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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
August 3, 2020
4:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Pacers66%114111
29Wizards34%108100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
T.J. Warren
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.9
39.5
38.1
34
60%
11
4
3
1
4
0
4
7
5-5
100%
13-20
8-14
65%
57%
1-6
17%
Aaron Holiday
G · 6'1" 187 · 23.8
36.3
32.9
17
66%
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
6-9
3-7
67%
47%
1-3
33%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 31.3
35.1
35.5
2
33%
8
0
0
2
1
1
0
8
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.6
34.7
23.7
20
48%
7
6
1
1
1
3
1
6
6-6
100%
4-11
4-8
36%
54%
2-7
29%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 24.4
33.2
20.0
17
63%
9
2
0
1
2
3
2
7
1-1
100%
5-10
2-4
50%
56%
2-3
67%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 28.6
19.3
17.3
4
33%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
56%
0-3
0%
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 27.4
16.9
19.1
8
68%
3
1
1
1
2
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
3-4
60%
61%
0-0
-
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.4
13.3
17.1
4
40%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
55%
0-0
-
Edmond Sumner
G · 6'5" 188 · 24.6
11.8
13.1
5
63%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
52%
1-2
50%
TJ Leaf
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.3
8.6
0
1-3
56%
Naz Mitrou-Long
G · 6'4" 218 · 27.0
6.3
0
0-1
53%
Alize Johnson
F · 6'8" 216 · 24.3
2.6
0
0-1
52%
Goga Bitadze
C · 6'11" 245 · 21.0
2.1
0
0-1
59%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.2
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 24.3
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.2
Brian Bowen II
F · 6'7" 190 · 21.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Isaac Bonga
G · 6'9" 203 · 20.7
35.5
21.2
8
58%
5
3
3
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
53%
1-2
50%
Rui Hachimura
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.5
34.1
29.9
9
35%
7
6
0
1
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
4-11
4-8
36%
51%
0-1
0%
Troy Brown Jr.
F · 6'7" 215 · 21.0
30.7
32.4
10
45%
7
8
0
1
0
3
0
7
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
50%
2-4
50%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 23.0
28.9
33.8
20
83%
11
1
0
1
3
0
4
7
0-0
-
7-9
6-9
78%
63%
2-3
67%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 32.1
22.0
21.8
12
46%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
47%
2-5
40%
Jerome Robinson
G · 6'5" 188 · 23.4
28.9
28.1
17
44%
3
2
1
1
1
0
1
2
1-3
33%
5-8
2-4
63%
45%
2-10
20%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 29.1
22.2
24.7
16
63%
2
4
0
1
1
3
0
2
3-4
75%
5-8
2-4
63%
47%
1-3
33%
Moritz Wagner
F · 7'0" 241 · 23.3
19.1
10.0
5
28%
5
2
2
0
2
3
2
3
1-2
50%
2-7
1-2
29%
60%
0-1
0%
Admiral Schofield
F · 6'5" 241 · 23.3
18.6
3.5
3
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 27.8
12.8
1
1-2
49%
Johnathan Williams
F · 6'9" 228 · 25.2
5.8
0
1-1
55%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 33.7
5.2
0
1-1
53%
Anzejs Pasecniks
C · 7'2" 229 · 24.6
3.4
0
0-1
54%
Jarrod Uthoff
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.2
Garrison Mathews
G · 6'5" 204 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.