37.7
35.9
32
87%
4
6
1
1
0
1
0
4
8-10
80%
9-10
6-12
90%
53%
2-4
50%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.6
36.7
22.6
4
22%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
52%
0-4
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.7
33.3
34.1
11
65%
20
1
2
1
0
2
3
17
3-8
38%
4-5
5-8
80%
71%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.9
33.2
33.5
22
72%
3
11
2
2
0
5
0
3
3-3
100%
5-9
5-9
56%
53%
3-5
60%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 37.0
19.7
24.4
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
47%
0-2
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 32.8
16.3
17.1
6
50%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
49%
0-3
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 29.7
14.7
12.0
7
39%
9
0
0
0
0
2
2
7
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
50%
1-4
25%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 31.9
4.9
5.9
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 34.5
4.1
5.5
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
1-1
100%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 39.5
7.5
0
0-1
48%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.7
3.2
0
0-0
52%
Brice Johnson
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.8
3.2
0
0-1
53%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.7
Diamond Stone
C · 6'11" 255 · 20.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.