| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117.0 | 88 | 85.9 | |
| 102.3 | 88 | 90.2 |
Scoring Opportunities
Scoring Efficiency
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | DET | MEM |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | DET | 103 | 90 | |
| Q4 - 0:07.0 | DET | Marjanovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6) | 103 | 90 |
| Q4 - 0:08.0 | MEM | MISS Davis 7' Jump Shot | 103 | 90 |
| Q4 - 0:21.0 | DET | Marjanovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5) | 103 | 90 |
| Q4 - 0:21.0 | DET | Marjanovic 3' Putback Layup (14 PTS) | 103 | 90 |
| Q4 - 0:22.0 | DET | MISS Ellenson 14' Fadeaway Jumper | 101 | 90 |
| Q4 - 0:47.0 | MEM | Selden 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS) | 101 | 90 |
| Q4 - 0:58.0 | 101 | 88 | ||
| Q4 - 0:58.0 | DET | Smith Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T18) | 101 | 88 |
| Q4 - 1:14 | DET | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 101 | 88 |
| Q4 - 1:16 | MEM | MISS Selden 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 101 | 88 |
| Q4 - 1:30 | DET | Smith 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 101 | 88 |
| Q4 - 1:42 | MEM | Martin 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 99 | 88 |
| Q4 - 2:02 | DET | Marjanovic 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 99 | 86 |
| Q4 - 2:05 | DET | Marjanovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 97 | 86 |
| Q4 - 2:06 | DET | MISS Smith 22' Jump Shot | 97 | 86 |
| Q4 - 2:33 | MEM | Baldwin IV 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 97 | 86 |
| Q4 - 2:54 | DET | Hilliard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Smith 7 AST) | 97 | 84 |
| Q4 - 3:09 | DET | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 94 | 84 |
| Q4 - 3:11 | MEM | Baldwin IV REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 94 | 84 |
| Q4 - 3:11 | MEM | MISS Baldwin IV 1' Tip Layup Shot | 94 | 84 |
| Q4 - 3:14 | MEM | MISS Baldwin IV 2' Running Layup | 94 | 84 |
| Q4 - 3:22 | MEM | Ennis III REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 94 | 84 |
| Q4 - 3:24 | DET | MISS Johnson 2' Finger Roll Layup | 94 | 84 |
| Q4 - 3:44 | DET | Ellenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 94 | 84 |
| Q4 - 3:47 | MEM | MISS Selden Driving Dunk | 94 | 84 |
| Q4 - 3:53 | MEM | GRIZZLIES Rebound | 94 | 84 |
| Q4 - 3:53 | MEM | MISS Selden 3' Jump Shot | 94 | 84 |
| Q4 - 4:09 | DET | Ellenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 6 AST) | 94 | 84 |
| Q4 - 4:21 | MEM | Ennis III Foul Turnover (P1.T15) | 91 | 84 |
| Q4 - 4:21 | MEM | Ennis III Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T1) (L.Wood) | 91 | 84 |
| Q4 - 4:25 | DET | Baldwin IV STEAL (1 STL) | 91 | 84 |
| Q4 - 4:48 | MEM | Martin Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Ennis III 1 AST) | 91 | 84 |
| Q4 - 5:06 | DET | Ellenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 5 AST) | 91 | 82 |
| Q4 - 5:17 | DET | Marjanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 88 | 82 |
| Q4 - 5:18 | MEM | MISS Selden 22' Jump Shot | 88 | 82 |
| Q4 - 5:35 | DET | SUB: Smith FOR Udrih | 88 | 82 |
| Q4 - 5:35 | MEM | GRIZZLIES Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 2) | 88 | 82 |
| Q4 - 5:38 | DET | Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST) | 88 | 82 |
| Q4 - 6:00 | DET | Ellenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 85 | 82 |
| Q4 - 6:02 | MEM | MISS Baldwin IV 9' Fadeaway Jumper | 85 | 82 |
| Q4 - 6:23 | MEM | GRIZZLIES Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1) | 85 | 82 |
| Q4 - 6:23 | MEM | Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 85 | 82 |
| Q4 - 6:24 | DET | MISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 85 | 82 |
| Q4 - 6:37 | DET | Marjanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 85 | 82 |
| Q4 - 6:38 | MEM | MISS Ennis III 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 85 | 82 |
| Q4 - 6:56 | DET | Hilliard 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 85 | 82 |
| Q4 - 7:11 | MEM | Baldwin IV 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 83 | 82 |
| Q4 - 7:21 | DET | Martin STEAL (2 STL) | 83 | 80 |
| Q4 - 7:24 | DET | Marjanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 83 | 80 |
| Q4 - 7:25 | DET | MISS Udrih 16' Jump Shot | 83 | 80 |
| Q4 - 7:52 | MEM | Martin 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Selden 2 AST) | 83 | 80 |
| Q4 - 8:12 | DET | Hilliard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST) | 83 | 78 |
| Q4 - 8:32 | MEM | Ennis III Running Dunk (5 PTS) (Martin 1 AST) | 80 | 78 |
| Q4 - 8:37 | DET | Martin STEAL (1 STL) | 80 | 76 |
| Q4 - 8:51 | MEM | SUB: Selden FOR Daniels | 80 | 76 |
| Q4 - 8:51 | DET | Pistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0) | 80 | 76 |
| Q4 - 8:52 | MEM | Baldwin IV 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 80 | 76 |
| Q4 - 8:59 | MEM | Ennis III REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 80 | 74 |
| Q4 - 9:03 | MEM | MISS Martin 4' Running Layup | 80 | 74 |
| Q4 - 9:09 | DET | Davis STEAL (2 STL) | 80 | 74 |
| Q4 - 9:15 | DET | Ellenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 80 | 74 |
| Q4 - 9:18 | MEM | MISS Daniels 12' Floating Jump Shot | 80 | 74 |
| Q4 - 9:31 | DET | Hilliard P.FOUL (P3.T2) (L.Wood) | 80 | 74 |
| Q4 - 9:40 | DET | Hilliard Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13) | 80 | 74 |
| Q4 - 9:52 | MEM | Daniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 80 | 74 |
| Q4 - 10:04 | DET | Hilliard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST) | 80 | 71 |
| Q4 - 10:08 | DET | Ellenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 77 | 71 |
| Q4 - 10:12 | MEM | MISS Baldwin IV 2' Running Layup | 77 | 71 |
| Q4 - 10:19 | DET | Davis STEAL (1 STL) | 77 | 71 |
| Q4 - 10:35 | MEM | Davis 6' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) | 77 | 71 |
| Q4 - 10:46 | MEM | Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 77 | 69 |
| Q4 - 10:49 | DET | Ellenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 77 | 69 |
| Q4 - 10:49 | DET | Martin BLOCK (1 BLK) | 77 | 69 |
| Q4 - 10:51 | DET | Ellenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 77 | 69 |
| Q4 - 10:51 | DET | MISS Ellenson 1' Tip Layup Shot | 77 | 69 |
| Q4 - 10:55 | DET | MISS Ellenson 2' Running Layup | 77 | 69 |
| Q4 - 11:01 | DET | Udrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 77 | 69 |
| Q4 - 11:03 | MEM | MISS Baldwin IV 7' Floating Jump Shot | 77 | 69 |
| Q4 - 11:12 | DET | Udrih P.FOUL (P1.T1) (M.Smith) | 77 | 69 |
| Q4 - 11:28 | DET | Udrih 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 77 | 69 |
| Q4 - 11:46 | MEM | Daniels 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Baldwin IV 1 AST) | 75 | 69 |
| Q4 - 12:00 | 75 | 67 | ||
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MEM | 75 | 67 | |
| Q3 - 0:04.0 | DET | Ellenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Udrih 5 AST) | 75 | 67 |
| Q3 - 0:25.0 | DET | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 72 | 67 |
| Q3 - 0:27.0 | MEM | MISS Daniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 72 | 67 |
| Q3 - 0:33.0 | DET | Marjanovic P.FOUL (P2.PN) (M.Smith) | 72 | 67 |
| Q3 - 0:42.0 | DET | Johnson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Udrih 4 AST) | 72 | 67 |
| Q3 - 0:54.0 | MEM | Harrison 13' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 69 | 67 |
| Q3 - 1:08 | DET | Marjanovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 69 | 65 |
| Q3 - 1:08 | DET | Marjanovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 68 | 65 |
| Q3 - 1:08 | MEM | Martin L.B.FOUL (P1.PN) (L.Wood) | 67 | 65 |
| Q3 - 1:08 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 67 | 65 |
| Q3 - 1:08 | DET | MISS Ellenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 67 | 65 |
| Q3 - 1:25 | DET | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 67 | 65 |
| Q3 - 1:26 | MEM | MISS Daniels 21' Jump Shot | 67 | 65 |
| Q3 - 1:39 | DET | Marjanovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 67 | 65 |
| Q3 - 1:39 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 66 | 65 |
| Q3 - 1:39 | DET | MISS Marjanovic Free Throw 1 of 2 | 66 | 65 |
| Q3 - 1:39 | MEM | Davis P.FOUL (P2.PN) (M.Smith) | 66 | 65 |
| Q3 - 1:47 | MEM | Davis P.FOUL (P1.T3) (E.Malloy) | 66 | 65 |
| Q3 - 1:56 | DET | Marjanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 66 | 65 |
| Q3 - 1:57 | MEM | MISS Daniels 19' Jump Shot | 66 | 65 |
| Q3 - 2:07 | DET | Ellenson Foul Turnover (P2.T11) | 66 | 65 |
| Q3 - 2:07 | DET | Ellenson Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T4) (L.Wood) | 66 | 65 |
| Q3 - 2:16 | DET | SUB: Johnson FOR Drummond | 66 | 65 |
| Q3 - 2:16 | DET | SUB: Marjanovic FOR Harris | 66 | 65 |
| Q3 - 2:16 | MEM | SUB: Martin FOR Green | 66 | 65 |
| Q3 - 2:16 | DET | Pistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0) | 66 | 65 |
| Q3 - 2:16 | MEM | Green Foul Turnover (P5.T14) | 66 | 65 |
| Q3 - 2:16 | MEM | Green OFF.Foul (P2) (E.Malloy) | 66 | 65 |
| Q3 - 2:36 | DET | Bullock 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST) | 66 | 65 |
| Q3 - 2:57 | DET | Ellenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 63 | 65 |
| Q3 - 2:59 | MEM | MISS Selden 3' Driving Layup | 63 | 65 |
| Q3 - 3:19 | MEM | SUB: Davis FOR Gasol | 63 | 65 |
| Q3 - 3:19 | DET | Udrih Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10) | 63 | 65 |
| Q3 - 3:37 | MEM | SUB: Harrison FOR Conley | 63 | 65 |
| Q3 - 3:37 | DET | SUB: Udrih FOR Smith | 63 | 65 |
| Q3 - 3:37 | MEM | Conley Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T13) | 63 | 65 |
| Q3 - 3:56 | DET | Bullock 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ellenson 2 AST) | 63 | 65 |
| Q3 - 4:11 | MEM | Gasol Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12) | 60 | 65 |
| Q3 - 4:16 | MEM | Green REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 60 | 65 |
| Q3 - 4:18 | DET | MISS Drummond 4' Hook Shot | 60 | 65 |
| Q3 - 4:21 | DET | Drummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5) | 60 | 65 |
| Q3 - 4:22 | DET | MISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 60 | 65 |
| Q3 - 4:27 | DET | Ellenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 60 | 65 |
| Q3 - 4:29 | MEM | MISS Green Dunk | 60 | 65 |
| Q3 - 4:48 | MEM | Conley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 60 | 65 |
| Q3 - 4:49 | DET | MISS Ellenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 60 | 65 |
| Q3 - 5:01 | MEM | Conley Free Throw 3 of 3 (15 PTS) | 60 | 65 |
| Q3 - 5:01 | MEM | SUB: Daniels FOR Carter | 60 | 64 |
| Q3 - 5:01 | MEM | Conley Free Throw 2 of 3 (14 PTS) | 60 | 64 |
| Q3 - 5:01 | MEM | Conley Free Throw 1 of 3 (13 PTS) | 60 | 63 |
| Q3 - 5:01 | DET | Bullock S.FOUL (P2.T3) (E.Malloy) | 60 | 62 |
| Q3 - 5:05 | DET | Conley STEAL (1 STL) | 60 | 62 |
| Q3 - 5:19 | DET | SUB: Ellenson FOR Leuer | 60 | 62 |
| Q3 - 5:19 | MEM | Green Traveling Turnover (P4.T11) | 60 | 62 |
| Q3 - 5:30 | DET | Drummond Foul Turnover (P2.T8) | 60 | 62 |
| Q3 - 5:30 | DET | Drummond OFF.Foul (P2) (M.Smith) | 60 | 62 |
| Q3 - 5:37 | MEM | SUB: Selden FOR Allen | 60 | 62 |
| Q3 - 5:37 | MEM | Gasol Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T10) | 60 | 62 |
| Q3 - 5:51 | DET | Smith 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (9 PTS) | 60 | 62 |
| Q3 - 6:01 | DET | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 58 | 62 |
| Q3 - 6:02 | MEM | MISS Gasol 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 58 | 62 |
| Q3 - 6:10 | MEM | Green REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 58 | 62 |
| Q3 - 6:12 | DET | MISS Drummond 4' Hook Shot | 58 | 62 |
| Q3 - 6:23 | DET | Drummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5) | 58 | 62 |
| Q3 - 6:25 | MEM | MISS Carter 25' 3PT Running Jump Shot | 58 | 62 |
| Q3 - 6:33 | DET | Gasol STEAL (2 STL) | 58 | 62 |
| Q3 - 6:54 | MEM | Conley 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Allen 2 AST) | 58 | 62 |
| Q3 - 6:58 | MEM | GRIZZLIES Rebound | 58 | 60 |
| Q3 - 6:58 | MEM | MISS Allen 4' Floating Jump Shot | 58 | 60 |
| Q3 - 7:17 | DET | Harris 25' 3PT Running Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Smith 4 AST) | 58 | 60 |
| Q3 - 7:23 | MEM | Green Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9) | 55 | 60 |
| Q3 - 7:46 | MEM | GRIZZLIES Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1) | 55 | 60 |
| Q3 - 7:47 | DET | Bullock 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 55 | 60 |
| Q3 - 7:51 | DET | Harris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 53 | 60 |
| Q3 - 7:57 | MEM | MISS Conley 6' Floating Jump Shot | 53 | 60 |
| Q3 - 8:03 | MEM | Conley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 53 | 60 |
| Q3 - 8:04 | DET | MISS Smith 8' Fadeaway Jumper | 53 | 60 |
| Q3 - 8:13 | MEM | Conley P.FOUL (P3.T2) (M.Smith) | 53 | 60 |
| Q3 - 8:25 | MEM | Conley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8) | 53 | 60 |
| Q3 - 8:42 | DET | Leuer 1' Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Smith 3 AST) | 53 | 60 |
| Q3 - 8:52 | DET | Drummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4) | 51 | 60 |
| Q3 - 8:53 | DET | MISS Leuer 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 51 | 60 |
| Q3 - 9:07 | DET | Drummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4) | 51 | 60 |
| Q3 - 9:09 | MEM | MISS Conley 13' Floating Jump Shot | 51 | 60 |
| Q3 - 9:27 | MEM | Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 51 | 60 |
| Q3 - 9:27 | DET | MISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 2 | 51 | 60 |
| Q3 - 9:27 | DET | Smith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 51 | 60 |
| Q3 - 9:27 | MEM | Conley S.FOUL (P2.T1) (M.Smith) | 50 | 60 |
| Q3 - 9:32 | MEM | Gasol Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7) | 50 | 60 |
| Q3 - 9:52 | DET | Leuer Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6) | 50 | 60 |
| Q3 - 9:57 | MEM | Carter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6) | 50 | 60 |
| Q3 - 10:20 | DET | Smith 14' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 50 | 60 |
| Q3 - 10:37 | MEM | Green 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Conley 3 AST) | 48 | 60 |
| Q3 - 10:51 | MEM | Allen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 48 | 58 |
| Q3 - 10:51 | DET | MISS Bullock 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 48 | 58 |
| Q3 - 11:12 | MEM | Conley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 48 | 58 |
| Q3 - 11:12 | MEM | GRIZZLIES Rebound | 48 | 57 |
| Q3 - 11:12 | MEM | MISS Conley Free Throw 1 of 2 | 48 | 57 |
| Q3 - 11:12 | DET | Bullock S.FOUL (P1.T2) (M.Smith) | 48 | 57 |
| Q3 - 11:17 | DET | Smith P.FOUL (P1.T1) (M.Smith) | 48 | 57 |
| Q3 - 11:37 | DET | Allen STEAL (2 STL) | 48 | 57 |
| Q3 - 11:40 | DET | Bullock REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 48 | 57 |
| Q3 - 11:43 | DET | Gasol BLOCK (1 BLK) | 48 | 57 |
| Q3 - 12:00 | 48 | 57 | ||
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | DET | 48 | 57 | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 48 | 57 |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | DET | MISS Bullock 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 48 | 57 |
| Q2 - 0:18.0 | MEM | Gasol Cutting Dunk Shot (13 PTS) (Conley 2 AST) | 48 | 57 |
| Q2 - 0:33.0 | MEM | SUB: Carter FOR Harrison | 48 | 55 |
| Q2 - 0:33.0 | MEM | SUB: Conley FOR Allen | 48 | 55 |
| Q2 - 0:33.0 | MEM | GRIZZLIES Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1) | 48 | 55 |
| Q2 - 0:37.0 | DET | Bullock 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harris 2 AST) | 48 | 55 |
| Q2 - 0:37.0 | DET | Harris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 45 | 55 |
| Q2 - 0:39.0 | DET | MISS Smith 2' Running Layup | 45 | 55 |
| Q2 - 0:47.0 | DET | Drummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3) | 45 | 55 |
| Q2 - 0:48.0 | MEM | MISS Selden 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 45 | 55 |
| Q2 - 1:14 | DET | Drummond 8' Hook Shot (5 PTS) | 45 | 55 |
| Q2 - 1:20 | DET | Drummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2) | 43 | 55 |
| Q2 - 1:21 | DET | MISS Smith 20' Running Pull-Up Jump Shot | 43 | 55 |
| Q2 - 1:36 | MEM | Gasol 30' 3PT Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Harrison 5 AST) | 43 | 55 |
| Q2 - 1:45 | DET | Harrison STEAL (1 STL) | 43 | 52 |
| Q2 - 2:10 | MEM | Green 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harrison 4 AST) | 43 | 52 |
| Q2 - 2:33 | MEM | Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 43 | 49 |
| Q2 - 2:34 | DET | MISS Leuer Free Throw 2 of 2 | 43 | 49 |
| Q2 - 2:34 | DET | Leuer Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 43 | 49 |
| Q2 - 2:34 | DET | SUB: Bullock FOR Hilliard | 42 | 49 |
| Q2 - 2:34 | MEM | GRIZZLIES Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0) | 42 | 49 |
| Q2 - 2:34 | MEM | Green S.FOUL (P1.PN) (E.Malloy) | 42 | 49 |
| Q2 - 2:47 | MEM | Gasol 9' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS) (Harrison 3 AST) | 42 | 49 |
| Q2 - 3:00 | DET | Leuer Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 42 | 47 |
| Q2 - 3:00 | MEM | SUB: Harrison FOR Conley | 41 | 47 |
| Q2 - 3:00 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 41 | 47 |
| Q2 - 3:00 | DET | MISS Leuer Free Throw 1 of 2 | 41 | 47 |
| Q2 - 3:00 | MEM | Gasol L.B.FOUL (P2.PN) (M.Smith) | 41 | 47 |
| Q2 - 3:00 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 41 | 47 |
| Q2 - 3:00 | DET | MISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 41 | 47 |
| Q2 - 3:07 | DET | Drummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 41 | 47 |
| Q2 - 3:09 | DET | MISS Leuer 8' Floating Jump Shot | 41 | 47 |
| Q2 - 3:23 | MEM | Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 41 | 47 |
| Q2 - 3:23 | MEM | SUB: Selden FOR Carter | 41 | 46 |
| Q2 - 3:23 | DET | SUB: Harris FOR Johnson | 41 | 46 |
| Q2 - 3:23 | MEM | Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 41 | 46 |
| Q2 - 3:23 | DET | Drummond S.FOUL (P1.T3) (M.Smith) | 41 | 45 |
| Q2 - 3:34 | MEM | GRIZZLIES Rebound | 41 | 45 |
| Q2 - 3:35 | DET | MISS Hilliard 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 41 | 45 |
| Q2 - 3:49 | MEM | Carter Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5) | 41 | 45 |
| Q2 - 4:00 | DET | SUB: Smith FOR Udrih | 41 | 45 |
| Q2 - 4:00 | MEM | GRIZZLIES Rebound | 41 | 45 |
| Q2 - 4:00 | DET | MISS Leuer 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 41 | 45 |
| Q2 - 4:10 | MEM | GRIZZLIES Violation: Delay of game Violation | 41 | 45 |
| Q2 - 4:14 | MEM | Green 2' Running Dunk (7 PTS) (Allen 1 AST) | 41 | 45 |
| Q2 - 4:21 | DET | Allen STEAL (1 STL) | 41 | 43 |
| Q2 - 4:35 | DET | Leuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 41 | 43 |
| Q2 - 4:38 | DET | MISS Drummond 11' Hook Shot | 41 | 43 |
| Q2 - 4:47 | MEM | Green Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4) | 41 | 43 |
| Q2 - 4:59 | MEM | Allen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 41 | 43 |
| Q2 - 5:00 | DET | MISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot | 41 | 43 |
| Q2 - 5:14 | MEM | Allen 2' Reverse Layup (5 PTS) | 41 | 43 |
| Q2 - 5:15 | MEM | Allen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 41 | 41 |
| Q2 - 5:16 | MEM | MISS Allen 3' Layup | 41 | 41 |
| Q2 - 5:31 | MEM | Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 41 | 41 |
| Q2 - 5:32 | DET | MISS Drummond 8' Hook Shot | 41 | 41 |
| Q2 - 5:42 | DET | SUB: Leuer FOR Ellenson | 41 | 41 |
| Q2 - 5:42 | DET | Pistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0) | 41 | 41 |
| Q2 - 5:48 | MEM | Green 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gasol 5 AST) | 41 | 41 |
| Q2 - 5:59 | MEM | Green REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 41 | 38 |
| Q2 - 6:00 | MEM | MISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot | 41 | 38 |
| Q2 - 6:14 | DET | Udrih 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ellenson 1 AST) | 41 | 38 |
| Q2 - 6:39 | MEM | Green 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST) | 39 | 38 |
| Q2 - 7:00 | DET | Johnson 15' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 39 | 36 |
| Q2 - 7:11 | MEM | Gasol Personal Block Foul (P1.T4) (L.Wood) | 37 | 36 |
| Q2 - 7:22 | DET | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 37 | 36 |
| Q2 - 7:24 | MEM | MISS Allen Free Throw 2 of 2 | 37 | 36 |
| Q2 - 7:24 | DET | SUB: Drummond FOR Marjanovic | 37 | 36 |
| Q2 - 7:24 | MEM | Allen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 37 | 36 |
| Q2 - 7:24 | DET | Hilliard S.FOUL (P2.T2) (M.Smith) | 37 | 35 |
| Q2 - 7:39 | DET | Marjanovic Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS) | 37 | 35 |
| Q2 - 7:39 | MEM | SUB: Allen FOR Wright | 36 | 35 |
| Q2 - 7:39 | MEM | SUB: Green FOR Ennis III | 36 | 35 |
| Q2 - 7:39 | MEM | SUB: Gasol FOR Selden | 36 | 35 |
| Q2 - 7:39 | MEM | Wright S.FOUL (P3.T3) (M.Smith) | 36 | 35 |
| Q2 - 7:39 | DET | Marjanovic 4' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST) | 36 | 35 |
| Q2 - 7:55 | MEM | Wright Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3) | 34 | 35 |
| Q2 - 7:56 | MEM | Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 34 | 35 |
| Q2 - 8:01 | MEM | MISS Wright Alley Oop Dunk | 34 | 35 |
| Q2 - 8:21 | DET | Hilliard 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST) | 34 | 35 |
| Q2 - 8:31 | MEM | Selden Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 32 | 35 |
| Q2 - 8:31 | MEM | GRIZZLIES Rebound | 32 | 34 |
| Q2 - 8:31 | MEM | MISS Selden Free Throw 1 of 2 | 32 | 34 |
| Q2 - 8:31 | 32 | 34 | ||
| Q2 - 8:31 | DET | Hilliard S.FOUL (P1.T1) (E.Malloy) | 32 | 34 |
| Q2 - 8:34 | DET | Ennis III STEAL (1 STL) | 32 | 34 |
| Q2 - 8:56 | MEM | Conley 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 32 | 34 |
| Q2 - 9:12 | DET | Marjanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 32 | 32 |
| Q2 - 9:12 | DET | Marjanovic 2' Putback Layup (4 PTS) | 32 | 32 |
| Q2 - 9:14 | DET | MISS Johnson 20' Pullup Jump Shot | 30 | 32 |
| Q2 - 9:28 | MEM | SUB: Carter FOR Daniels | 30 | 32 |
| Q2 - 9:28 | MEM | SUB: Conley FOR Harrison | 30 | 32 |
| Q2 - 9:28 | MEM | Wright P.FOUL (P2.T2) (E.Malloy) | 30 | 32 |
| Q2 - 9:30 | MEM | Harrison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 30 | 32 |
| Q2 - 9:46 | MEM | Selden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 30 | 32 |
| Q2 - 9:46 | DET | MISS Hilliard 3PT Jump Shot | 30 | 32 |
| Q2 - 10:05 | MEM | Harrison 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 30 | 32 |
| Q2 - 10:24 | DET | Udrih 16' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 30 | 30 |
| Q2 - 10:40 | MEM | Selden 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harrison 2 AST) | 28 | 30 |
| Q2 - 10:56 | DET | Udrih 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 28 | 28 |
| Q2 - 11:02 | DET | Marjanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 26 | 28 |
| Q2 - 11:04 | MEM | MISS Harrison 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 26 | 28 |
| Q2 - 11:15 | DET | Marjanovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 26 | 28 |
| Q2 - 11:15 | DET | Marjanovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 25 | 28 |
| Q2 - 11:15 | MEM | Wright S.FOUL (P1.T1) (L.Wood) | 24 | 28 |
| Q2 - 11:22 | DET | Ellenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 24 | 28 |
| Q2 - 11:22 | MEM | MISS Daniels 18' Jump Shot | 24 | 28 |
| Q2 - 11:37 | MEM | Ennis III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 24 | 28 |
| Q2 - 11:38 | DET | MISS Ellenson 3PT Jump Shot | 24 | 28 |
| Q2 - 12:00 | 24 | 28 | ||
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MEM | 24 | 28 | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MEM | GRIZZLIES Rebound | 24 | 28 |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MEM | MISS Wright 7' Jump Shot | 24 | 28 |
| Q1 - 0:14.0 | MEM | Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 24 | 28 |
| Q1 - 0:16.0 | DET | MISS Johnson 6' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot | 24 | 28 |
| Q1 - 0:21.0 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 24 | 28 |
| Q1 - 0:21.0 | DET | Wright BLOCK (1 BLK) | 24 | 28 |
| Q1 - 0:27.0 | MEM | Daniels P.FOUL (P1.T3) (M.Smith) | 24 | 28 |
| Q1 - 0:37.0 | MEM | Ennis III 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harrison 1 AST) | 24 | 28 |
| Q1 - 1:02 | DET | Harris 7' Turnaround Bank Shot (9 PTS) | 24 | 25 |
| Q1 - 1:22 | MEM | Daniels 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wright 1 AST) | 22 | 25 |
| Q1 - 1:39 | MEM | GRIZZLIES Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0) | 22 | 22 |
| Q1 - 1:43 | MEM | Ennis III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 22 | 22 |
| Q1 - 1:45 | DET | MISS Johnson 23' Running Jump Shot | 22 | 22 |
| Q1 - 1:52 | DET | Udrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 | 22 |
| Q1 - 1:53 | MEM | MISS Daniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 22 | 22 |
| Q1 - 2:08 | MEM | Harrison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 | 22 |
| Q1 - 2:08 | DET | MISS Harris 14' Jump Shot | 22 | 22 |
| Q1 - 2:22 | DET | Marjanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 | 22 |
| Q1 - 2:23 | MEM | MISS Selden 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 22 | 22 |
| Q1 - 2:31 | MEM | Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 | 22 |
| Q1 - 2:33 | DET | MISS Marjanovic 6' Turnaround Jump Shot | 22 | 22 |
| Q1 - 2:41 | DET | Harris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 | 22 |
| Q1 - 2:42 | MEM | MISS Ennis III 3PT Jump Shot | 22 | 22 |
| Q1 - 2:56 | MEM | Ennis III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 22 | 22 |
| Q1 - 2:59 | DET | MISS Ellenson 8' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot | 22 | 22 |
| Q1 - 3:11 | MEM | Wright Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 22 | 22 |
| Q1 - 3:11 | MEM | SUB: Daniels FOR Carter | 22 | 21 |
| Q1 - 3:11 | DET | SUB: Udrih FOR Smith | 22 | 21 |
| Q1 - 3:11 | MEM | GRIZZLIES Rebound | 22 | 21 |
| Q1 - 3:11 | MEM | MISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 2 | 22 | 21 |
| Q1 - 3:11 | DET | Marjanovic S.FOUL (P1.T1) (M.Smith) | 22 | 21 |
| Q1 - 3:18 | MEM | Carter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 | 21 |
| Q1 - 3:19 | DET | MISS Marjanovic 8' Hook Shot | 22 | 21 |
| Q1 - 3:39 | MEM | Wright 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Selden 1 AST) | 22 | 21 |
| Q1 - 4:00 | MEM | SUB: Wright FOR Gasol | 22 | 19 |
| Q1 - 4:00 | DET | Harris Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS) | 22 | 19 |
| Q1 - 4:00 | DET | SUB: Johnson FOR Bullock | 21 | 19 |
| Q1 - 4:00 | MEM | SUB: Harrison FOR Conley | 21 | 19 |
| Q1 - 4:00 | DET | SUB: Marjanovic FOR Drummond | 21 | 19 |
| Q1 - 4:00 | DET | SUB: Ellenson FOR Leuer | 21 | 19 |
| Q1 - 4:00 | MEM | Carter S.FOUL (P1.T2) (M.Smith) | 21 | 19 |
| Q1 - 4:00 | DET | Harris 2' Running Layup (6 PTS) | 21 | 19 |
| Q1 - 4:05 | DET | Bullock REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 19 | 19 |
| Q1 - 4:06 | MEM | MISS Conley 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 19 | 19 |
| Q1 - 4:15 | DET | Gasol STEAL (1 STL) | 19 | 19 |
| Q1 - 4:23 | DET | Drummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 19 | 19 |
| Q1 - 4:25 | MEM | MISS Carter 15' Fadeaway Jumper | 19 | 19 |
| Q1 - 4:51 | DET | Harris 9' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Drummond 2 AST) | 19 | 19 |
| Q1 - 5:04 | DET | Bullock REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 17 | 19 |
| Q1 - 5:05 | MEM | MISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot | 17 | 19 |
| Q1 - 5:16 | MEM | Ennis III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 17 | 19 |
| Q1 - 5:19 | DET | MISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 2 | 17 | 19 |
| Q1 - 5:19 | MEM | SUB: Ennis III FOR Green | 17 | 19 |
| Q1 - 5:19 | MEM | SUB: Selden FOR Allen | 17 | 19 |
| Q1 - 5:19 | DET | Drummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 17 | 19 |
| Q1 - 5:19 | MEM | Conley S.FOUL (P1.T1) (M.Smith) | 16 | 19 |
| Q1 - 5:19 | DET | Drummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 16 | 19 |
| Q1 - 5:19 | DET | MISS Harris 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot | 16 | 19 |
| Q1 - 5:46 | MEM | Conley 25' 3PT Running Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Green 2 AST) | 16 | 19 |
| Q1 - 5:52 | MEM | Green REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 16 | 16 |
| Q1 - 5:53 | DET | MISS Bullock 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 16 | 16 |
| Q1 - 6:10 | MEM | Gasol 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) | 16 | 16 |
| Q1 - 6:33 | MEM | Green REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 16 | 14 |
| Q1 - 6:34 | DET | MISS Leuer 19' Jump Shot | 16 | 14 |
| Q1 - 6:45 | DET | Pistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0) | 16 | 14 |
| Q1 - 6:54 | MEM | Carter 28' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST) | 16 | 14 |
| Q1 - 7:08 | DET | Leuer 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 2 AST) | 16 | 11 |
| Q1 - 7:23 | MEM | Conley 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST) | 13 | 11 |
| Q1 - 7:42 | DET | Bullock 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 1 AST) | 13 | 9 |
| Q1 - 8:00 | MEM | Carter 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Green 1 AST) | 10 | 9 |
| Q1 - 8:04 | MEM | Green REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 10 | 6 |
| Q1 - 8:07 | MEM | MISS Gasol 19' Jump Shot | 10 | 6 |
| Q1 - 8:25 | DET | Drummond 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) | 10 | 6 |
| Q1 - 8:38 | DET | Bullock REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 8 | 6 |
| Q1 - 8:39 | MEM | MISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 8 | 6 |
| Q1 - 8:53 | DET | Smith 2' Running Layup (4 PTS) | 8 | 6 |
| Q1 - 8:59 | DET | Drummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 6 | 6 |
| Q1 - 9:01 | MEM | MISS Green 5' Hook Shot | 6 | 6 |
| Q1 - 9:27 | DET | Smith 15' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Drummond 1 AST) | 6 | 6 |
| Q1 - 9:34 | MEM | Green Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 4 | 6 |
| Q1 - 9:45 | DET | Harris 14' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 4 | 6 |
| Q1 - 10:00 | MEM | Conley 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST) | 2 | 6 |
| Q1 - 10:27 | DET | Leuer 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST) | 2 | 4 |
| Q1 - 10:34 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 0 | 4 |
| Q1 - 10:35 | DET | MISS Leuer 13' Jump Shot | 0 | 4 |
| Q1 - 10:44 | DET | Drummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 0 | 4 |
| Q1 - 10:47 | DET | MISS Smith 16' Step Back Jump Shot | 0 | 4 |
| Q1 - 11:08 | MEM | Allen 4' Layup (2 PTS) | 0 | 4 |
| Q1 - 11:20 | MEM | Green REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 | 2 |
| Q1 - 11:21 | DET | MISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot | 0 | 2 |
| Q1 - 11:44 | MEM | Gasol 11' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Conley 1 AST) | 0 | 2 |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MEM | Jump Ball Gasol vs. Drummond: Tip to Conley | 0 | 0 |
| Q1 - 12:00 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Clock | Team | Event | DET | MEM |
Score / WinProb | ||||
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
Scoring by Shot Type
Total Points
|| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Bullock | 14 | 88% | 7.0 / 8 | |
| B. Marjanovic | 14 | 78% | 7.0 / 9 | |
| D. Hilliard | 13 | 93% | 6.5 / 7 | |
| T. Harris | 12 | 67% | 6.0 / 9 | |
| I. Smith | 11 | 42% | 5.5 / 13 | |
| B. Udrih | 11 | 79% | 5.5 / 7 | |
| J. Leuer | 9 | 45% | 4.5 / 10 | |
| H. Ellenson | 9 | 41% | 4.5 / 11 | |
| A. Drummond | 5 | 36% | 2.5 / 7 | |
| S. Johnson | 5 | 31% | 2.5 / 8 |
Total Points
|| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Conley | 15 | 75% | 7.5 / 10 | |
| M. Gasol | 13 | 65% | 6.5 / 10 | |
| J. Green | 12 | 86% | 6.0 / 7 | |
| T. Daniels | 8 | 44% | 4.0 / 9 | |
| V. Carter | 6 | 75% | 3.0 / 4 | |
| J. Martin | 6 | 75% | 3.0 / 4 | |
| W. Baldwin IV | 6 | 38% | 3.0 / 8 | |
| T. Allen | 5 | 42% | 2.5 / 6 | |
| W. Selden | 5 | 25% | 2.5 / 10 | |
| J. Ennis III | 5 | 63% | 2.5 / 4 | |
| A. Harrison | 4 | 67% | 2.0 / 3 | |
| B. Wright | 3 | 38% | 1.5 / 4 | |
| D. Davis | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 |
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
Scoring Efficiency
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 106.0 108.2 | DET 117.0 +14.8 MEM 102.3 |
| Pace | 95.0 91.9 | DET 85.9 MEM 90.2 +4.3 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 15.1 16.2 | DET 16.8 MEM 16.0 −0.8 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 49.2% 49.1% | DET 56.1% +2.1% MEM 54.0% |
| TO % | 11.9% 13.4% | DET 16.8% MEM 15.7% −1.1% |
| ORB % | 24.1% 24.9% | DET 38.5% +22.3% MEM 16.2% |
| FTrt | 21.8 28.0 | DET 19.5 +2.2 MEM 17.3 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 53.0% 58.4% | DET 53.8% MEM 63.9% +10.1% |
| STL % | 7.3% 8.5% | DET 9.1% MEM 13.6% +4.5% |
| BLK % | 6.6% 8.3% | DET 3.7% MEM 5.6% +1.9% |
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 50.8% 52.1% | DET 56.6% +2.4% MEM 54.2% |
| Rim FG% | 58.3% 54.6% | DET 50.0% MEM 50.0% |
| Mid FG% | 42.6% 39.3% | DET 44.7% MEM 50.0% +5.3% |
| 3P % | 33.0% 35.4% | DET 50.0% +7.1% MEM 42.9% |
| FT % | 71.9% 78.4% | DET 68.8% MEM 69.2% +0.4% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 30.9% 35.8% | DET 19.5% MEM 32.0% +12.5% |
| Mid Att. % | 42.8% 32.5% | DET 46.3% MEM 40.0% −6.3% |
| 3P Att. % | 26.3% 31.6% | DET 34.1% +6.1% MEM 28.0% |
| Game Totals | DET | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 88 | 88 |
| Possession Minutes | 24.6 | 23.4 |
| Points | 103 | 90 |
| Rebounds | 46 | 30 |
| Assists | 21 | 23 |
| Steals | 8 | 12 |
| Blocks | 2 | 3 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 18 (0) | 15 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 15 (5) | 6 (3) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 31 (0) | 24 (2) |
| Field Goals | 39-82 | 36-75 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 8-16 | 12-24 |
| Midrange FG | 17-38 | 15-30 |
| 2-Point FG | 25-54 | 27-54 |
| 3-Point FG | 14-28 | 9-21 |
| Free Throws | 11-16 | 9-13 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.