Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, August 1, 2020

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Heat	46%	109	125	125.0	100	104.4
	13	Nuggets	54%	110	105	104.0	101	96.9

Scoring Opportunities

MIA

-15

DEN

+18

-19

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.36 67.9%

DEN

1.04 52.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

10 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 26	33.5	17	77%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	3-7	43%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 31	30.0	22	73%	4	7	3	0	1	3	2	2	10-11	91%	6-11	55%	0-0	-
Jae Crowder #99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 30	29.1	9	113%	7	1	1	0	1	1	0	7	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-4	75%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 23	28.3	22	69%	9	6	0	0	4	3	3	6	8-10	80%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Kendrick Nunn #25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 25	22.0	11	79%	2	2	0	0	3	3	0	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-2	50%

Goran Dragic #7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	23.7	13	54%	2	5	2	1	0	5	0	2	9-10	90%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Kelly Olynyk #9 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	23.7	20	91%	5	3	1	1	2	5	1	4	0-0	-	4-5	80%	4-6	67%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 21	20.1	7	50%	5	2	0	0	1	1	0	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Andre Iguodala #28 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 37	14.8	3	75%	0	1	0	0	3	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 23	12.4	1	17%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Solomon Hill #44 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29	2.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Meyers Leonard #0 · C · 7'1" 255 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 40	DNP - Coach's Decision
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24	INACTIVE
KZ Okpala #4 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 21	INACTIVE
Kyle Alexander #17 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 24	INACTIVE
Chris Silva #30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	68%	38	29	7	2	15	28	6	32	32-37	86%	27-43	63%	13-29	45%

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10 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 26	33.5	17	77%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	3-7	43%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 31	30.0	22	73%	4	7	3	0	1	3	2	2	10-11	91%	6-11	55%	0-0	-
Jae Crowder #99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 30	29.1	9	113%	7	1	1	0	1	1	0	7	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-4	75%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 23	28.3	22	69%	9	6	0	0	4	3	3	6	8-10	80%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Kendrick Nunn #25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 25	22.0	11	79%	2	2	0	0	3	3	0	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-2	50%

Goran Dragic #7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	23.7	13	54%	2	5	2	1	0	5	0	2	9-10	90%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Kelly Olynyk #9 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	23.7	20	91%	5	3	1	1	2	5	1	4	0-0	-	4-5	80%	4-6	67%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 21	20.1	7	50%	5	2	0	0	1	1	0	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Andre Iguodala #28 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 37	14.8	3	75%	0	1	0	0	3	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 23	12.4	1	17%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Solomon Hill #44 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29	2.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Meyers Leonard #0 · C · 7'1" 255 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 40	DNP - Coach's Decision
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24	INACTIVE
KZ Okpala #4 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 21	INACTIVE
Kyle Alexander #17 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 24	INACTIVE
Chris Silva #30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	68%	38	29	7	2	15	28	6	32	32-37	86%	27-43	63%	13-29	45%

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13 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 25	34.1	19	50%	7	6	1	1	3	3	0	7	4-6	67%	6-11	55%	1-5	20%
Torrey Craig #3 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 30	28.5	10	71%	5	4	1	0	0	2	3	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 35	28.5	8	40%	6	1	2	0	2	4	2	4	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 25	28.4	13	59%	3	5	0	0	3	4	0	3	7-8	88%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 22	24.5	11	50%	1	3	0	1	3	5	1	0	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	2-8	25%

Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 26	26.3	19	63%	2	1	0	0	3	3	2	0	4-5	80%	6-10	60%	1-4	25%
Troy Daniels #30 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	19.5	5	50%	2	1	1	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	16.5	6	27%	2	4	0	0	1	5	1	1	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-4	0%
Mason Plumlee #7 · C · 7'0" 254 · 30	16.3	7	88%	5	2	1	0	2	3	2	3	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	11.8	5	50%	4	1	0	0	2	0	2	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Noah Vonleh #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 25	3.6	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Keita Bates-Diop #6 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	2.0	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tyler Cook #25 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right knee; Soreness
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right hip; Muscle strain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fracture
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left hamstring; Tightness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	52%	38	28	7	2	19	32	13	25	19-24	79%	31-54	57%	8-35	23%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.36 67.9%

DEN

1.04 52.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

73%

DEN

68%

Midrange

MIA

38%

DEN

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

19.5

45%

67%

DEN

12.0

23%

34%

Free Throws

MIA

86%

DEN

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Butler	22	73%	11.0 / 15
B. Adebayo	22	69%	11.0 / 16
K. Olynyk	20	91%	10.0 / 11
D. Robinson	17	77%	8.5 / 11
G. Dragic	13	54%	6.5 / 12
K. Nunn	11	79%	5.5 / 7
J. Crowder	9	113%	4.5 / 4
T. Herro	7	50%	3.5 / 7
A. Iguodala	3	75%	1.5 / 2
D. Jones	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	19	50%	9.5 / 19
J. Grant	19	63%	9.5 / 15
M. Morris	13	59%	6.5 / 11
M. Porter	11	50%	5.5 / 11
T. Craig	10	71%	5.0 / 7
P. Millsap	8	40%	4.0 / 10
M. Plumlee	7	88%	3.5 / 4
P. Dozier	6	27%	3.0 / 11
T. Daniels	5	50%	2.5 / 5
B. Bol	5	50%	2.5 / 5
N. Vonleh	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 112.4 4 113.2	MIA 125.0 +21.0 DEN 104.0
Pace	27 98.4 29 97.1	MIA 104.4 +7.4 DEN 96.9
Avg. Poss. Time	7 14.8 1 15.1	MIA 13.8 −1.1 DEN 14.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 54.7% 10 53.5%	MIA 64.6% +16.3% DEN 48.3%
TO %	18 14.0% 9 13.3%	MIA 15.3% −0.7% DEN 16.0%
ORB %	27 20.3% 2 24.9%	MIA 19.4% DEN 28.9% +9.5%
FTrt	1 29.9 26 23.5	MIA 51.4 +24.4 DEN 27.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 65.7% 5 63.6%	MIA 72.5% +0.7% DEN 71.8%
STL %	17 7.6% 8 8.1%	MIA 7.0% +0.1% DEN 6.9%
BLK %	13 9.3% 16 8.8%	MIA 3.7% DEN 4.7% +1.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 56.9% 15 55.4%	MIA 67.9% +15.9% DEN 52.0%
Rim FG%	4 63.8% 6 62.0%	MIA 73.3% +5.6% DEN 67.7%
Mid FG%	20 38.9% 7 42.5%	MIA 38.5% DEN 43.5% +5.0%
3P %	2 37.9% 15 35.9%	MIA 44.8% +21.9% DEN 22.9%
FT %	13 78.3% 16 77.7%	MIA 86.5% +7.3% DEN 79.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 33.2% 14 36.5%	MIA 41.7% +6.8% DEN 34.8%
Mid Att. %	15 24.9% 22 29.1%	MIA 18.1% −7.8% DEN 25.8%
3P Att. %	7 41.9% 27 34.4%	MIA 40.3% +1.0% DEN 39.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	DEN
Possessions	100	101
Possession Minutes	23.0	25.0
Points	125	105
Rebounds	38	38
Assists	29	28
Steals	7	7
Blocks	2	2
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	19 (0)
Fouls	28	32
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (1)	13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (2)	25 (1)
Field Goals	40-72	39-89
At-the-Rim FG	22-30	21-31
Midrange FG	5-13	10-23
2-Point FG	27-43	31-54
3-Point FG	13-29	8-35
Free Throws	32-37	19-24
Fast Break Pts	11	10
2nd Chance Pts	5	21
Points in Paint	50	50
Pts off Turnovers	35	17
Bench Points	44	44
Biggest Lead	28	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg