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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 9, 2017
6:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Rockets76%114135
29Kings24%104128
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Troy Williams
F · 6'7" 218 · 22.3
36.2
19.1
12
64%
9
2
0
1
0
0
4
5
1-1
100%
4-5
2-3
80%
51%
1-4
25%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 27.6
36.0
35.4
35
63%
11
15
1
2
0
10
0
11
12-13
92%
4-9
5-9
44%
53%
5-13
38%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.7
28.8
30.6
9
61%
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-3
0%
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
1-2
50%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 22.9
23.8
24.3
18
101%
6
0
0
1
1
1
0
6
2-2
100%
8-8
5-9
100%
62%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.9
23.1
15.4
21
111%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
6-8
75%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 30.5
31.2
25.0
18
53%
4
2
0
1
1
3
0
4
7-7
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
49%
1-8
13%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 32.5
24.7
1.9
16
81%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
38%
4-7
57%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 23.2
12.2
16.9
2
100%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
64%
0-0
-
Chinanu Onuaku
C · 6'10" 245 · 20.4
12.0
5.7
4
106%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
55%
0-0
-
Isaiah Taylor
G · 6'3" 170 · 22.7
11.9
6.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.3
32.1
1
2-5
47%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.6
17.4
1
3-6
58%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 31.8
Kyle Wiltjer
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.5
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 30.9
35.5
12.1
13
54%
5
1
4
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
3-8
38%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 23.3
32.3
28.5
12
34%
6
3
0
1
0
1
1
5
3-4
75%
3-8
3-6
38%
47%
1-8
13%
Skal Labissiere
F-C · 6'11" 225 · 21.1
31.1
29.2
25
85%
6
3
2
1
1
0
2
4
5-6
83%
10-12
5-10
83%
53%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 29.4
28.5
8.8
20
68%
2
11
1
0
0
2
0
2
6-6
100%
7-11
1-2
64%
49%
0-1
0%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.6
25.0
26.2
16
58%
10
0
0
1
1
0
2
8
4-4
100%
6-12
5-9
50%
54%
0-0
-
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.3
26.0
22.0
10
83%
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
41%
2-3
67%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.2
24.2
24.2
18
54%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
3-8
3-6
38%
48%
3-7
43%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.9
24.1
14.3
8
46%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
4-6
67%
2-2
1-2
100%
53%
0-4
0%
Georgios Papagiannis
C · 7'1" 240 · 19.8
13.2
23.5
6
100%
3
3
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
4-7
100%
54%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.6
22.2
1
3-6
51%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.6
20.2
1
3-6
47%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.5
15.6
0
1-3
47%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.1
6.8
0
1-2
54%
Malachi Richardson
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.3
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.