Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Heat	41%	104	106	108.2	98	93.9
	13	Wizards	59%	108	103	106.2	97	101.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 28	37.5	30	65%	12	2	2	3	3	2	5	7	6-9	67%	12-19	63%	0-0	-
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 31	37.3	18	50%	4	7	2	0	3	2	0	4	6-8	75%	6-14	43%	0-2	0%
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 30	37.3	15	47%	11	5	1	1	4	4	2	9	3-4	75%	6-11	55%	0-3	0%
Josh Richardson G · 6'6" 200 · 24	36.6	10	63%	1	3	5	2	1	1	0	1	4-4	100%	0-3	0%	2-3	67%
Rodney McGruder F · 6'4" 200 · 26	13.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-

Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 25	37.1	19	53%	4	2	1	0	1	2	0	4	4-7	57%	3-10	30%	3-5	60%
Wayne Ellington G · 6'5" 200 · 29	19.5	10	71%	1	1	2	0	0	3	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Okaro White F · 6'8" 215 · 25	10.7	2	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Willie Reed · 6'11" 245 · 27	10.6	2	33%	3	1	0	1	0	3	1	2	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Dion Waiters G · 6'4" 215 · 25	\| NWT - Sprained left ankle
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 28	\| DND - Strained Right Hip Flexor
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Justise Winslow #20 · F · 6'7" 225 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Josh McRoberts #4 · · 6'10" 240 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	54%	36	23	13	7	13	0	8	28	25-36	69%	30-62	48%	7-18	39%

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12 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 28	37.5	30	65%	12	2	2	3	3	2	5	7	6-9	67%	12-19	63%	0-0	-
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 31	37.3	18	50%	4	7	2	0	3	2	0	4	6-8	75%	6-14	43%	0-2	0%
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 30	37.3	15	47%	11	5	1	1	4	4	2	9	3-4	75%	6-11	55%	0-3	0%
Josh Richardson G · 6'6" 200 · 24	36.6	10	63%	1	3	5	2	1	1	0	1	4-4	100%	0-3	0%	2-3	67%
Rodney McGruder F · 6'4" 200 · 26	13.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-

Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 25	37.1	19	53%	4	2	1	0	1	2	0	4	4-7	57%	3-10	30%	3-5	60%
Wayne Ellington G · 6'5" 200 · 29	19.5	10	71%	1	1	2	0	0	3	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Okaro White F · 6'8" 215 · 25	10.7	2	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Willie Reed · 6'11" 245 · 27	10.6	2	33%	3	1	0	1	0	3	1	2	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Dion Waiters G · 6'4" 215 · 25	\| NWT - Sprained left ankle
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 28	\| DND - Strained Right Hip Flexor
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Justise Winslow #20 · F · 6'7" 225 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Josh McRoberts #4 · · 6'10" 240 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	54%	36	23	13	7	13	0	8	28	25-36	69%	30-62	48%	7-18	39%

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13 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 24	37.9	16	50%	5	5	2	1	5	4	2	3	3-3	100%	5-10	50%	1-5	20%
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 27	35.9	16	38%	6	8	2	2	8	2	0	6	5-7	71%	4-15	27%	1-3	33%
Kelly Oubre Jr. F · 6'8" 210 · 21	32.8	12	60%	6	1	0	0	1	3	1	5	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	1-4	25%
Markieff Morris F · 6'10" 245 · 28	30.2	21	81%	5	0	1	0	2	3	2	3	0-0	-	6-9	67%	3-4	75%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 33	29.2	11	61%	11	2	0	1	1	1	4	7	3-4	75%	4-7	57%	0-0	-

Bojan Bogdanović F · 6'8" 230 · 28	24.7	9	56%	1	1	0	0	0	4	0	1	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Ian Mahinmi C · 6'11" 262 · 30	18.8	11	92%	9	0	2	1	1	3	3	6	3-4	75%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 28	15.1	2	25%	0	4	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Jason Smith F-C · 7'0" 240 · 31	9.3	3	75%	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Tomas Satoransky G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25	6.2	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Trey Burke G · 6'1" 191 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris McCullough F · 6'9" 215 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Daniel Ochefu F · 6'11" 245 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Otto Porter Jr. #22 · F · 6'8" 198 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Sheldon Mac #9 · G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	56%	44	21	7	6	19	0	12	32	17-22	77%	31-59	53%	8-22	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	WAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.07 53.5%

WAS

1.12 56.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

15

30

50%

WAS

18

31

58%

Midrange

MIA

15

32

47%

WAS

13

28

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

7

10.5

18

39%

58%

WAS

8

12.0

22

36%

55%

Free Throws

MIA

25

36

69%

WAS

17

22

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
H. Whiteside	30	65%	15.0 / 23
T. Johnson	19	53%	9.5 / 18
G. Dragic	18	50%	9.0 / 18
J. Johnson	15	47%	7.5 / 16
J. Richardson	10	63%	5.0 / 8
W. Ellington	10	71%	5.0 / 7
O. White	2	50%	1.0 / 2
W. Reed	2	33%	1.0 / 3
R. McGruder	0	-	0.0 / 0

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Morris	21	81%	10.5 / 13
B. Beal	16	50%	8.0 / 16
J. Wall	16	38%	8.0 / 21
K. Oubre	12	60%	6.0 / 10
M. Gortat	11	61%	5.5 / 9
I. Mahinmi	11	92%	5.5 / 6
B. Bogdanovic	9	56%	4.5 / 8
J. Smith	3	75%	1.5 / 2
B. Jennings	2	25%	1.0 / 4
T. Satoransky	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 108.1 9 111.0	MIA 108.2 +2.0 WAS 106.2
Pace	21 95.0 9 97.5	MIA 93.9 WAS 101.6 +7.7
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.7 25 14.4	MIA 15.3 WAS 14.2 −1.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 51.2% 6 52.8%	MIA 50.6% WAS 53.1% +2.5%
TO %	8 13.2% 16 13.7%	MIA 11.9% −6.2% WAS 18.1%
ORB %	11 24.2% 13 24.1%	MIA 20.0% WAS 30.0% +10.0%
FTrt	26 25.1 25 25.4	MIA 45.0 +17.8 WAS 27.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 54.4% 16 57.7%	MIA 62.2% +8.4% WAS 53.8%
STL %	21 7.5% 3 8.6%	MIA 13.3% +6.1% WAS 7.2%
BLK %	6 9.3% 24 7.1%	MIA 11.9% +2.2% WAS 9.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 52.8% 8 55.0%	MIA 53.5% WAS 56.0% +2.5%
Rim FG%	12 59.2% 10 59.5%	MIA 50.0% WAS 58.1% +8.1%
Mid FG%	26 39.4% 2 44.0%	MIA 46.9% +0.5% WAS 46.4%
3P %	12 36.5% 8 37.2%	MIA 38.9% +2.5% WAS 36.4%
FT %	30 70.6% 12 78.5%	MIA 69.4% WAS 77.3% +7.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 35.4% 18 34.8%	MIA 37.5% WAS 38.3% +0.8%
Mid Att. %	15 33.1% 21 36.8%	MIA 40.0% WAS 34.6% −5.4%
3P Att. %	14 31.4% 23 28.4%	MIA 22.5% WAS 27.2% +4.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Game Totals	MIA	WAS
Possessions	98	97
Possession Minutes	25.1	22.9
Points	106	103
Rebounds	36	44
Assists	23	21
Steals	13	7
Blocks	7	6
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	19 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (5)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (0)	32 (3)
Field Goals	37-80	39-81
At-the-Rim FG	15-30	18-31
Midrange FG	15-32	13-28
2-Point FG	30-62	31-59
3-Point FG	7-18	8-22
Free Throws	25-36	17-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg