Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Pacers	37%	108	92	90.2	102	106.0
	6	Heat	63%	113	114	110.7	103	99.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Holiday #3 · SF · 6'0" 185 · 24	29.8	8	44%	1	1	1	1	2	3	0	1	1-2	50%	2-7	29%	1-1	100%
Malcolm Brogdon #7 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 28	29.1	12	43%	8	6	0	0	2	2	2	6	4-5	80%	4-9	44%	0-3	0%
T.J. Warren #1 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27	28.5	12	43%	5	0	0	0	1	4	1	4	0-0	-	3-8	38%	2-6	33%
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 28	28.3	14	70%	5	1	1	0	4	0	0	5	3-3	100%	1-4	25%	3-5	60%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 24	24.2	9	50%	7	2	0	2	3	4	0	7	2-4	50%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%

Doug McDermott #20 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 29	21.9	9	41%	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-5	20%
JaKarr Sampson #14 · SF · 6'9" 207 · 27	18.3	4	67%	3	1	0	1	1	3	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Justin Holiday #8 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 31	18.1	7	39%	2	0	1	0	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-7	14%
Edmond Sumner #5 · PG · 6'5" 188 · 25	16.4	5	42%	2	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-5	20%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 28	13.4	7	88%	2	2	2	0	3	1	0	2	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Alize Johnson #24 · SF · 6'9" 212 · 24	6.3	3	50%	4	1	0	0	1	0	2	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 21	5.5	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
TJ Leaf #22 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Brian Bowen II #10 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 22	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Naz Mitrou-Long #15 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 27	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Left Foot Plantar Fasciitis
Jeremy Lamb #26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn Left ACL
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	48%	45	20	5	4	17	19	6	39	16-25	64%	23-49	47%	10-35	29%

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11 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Holiday #3 · SF · 6'0" 185 · 24	29.8	8	44%	1	1	1	1	2	3	0	1	1-2	50%	2-7	29%	1-1	100%
Malcolm Brogdon #7 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 28	29.1	12	43%	8	6	0	0	2	2	2	6	4-5	80%	4-9	44%	0-3	0%
T.J. Warren #1 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27	28.5	12	43%	5	0	0	0	1	4	1	4	0-0	-	3-8	38%	2-6	33%
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 28	28.3	14	70%	5	1	1	0	4	0	0	5	3-3	100%	1-4	25%	3-5	60%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 24	24.2	9	50%	7	2	0	2	3	4	0	7	2-4	50%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%

Doug McDermott #20 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 29	21.9	9	41%	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-5	20%
JaKarr Sampson #14 · SF · 6'9" 207 · 27	18.3	4	67%	3	1	0	1	1	3	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Justin Holiday #8 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 31	18.1	7	39%	2	0	1	0	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-7	14%
Edmond Sumner #5 · PG · 6'5" 188 · 25	16.4	5	42%	2	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-5	20%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 28	13.4	7	88%	2	2	2	0	3	1	0	2	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Alize Johnson #24 · SF · 6'9" 212 · 24	6.3	3	50%	4	1	0	0	1	0	2	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 21	5.5	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
TJ Leaf #22 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Brian Bowen II #10 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 22	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Naz Mitrou-Long #15 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 27	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Left Foot Plantar Fasciitis
Jeremy Lamb #26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn Left ACL
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	48%	45	20	5	4	17	19	6	39	16-25	64%	23-49	47%	10-35	29%

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6 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 26	31.6	14	64%	5	0	0	0	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-10	40%
Goran Dragic #7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	30.0	11	34%	6	9	1	0	2	5	1	5	0-1	0%	4-10	40%	1-6	17%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 31	28.8	19	53%	11	5	4	1	2	2	3	8	9-11	82%	5-11	45%	0-2	0%
Jae Crowder #99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 30	28.6	14	88%	8	4	2	1	3	0	2	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-6	67%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 23	22.3	10	42%	9	4	0	3	2	0	2	7	2-4	50%	4-10	40%	0-0	-

Kelly Olynyk #9 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	29.1	8	33%	7	3	1	0	0	4	1	6	2-3	67%	3-6	50%	0-5	0%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 21	25.2	17	77%	5	2	0	1	1	4	1	4	0-0	-	4-5	80%	3-6	50%
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 23	21.3	18	82%	5	0	1	1	0	1	3	2	0-0	-	9-11	82%	0-0	-
Andre Iguodala #28 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 37	19.4	0	0%	2	2	1	2	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24	3.6	3	50%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Solomon Hill #44 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29	DNP - Coach's Decision
Meyers Leonard #0 · C · 7'1" 255 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 40	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kendrick Nunn #25 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 25	INACTIVE
Chris Silva #30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Kyle Alexander #17 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 24	Inactive - Coach's Decision
KZ Okpala #4 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 21	Inactive - Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	52%	59	29	11	9	13	20	13	46	13-19	68%	31-58	53%	13-40	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

IND

0.96 47.9%

MIA

1.05 52.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

16

24

67%

MIA

28

39

72%

Midrange

IND

7

25

28%

MIA

3

19

16%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

10

15.0

35

29%

43%

MIA

13

19.5

40

33%

49%

Free Throws

IND

16

25

64%

MIA

13

19

68%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Oladipo	14	70%	7.0 / 10
M. Brogdon	12	43%	6.0 / 14
T. Warren	12	43%	6.0 / 14
M. Turner	9	50%	4.5 / 9
D. McDermott	9	41%	4.5 / 11
A. Holiday	8	44%	4.0 / 9
J. Holiday	7	39%	3.5 / 9
T. McConnell	7	88%	3.5 / 4
E. Sumner	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Sampson	4	67%	2.0 / 3
A. Johnson	3	50%	1.5 / 3
G. Bitadze	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Butler	19	53%	9.5 / 18
D. Jones	18	82%	9.0 / 11
T. Herro	17	77%	8.5 / 11
D. Robinson	14	64%	7.0 / 11
J. Crowder	14	88%	7.0 / 8
G. Dragic	11	34%	5.5 / 16
B. Adebayo	10	42%	5.0 / 12
K. Olynyk	8	33%	4.0 / 12
G. Vincent	3	50%	1.5 / 3
A. Iguodala	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 109.9 7 112.4	IND 90.2 MIA 110.7 +20.5
Pace	21 99.1 27 98.4	IND 106.0 +6.7 MIA 99.3
Avg. Poss. Time	12 14.6 7 14.8	IND 13.6 −0.9 MIA 14.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 53.4% 3 54.7%	IND 45.2% MIA 51.5% +6.3%
TO %	5 12.7% 18 14.0%	IND 15.2% MIA 11.6% −3.6%
ORB %	29 20.0% 27 20.3%	IND 11.5% MIA 25.0% +13.5%
FTrt	30 21.6 1 29.9	IND 29.8 +10.4 MIA 19.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	10 61.4% 3 65.7%	IND 60.6% MIA 65.9% +5.3%
STL %	20 7.4% 17 7.6%	IND 4.9% MIA 10.7% +5.8%
BLK %	11 9.4% 13 9.3%	IND 6.9% MIA 18.4% +11.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.21 and 2.21.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 55.2% 3 56.9%	IND 47.9% MIA 52.3% +4.4%
Rim FG%	16 61.0% 4 63.8%	IND 66.7% MIA 71.8% +5.1%
Mid FG%	4 43.3% 20 38.9%	IND 28.0% +12.2% MIA 15.8%
3P %	14 36.3% 2 37.9%	IND 28.6% MIA 32.5% +3.9%
FT %	12 78.7% 13 78.3%	IND 64.0% MIA 68.4% +4.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 36.9% 26 33.2%	IND 28.6% MIA 39.8% +11.2%
Mid Att. %	28 31.4% 15 24.9%	IND 29.8% MIA 19.4% −10.4%
3P Att. %	30 31.7% 7 41.9%	IND 41.7% +0.9% MIA 40.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	MIA
Possessions	102	103
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.9
Points	92	114
Rebounds	45	59
Assists	20	29
Steals	5	11
Blocks	4	9
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	13 (1)
Fouls	19	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (4)	13 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (0)	46 (0)
Field Goals	33-84	44-98
At-the-Rim FG	16-24	28-39
Midrange FG	7-25	3-19
2-Point FG	23-49	31-58
3-Point FG	10-35	13-40
Free Throws	16-25	13-19
Fast Break Pts	8	16
2nd Chance Pts	13	28
Points in Paint	40	56
Pts off Turnovers	11	19
Bench Points	37	46
Biggest Lead	3	23

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg