Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Kings	53%	112	120	111.1	108	120.1
	25	Spurs	47%	111	129	120.6	107	97.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 23	37.9	39	57%	3	6	1	1	3	3	3	0	4-5	80%	16-26	62%	1-7	14%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	36.6	10	83%	7	1	2	0	2	2	1	6	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Bogdan Bogdanović #8 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 28	31.6	24	75%	2	2	2	0	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	6-11	55%
Nemanja Bjelica #88 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 32	30.4	12	75%	5	1	2	1	1	6	0	5	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Richaun Holmes #22 · C · 6'9" 235 · 27	23.6	10	71%	6	1	0	0	2	6	2	4	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-

Cory Joseph #9 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 29	26.3	5	50%	2	4	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Kent Bazemore #26 · SG · 6'5" 201 · 31	22.9	8	50%	11	5	2	0	2	3	2	9	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Buddy Hield #24 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 28	19.5	6	21%	4	1	1	0	3	2	0	4	1-3	33%	1-5	20%	1-8	13%
DaQuan Jeffries #19 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 23	7.0	4	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Harry Giles III #20 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	4.3	2	50%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Corey Brewer #13 · SF · 6'9" 186 · 34	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jabari Parker #33 · PF · 6'8" 250 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Yogi Ferrell #3 · PG · 6'0" 180 · 27	DNP - Coach's Decision
Justin James #10 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 24	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Kyle Guy #7 · SG · 6'1" 167 · 23	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| -; Re-Conditioning
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	56%	42	22	11	2	15	25	8	34	16-20	80%	34-57	60%	12-38	32%

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17 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 23	37.9	39	57%	3	6	1	1	3	3	3	0	4-5	80%	16-26	62%	1-7	14%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	36.6	10	83%	7	1	2	0	2	2	1	6	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Bogdan Bogdanović #8 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 28	31.6	24	75%	2	2	2	0	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	6-11	55%
Nemanja Bjelica #88 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 32	30.4	12	75%	5	1	2	1	1	6	0	5	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Richaun Holmes #22 · C · 6'9" 235 · 27	23.6	10	71%	6	1	0	0	2	6	2	4	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-

Cory Joseph #9 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 29	26.3	5	50%	2	4	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Kent Bazemore #26 · SG · 6'5" 201 · 31	22.9	8	50%	11	5	2	0	2	3	2	9	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Buddy Hield #24 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 28	19.5	6	21%	4	1	1	0	3	2	0	4	1-3	33%	1-5	20%	1-8	13%
DaQuan Jeffries #19 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 23	7.0	4	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Harry Giles III #20 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	4.3	2	50%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Corey Brewer #13 · SF · 6'9" 186 · 34	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jabari Parker #33 · PF · 6'8" 250 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Yogi Ferrell #3 · PG · 6'0" 180 · 27	DNP - Coach's Decision
Justin James #10 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 24	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Kyle Guy #7 · SG · 6'1" 167 · 23	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| -; Re-Conditioning
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	56%	42	22	11	2	15	25	8	34	16-20	80%	34-57	60%	12-38	32%

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25 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 31	37.9	27	79%	5	10	0	0	4	4	1	4	7-9	78%	10-13	77%	0-0	-
Derrick White #4 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 26	33.6	26	72%	8	5	1	1	5	3	2	6	6-6	100%	4-6	67%	4-9	44%
Lonnie Walker IV #1 · SF · 6'5" 196 · 22	32.3	16	67%	3	4	0	0	2	0	0	3	1-1	100%	6-10	60%	1-2	50%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 25	31.8	7	44%	6	3	2	2	0	3	4	2	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	21.1	11	50%	4	4	0	0	2	5	0	4	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-2	50%

Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	30.0	8	50%	6	2	1	0	0	1	1	5	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Rudy Gay #22 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 34	26.1	19	63%	8	1	0	1	1	0	1	7	0-0	-	5-10	50%	3-5	60%
Marco Belinelli #18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 34	15.2	9	75%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	7-7	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Quinndary Weatherspoon #15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 24	10.0	4	40%	1	2	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Drew Eubanks #14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 23	2.0	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Tyler Zeller #40 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	DNP - Coach's Decision
Chimezie Metu #7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 32	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Bryn Forbes #11 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Tightness
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| " "; Appendectomy
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	63%	42	32	6	4	15	17	9	33	22-27	81%	37-65	57%	11-25	44%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	SAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.11 55.6%

SAS

1.26 63.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

27

43

63%

SAS

14

22

64%

Midrange

SAC

7

14

50%

SAS

23

43

53%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

12

18.0

38

32%

47%

SAS

11

16.5

25

44%

66%

Free Throws

SAC

16

20

80%

SAS

22

27

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Fox	39	57%	19.5 / 34
B. Bogdanović	24	75%	12.0 / 16
N. Bjelica	12	75%	6.0 / 8
H. Barnes	10	83%	5.0 / 6
R. Holmes	10	71%	5.0 / 7
K. Bazemore	8	50%	4.0 / 8
B. Hield	6	21%	3.0 / 14
C. Joseph	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. Jeffries	4	100%	2.0 / 2
H. Giles	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	27	79%	13.5 / 17
D. White	26	72%	13.0 / 18
R. Gay	19	63%	9.5 / 15
L. Walker IV	16	67%	8.0 / 12
D. Murray	11	50%	5.5 / 11
M. Belinelli	9	75%	4.5 / 6
K. Johnson	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Poeltl	7	44%	3.5 / 8
Q. Weatherspoon	4	40%	2.0 / 5
D. Eubanks	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 109.9 11 112.2	SAC 111.1 SAS 120.6 +9.4
Pace	19 99.2 15 100.6	SAC 120.1 +23.0 SAS 97.1
Avg. Poss. Time	17 14.4 15 14.5	SAC 12.0 −2.8 SAS 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 53.4% 16 53.1%	SAC 54.7% SAS 59.4% +4.7%
TO %	13 13.7% 1 12.0%	SAC 14.8% SAS 12.8% −2.0%
ORB %	20 21.9% 28 20.1%	SAC 19.5% SAS 20.9% +1.4%
FTrt	28 23.0 16 26.2	SAC 21.1 SAS 30.0 +8.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 58.2% 21 58.5%	SAC 47.8% SAS 66.7% +18.9%
STL %	12 7.7% 22 7.2%	SAC 10.2% +4.6% SAS 5.6%
BLK %	23 8.0% 7 10.0%	SAC 3.1% SAS 7.0% +3.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 55.2% 9 56.1%	SAC 55.6% SAS 63.2% +7.6%
Rim FG%	10 61.4% 9 61.6%	SAC 62.8% SAS 63.6% +0.8%
Mid FG%	11 41.7% 2 44.2%	SAC 50.0% SAS 53.5% +3.5%
3P %	13 36.4% 4 37.6%	SAC 31.6% SAS 44.0% +12.4%
FT %	18 77.0% 2 81.0%	SAC 80.0% SAS 81.5% +1.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 33.6% 30 29.1%	SAC 45.3% +20.8% SAS 24.4%
Mid Att. %	17 26.9% 30 39.1%	SAC 14.7% −33.0% SAS 47.8%
3P Att. %	13 39.5% 28 31.8%	SAC 40.0% +12.2% SAS 27.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Game Totals	SAC	SAS
Possessions	108	107
Possession Minutes	21.6	26.4
Points	120	129
Rebounds	42	42
Assists	22	32
Steals	11	6
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	15 (3)	15 (0)
Fouls	25	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (7)	9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (1)	33 (1)
Field Goals	46-95	48-90
At-the-Rim FG	27-43	14-22
Midrange FG	7-14	23-43
2-Point FG	34-57	37-65
3-Point FG	12-38	11-25
Free Throws	16-20	22-27
Fast Break Pts	26	13
2nd Chance Pts	12	11
Points in Paint	60	52
Pts off Turnovers	16	25
Bench Points	25	42
Biggest Lead	5	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg