Final Win Prob. pScore
3023%105
103
1377%115
121
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo Wizards
104.099101.5
OKC logo Thunder
122.29998.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

ThunderWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ThunderWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASOKC
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.103
121
Q4 - 0:02.6WizardsJerome Robinson makes three point jump shot (Johnathan Williams assists)103
121
Q4 - 0:10.1ThunderDeonte Burton makes two point reverse layup (Devon Hall assists)100
121
Q4 - 0:28.6ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound100
119
Q4 - 0:30.8WizardsJohnathan Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2100
119
Q4 - 0:30.8WizardsJohnathan Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2100
119
Q4 - 0:30.8ThunderDevon Hall personal foul (Loose ball) (Johnathan Williams draws the foul)99
119
Q4 - 0:30.8WizardsWizards offensive rebound99
119
Q4 - 0:33.1WizardsJerian Grant misses three point jump shot99
119
Q4 - 0:44.4ThunderDarius Bazley makes three point jump shot (Hamidou Diallo assists)99
119
Q4 - 0:56.4WizardsJerome Robinson makes two point jump shot99
116
Q4 - 1:02WizardsJarrod Uthoff defensive rebound97
116
Q4 - 1:05ThunderHamidou Diallo misses regular free throw 2 of 297
116
Q4 - 1:05ThunderHamidou Diallo misses regular free throw 1 of 297
116
Q4 - 1:05WizardsJerome Robinson shooting foul (Hamidou Diallo draws the foul)97
116
Q4 - 1:13WizardsJerian Grant turnover (back court violation)97
116
Q4 - 1:15Stoppage (Out of bounds)97
116
Q4 - 1:22WizardsJohnathan Williams defensive rebound97
116
Q4 - 1:24ThunderTerrance Ferguson misses two point floating jump shot97
116
Q4 - 1:48WizardsJohnathan Williams makes two point finger roll layup (Jerome Robinson assists)97
116
Q4 - 1:56Thunder lineup change (Deonte Burton, Terrance Ferguson, Darius Bazley, Devon Hall, Hamidou Diallo)95
116
Q4 - 1:56ThunderMike Muscala personal foul (Jerome Robinson draws the foul)95
116
Q4 - 2:00WizardsAdmiral Schofield defensive rebound95
116
Q4 - 2:03ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point jump shot95
116
Q4 - 2:15ThunderChris Paul defensive rebound95
116
Q4 - 2:17WizardsJohnathan Williams misses two point jump shot95
116
Q4 - 2:36ThunderHamidou Diallo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Chris Paul assists)95
116
Q4 - 2:52WizardsJarrod Uthoff makes two point turnaround jump shot (Jerian Grant assists)95
114
Q4 - 3:03ThunderChris Paul makes three point jump shot93
114
Q4 - 3:17WizardsJerian Grant turnover (bad pass) (Danilo Gallinari steals)93
111
Q4 - 3:29Thunder lineup change (Chris Paul, Mike Muscala, Danilo Gallinari, Luguentz Dort, Hamidou Diallo)93
111
Q4 - 3:29ThunderHamidou Diallo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)93
111
Q4 - 3:45WizardsJerome Robinson makes two point jump shot (Jerian Grant assists)93
111
Q4 - 4:02Wizards lineup change (Johnathan Williams, Jarrod Uthoff, Jerian Grant, Admiral Schofield, Jerome Robinson)91
111
Q4 - 4:02Wizards 60 second timeout91
111
Q4 - 4:03ThunderHamidou Diallo makes two point dunk (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)91
111
Q4 - 4:21WizardsJerome Robinson makes two point reverse layup (Troy Brown Jr. assists)91
109
Q4 - 4:32ThunderHamidou Diallo makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)89
109
Q4 - 4:45Thunder lineup change (Chris Paul, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Mike Muscala, Danilo Gallinari, Hamidou Diallo)89
106
Q4 - 4:45WizardsJerome Robinson personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)89
106
Q4 - 4:54WizardsMoritz Wagner makes two point driving layup (Jerome Robinson assists)89
106
Q4 - 5:11ThunderDarius Bazley makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)87
106
Q4 - 5:18ThunderHamidou Diallo defensive rebound87
103
Q4 - 5:22WizardsTroy Brown Jr. misses three point jump shot87
103
Q4 - 5:31WizardsJerome Robinson defensive rebound87
103
Q4 - 5:31ThunderLuguentz Dort misses two point putback layup87
103
Q4 - 5:34ThunderLuguentz Dort offensive rebound87
103
Q4 - 5:34ThunderLuguentz Dort misses two point driving layup87
103
Q4 - 5:52WizardsTroy Brown Jr. makes two point finger roll layup (Jerome Robinson assists)87
103
Q4 - 5:58ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (lost ball) (Jerome Robinson steals)85
103
Q4 - 6:17WizardsMoritz Wagner makes two point layup (Troy Brown Jr. assists)85
103
Q4 - 6:37ThunderAbdel Nader makes two point layup83
103
Q4 - 6:40ThunderAbdel Nader defensive rebound83
101
Q4 - 6:45WizardsJarrod Uthoff misses two point jump shot83
101
Q4 - 6:55WizardsAdmiral Schofield defensive rebound83
101
Q4 - 6:57ThunderDarius Bazley misses two point jump shot83
101
Q4 - 7:08Stoppage (Out of bounds)83
101
Q4 - 7:17Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Darius Bazley, Abdel Nader, Luguentz Dort, Hamidou Diallo)83
101
Q4 - 7:17Wizards lineup change (Jarrod Uthoff, Troy Brown Jr., Admiral Schofield, Jerome Robinson, Moritz Wagner)83
101
Q4 - 7:17Thunder 60 second timeout83
101
Q4 - 7:17ThunderHamidou Diallo defensive rebound83
101
Q4 - 7:19WizardsJerian Grant misses two point jump shot83
101
Q4 - 7:35ThunderHamidou Diallo makes two point putback dunk83
101
Q4 - 7:35ThunderHamidou Diallo offensive rebound83
99
Q4 - 7:38ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving layup83
99
Q4 - 7:56ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound83
99
Q4 - 8:00WizardsJerome Robinson misses three point jump shot83
99
Q4 - 8:05ThunderTerrance Ferguson personal foul (Loose ball) (Moritz Wagner draws the foul)83
99
Q4 - 8:05WizardsWizards offensive rebound83
99
Q4 - 8:06WizardsAdmiral Schofield misses three point jump shot83
99
Q4 - 8:12Stoppage (Out of bounds)83
99
Q4 - 8:12WizardsWizards offensive rebound83
99
Q4 - 8:13WizardsMoritz Wagner misses two point layup83
99
Q4 - 8:26Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Terrance Ferguson, Darius Bazley, Abdel Nader, Hamidou Diallo)83
99
Q4 - 8:26ThunderAbdel Nader turnover (traveling)83
99
Q4 - 8:36WizardsMoritz Wagner makes regular free throw 1 of 183
99
Q4 - 8:36ThunderChris Paul shooting foul (Moritz Wagner draws the foul)82
99
Q4 - 8:36WizardsMoritz Wagner makes two point layup (Jerome Robinson assists)82
99
Q4 - 8:43WizardsMoritz Wagner defensive rebound80
99
Q4 - 8:47ThunderAbdel Nader misses three point jump shot80
99
Q4 - 9:02WizardsJerian Grant turnover (lost ball) (Chris Paul steals)80
99
Q4 - 9:20ThunderChris Paul makes three point jump shot (Hamidou Diallo assists)80
99
Q4 - 9:32WizardsMoritz Wagner personal foul (Loose ball) (Chris Paul draws the foul)80
96
Q4 - 9:43WizardsMoritz Wagner turnover (traveling)80
96
Q4 - 9:50ThunderHamidou Diallo makes two point reverse layup (Chris Paul assists)80
96
Q4 - 10:04WizardsMoritz Wagner turnover (offensive foul)80
94
Q4 - 10:04WizardsMoritz Wagner offensive foul (Hamidou Diallo draws the foul)80
94
Q4 - 10:18ThunderChris Paul makes two point turnaround jump shot80
94
Q4 - 10:35WizardsAdmiral Schofield makes three point jump shot (Jerian Grant assists)80
92
Q4 - 10:44ThunderDarius Bazley turnover (bad pass) (Jerome Robinson steals)77
92
Q4 - 11:03WizardsJarrod Uthoff makes two point reverse layup (Jerome Robinson assists)77
92
Q4 - 11:19ThunderHamidou Diallo makes regular free throw 2 of 275
92
Q4 - 11:19ThunderHamidou Diallo makes regular free throw 1 of 275
91
Q4 - 11:19WizardsJerian Grant shooting foul (Hamidou Diallo draws the foul)75
90
Q4 - 11:27ThunderHamidou Diallo defensive rebound75
90
Q4 - 11:30WizardsJerome Robinson misses three point step back jump shot75
90
Q4 - 11:42WizardsJarrod Uthoff defensive rebound75
90
Q4 - 11:46ThunderChris Paul misses two point jump shot75
90
Q4 - 12:00Thunder lineup change (Chris Paul, Terrance Ferguson, Darius Bazley, Abdel Nader, Hamidou Diallo)75
90
Q4 - 12:00Wizards lineup change (Jarrod Uthoff, Jerian Grant, Admiral Schofield, Jerome Robinson, Moritz Wagner)75
90
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.75
90
Q3 - 0:00.2ThunderThunder offensive rebound75
90
Q3 - 0:00.2ThunderHamidou Diallo misses three point jump shot75
90
Q3 - 0:13.3WizardsJerian Grant makes two point floating jump shot75
90
Q3 - 0:30.5ThunderDarius Bazley makes three point step back jump shot (Abdel Nader assists)73
90
Q3 - 0:48.6ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound73
87
Q3 - 0:50.3WizardsMoritz Wagner misses regular free throw 2 of 273
87
Q3 - 0:50.3WizardsMoritz Wagner makes regular free throw 1 of 273
87
Q3 - 0:50.3ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul (Loose ball) (Moritz Wagner draws the foul)72
87
Q3 - 0:50.3WizardsWizards offensive rebound72
87
Q3 - 0:51.7WizardsJerian Grant misses three point jump shot72
87
Q3 - 1:08ThunderAbdel Nader turnover (traveling)72
87
Q3 - 1:20WizardsJerome Robinson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)72
87
Q3 - 1:31ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 272
87
Q3 - 1:31Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Terrance Ferguson, Darius Bazley, Abdel Nader, Hamidou Diallo)72
86
Q3 - 1:31Wizards lineup change (Isaac Bonga, Jerian Grant, Admiral Schofield, Jerome Robinson, Moritz Wagner)72
86
Q3 - 1:31ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 272
86
Q3 - 1:31WizardsJerome Robinson shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)72
85
Q3 - 1:49WizardsIsh Smith makes two point layup72
85
Q3 - 1:56ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving layup70
85
Q3 - 2:16WizardsJerome Robinson makes three point jump shot (Ish Smith assists)70
83
Q3 - 2:24WizardsRui Hachimura defensive rebound67
83
Q3 - 2:26ThunderMike Muscala misses three point jump shot67
83
Q3 - 2:45WizardsIsaac Bonga makes two point putback layup67
83
Q3 - 2:47WizardsIsaac Bonga offensive rebound65
83
Q3 - 2:47WizardsIsaac Bonga misses two point putback layup65
83
Q3 - 2:47WizardsIsaac Bonga offensive rebound65
83
Q3 - 2:52WizardsMoritz Wagner misses three point jump shot65
83
Q3 - 2:58WizardsRui Hachimura defensive rebound65
83
Q3 - 3:03ThunderChris Paul misses three point jump shot65
83
Q3 - 3:07ThunderChris Paul defensive rebound65
83
Q3 - 3:09WizardsJerome Robinson misses two point jump shot65
83
Q3 - 3:25ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point jump shot65
83
Q3 - 3:39ThunderHamidou Diallo offensive rebound65
81
Q3 - 3:43ThunderMike Muscala misses three point jump shot65
81
Q3 - 3:48ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound65
81
Q3 - 3:51WizardsIsaac Bonga misses three point jump shot65
81
Q3 - 4:00WizardsMoritz Wagner defensive rebound65
81
Q3 - 4:03ThunderDarius Bazley misses three point jump shot65
81
Q3 - 4:07ThunderHamidou Diallo offensive rebound65
81
Q3 - 4:08ThunderHamidou Diallo misses two point driving layup65
81
Q3 - 4:20WizardsMoritz Wagner makes two point dunk65
81
Q3 - 4:24ThunderChris Paul turnover (lost ball) (Moritz Wagner steals)63
81
Q3 - 4:31Thunder lineup change (Chris Paul, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Darius Bazley, Mike Muscala, Hamidou Diallo)63
81
Q3 - 4:31Wizards lineup change (Isaac Bonga, Ish Smith, Jerome Robinson, Moritz Wagner, Rui Hachimura)63
81
Q3 - 4:31WizardsRui Hachimura turnover (offensive foul)63
81
Q3 - 4:31WizardsRui Hachimura offensive foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)63
81
Q3 - 4:34WizardsRui Hachimura defensive rebound63
81
Q3 - 4:37ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point jump shot63
81
Q3 - 4:48ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound63
81
Q3 - 4:50WizardsRui Hachimura misses two point jump shot63
81
Q3 - 5:05ThunderLuguentz Dort makes two point dunk (Darius Bazley assists)63
81
Q3 - 5:16WizardsRui Hachimura makes regular free throw 2 of 263
79
Q3 - 5:16Thunder lineup change (Chris Paul, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Darius Bazley, Mike Muscala, Luguentz Dort)62
79
Q3 - 5:16Thunder 60 second timeout62
79
Q3 - 5:16WizardsRui Hachimura makes regular free throw 1 of 262
79
Q3 - 5:16ThunderMike Muscala shooting foul (Rui Hachimura draws the foul)61
79
Q3 - 5:20WizardsIsaac Bonga defensive rebound61
79
Q3 - 5:23ThunderChris Paul misses two point jump shot61
79
Q3 - 5:44ThunderChris Paul defensive rebound61
79
Q3 - 5:47WizardsThomas Bryant misses three point jump shot61
79
Q3 - 5:55WizardsTroy Brown Jr. defensive rebound61
79
Q3 - 5:57ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point jump shot61
79
Q3 - 6:21WizardsThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 261
79
Q3 - 6:21WizardsThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 260
79
Q3 - 6:21ThunderMike Muscala shooting foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)59
79
Q3 - 6:35ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)59
79
Q3 - 6:50WizardsThomas Bryant makes two point layup (Ish Smith assists)59
76
Q3 - 7:02WizardsThomas Bryant defensive rebound57
76
Q3 - 7:04ThunderIsh Smith blocks Luguentz Dort's two point floating jump shot57
76
Q3 - 7:11ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound57
76
Q3 - 7:15WizardsIsaac Bonga misses three point jump shot57
76
Q3 - 7:29ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (bad pass) (Troy Brown Jr. steals)57
76
Q3 - 7:48WizardsTroy Brown Jr. makes three point jump shot (Isaac Bonga assists)57
76
Q3 - 8:02ThunderLuguentz Dort personal foul (Loose ball) (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)54
76
Q3 - 8:02WizardsWizards offensive rebound54
76
Q3 - 8:02WizardsTroy Brown Jr. misses two point step back jump shot54
76
Q3 - 8:13Wizards 60 second timeout54
76
Q3 - 8:15ThunderMike Muscala makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)54
76
Q3 - 8:27ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound54
73
Q3 - 8:27WizardsThomas Bryant misses two point layup54
73
Q3 - 8:28WizardsTroy Brown Jr. offensive rebound54
73
Q3 - 8:30WizardsLuguentz Dort blocks Troy Brown Jr.'s two point driving layup54
73
Q3 - 8:37WizardsTroy Brown Jr. defensive rebound54
73
Q3 - 8:39ThunderMike Muscala misses two point fadeaway jump shot54
73
Q3 - 9:01WizardsRui Hachimura makes two point jump shot54
73
Q3 - 9:13ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving layup52
73
Q3 - 9:21ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound52
71
Q3 - 9:24WizardsThomas Bryant misses three point jump shot52
71
Q3 - 9:33ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes two point jump shot52
71
Q3 - 9:46ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound52
69
Q3 - 9:52WizardsRui Hachimura misses three point jump shot52
69
Q3 - 9:59WizardsTroy Brown Jr. defensive rebound52
69
Q3 - 10:01ThunderThomas Bryant blocks Luguentz Dort's two point dunk52
69
Q3 - 10:16WizardsIsaac Bonga makes regular free throw 2 of 252
69
Q3 - 10:16WizardsIsaac Bonga makes regular free throw 1 of 251
69
Q3 - 10:16ThunderChris Paul shooting foul (Isaac Bonga draws the foul)50
69
Q3 - 10:31ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes regular free throw 3 of 350
69
Q3 - 10:31ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes regular free throw 2 of 350
68
Q3 - 10:31ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes regular free throw 1 of 350
67
Q3 - 10:31WizardsThomas Bryant shooting foul (Danilo Gallinari draws the foul)50
66
Q3 - 10:41WizardsIsaac Bonga personal foul (Chris Paul draws the foul)50
66
Q3 - 10:50WizardsIsh Smith makes regular free throw 2 of 250
66
Q3 - 10:50WizardsIsh Smith makes regular free throw 1 of 249
66
Q3 - 10:50ThunderLuguentz Dort shooting foul (Ish Smith draws the foul)48
66
Q3 - 11:07ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 248
66
Q3 - 11:07ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 248
65
Q3 - 11:07WizardsTroy Brown Jr. shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)48
64
Q3 - 11:15ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound48
64
Q3 - 11:19WizardsRui Hachimura misses two point jump shot48
64
Q3 - 11:36WizardsRui Hachimura defensive rebound48
64
Q3 - 11:39ThunderMike Muscala misses three point jump shot48
64
Q3 - 11:45ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound48
64
Q3 - 11:49WizardsIsh Smith misses two point jump shot48
64
Q3 - 12:00Wizards lineup change (Isaac Bonga, Troy Brown Jr., Thomas Bryant, Ish Smith, Rui Hachimura)48
64
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.48
64
Q2 - 0:00.1WizardsWizards offensive rebound48
64
Q2 - 0:00.2WizardsTroy Brown Jr. misses three point jump shot48
64
Q2 - 0:01.7ThunderChris Paul turnover (bad pass) (Troy Brown Jr. steals)48
64
Q2 - 0:03.8ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound48
64
Q2 - 0:06.7WizardsThomas Bryant misses two point turnaround jump shot48
64
Q2 - 0:31.7ThunderChris Paul makes three point step back jump shot48
64
Q2 - 0:53.3Wizards delay of game violation48
61
Q2 - 0:53.3WizardsTroy Brown Jr. makes two point finger roll layup48
61
Q2 - 0:59.3WizardsAdmiral Schofield offensive rebound46
61
Q2 - 1:02WizardsAdmiral Schofield misses three point jump shot46
61
Q2 - 1:11ThunderDanilo Gallinari personal foul (Rui Hachimura draws the foul)46
61
Q2 - 1:31Wizards lineup change (Isaac Bonga, Troy Brown Jr., Thomas Bryant, Admiral Schofield, Rui Hachimura)46
61
Q2 - 1:31Stoppage (Out of bounds)46
61
Q2 - 1:31WizardsWizards defensive rebound46
61
Q2 - 1:33ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point step back jump shot46
61
Q2 - 1:50WizardsTroy Brown Jr. makes two point driving layup46
61
Q2 - 2:02ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes two point jump shot44
61
Q2 - 2:27WizardsIsaac Bonga makes three point jump shot (Troy Brown Jr. assists)44
59
Q2 - 2:30WizardsThomas Bryant offensive rebound41
59
Q2 - 2:33WizardsThomas Bryant misses three point jump shot41
59
Q2 - 2:47ThunderMike Muscala makes two point putback layup41
59
Q2 - 2:48ThunderMike Muscala offensive rebound41
57
Q2 - 2:49ThunderChris Paul misses two point step back jump shot41
57
Q2 - 3:05WizardsIsh Smith makes regular free throw 2 of 241
57
Q2 - 3:05Wizards lineup change (Isaac Bonga, Troy Brown Jr., Thomas Bryant, Ish Smith, Rui Hachimura)40
57
Q2 - 3:05WizardsIsh Smith makes regular free throw 1 of 240
57
Q2 - 3:05ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander shooting foul (Ish Smith draws the foul)39
57
Q2 - 3:19ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)39
57
Q2 - 3:35Thunder lineup change (Chris Paul, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Mike Muscala, Danilo Gallinari, Luguentz Dort)39
54
Q2 - 3:35Thunder 60 second timeout39
54
Q2 - 3:35WizardsRui Hachimura makes two point putback layup39
54
Q2 - 3:35WizardsRui Hachimura offensive rebound37
54
Q2 - 3:35WizardsRui Hachimura misses two point putback layup37
54
Q2 - 3:35WizardsRui Hachimura offensive rebound37
54
Q2 - 3:38WizardsIsh Smith misses two point driving layup37
54
Q2 - 3:47WizardsRui Hachimura offensive rebound37
54
Q2 - 3:50WizardsThomas Bryant misses three point jump shot37
54
Q2 - 3:55WizardsTroy Brown Jr. defensive rebound37
54
Q2 - 4:00ThunderTerrance Ferguson misses three point jump shot37
54
Q2 - 4:11WizardsIsh Smith makes two point driving layup37
54
Q2 - 4:24ThunderLuguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Danilo Gallinari assists)35
54
Q2 - 4:31ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound35
51
Q2 - 4:35WizardsJerome Robinson misses three point jump shot35
51
Q2 - 4:44WizardsJerome Robinson defensive rebound35
51
Q2 - 4:47ThunderMike Muscala misses two point jump shot35
51
Q2 - 5:00WizardsIsh Smith makes two point jump shot35
51
Q2 - 5:09Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Terrance Ferguson, Mike Muscala, Danilo Gallinari, Luguentz Dort)33
51
Q2 - 5:09Stoppage (Out of bounds)33
51
Q2 - 5:10WizardsIsh Smith offensive rebound33
51
Q2 - 5:12WizardsRui Hachimura misses two point jump shot33
51
Q2 - 5:16WizardsIsh Smith offensive rebound33
51
Q2 - 5:18WizardsTroy Brown Jr. misses three point jump shot33
51
Q2 - 5:26ThunderDarius Bazley makes two point putback layup33
51
Q2 - 5:26ThunderDarius Bazley offensive rebound33
49
Q2 - 5:28ThunderDarius Bazley misses two point driving layup33
49
Q2 - 5:33ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound33
49
Q2 - 5:37WizardsJerome Robinson misses three point jump shot33
49
Q2 - 5:48ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving layup33
49
Q2 - 6:03WizardsJerome Robinson makes three point jump shot (Ish Smith assists)33
47
Q2 - 6:10ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point putback layup30
47
Q2 - 6:10ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound30
45
Q2 - 6:13ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving layup30
45
Q2 - 6:28WizardsJerome Robinson makes technical free throw 1 of 130
45
Q2 - 6:28Wizards lineup change (Troy Brown Jr., Thomas Bryant, Ish Smith, Jerome Robinson, Rui Hachimura)29
45
Q2 - 6:28ThunderBilly Donovan technical foul29
45
Q2 - 6:28Thunder 60 second timeout29
45
Q2 - 6:28WizardsTroy Brown Jr. turnover (out of bounds bad pass)29
45
Q2 - 6:31WizardsThomas Bryant defensive rebound29
45
Q2 - 6:34ThunderThomas Bryant blocks Terrance Ferguson's two point reverse layup29
45
Q2 - 6:47WizardsThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 229
45
Q2 - 6:47Wizards lineup change (Troy Brown Jr., Thomas Bryant, Admiral Schofield, Ish Smith, Jerome Robinson)28
45
Q2 - 6:47WizardsThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 228
45
Q2 - 6:47ThunderAbdel Nader misses technical free throw 1 of 127
45
Q2 - 6:47WizardsScott Brooks technical foul27
45
Q2 - 6:47ThunderAbdel Nader shooting foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)27
45
Q2 - 7:04ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving layup27
45
Q2 - 7:13WizardsIsaac Bonga turnover (inbound)27
43
Q2 - 7:13Stoppage (Out of bounds)27
43
Q2 - 7:29ThunderDarius Bazley makes regular free throw 2 of 227
43
Q2 - 7:29Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Terrance Ferguson, Darius Bazley, Abdel Nader, Luguentz Dort)27
42
Q2 - 7:29Wizards lineup change (Isaac Bonga, Troy Brown Jr., Thomas Bryant, Admiral Schofield, Ish Smith)27
42
Q2 - 7:29ThunderDarius Bazley makes regular free throw 1 of 227
42
Q2 - 7:29WizardsJerian Grant shooting foul (Darius Bazley draws the foul)27
41
Q2 - 7:40Thunder lineup change (Chris Paul, Terrance Ferguson, Darius Bazley, Abdel Nader, Luguentz Dort)27
41
Q2 - 7:40Stoppage (Out of bounds)27
41
Q2 - 7:40ThunderThunder defensive rebound27
41
Q2 - 7:42WizardsIsaac Bonga misses three point jump shot27
41
Q2 - 7:56WizardsTroy Brown Jr. defensive rebound27
41
Q2 - 7:59ThunderDarius Bazley misses three point jump shot27
41
Q2 - 8:09WizardsTroy Brown Jr. personal foul (Take) (Hamidou Diallo draws the foul)27
41
Q2 - 8:09WizardsIsaac Bonga turnover (bad pass) (Hamidou Diallo steals)27
41
Q2 - 8:16WizardsIsaac Bonga defensive rebound27
41
Q2 - 8:19ThunderAbdel Nader misses three point jump shot27
41
Q2 - 8:25ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound27
41
Q2 - 8:27WizardsTroy Brown Jr. misses two point finger roll layup27
41
Q2 - 8:37WizardsIsaac Bonga defensive rebound27
41
Q2 - 8:40ThunderTerrance Ferguson misses three point jump shot27
41
Q2 - 8:46WizardsJerian Grant makes two point finger roll layup (Isaac Bonga assists)27
41
Q2 - 9:05WizardsThomas Bryant defensive rebound25
41
Q2 - 9:08ThunderChris Paul misses two point fadeaway jump shot25
41
Q2 - 9:13ThunderAbdel Nader defensive rebound25
41
Q2 - 9:15WizardsChris Paul blocks Isaac Bonga's two point layup25
41
Q2 - 9:20WizardsThomas Bryant offensive rebound25
41
Q2 - 9:23WizardsAdmiral Schofield misses three point jump shot25
41
Q2 - 9:44Wizards lineup change (Isaac Bonga, Troy Brown Jr., Jerian Grant, Thomas Bryant, Admiral Schofield)25
41
Q2 - 9:44Wizards 60 second timeout25
41
Q2 - 9:46ThunderDarius Bazley makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)25
41
Q2 - 9:53ThunderChris Paul defensive rebound25
38
Q2 - 9:55WizardsIsaac Bonga misses three point jump shot25
38
Q2 - 10:22ThunderDarius Bazley makes two point finger roll layup (Chris Paul assists)25
38
Q2 - 10:37WizardsTroy Brown Jr. turnover (out of bounds bad pass)25
36
Q2 - 10:54ThunderAbdel Nader makes two point floating jump shot25
36
Q2 - 11:11Stoppage (Other)25
34
Q2 - 11:12WizardsIsaac Bonga makes two point layup (Troy Brown Jr. assists)25
34
Q2 - 11:24ThunderDarius Bazley makes two point driving layup23
34
Q2 - 11:36WizardsWizards turnover (shot clock violation)23
32
Q2 - 11:39Stoppage (Out of bounds)23
32
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.23
32
Q1 - 0:00.9WizardsWizards offensive rebound23
32
Q1 - 0:00.9WizardsTroy Brown Jr. misses three point jump shot23
32
Q1 - 0:14.1ThunderAbdel Nader makes two point driving layup (Chris Paul assists)23
32
Q1 - 0:29.2Thunder lineup change (Chris Paul, Terrance Ferguson, Darius Bazley, Abdel Nader, Hamidou Diallo)23
30
Q1 - 0:29.2Stoppage (Out of bounds)23
30
Q1 - 0:29.2ThunderThunder defensive rebound23
30
Q1 - 0:31.5WizardsJerian Grant misses three point jump shot23
30
Q1 - 0:53.6ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 223
30
Q1 - 0:53.6Wizards lineup change (Isaac Bonga, Troy Brown Jr., Jerian Grant, Admiral Schofield, Moritz Wagner)23
29
Q1 - 0:53.6ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 223
29
Q1 - 0:53.6WizardsJerome Robinson shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)23
29
Q1 - 1:08WizardsJerome Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jerian Grant assists)23
29
Q1 - 1:20ThunderDarius Bazley makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)20
29
Q1 - 1:26WizardsJerome Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Darius Bazley steals)20
26
Q1 - 1:43WizardsIsaac Bonga defensive rebound20
26
Q1 - 1:45ThunderTerrance Ferguson misses three point jump shot20
26
Q1 - 1:57WizardsIsaac Bonga makes two point putback layup20
26
Q1 - 1:57WizardsIsaac Bonga offensive rebound18
26
Q1 - 2:00WizardsMoritz Wagner misses two point reverse layup18
26
Q1 - 2:10ThunderTerrance Ferguson makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)18
26
Q1 - 2:29WizardsJerian Grant makes two point finger roll layup (Jerome Robinson assists)18
23
Q1 - 2:40Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Terrance Ferguson, Darius Bazley, Abdel Nader, Hamidou Diallo)16
23
Q1 - 2:40ThunderHamidou Diallo personal foul (Loose ball) (Moritz Wagner draws the foul)16
23
Q1 - 2:40WizardsWizards defensive rebound16
23
Q1 - 2:41ThunderDarius Bazley misses three point jump shot16
23
Q1 - 2:56WizardsMoritz Wagner makes two point hook shot16
23
Q1 - 3:07WizardsAdmiral Schofield defensive rebound14
23
Q1 - 3:10ThunderAbdel Nader misses three point jump shot14
23
Q1 - 3:24ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound14
23
Q1 - 3:27WizardsJerian Grant misses regular free throw 2 of 214
23
Q1 - 3:27WizardsJerian Grant misses regular free throw 1 of 214
23
Q1 - 3:27Wizards lineup change (Isaac Bonga, Jerian Grant, Admiral Schofield, Jerome Robinson, Moritz Wagner)14
23
Q1 - 3:27Thunder 60 second timeout14
23
Q1 - 3:27ThunderDarius Bazley shooting foul (Jerian Grant draws the foul)14
23
Q1 - 3:43WizardsMoritz Wagner defensive rebound14
23
Q1 - 3:47ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point jump shot14
23
Q1 - 3:53ThunderAbdel Nader defensive rebound14
23
Q1 - 3:55WizardsJerian Grant misses three point jump shot14
23
Q1 - 4:06Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)14
23
Q1 - 4:06ThunderAbdel Nader turnover (out of bounds bad pass)14
23
Q1 - 4:23WizardsIsaac Bonga makes regular free throw 1 of 114
23
Q1 - 4:23ThunderAbdel Nader shooting foul (Isaac Bonga draws the foul)13
23
Q1 - 4:23WizardsIsaac Bonga makes two point layup13
23
Q1 - 4:25WizardsIsaac Bonga defensive rebound11
23
Q1 - 4:28ThunderMike Muscala misses three point jump shot11
23
Q1 - 4:48WizardsRui Hachimura makes regular free throw 1 of 111
23
Q1 - 4:48Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Darius Bazley, Abdel Nader, Mike Muscala, Hamidou Diallo)10
23
Q1 - 4:48ThunderDarius Bazley shooting foul (Rui Hachimura draws the foul)10
23
Q1 - 4:48WizardsRui Hachimura makes two point driving layup (Jerian Grant assists)10
23
Q1 - 5:08ThunderChris Paul makes regular free throw 2 of 28
23
Q1 - 5:08Thunder lineup change (Chris Paul, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Darius Bazley, Mike Muscala, Luguentz Dort)8
22
Q1 - 5:08ThunderChris Paul makes regular free throw 1 of 28
22
Q1 - 5:08WizardsIsaac Bonga personal foul (Chris Paul draws the foul)8
21
Q1 - 5:17ThunderMike Muscala defensive rebound8
21
Q1 - 5:21WizardsJerome Robinson misses three point jump shot8
21
Q1 - 5:37ThunderMike Muscala turnover (out of bounds lost ball)8
21
Q1 - 5:39WizardsIsaac Bonga turnover (lost ball) (Chris Paul steals)8
21
Q1 - 5:49Wizards 60 second timeout8
21
Q1 - 5:49ThunderLuguentz Dort makes two point dunk (Mike Muscala assists)8
21
Q1 - 6:08ThunderMike Muscala defensive rebound8
19
Q1 - 6:11WizardsJerome Robinson misses two point floating jump shot8
19
Q1 - 6:28ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 28
19
Q1 - 6:28Wizards lineup change (Isaac Bonga, Jerian Grant, Jerome Robinson, Moritz Wagner, Rui Hachimura)8
18
Q1 - 6:28ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 28
18
Q1 - 6:28WizardsIsh Smith shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)8
18
Q1 - 6:31ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound8
18
Q1 - 6:35WizardsTroy Brown Jr. misses three point jump shot8
18
Q1 - 6:40ThunderLuguentz Dort turnover (lost ball) (Ish Smith steals)8
18
Q1 - 6:42ThunderLuguentz Dort offensive rebound8
18
Q1 - 6:44ThunderDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot8
18
Q1 - 7:00WizardsIsh Smith personal foul (Take) (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)8
18
Q1 - 7:02WizardsIsh Smith turnover (lost ball) (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals)8
18
Q1 - 7:09ThunderLuguentz Dort makes two point driving dunk (Danilo Gallinari assists)8
18
Q1 - 7:16WizardsJerome Robinson personal foul (Danilo Gallinari draws the foul)8
16
Q1 - 7:28WizardsJerome Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Chris Paul steals)8
16
Q1 - 7:43ThunderMike Muscala makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)8
16
Q1 - 8:02WizardsThomas Bryant makes three point jump shot (Ish Smith assists)8
13
Q1 - 8:08WizardsIsh Smith defensive rebound5
13
Q1 - 8:11ThunderDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot5
13
Q1 - 8:23WizardsRui Hachimura makes two point putback layup5
13
Q1 - 8:24WizardsRui Hachimura offensive rebound3
13
Q1 - 8:26WizardsTroy Brown Jr. misses two point jump shot3
13
Q1 - 8:42ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)3
13
Q1 - 9:11WizardsTroy Brown Jr. makes three point jump shot (Rui Hachimura assists)3
10
Q1 - 9:20WizardsTroy Brown Jr. defensive rebound0
10
Q1 - 9:22ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving layup0
10
Q1 - 9:34ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound0
10
Q1 - 9:36WizardsIsh Smith misses two point jump shot0
10
Q1 - 9:52Wizards 60 second timeout0
10
Q1 - 9:53ThunderMike Muscala makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)0
10
Q1 - 9:57ThunderChris Paul defensive rebound0
7
Q1 - 9:59WizardsJerome Robinson misses two point jump shot0
7
Q1 - 10:09ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes regular free throw 2 of 20
7
Q1 - 10:09Wizards lineup change (Troy Brown Jr., Thomas Bryant, Ish Smith, Jerome Robinson, Rui Hachimura)0
6
Q1 - 10:09ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes regular free throw 1 of 20
6
Q1 - 10:09WizardsIsh Smith shooting foul (Danilo Gallinari draws the foul)0
5
Q1 - 10:18ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound0
5
Q1 - 10:21WizardsRui Hachimura misses two point turnaround jump shot0
5
Q1 - 10:40ThunderMike Muscala turnover (offensive foul)0
5
Q1 - 10:40ThunderMike Muscala offensive foul (Isaac Bonga draws the foul)0
5
Q1 - 10:49ThunderChris Paul defensive rebound0
5
Q1 - 10:51WizardsIsh Smith misses two point step back jump shot0
5
Q1 - 10:57WizardsTroy Brown Jr. defensive rebound0
5
Q1 - 10:59ThunderLuguentz Dort misses two point finger roll layup0
5
Q1 - 11:05ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound0
5
Q1 - 11:07WizardsChris Paul blocks Isaac Bonga's two point driving layup0
5
Q1 - 11:15ThunderMike Muscala makes three point jump shot (Luguentz Dort assists)0
5
Q1 - 11:20ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound0
2
Q1 - 11:22WizardsRui Hachimura misses two point jump shot0
2
Q1 - 11:41ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes two point driving layup0
2
Q1 - 12:00Thomas Bryant vs. Mike Muscala (Chris Paul gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Thunder lineup change (Chris Paul, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Mike Muscala, Danilo Gallinari, Luguentz Dort)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Wizards lineup change (Isaac Bonga, Troy Brown Jr., Thomas Bryant, Ish Smith, Rui Hachimura)0
0
ClockTeamEventWASOKC
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
0.99 49.5%
OKC
1.26 63.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
23
33
70%
OKC
19
28
68%
Midrange
WAS
6
23
26%
OKC
6
17
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
9
13.5
36
25%
38%
OKC
18
27.0
39
46%
69%
Free Throws
WAS
18
22
82%
OKC
17
22
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Robinson1963%9.5 / 15
I. Bonga1454%7.0 / 13
T. Brown Jr.1243%6.0 / 14
M. Wagner1267%6.0 / 9
R. Hachimura1146%5.5 / 12
I. Smith1056%5.0 / 9
T. Bryant945%4.5 / 10
J. Grant633%3.0 / 9
J. Uthoff467%2.0 / 3
A. Schofield338%1.5 / 4
J. Williams350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Bazley2382%11.5 / 14
D. Gallinari20100%10.0 / 10
S. Gilgeous-Alexander1856%9.0 / 16
M. Muscala1464%7.0 / 11
C. Paul1365%6.5 / 10
H. Diallo1372%6.5 / 9
L. Dort941%4.5 / 11
A. Nader650%3.0 / 6
T. Ferguson325%1.5 / 6
D. Burton2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
84
+20
-15
104
OKC
87
+9
-12
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
0.99 49.5%
OKC
1.26 63.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
110.5
WAS 104.0
OKC 122.2 +18.2
Pace
102.9
99.0
WAS 101.5 +3.4
OKC 98.1
Avg. Poss. Time
13.7
14.6
WAS 14.2 −0.5
OKC 14.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.3%
53.0%
WAS 46.2%
OKC 61.9% +15.7%
TO %
13.1%
13.0%
WAS 13.6%
OKC 11.4% −2.2%
ORB %
22.2%
19.4%
WAS 27.1% +6.6%
OKC 20.5%
FTrt
27.0
29.0
WAS 23.9
OKC 26.2 +2.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.2%
54.3%
WAS 60.5% +2.4%
OKC 58.1%
STL %
7.7%
7.7%
WAS 6.1%
OKC 7.1% +1.0%
BLK %
7.8%
8.7%
WAS 6.7% +1.3%
OKC 5.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.1%
55.9%
WAS 49.5%
OKC 63.0% +13.5%
Rim FG%
61.1%
60.4%
WAS 69.7% +1.8%
OKC 67.9%
Mid FG%
38.5%
44.6%
WAS 26.1%
OKC 35.3% +9.2%
3P %
36.9%
35.5%
WAS 25.0%
OKC 46.2% +21.2%
FT %
78.8%
79.6%
WAS 81.8% +4.5%
OKC 77.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.5%
34.2%
WAS 35.9% +2.5%
OKC 33.3%
Mid Att. %
29.7%
30.5%
WAS 25.0%
OKC 20.2% −4.8%
3P Att. %
35.8%
35.3%
WAS 39.1%
OKC 46.4% +7.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsWASOKC
Possessions9999
Possession Minutes23.424.2
Points103121
Rebounds4443
Assists2325
Steals67
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)12 (0)
Fouls1818
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (7)8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)35 (2)
Field Goals38-9243-84
At-the-Rim FG23-3319-28
Midrange FG6-236-17
2-Point FG29-5625-45
3-Point FG9-3618-39
Free Throws18-2217-22
Fast Break Pts914
2nd Chance Pts2010
Points in Paint4842
Pts off Turnovers821
Bench Points4747
Biggest Lead022

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#6 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 21
29.1
12
43%
8
4
2
0
2
2
1
7
0-0
-
3-7
43%
2-7
29%
#17 · SF · 6'9" 203 · 21
28.6
14
54%
8
2
0
0
3
2
3
5
3-3
100%
4-7
57%
1-5
20%
#8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22
25.5
11
46%
8
1
0
0
1
1
4
4
3-3
100%
4-10
40%
0-1
0%
#13 · C · 6'9" 248 · 23
22.8
9
45%
5
0
0
2
0
1
2
3
4-4
100%
1-3
33%
1-5
20%
#14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 32
22.0
10
56%
3
4
1
1
1
3
2
1
4-4
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
#12 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 23
29.5
19
63%
2
6
2
0
3
5
0
2
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
4-9
44%
#1 · SF · 6'5" 241 · 23
24.0
3
38%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-4
25%
#22 · SG · 6'4" 198 · 28
21.3
6
33%
0
5
0
0
3
2
0
0
0-2
0%
3-4
75%
0-4
0%
#21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 23
21.2
12
67%
3
0
1
0
2
2
0
3
2-3
67%
5-7
71%
0-1
0%
#7 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 27
12.0
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
#19 · C · 6'9" 228 · 25
4.0
3
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 34
DNP - Coach's Decision
#18 · C · 7'2" 229 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24
INACTIVE
#5 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
50%
44
23
6
3
15
18
13
31
18-22
82%
29-56
52%
9-36
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.