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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
August 6, 2020
4:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Heat30%108116
1Bucks70%115130
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 29.3
34
29
13
6
2
1
1
0
1
0
6
8-8
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
55%
1-4
25%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.3
34
27
21
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
59%
5-9
56%
Kendrick Nunn
G · 6'3" 193 · 25.0
29
17
14
5
2
0
0
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-7
2-4
14%
49%
4-10
40%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 30.1
26
29
15
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
4-6
67%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 23.1
22
30
6
5
6
1
1
0
4
1
4
1-2
50%
1-9
6-11
11%
55%
1-1
100%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 20.5
33
22
20
4
5
1
1
0
5
0
4
7-7
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
44%
1-5
20%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 36.5
28
23
12
7
8
0
1
0
2
2
5
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
57%
2-4
50%
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 29.4
16
2
3
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
1-4
25%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 23.5
15
12
12
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
4-4
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
59%
2-3
67%
Kyle Alexander
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.8
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Silva
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.9
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.4
8
0
1-1
57%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 40.2
2
0
0-0
42%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 30.9
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 34.3
KZ Okpala
F · 6'9" 210 · 21.3
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 29.0
34
25
33
6
8
0
1
0
3
0
6
10-10
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
53%
5-6
83%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 32.3
32
28
17
4
0
2
1
2
1
1
3
7-7
100%
2-5
4-7
40%
57%
2-4
50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 25.7
30
25
33
12
4
0
1
1
6
1
11
7-9
78%
13-13
8-12
100%
62%
0-4
0%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 30.7
23
25
9
8
5
2
1
0
1
1
7
1-2
50%
1-5
4-7
20%
55%
2-3
67%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.8
23
25
9
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
2-3
67%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.3
24
22
9
2
6
1
1
0
0
0
2
7-8
88%
1-2
2-3
50%
56%
0-1
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 34.1
21
21
2
7
0
1
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
0-2
0%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.6
21
18
11
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
61%
3-6
50%
Donte DiVincenzo
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.5
16
24
2
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
60%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 39.4
8
16
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-5
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.2
6
16
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
53%
0-1
0%
Sterling Brown
G · 6'6" 230 · 25.5
1
15
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
1-1
100%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 32.3
14
0
2-3
57%
Frank Mason
G · 5'11" 190 · 26.3
D.J. Wilson
F · 6'10" 236 · 24.5
Thanasis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'7" 205 · 28.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.