Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Blazers	49%	117	125	133.0	94	88.8
	13	Nuggets	51%	118	115	121.1	95	100.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	40.7	45	90%	4	12	3	0	2	2	0	4	8-10	80%	2-3	67%	11-18	61%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 29	40.0	13	41%	6	6	0	1	0	2	1	5	2-2	100%	1-10	10%	3-5	60%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 26	34.9	22	50%	7	4	1	2	3	2	4	3	4-5	80%	9-18	50%	0-2	0%
Carmelo Anthony #00 · SF · 6'8" 240 · 36	31.7	7	39%	5	0	0	0	0	4	1	4	2-3	67%	1-6	17%	1-2	50%
Zach Collins #33 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	28.3	7	58%	9	2	1	1	2	4	3	6	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%

Gary Trent Jr. #2 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 22	36.0	27	90%	3	4	2	0	1	0	2	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	7-10	70%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 21	15.5	2	50%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Hassan Whiteside #21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 31	12.8	2	20%	3	1	0	2	1	4	2	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Mario Hezonja #44 · PF · 6'8" 218 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jaylen Adams #20 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jaylen Hoard #6 · SF · 6'9" 213 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Wenyen Gabriel #35 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Nassir Little #9 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	62%	39	30	7	4	9	18	13	26	16-20	80%	20-53	38%	23-39	59%

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8 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	40.7	45	90%	4	12	3	0	2	2	0	4	8-10	80%	2-3	67%	11-18	61%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 29	40.0	13	41%	6	6	0	1	0	2	1	5	2-2	100%	1-10	10%	3-5	60%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 26	34.9	22	50%	7	4	1	2	3	2	4	3	4-5	80%	9-18	50%	0-2	0%
Carmelo Anthony #00 · SF · 6'8" 240 · 36	31.7	7	39%	5	0	0	0	0	4	1	4	2-3	67%	1-6	17%	1-2	50%
Zach Collins #33 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	28.3	7	58%	9	2	1	1	2	4	3	6	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%

Gary Trent Jr. #2 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 22	36.0	27	90%	3	4	2	0	1	0	2	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	7-10	70%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 21	15.5	2	50%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Hassan Whiteside #21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 31	12.8	2	20%	3	1	0	2	1	4	2	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Mario Hezonja #44 · PF · 6'8" 218 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jaylen Adams #20 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jaylen Hoard #6 · SF · 6'9" 213 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Wenyen Gabriel #35 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Nassir Little #9 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	62%	39	30	7	4	9	18	13	26	16-20	80%	20-53	38%	23-39	59%

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13 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 22	34.5	27	71%	12	2	2	1	0	3	3	9	3-3	100%	6-11	55%	4-7	57%
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 25	29.7	11	50%	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	2-3	67%	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 26	27.8	18	75%	3	2	0	1	2	3	0	3	2-3	67%	5-6	83%	2-5	40%
Torrey Craig #3 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 30	24.3	13	93%	1	2	1	1	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-4	75%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 25	23.7	8	44%	5	13	0	0	5	2	3	2	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%

Mason Plumlee #7 · C · 7'0" 254 · 30	26.9	13	65%	7	5	1	0	3	4	1	6	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	24.7	9	64%	5	1	1	1	2	4	1	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Keita Bates-Diop #6 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	23.7	3	50%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	21.7	13	54%	4	4	0	0	3	2	1	3	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	2-3	67%
Tyler Cook #25 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 23	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Noah Vonleh #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Muscle strain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fracture
Troy Daniels #30 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Tightness
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tightness
Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 35	Inactive - Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	62%	44	30	5	6	16	22	11	33	13-17	76%	30-56	54%	14-28	50%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	POR	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.24 61.9%

DEN

1.24 61.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

13

25

52%

DEN

22

29

76%

Midrange

POR

7

28

25%

DEN

8

27

30%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

23

34.5

39

59%

88%

DEN

14

21.0

28

50%

75%

Free Throws

POR

16

20

80%

DEN

13

17

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Lillard	45	90%	22.5 / 25
G. Trent	27	90%	13.5 / 15
J. Nurkić	22	50%	11.0 / 22
C. McCollum	13	41%	6.5 / 16
C. Anthony	7	39%	3.5 / 9
Z. Collins	7	58%	3.5 / 6
A. Simons	2	50%	1.0 / 2
H. Whiteside	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Porter	27	71%	13.5 / 19
J. Grant	18	75%	9.0 / 12
T. Craig	13	93%	6.5 / 7
M. Plumlee	13	65%	6.5 / 10
P. Dozier	13	54%	6.5 / 12
M. Morris	11	50%	5.5 / 11
B. Bol	9	64%	4.5 / 7
N. Jokić	8	44%	4.0 / 9
K. Bates-Diop	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	3 113.2 6 112.6	POR 133.0 +11.9 DEN 121.1
Pace	13 101.1 28 97.7	POR 88.8 DEN 100.9 +12.1
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.5 4 15.0	POR 16.2 DEN 14.3 −1.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 53.3% 10 53.5%	POR 59.2% DEN 60.7% +1.5%
TO %	3 12.2% 9 13.2%	POR 8.2% −6.7% DEN 14.9%
ORB %	15 22.4% 2 24.8%	POR 28.3% DEN 29.7% +1.4%
FTrt	24 24.2 26 23.5	POR 21.7 +1.5 DEN 20.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 48.8% 5 63.6%	POR 69.8% +1.6% DEN 68.2%
STL %	28 6.2% 8 8.1%	POR 7.4% +2.1% DEN 5.3%
BLK %	9 9.5% 20 8.7%	POR 7.1% DEN 11.3% +4.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 55.9% 15 55.4%	POR 61.9% +0.1% DEN 61.8%
Rim FG%	26 59.2% 6 63.0%	POR 52.0% DEN 75.9% +23.9%
Mid FG%	6 42.8% 8 42.1%	POR 25.0% DEN 29.6% +4.6%
3P %	3 37.7% 15 35.9%	POR 59.0% +9.0% DEN 50.0%
FT %	3 80.4% 16 77.7%	POR 80.0% +3.5% DEN 76.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 32.8% 15 35.2%	POR 27.2% DEN 34.5% +7.3%
Mid Att. %	20 29.8% 21 30.3%	POR 30.4% −1.7% DEN 32.1%
3P Att. %	17 37.4% 27 34.4%	POR 42.4% +9.1% DEN 33.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	DEN
Possessions	94	95
Possession Minutes	25.4	22.6
Points	125	115
Rebounds	39	44
Assists	30	30
Steals	7	5
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	16 (0)
Fouls	18	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (3)	11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (3)	33 (1)
Field Goals	43-92	44-84
At-the-Rim FG	13-25	22-29
Midrange FG	7-28	8-27
2-Point FG	20-53	30-56
3-Point FG	23-39	14-28
Free Throws	16-20	13-17
Fast Break Pts	5	6
2nd Chance Pts	9	9
Points in Paint	32	52
Pts off Turnovers	24	14
Bench Points	31	38
Biggest Lead	14	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg