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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
August 3, 2020
4:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Nuggets38%105121
11Thunder62%109113
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 22.1
44
24
37
12
1
1
1
1
3
2
10
9-9
100%
8-10
3-6
80%
53%
4-6
67%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 25.5
39
33
30
12
10
2
1
0
4
2
10
10-11
91%
10-16
7-11
63%
57%
0-5
0%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.1
39
28
17
4
4
1
1
0
0
1
3
5-5
100%
6-11
3-6
55%
51%
0-1
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 35.5
35
27
17
6
2
1
1
0
1
2
4
4-6
67%
5-8
3-7
63%
50%
1-2
50%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.6
24
28
6
3
2
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-2
0%
3-4
2-3
75%
57%
0-4
0%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.4
34
25
2
4
2
2
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
54%
0-3
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 30.4
19
16
3
5
2
0
1
1
1
1
4
1-4
25%
1-4
3-4
25%
59%
0-0
-
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.8
18
14
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
0-0
-
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 29.1
10
16
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Bol Bol
C · 7'2" 208 · 20.7
4
11
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
1-1
100%
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 24.5
4
0
0-1
49%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 24.9
4
0
0-1
52%
Tyler Cook
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.9
1
0
0-0
50%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 29.6
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.9
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 23.4
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 35.2
39
26
23
2
8
0
1
0
5
0
2
5-6
83%
6-11
4-8
55%
54%
2-6
33%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 22.1
38
29
24
5
2
0
1
0
3
0
5
9-11
82%
3-7
4-8
43%
53%
3-6
50%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 21.3
36
29
10
2
1
2
1
1
2
1
1
3-4
75%
2-7
2-4
29%
51%
1-6
17%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.0
34
27
9
10
1
0
1
0
2
3
7
3-4
75%
3-6
4-7
50%
60%
0-0
-
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 32.0
29
19
20
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
4-6
67%
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
4-9
44%
Hamidou Diallo
G · 6'5" 197 · 22.0
24
20
2
7
4
1
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
51%
0-1
0%
Darius Bazley
F · 6'9" 208 · 20.1
23
18
5
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 26.3
17
18
4
7
2
0
1
3
1
3
4
0-0
-
2-4
3-4
50%
62%
0-0
-
Abdel Nader
F · 6'6" 230 · 26.9
13
4
13
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
49%
3-4
75%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.7
10
19
0
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
59%
0-0
-
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 29.1
1
4
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
55%
1-1
100%
Deonte Burton
G-F · 6'5" 250 · 26.5
4
0
0-1
50%
Devon Hall
G · 6'6" 206 · 25.1
2
0
0-0
50%
Terrance Ferguson
G · 6'7" 184 · 22.2
Kevin Hervey
F · 6'8" 211 · 24.1
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 26.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.