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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
August 6, 2020
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Trail Blazers49%117125
13Nuggets51%118115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.1
40.7
39.1
45
89%
4
12
3
1
0
2
0
4
8-10
80%
2-3
5-10
67%
50%
11-18
61%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.9
40.0
38.6
13
41%
6
6
0
1
1
0
1
5
2-2
100%
1-10
6-12
10%
50%
3-5
60%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 26.0
34.9
28.9
22
50%
7
4
1
1
2
3
4
3
4-5
80%
9-18
6-12
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 36.2
31.7
32.5
7
38%
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
2-3
67%
1-6
4-8
17%
46%
1-2
50%
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 22.7
28.3
25.5
7
58%
9
2
1
1
1
2
3
6
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
52%
1-2
50%
Gary Trent Jr.
G-F · 6'5" 209 · 21.5
36.0
31.4
27
90%
3
4
2
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
48%
7-10
70%
Anfernee Simons
G · 6'4" 183 · 21.2
15.5
11.5
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 31.1
12.8
16.3
2
20%
3
1
0
0
2
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-5
20%
59%
0-0
-
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 25.4
9.4
0
1-2
50%
Jaylen Adams
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.3
6.0
0
0-1
42%
Jaylen Hoard
F · 6'9" 213 · 21.4
3.7
0
0-1
51%
Wenyen Gabriel
F · 6'9" 205 · 23.4
2.6
0
0-0
53%
Nassir Little
F · 6'6" 220 · 20.5
2.5
0
0-0
52%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 22.1
34.5
33.6
27
70%
12
2
2
1
1
0
3
9
3-3
100%
6-11
5-9
55%
57%
4-7
57%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.1
29.7
32.7
11
49%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-3
67%
3-7
4-8
43%
54%
1-3
33%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.4
27.8
30.6
18
73%
3
2
0
1
1
2
0
3
2-3
67%
5-6
4-7
83%
56%
2-5
40%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.6
24.3
26.7
13
93%
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
60%
3-4
75%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 25.5
23.7
32.3
8
45%
5
13
0
1
0
5
3
2
2-2
100%
3-6
7-12
50%
59%
0-2
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 30.4
26.9
16.5
13
60%
7
5
1
1
0
3
1
6
3-4
75%
5-8
3-4
63%
61%
0-1
0%
Bol Bol
C · 7'2" 208 · 20.7
24.7
5.3
9
64%
5
1
1
0
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-1
60%
59%
1-2
50%
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 24.5
23.7
3.2
3
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
54%
1-1
100%
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.8
21.7
19.2
13
55%
4
4
0
1
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
3-8
3-5
38%
53%
2-3
67%
Tyler Cook
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.9
3.0
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
56%
0-0
-
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.0
1.9
0
0-0
53%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 35.5
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.3
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 23.4
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.9
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 29.1
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 29.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.