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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
August 8, 2020
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Bucks52%117132
4Mavericks48%116136
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 29.0
36.3
29.0
21
79%
6
11
0
1
0
5
0
6
3-3
100%
6-9
5-9
67%
53%
2-3
67%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 32.4
34.8
29.3
34
58%
7
0
0
1
2
0
3
4
4-5
80%
6-15
4-7
40%
56%
6-12
50%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 25.7
33.4
27.2
34
53%
13
1
0
1
5
4
2
11
7-14
50%
12-19
8-13
63%
61%
1-7
14%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 30.7
30.9
24.3
15
64%
5
4
0
1
0
2
0
5
3-4
75%
6-7
4-7
86%
54%
0-3
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.8
28.1
23.8
6
75%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
2-4
50%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.3
28.4
22.3
9
58%
7
3
1
1
0
1
1
6
4-4
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
55%
1-5
20%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.6
23.8
19.7
8
57%
5
5
0
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
60%
2-6
33%
Donte DiVincenzo
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.5
22.0
20.7
1
10%
4
0
1
1
1
0
0
4
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
59%
0-2
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 34.1
21.2
20.7
4
52%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
1-2
50%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.2
3.7
12.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 39.4
2.3
12.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Sterling Brown
G · 6'6" 230 · 25.5
9.1
0
1-1
50%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 32.4
8.9
0
1-2
56%
Frank Mason
G · 5'11" 190 · 26.3
D.J. Wilson
F · 6'10" 236 · 24.5
Thanasis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'7" 205 · 28.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.3
43.0
32.5
27
68%
11
5
0
1
1
0
5
6
1-2
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
55%
6-12
50%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 21.4
41.6
34.9
36
63%
14
19
1
1
0
2
1
13
9-10
90%
9-15
7-13
60%
54%
3-9
33%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 25.0
40.1
32.5
26
48%
11
3
0
1
1
0
1
10
7-7
100%
8-18
5-11
44%
47%
1-6
17%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 28.4
37.0
33.4
8
36%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
48%
2-8
25%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.0
21.1
27.5
2
14%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
52%
0-3
0%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 28.5
21.4
25.5
15
84%
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
57%
3-6
50%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 27.7
20.3
24.2
10
36%
4
3
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-7
3-6
14%
46%
2-6
33%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 28.3
19.3
17.3
6
60%
5
3
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Justin Jackson
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.4
17.4
11.8
6
61%
2
2
2
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 26.9
3.8
2.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 36.1
6.7
0
1-2
46%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 32.0
6.3
0
2-3
57%
Antonius Cleveland
G · 6'6" 195 · 26.5
2.5
0
0-0
45%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 34.8
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.1
Josh Reaves
G · 6'5" 214 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.