Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Nuggets	58%	113	132	132.0	100	101.6
	22	Spurs	42%	110	126	124.8	101	99.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 22	36.0	30	71%	15	0	0	1	2	4	4	11	3-4	75%	6-10	60%	5-9	56%
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 25	35.3	19	68%	2	4	1	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	7-9	78%	1-4	25%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 25	31.9	25	74%	4	11	1	0	5	4	3	1	2-2	100%	7-12	58%	3-5	60%
Torrey Craig #3 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 30	30.2	8	44%	4	0	0	2	1	3	1	3	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-4	0%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 35	16.6	7	50%	7	1	1	1	1	4	2	5	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%

Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 26	34.7	22	69%	2	1	1	1	1	3	1	1	4-5	80%	6-8	75%	2-6	33%
PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	25.5	12	60%	5	8	1	0	4	1	2	3	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Mason Plumlee #7 · C · 7'0" 254 · 30	15.5	4	100%	6	6	0	0	0	0	1	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Troy Daniels #30 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	14.2	5	63%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Keita Bates-Diop #6 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Noah Vonleh #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Cook #25 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Muscle strain
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tightness
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	65%	46	31	6	5	14	21	14	32	18-21	86%	36-55	65%	14-36	39%

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15 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 22	36.0	30	71%	15	0	0	1	2	4	4	11	3-4	75%	6-10	60%	5-9	56%
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 25	35.3	19	68%	2	4	1	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	7-9	78%	1-4	25%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 25	31.9	25	74%	4	11	1	0	5	4	3	1	2-2	100%	7-12	58%	3-5	60%
Torrey Craig #3 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 30	30.2	8	44%	4	0	0	2	1	3	1	3	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-4	0%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 35	16.6	7	50%	7	1	1	1	1	4	2	5	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%

Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 26	34.7	22	69%	2	1	1	1	1	3	1	1	4-5	80%	6-8	75%	2-6	33%
PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	25.5	12	60%	5	8	1	0	4	1	2	3	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Mason Plumlee #7 · C · 7'0" 254 · 30	15.5	4	100%	6	6	0	0	0	0	1	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Troy Daniels #30 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	14.2	5	63%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Keita Bates-Diop #6 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Noah Vonleh #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Cook #25 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Muscle strain
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tightness
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	65%	46	31	6	5	14	21	14	32	18-21	86%	36-55	65%	14-36	39%

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22 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Derrick White #4 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 26	33.1	23	64%	3	7	2	1	1	4	1	2	7-8	88%	2-5	40%	4-10	40%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 31	32.4	18	60%	5	8	1	2	2	3	1	4	8-9	89%	5-9	56%	0-2	0%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 25	26.4	2	20%	7	1	0	0	1	1	3	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	25.6	4	25%	1	3	3	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-2	0%
Lonnie Walker IV #1 · SF · 6'5" 196 · 22	20.8	9	64%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-3	33%

Rudy Gay #22 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 34	26.2	24	57%	4	4	1	2	0	5	0	4	4-6	67%	7-12	58%	2-6	33%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	26.2	20	83%	6	2	1	0	0	2	1	5	4-4	100%	5-8	63%	2-2	100%
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 32	22.4	14	70%	3	3	0	0	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Drew Eubanks #14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 24	17.9	12	75%	5	1	1	0	1	1	3	2	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Quinndary Weatherspoon #15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 24	9.0	0	0%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Marco Belinelli #18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 34	DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Zeller #40 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	DNP - Coach's Decision
Chimezie Metu #7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 21	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Bryn Forbes #11 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Tightness
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| " "; Appendectomy
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	57%	35	29	10	5	7	20	10	25	23-27	85%	35-63	56%	11-30	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.31 65.3%

SAS

1.15 57.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

24

36

67%

SAS

22

33

67%

Midrange

DEN

12

19

63%

SAS

13

30

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

14

21.0

36

39%

58%

SAS

11

16.5

30

37%

55%

Free Throws

DEN

18

21

86%

SAS

23

27

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Porter	30	71%	15.0 / 21
N. Jokić	25	74%	12.5 / 17
J. Grant	22	69%	11.0 / 16
M. Morris	19	68%	9.5 / 14
P. Dozier	12	60%	6.0 / 10
T. Craig	8	44%	4.0 / 9
P. Millsap	7	50%	3.5 / 7
T. Daniels	5	63%	2.5 / 4
M. Plumlee	4	100%	2.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Gay	24	57%	12.0 / 21
D. White	23	64%	11.5 / 18
K. Johnson	20	83%	10.0 / 12
D. DeRozan	18	60%	9.0 / 15
P. Mills	14	70%	7.0 / 10
D. Eubanks	12	75%	6.0 / 8
L. Walker IV	9	64%	4.5 / 7
D. Murray	4	25%	2.0 / 8
J. Poeltl	2	20%	1.0 / 5
Q. Weatherspoon	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 113.2 11 112.2	DEN 132.0 +7.2 SAS 124.8
Pace	29 97.1 15 100.6	DEN 101.6 +2.2 SAS 99.4
Avg. Poss. Time	1 15.1 15 14.5	DEN 14.2 −0.3 SAS 14.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 53.5% 16 53.1%	DEN 62.6% +7.2% SAS 55.4%
TO %	9 13.3% 1 12.0%	DEN 12.3% SAS 7.9% −4.4%
ORB %	2 24.9% 28 20.1%	DEN 35.9% +12.1% SAS 23.8%
FTrt	26 23.5 16 26.2	DEN 23.1 SAS 29.0 +5.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 63.6% 21 58.5%	DEN 62.0% SAS 63.0% +1.0%
STL %	8 8.1% 22 7.2%	DEN 6.0% SAS 9.9% +3.9%
BLK %	16 8.8% 7 10.0%	DEN 7.9% SAS 9.1% +1.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 55.4% 9 56.1%	DEN 65.3% +8.0% SAS 57.3%
Rim FG%	6 62.0% 9 61.6%	DEN 66.7% SAS 66.7%
Mid FG%	7 42.5% 2 44.2%	DEN 63.2% +19.9% SAS 43.3%
3P %	15 35.9% 4 37.6%	DEN 38.9% +2.2% SAS 36.7%
FT %	16 77.7% 2 81.0%	DEN 85.7% +0.5% SAS 85.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 36.5% 30 29.1%	DEN 39.6% +4.1% SAS 35.5%
Mid Att. %	22 29.1% 30 39.1%	DEN 20.9% −11.4% SAS 32.3%
3P Att. %	27 34.4% 28 31.8%	DEN 39.6% +7.3% SAS 32.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Game Totals	DEN	SAS
Possessions	100	101
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.4
Points	132	126
Rebounds	46	35
Assists	31	29
Steals	6	10
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	7 (2)
Fouls	21	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (1)	10 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (1)	25 (3)
Field Goals	50-91	46-93
At-the-Rim FG	24-36	22-33
Midrange FG	12-19	13-30
2-Point FG	36-55	35-63
3-Point FG	14-36	11-30
Free Throws	18-21	23-27
Fast Break Pts	5	13
2nd Chance Pts	21	13
Points in Paint	56	56
Pts off Turnovers	15	17
Bench Points	43	70
Biggest Lead	12	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg