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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 9, 2017
6:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Pistons35%97103
11Grizzlies65%10390
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.8
27
28
11
2
7
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
5-11
5-10
45%
46%
0-1
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 23.7
25
24
5
11
2
1
1
1
2
6
5
1-2
50%
2-6
4-8
33%
53%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.7
25
26
12
3
2
2
1
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
53%
1-3
33%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 26.1
23
21
14
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
4-7
57%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 27.9
20
12
9
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
2-4
50%
2-5
2-3
40%
53%
1-3
33%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 20.2
28
13
9
9
2
0
0
0
3
2
7
0-0
-
0-5
1-3
0%
50%
3-6
50%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 20.9
27
27
5
4
3
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
43%
1-2
50%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 28.6
23
14
14
10
0
1
0
0
1
4
6
6-7
86%
4-6
3-6
67%
55%
0-0
-
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.0
21
5
13
0
0
1
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
44%
3-5
60%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.8
21
17
11
2
5
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
48%
1-1
100%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.1
24
1
2-5
47%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.6
20
0
3-5
47%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.3
11
0
1-3
52%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 27.0
Michael Gbinije
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 32.2
24
28
13
2
5
2
1
1
3
0
2
2-2
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
50%
1-2
50%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 26.8
24
20
12
7
2
0
1
0
5
2
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
54%
2-2
100%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 29.5
23
32
15
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
4-5
80%
4-6
4-8
67%
50%
1-2
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 40.2
22
24
6
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
2-3
67%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 35.2
20
24
5
4
2
2
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
2-4
3-7
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Wayne Selden
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 22.5
28
23
5
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-6
2-3
33%
52%
0-3
0%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 26.8
22
14
5
6
1
1
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
1-3
33%
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 20.4
15
3
2
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 22.9
14
3
6
2
1
2
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
48%
0-0
-
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.7
14
17
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
42%
2-4
50%
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 22.4
13
21
4
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 21.0
12
9
6
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-8
1-2
38%
46%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.5
8
19
3
3
1
0
1
1
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-3
3-5
33%
63%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.7
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.