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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
August 7, 2020
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Wizards32%112107
15Pelicans68%119118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Troy Brown Jr.
F · 6'7" 215 · 21.0
38.5
32.4
20
55%
10
5
2
1
0
1
3
7
5-5
100%
3-11
4-9
27%
51%
3-5
60%
Rui Hachimura
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.5
37.5
33.3
23
68%
6
2
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
9-14
5-10
64%
51%
1-2
50%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 23.0
34.9
30.3
22
58%
8
1
2
1
2
1
4
4
2-2
100%
7-11
6-9
64%
64%
2-7
29%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 32.1
31.8
24.5
18
53%
6
10
4
1
0
3
0
6
2-2
100%
5-12
4-8
42%
48%
2-4
50%
Isaac Bonga
G · 6'9" 203 · 20.7
24.8
25.6
7
53%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
5-6
83%
1-2
2-3
50%
54%
0-2
0%
Jerome Robinson
G · 6'5" 188 · 23.5
23.9
28.0
6
34%
2
0
0
1
2
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-5
2-5
20%
47%
1-3
33%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 29.1
18.8
20.7
9
65%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 27.8
11.9
6.8
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Moritz Wagner
F · 7'0" 241 · 23.3
9.9
15.4
2
53%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
59%
0-0
-
Admiral Schofield
F · 6'5" 241 · 23.4
8.1
8.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-2
0%
Anzejs Pasecniks
C · 7'2" 229 · 24.6
5.2
0
1-1
54%
Johnathan Williams
F · 6'9" 228 · 25.2
3.7
0
0-1
56%
Jarrod Uthoff
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.2
3.4
0
0-1
48%
Garrison Mathews
G · 6'5" 204 · 23.8
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 33.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 30.2
36.6
29.4
28
77%
3
6
2
1
1
7
1
2
4-5
80%
9-12
4-8
75%
55%
2-4
50%
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.8
31.5
29.4
2
14%
9
5
1
1
3
3
3
6
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
0-3
0%
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 22.9
30.2
30.2
17
46%
4
5
1
1
0
2
0
4
7-8
88%
2-10
5-10
20%
53%
2-5
40%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 36.1
29.9
21.1
15
50%
0
2
0
0
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
51%
3-11
27%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 29.1
29.3
23.5
12
64%
10
1
2
1
0
1
4
6
2-3
67%
5-8
4-6
63%
63%
0-0
-
Josh Hart
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.4
21.0
22.4
10
54%
8
2
0
1
0
0
1
7
5-5
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
58%
1-4
25%
Frank Jackson
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.3
20.3
16.2
13
65%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
51%
1-3
33%
Nicolo Melli
F · 6'9" 236 · 29.5
17.6
17.5
10
100%
6
1
0
1
3
1
0
6
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
59%
2-2
100%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 31.4
15.2
4.3
5
63%
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
52%
1-3
33%
Jaxson Hayes
C · 6'11" 220 · 20.2
8.6
11.5
6
90%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
2-3
67%
2-2
2-3
100%
65%
0-0
-
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
G · 6'5" 204 · 21.9
6.2
0
1-1
48%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.7
5.9
0
0-0
50%
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.6
3.4
0
1-1
57%
Zylan Cheatham
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.7
Zion Williamson
F · 6'7" 285 · 20.1
Sindarius Thornwell
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.