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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
August 11, 2020
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Pelicans46%113106
23Kings54%115112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Hart
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.4
29.7
19.2
3
17%
10
1
2
1
0
2
0
10
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
56%
0-5
0%
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.8
29.1
29.5
16
81%
3
4
0
1
2
4
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
4-6
67%
Nicolo Melli
F · 6'9" 236 · 29.5
25.1
14.4
5
21%
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
1-6
1-2
17%
56%
0-4
0%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 31.5
24.3
7.6
14
59%
4
3
1
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
6-10
1-2
60%
50%
0-1
0%
Jaxson Hayes
C · 6'11" 220 · 20.2
22.3
10.7
9
101%
5
0
1
0
1
2
1
4
1-1
100%
4-4
2-2
100%
63%
0-0
-
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.7
25.7
3.2
21
82%
4
1
0
0
2
1
1
3
3-4
75%
9-11
1-1
82%
56%
0-0
-
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
G · 6'5" 204 · 21.9
24.8
6.3
9
41%
0
6
2
0
1
3
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
1-1
40%
45%
1-5
20%
Frank Jackson
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.3
24.7
14.4
18
76%
1
4
1
0
0
3
1
0
1-2
50%
7-9
2-3
78%
49%
1-2
50%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.7
18.3
4.1
4
67%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
48%
0-0
-
Sindarius Thornwell
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.7
16.1
13.8
7
70%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
1-1
100%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 36.1
26.2
0
2-4
49%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 29.1
24.4
1
4-6
61%
Zylan Cheatham
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.7
5.1
0
0-1
51%
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 22.9
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 30.2
Zion Williamson
F · 6'7" 285 · 20.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.0
37.7
31.9
16
77%
6
7
2
1
0
4
2
4
1-1
100%
6-8
3-6
75%
52%
1-2
50%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 28.2
37.3
28.7
25
60%
8
2
0
1
2
0
4
4
4-4
100%
6-14
3-6
43%
50%
3-5
60%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.0
37.3
26.1
8
34%
4
6
0
1
0
3
1
3
6-6
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
48%
0-5
0%
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.3
32.8
14.3
13
63%
5
2
2
0
1
3
1
4
3-3
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
55%
2-5
40%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 27.2
12.6
13.4
6
100%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
58%
2-2
100%
Harry Giles III
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 22.3
24.6
10.8
12
35%
11
3
0
0
2
4
4
7
0-0
-
6-16
2-4
38%
56%
0-1
0%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 26.7
18.6
20.8
11
110%
2
3
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
3-4
75%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 25.4
14.4
9.2
12
100%
4
1
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
6-6
2-3
100%
55%
0-0
-
DaQuan Jeffries
F · 6'5" 216 · 22.9
13.9
19.8
3
26%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-4
2-3
25%
55%
0-1
0%
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 27.3
10.7
4.3
6
60%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
49%
0-1
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 34.4
5.8
0
0-1
52%
Justin James
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 23.5
4.6
0
1-1
51%
Kyle Guy
G · 6'1" 167 · 23.0
1.5
0
0-0
48%
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'11" 234 · 21.4
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.6
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.8
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 31.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.