Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, August 14, 2020

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Heat	57%	112	92	91.1	101	94.7
	23	Pacers	43%	109	109	107.9	101	109.2

Scoring Opportunities

MIA

+18

-19

100

IND

+14

-19

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

0.92 46.0%

IND

1.14 56.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

9 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kendrick Nunn #25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 25	33.0	23	40%	2	4	3	1	5	1	1	1	6-6	100%	7-18	39%	1-9	11%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 21	27.9	16	50%	1	3	0	0	3	2	1	0	1-1	100%	3-8	38%	3-8	38%
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 40	23.5	7	70%	8	0	0	0	1	3	1	7	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Kelly Olynyk #9 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	20.3	6	33%	6	0	0	1	0	0	0	6	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-8	25%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 26	13.4	0	0%	2	1	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%

Solomon Hill #44 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29	40.6	21	58%	7	3	1	0	3	2	2	5	10-12	83%	4-9	44%	1-4	25%
Meyers Leonard #0 · C · 7'1" 255 · 28	28.8	9	56%	7	0	0	0	3	0	2	5	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Chris Silva #30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	24.5	5	42%	11	1	0	3	1	3	4	7	1-4	25%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 23	16.1	3	50%	2	2	2	0	0	2	2	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Kyle Alexander #17 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 24	12.0	2	100%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 31	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Soreness
Andre Iguodala #28 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 37	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 30	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bruise
Goran Dragic #7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Sprain
Bam Adebayo #13 · PF · 6'9" 260 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
KZ Okpala #4 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 21	Inactive - Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	46%	48	14	6	5	19	15	14	34	20-27	74%	21-49	43%	10-38	26%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

9 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kendrick Nunn #25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 25	33.0	23	40%	2	4	3	1	5	1	1	1	6-6	100%	7-18	39%	1-9	11%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 21	27.9	16	50%	1	3	0	0	3	2	1	0	1-1	100%	3-8	38%	3-8	38%
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 40	23.5	7	70%	8	0	0	0	1	3	1	7	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Kelly Olynyk #9 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	20.3	6	33%	6	0	0	1	0	0	0	6	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-8	25%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 26	13.4	0	0%	2	1	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%

Solomon Hill #44 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29	40.6	21	58%	7	3	1	0	3	2	2	5	10-12	83%	4-9	44%	1-4	25%
Meyers Leonard #0 · C · 7'1" 255 · 28	28.8	9	56%	7	0	0	0	3	0	2	5	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Chris Silva #30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	24.5	5	42%	11	1	0	3	1	3	4	7	1-4	25%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 23	16.1	3	50%	2	2	2	0	0	2	2	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Kyle Alexander #17 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 24	12.0	2	100%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 31	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Soreness
Andre Iguodala #28 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 37	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 30	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bruise
Goran Dragic #7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Sprain
Bam Adebayo #13 · PF · 6'9" 260 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
KZ Okpala #4 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 21	Inactive - Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	46%	48	14	6	5	19	15	14	34	20-27	74%	21-49	43%	10-38	26%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

23 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Alize Johnson #24 · PF · 6'9" 212 · 24	38.3	11	55%	17	4	0	1	3	3	7	10	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Edmond Sumner #5 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 25	30.7	7	50%	2	6	0	0	2	4	0	2	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Malcolm Brogdon #7 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 28	24.5	16	57%	6	6	0	0	3	3	2	4	0-0	-	2-7	29%	4-7	57%
Justin Holiday #8 · SF · 6'6" 185 · 31	23.9	11	92%	7	0	1	0	2	3	0	7	2-2	100%	0-0	-	3-5	60%
JaKarr Sampson #14 · C · 6'9" 207 · 27	23.4	10	56%	4	2	2	0	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-0	-

Doug McDermott #20 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 29	21.9	23	68%	4	0	1	0	0	2	1	3	2-3	67%	3-5	60%	5-11	45%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 28	21.2	8	50%	3	8	1	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-0	-
TJ Leaf #22 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 23	18.0	6	33%	3	1	2	0	0	2	0	3	0-1	0%	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	17.3	11	79%	2	2	3	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-3	33%
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 21	16.3	4	40%	3	2	1	2	2	3	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Brian Bowen II #10 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 22	2.3	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Naz Mitrou-Long #15 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 27	2.3	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sore Left Ankle
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Left Foot Plantar Fasciitis
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Right Wrist Sprain
Jeremy Lamb #26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn Left ACL
T.J. Warren #1 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Right Foot Plantar Fasciitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	57%	51	32	11	3	19	27	12	39	8-11	73%	28-51	55%	15-38	39%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	IND
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

0.92 46.0%

IND

1.14 56.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

63%

IND

69%

Midrange

MIA

24%

IND

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

15.0

26%

39%

IND

22.5

39%

59%

Free Throws

MIA

74%

IND

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Nunn	23	40%	11.5 / 29
S. Hill	21	58%	10.5 / 18
T. Herro	16	50%	8.0 / 16
M. Leonard	9	56%	4.5 / 8
U. Haslem	7	70%	3.5 / 5
K. Olynyk	6	33%	3.0 / 9
C. Silva	5	42%	2.5 / 6
D. Jones	3	50%	1.5 / 3
K. Alexander	2	100%	1.0 / 1
D. Robinson	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. McDermott	23	68%	11.5 / 17
M. Brogdon	16	57%	8.0 / 14
A. Johnson	11	55%	5.5 / 10
J. Holiday	11	92%	5.5 / 6
A. Holiday	11	79%	5.5 / 7
J. Sampson	10	56%	5.0 / 9
T. McConnell	8	50%	4.0 / 8
E. Sumner	7	50%	3.5 / 7
T. Leaf	6	33%	3.0 / 9
G. Bitadze	4	40%	2.0 / 5
B. Bowen II	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 112.4 19 109.9	MIA 91.1 IND 107.9 +16.8
Pace	27 98.4 21 99.1	MIA 94.7 IND 109.2 +14.4
Avg. Poss. Time	7 14.8 12 14.6	MIA 15.2 IND 13.2 −2.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 54.7% 12 53.4%	MIA 41.4% IND 56.7% +15.3%
TO %	18 14.0% 5 12.7%	MIA 16.1% −1.5% IND 17.6%
ORB %	27 20.3% 29 20.0%	MIA 26.4% +0.3% IND 26.1%
FTrt	1 29.9 30 21.6	MIA 31.0 +18.6 IND 12.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 65.7% 10 61.4%	MIA 45.2% IND 74.4% +29.2%
STL %	17 7.6% 20 7.4%	MIA 5.9% IND 10.9% +5.0%
BLK %	13 9.3% 11 9.4%	MIA 9.8% +3.7% IND 6.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.21 and 2.21.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 56.9% 17 55.2%	MIA 46.0% IND 56.8% +10.8%
Rim FG%	4 63.8% 16 61.0%	MIA 62.5% IND 69.2% +6.7%
Mid FG%	20 38.9% 4 43.3%	MIA 24.0% IND 40.0% +16.0%
3P %	2 37.9% 14 36.3%	MIA 26.3% IND 39.5% +13.2%
FT %	13 78.3% 12 78.7%	MIA 74.1% +1.4% IND 72.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 33.2% 12 36.9%	MIA 27.6% IND 29.2% +1.6%
Mid Att. %	15 24.9% 28 31.4%	MIA 28.7% IND 28.1% −0.6%
3P Att. %	7 41.9% 30 31.7%	MIA 43.7% +1.0% IND 42.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	IND
Possessions	101	101
Possession Minutes	25.6	22.2
Points	92	109
Rebounds	48	51
Assists	14	32
Steals	6	11
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	19 (1)
Fouls	15	27
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (4)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (1)	39 (4)
Field Goals	31-87	43-89
At-the-Rim FG	15-24	18-26
Midrange FG	6-25	10-25
2-Point FG	21-49	28-51
3-Point FG	10-38	15-38
Free Throws	20-27	8-11
Fast Break Pts	2	13
2nd Chance Pts	11	18
Points in Paint	36	46
Pts off Turnovers	20	20
Bench Points	40	54
Biggest Lead	1	22

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg