Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Spurs	43%	111	112	112.0	100	107.9
	17	Jazz	57%	113	118	116.8	101	94.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	36.3	12	40%	14	7	0	0	6	3	1	13	2-2	100%	5-12	42%	0-2	0%
Lonnie Walker IV #1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22	34.1	15	54%	3	4	1	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	3-11	27%	3-3	100%
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 21	31.4	16	67%	6	3	0	1	1	4	1	5	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	3-5	60%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	30.2	24	80%	2	0	1	0	3	4	0	2	7-8	88%	7-9	78%	1-3	33%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 25	21.1	10	63%	5	3	1	2	1	3	2	3	0-5	0%	5-6	83%	0-0	-

Marco Belinelli #18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 34	29.7	16	67%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	3-6	50%
Drew Eubanks #14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 24	27.2	8	40%	7	3	0	4	1	1	2	5	6-8	75%	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Chimezie Metu #7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 23	26.7	10	63%	6	4	1	1	2	2	2	4	4-5	80%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Quinndary Weatherspoon #15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 24	3.3	1	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
DeMar DeRozan #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 31	DNP - Coach's Decision
Derrick White #4 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 26	DNP - Coach's Decision
Rudy Gay #22 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 34	DNP - Coach's Decision
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 32	DNP - Coach's Decision
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Appendectomy
Bryn Forbes #11 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; tightness
Tyler Zeller #40 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; bone contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	58%	44	24	4	8	15	20	9	35	24-36	67%	29-59	49%	10-20	50%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

16 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	36.3	12	40%	14	7	0	0	6	3	1	13	2-2	100%	5-12	42%	0-2	0%
Lonnie Walker IV #1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22	34.1	15	54%	3	4	1	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	3-11	27%	3-3	100%
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 21	31.4	16	67%	6	3	0	1	1	4	1	5	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	3-5	60%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	30.2	24	80%	2	0	1	0	3	4	0	2	7-8	88%	7-9	78%	1-3	33%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 25	21.1	10	63%	5	3	1	2	1	3	2	3	0-5	0%	5-6	83%	0-0	-

Marco Belinelli #18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 34	29.7	16	67%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	3-6	50%
Drew Eubanks #14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 24	27.2	8	40%	7	3	0	4	1	1	2	5	6-8	75%	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Chimezie Metu #7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 23	26.7	10	63%	6	4	1	1	2	2	2	4	4-5	80%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Quinndary Weatherspoon #15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 24	3.3	1	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
DeMar DeRozan #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 31	DNP - Coach's Decision
Derrick White #4 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 26	DNP - Coach's Decision
Rudy Gay #22 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 34	DNP - Coach's Decision
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 32	DNP - Coach's Decision
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Appendectomy
Bryn Forbes #11 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; tightness
Tyler Zeller #40 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; bone contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	58%	44	24	4	8	15	20	9	35	24-36	67%	29-59	49%	10-20	50%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

17 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 23	21.7	6	43%	10	1	0	1	1	1	3	7	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 28	14.0	11	46%	2	1	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-9	33%
Joe Ingles #2 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 33	12.3	3	38%	1	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Royce O'Neale #23 · PF · 6'6" 226 · 27	11.3	2	25%	1	0	0	2	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'2" 215 · 24	11.3	11	92%	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	4	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	3-4	75%

Jarrell Brantley #5 · PF · 6'5" 250 · 24	29.0	13	46%	4	6	1	1	0	2	1	3	1-2	50%	6-10	60%	0-3	0%
Miye Oni #81 · SG · 6'6" 206 · 23	25.8	10	63%	2	2	1	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Rayjon Tucker #6 · SG · 6'3" 209 · 23	24.1	18	64%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	5-5	100%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Nigel Williams-Goss #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 26	22.2	10	56%	1	1	2	0	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Georges Niang #31 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 27	22.0	13	65%	5	2	0	0	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-8	38%
Juwan Morgan #16 · PF · 6'8" 232 · 23	21.8	6	75%	3	1	1	1	1	5	2	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Justin Wright-Foreman #3 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 23	16.9	4	29%	2	3	1	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Ed Davis #17 · C · 6'10" 245 · 31	7.5	11	79%	6	1	0	0	0	2	4	2	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 28	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 33	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Emmanuel Mudiay #15 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	54%	43	25	7	5	8	23	12	31	9-10	90%	32-55	58%	15-46	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	UTA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.17 58.3%

UTA

1.07 53.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

15

25

60%

UTA

25

39

64%

Midrange

SAS

14

34

41%

UTA

7

16

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

10

15.0

20

50%

75%

UTA

15

22.5

46

33%

49%

Free Throws

SAS

24

36

67%

UTA

9

10

90%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Johnson	24	80%	12.0 / 15
L. Samanic	16	67%	8.0 / 12
M. Belinelli	16	67%	8.0 / 12
L. Walker IV	15	54%	7.5 / 14
D. Murray	12	40%	6.0 / 15
J. Poeltl	10	63%	5.0 / 8
C. Metu	10	63%	5.0 / 8
D. Eubanks	8	40%	4.0 / 10
Q. Weatherspoon	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Tucker	18	64%	9.0 / 14
J. Brantley	13	46%	6.5 / 14
G. Niang	13	65%	6.5 / 10
J. Clarkson	11	46%	5.5 / 12
D. Mitchell	11	92%	5.5 / 6
E. Davis	11	79%	5.5 / 7
M. Oni	10	63%	5.0 / 8
N. Williams-Goss	10	56%	5.0 / 9
T. Bradley	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Morgan	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Wright-Foreman	4	29%	2.0 / 7
J. Ingles	3	38%	1.5 / 4
R. O'Neale	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	11 112.2 9 112.3	SAS 112.0 UTA 116.8 +4.8
Pace	15 100.6 25 98.7	SAS 107.9 +13.8 UTA 94.1
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.5 5 14.9	SAS 13.3 −2.0 UTA 15.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	16 53.1% 2 54.9%	SAS 55.7% +1.7% UTA 54.0%
TO %	1 12.0% 26 14.6%	SAS 13.7% UTA 7.9% −5.8%
ORB %	28 20.1% 23 21.6%	SAS 22.5% UTA 25.5% +3.0%
FTrt	16 26.2 10 26.8	SAS 45.6 +35.7 UTA 9.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	21 58.5% 25 56.0%	SAS 61.5% +8.3% UTA 53.2%
STL %	22 7.2% 29 6.1%	SAS 4.0% UTA 6.9% +2.9%
BLK %	7 10.0% 29 7.0%	SAS 14.5% +6.0% UTA 8.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 56.1% 2 57.0%	SAS 58.3% +4.7% UTA 53.6%
Rim FG%	9 61.6% 8 61.9%	SAS 60.0% UTA 64.1% +4.1%
Mid FG%	2 44.2% 12 41.6%	SAS 41.2% UTA 43.8% +2.6%
3P %	4 37.6% 1 38.0%	SAS 50.0% +17.4% UTA 32.6%
FT %	2 81.0% 14 77.9%	SAS 66.7% UTA 90.0% +23.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	30 29.1% 22 34.4%	SAS 31.6% UTA 38.6% +7.0%
Mid Att. %	30 39.1% 11 24.2%	SAS 43.0% UTA 15.8% −27.2%
3P Att. %	28 31.8% 8 41.4%	SAS 25.3% UTA 45.5% +20.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Game Totals	SAS	UTA
Possessions	100	101
Possession Minutes	22.2	25.8
Points	112	118
Rebounds	44	43
Assists	24	25
Steals	4	7
Blocks	8	5
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	8 (1)
Fouls	20	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (3)	31 (5)
Field Goals	39-79	47-101
At-the-Rim FG	15-25	25-39
Midrange FG	14-34	7-16
2-Point FG	29-59	32-55
3-Point FG	10-20	15-46
Free Throws	24-36	9-10
Fast Break Pts	9	9
2nd Chance Pts	9	21
Points in Paint	44	62
Pts off Turnovers	14	20
Bench Points	35	85
Biggest Lead	1	17

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg