Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Nuggets	35%	108	121	133.0	91	89.0
	5	Lakers	65%	113	124	137.8	90	92.0

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 25	25.5	12	75%	1	4	1	0	1	3	0	1	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	2-2	100%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 23	24.6	14	64%	4	3	2	0	1	0	1	3	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	0-2	0%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 35	24.4	13	81%	4	4	0	0	2	2	3	1	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	1-1	100%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 22	24.1	15	125%	4	1	1	0	4	2	0	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	3-3	100%
Torrey Craig #3 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 30	22.8	6	38%	4	0	0	0	0	2	2	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-3	0%

PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	26.7	18	90%	4	4	0	1	3	2	0	4	6-7	86%	3-5	60%	2-2	100%
Mason Plumlee #7 · C · 7'0" 254 · 30	24.6	11	61%	2	5	2	0	1	4	2	0	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 25	23.4	14	58%	3	4	0	0	1	0	1	2	1-2	50%	2-7	29%	3-4	75%
Keita Bates-Diop #6 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	22.4	10	56%	4	0	0	0	0	2	1	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	21.5	8	57%	5	2	0	1	1	3	0	5	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Troy Daniels #30 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Cook #25 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Noah Vonleh #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fracture
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Muscle strain
Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	67%	35	27	6	2	14	20	10	25	18-23	78%	32-54	59%	13-23	57%

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9 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 25	25.5	12	75%	1	4	1	0	1	3	0	1	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	2-2	100%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 23	24.6	14	64%	4	3	2	0	1	0	1	3	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	0-2	0%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 35	24.4	13	81%	4	4	0	0	2	2	3	1	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	1-1	100%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 22	24.1	15	125%	4	1	1	0	4	2	0	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	3-3	100%
Torrey Craig #3 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 30	22.8	6	38%	4	0	0	0	0	2	2	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-3	0%

PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	26.7	18	90%	4	4	0	1	3	2	0	4	6-7	86%	3-5	60%	2-2	100%
Mason Plumlee #7 · C · 7'0" 254 · 30	24.6	11	61%	2	5	2	0	1	4	2	0	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 25	23.4	14	58%	3	4	0	0	1	0	1	2	1-2	50%	2-7	29%	3-4	75%
Keita Bates-Diop #6 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	22.4	10	56%	4	0	0	0	0	2	1	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	21.5	8	57%	5	2	0	1	1	3	0	5	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Troy Daniels #30 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Cook #25 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Noah Vonleh #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fracture
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Muscle strain
Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	67%	35	27	6	2	14	20	10	25	18-23	78%	32-54	59%	13-23	57%

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5 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 36	38.1	29	58%	1	12	0	2	5	0	0	1	6-10	60%	4-10	40%	5-11	45%
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 27	38.0	27	64%	6	5	3	2	2	1	4	2	9-12	75%	9-14	64%	0-1	0%
Kyle Kuzma #0 · SG · 6'8" 221 · 25	32.9	25	78%	6	3	2	0	1	2	1	5	0-0	-	8-11	73%	3-5	60%
Danny Green #14 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 33	30.1	11	55%	2	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	1-5	20%	3-5	60%
JaVale McGee #7 · C · 7'0" 270 · 33	15.7	4	67%	5	0	1	0	1	3	2	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Dion Waiters #18 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 29	27.3	12	75%	0	3	0	0	1	2	0	0	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	1-2	50%
Alex Caruso #4 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 26	19.8	0	0%	0	4	2	0	0	2	0	0	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 31	18.3	8	80%	7	0	0	0	0	3	2	5	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Dwight Howard #39 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	13.8	8	100%	5	0	0	0	0	3	3	2	4-5	80%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 20	6.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Quinn Cook #28 · PG · 6'2" 179 · 27	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jared Dudley #10 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 35	DNP - Coach's Decision
JR Smith #21 · SG · 6'6" 225 · 35	DNP - Coach's Decision
Devontae Cacok #12 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 24	INACTIVE
Kostas Antetokounmpo #37 · PF · 6'11" 195 · 23	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #1 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right foot; Right foot contusion
Rajon Rondo #9 · PG · 6'1" 186 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Surgery, right thumb
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	65%	32	28	8	4	10	18	14	18	22-32	69%	30-52	58%	14-29	48%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.33 66.5%

LAL

1.29 64.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

22

32

69%

LAL

26

35

74%

Midrange

DEN

10

22

45%

LAL

4

17

24%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

13

19.5

23

57%

85%

LAL

14

21.0

29

48%

72%

Free Throws

DEN

18

23

78%

LAL

22

32

69%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Dozier	18	90%	9.0 / 10
M. Porter	15	125%	7.5 / 6
J. Murray	14	64%	7.0 / 11
M. Morris	14	58%	7.0 / 12
P. Millsap	13	81%	6.5 / 8
N. Jokić	12	75%	6.0 / 8
M. Plumlee	11	61%	5.5 / 9
K. Bates-Diop	10	56%	5.0 / 9
B. Bol	8	57%	4.0 / 7
T. Craig	6	38%	3.0 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	29	58%	14.5 / 25
A. Davis	27	64%	13.5 / 21
K. Kuzma	25	78%	12.5 / 16
D. Waiters	12	75%	6.0 / 8
D. Green	11	55%	5.5 / 10
M. Morris	8	80%	4.0 / 5
D. Howard	8	100%	4.0 / 4
J. McGee	4	67%	2.0 / 3
A. Caruso	0	-	0.0 / 2
T. Horton-Tucker	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 113.2 10 112.3	DEN 133.0 LAL 137.8 +4.8
Pace	29 97.1 12 100.8	DEN 89.0 LAL 92.0 +3.0
Avg. Poss. Time	1 15.1 16 14.4	DEN 16.2 LAL 15.6 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 53.5% 5 54.2%	DEN 66.9% +3.9% LAL 63.0%
TO %	9 13.3% 24 14.5%	DEN 13.8% LAL 9.5% −4.3%
ORB %	2 24.9% 4 24.5%	DEN 35.7% LAL 35.9% +0.2%
FTrt	26 23.5 6 27.6	DEN 29.9 LAL 39.5 +9.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 63.6% 15 60.0%	DEN 60.0% LAL 63.6% +3.6%
STL %	8 8.1% 3 8.5%	DEN 6.6% LAL 8.9% +2.3%
BLK %	16 8.8% 1 12.2%	DEN 3.8% LAL 7.4% +3.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.45 and 2.45.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 55.4% 8 56.2%	DEN 66.5% +1.9% LAL 64.6%
Rim FG%	6 62.0% 1 66.1%	DEN 68.8% LAL 74.3% +5.5%
Mid FG%	7 42.5% 25 37.9%	DEN 45.5% +22.0% LAL 23.5%
3P %	15 35.9% 21 34.9%	DEN 56.5% +8.2% LAL 48.3%
FT %	16 77.7% 28 72.9%	DEN 78.3% +9.5% LAL 68.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 36.5% 4 39.5%	DEN 41.6% LAL 43.2% +1.7%
Mid Att. %	22 29.1% 14 24.7%	DEN 28.6% LAL 21.0% −7.6%
3P Att. %	27 34.4% 23 35.8%	DEN 29.9% LAL 35.8% +5.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.42 and 2.42.

Game Totals	DEN	LAL
Possessions	91	90
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.5
Points	121	124
Rebounds	35	32
Assists	27	28
Steals	6	8
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	10 (0)
Fouls	20	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (1)	18 (3)
Field Goals	45-77	44-81
At-the-Rim FG	22-32	26-35
Midrange FG	10-22	4-17
2-Point FG	32-54	30-52
3-Point FG	13-23	14-29
Free Throws	18-23	22-32
Fast Break Pts	13	12
2nd Chance Pts	14	20
Points in Paint	54	56
Pts off Turnovers	10	25
Bench Points	61	28
Biggest Lead	6	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg