Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, August 14, 2020

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Nuggets	47%	109	109	110.1	99	90.4
	11	Raptors	53%	110	117	117.0	100	110.5

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+13

-15

TOR

+17

-19

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.12 56.2%

TOR

1.19 59.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

10 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jerami Grant #9 · SF · 6'7" 213 · 26	18.3	2	17%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	15.5	10	63%	3	2	2	1	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-3	67%
Torrey Craig #3 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 30	15.0	3	25%	4	3	0	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 25	10.2	2	100%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 23	10.2	11	110%	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-3	100%

PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	30.8	20	100%	5	8	2	0	1	0	0	5	3-3	100%	1-3	33%	5-6	83%
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 25	29.9	16	50%	6	4	0	1	2	0	0	6	6-6	100%	2-7	29%	2-7	29%
Troy Daniels #30 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	28.0	10	45%	3	1	1	0	3	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-8	25%
Keita Bates-Diop #6 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	24.4	11	46%	6	0	1	2	2	3	2	4	4-4	100%	2-7	29%	1-4	25%
Mason Plumlee #7 · C · 7'0" 254 · 30	19.7	10	71%	3	2	0	4	0	2	1	2	2-3	67%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Tyler Cook #25 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 23	16.2	4	67%	4	0	2	0	2	1	2	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	15.4	8	50%	4	2	0	3	2	2	1	3	4-5	80%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Noah Vonleh #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 25	6.5	2	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Muscle Strain
Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fracture
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 22	Inactive - Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	56%	41	27	9	11	15	15	9	32	21-23	91%	20-49	41%	16-38	42%

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10 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jerami Grant #9 · SF · 6'7" 213 · 26	18.3	2	17%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	15.5	10	63%	3	2	2	1	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-3	67%
Torrey Craig #3 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 30	15.0	3	25%	4	3	0	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 25	10.2	2	100%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 23	10.2	11	110%	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-3	100%

PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	30.8	20	100%	5	8	2	0	1	0	0	5	3-3	100%	1-3	33%	5-6	83%
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 25	29.9	16	50%	6	4	0	1	2	0	0	6	6-6	100%	2-7	29%	2-7	29%
Troy Daniels #30 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	28.0	10	45%	3	1	1	0	3	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-8	25%
Keita Bates-Diop #6 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	24.4	11	46%	6	0	1	2	2	3	2	4	4-4	100%	2-7	29%	1-4	25%
Mason Plumlee #7 · C · 7'0" 254 · 30	19.7	10	71%	3	2	0	4	0	2	1	2	2-3	67%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Tyler Cook #25 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 23	16.2	4	67%	4	0	2	0	2	1	2	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	15.4	8	50%	4	2	0	3	2	2	1	3	4-5	80%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Noah Vonleh #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 25	6.5	2	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Muscle Strain
Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fracture
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 22	Inactive - Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	56%	41	27	9	11	15	15	9	32	21-23	91%	20-49	41%	16-38	42%

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11 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Terence Davis #0 · PG · 6'4" 201 · 23	34.0	14	44%	6	3	2	0	3	2	1	5	2-2	100%	3-9	33%	2-6	33%
Matt Thomas #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	28.3	12	86%	3	2	1	0	2	4	1	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Norman Powell #24 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 27	22.8	15	83%	6	2	1	1	3	2	1	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-5	60%
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson #4 · PF · 6'7" 214 · 26	22.3	6	33%	6	3	0	1	1	1	2	4	0-1	0%	3-9	33%	0-0	-
Marc Gasol #33 · C · 7'1" 255 · 36	16.7	2	33%	3	5	1	1	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%

Stanley Johnson #5 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 24	28.6	23	68%	4	6	1	1	5	5	0	4	1-3	33%	5-8	63%	4-8	50%
Paul Watson #1 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 26	27.5	22	79%	6	2	1	0	1	2	0	6	2-3	67%	4-7	57%	4-6	67%
Malcolm Miller #13 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 27	25.6	10	100%	1	3	1	0	0	4	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-3	67%
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 28	21.5	9	50%	9	0	0	1	1	2	4	5	2-3	67%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Dewan Hernandez #20 · C · 6'10" 233 · 24	12.7	4	33%	7	1	0	0	1	0	3	4	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
OG Anunoby #3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Patrick McCaw #22 · SF · 6'7" 185 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Serge Ibaka #9 · C · 6'10" 235 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
Fred VanVleet #23 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 26	Inactive - Rest
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 26	Inactive - Rest
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 34	Inactive - Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	60%	51	27	8	5	19	24	13	38	9-14	64%	27-55	49%	18-35	51%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	TOR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.12 56.2%

TOR

1.19 59.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

45%

TOR

59%

Midrange

DEN

35%

TOR

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

24.0

42%

63%

TOR

27.0

51%

77%

Free Throws

DEN

91%

TOR

64%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Dozier	20	100%	10.0 / 10
M. Morris	16	50%	8.0 / 16
J. Murray	11	110%	5.5 / 5
K. Bates-Diop	11	46%	5.5 / 12
P. Millsap	10	63%	5.0 / 8
T. Daniels	10	45%	5.0 / 11
M. Plumlee	10	71%	5.0 / 7
B. Bol	8	50%	4.0 / 8
T. Cook	4	67%	2.0 / 3
T. Craig	3	25%	1.5 / 6
J. Grant	2	17%	1.0 / 6
N. Jokić	2	100%	1.0 / 1
N. Vonleh	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Johnson	23	68%	11.5 / 17
P. Watson	22	79%	11.0 / 14
N. Powell	15	83%	7.5 / 9
T. Davis	14	44%	7.0 / 16
M. Thomas	12	86%	6.0 / 7
M. Miller	10	100%	5.0 / 5
C. Boucher	9	50%	4.5 / 9
R. Hollis-Jefferson	6	33%	3.0 / 9
D. Hernandez	4	33%	2.0 / 6
M. Gasol	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 113.2 14 111.3	DEN 110.1 TOR 117.0 +6.9
Pace	29 97.1 13 100.8	DEN 90.4 TOR 110.5 +20.0
Avg. Poss. Time	1 15.1 23 14.0	DEN 15.9 TOR 13.0 −2.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 53.5% 8 53.6%	DEN 50.6% TOR 60.0% +9.4%
TO %	9 13.3% 14 13.8%	DEN 14.1% −2.4% TOR 16.5%
ORB %	2 24.9% 24 21.3%	DEN 19.1% TOR 28.9% +9.8%
FTrt	26 23.5 13 26.4	DEN 26.4 +10.8 TOR 15.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 63.6% 9 62.7%	DEN 75.0% +15.0% TOR 60.0%
STL %	8 8.1% 2 8.7%	DEN 9.1% +1.1% TOR 8.0%
BLK %	16 8.8% 6 10.1%	DEN 20.0% +9.8% TOR 10.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 55.4% 10 56.0%	DEN 56.2% TOR 59.7% +3.5%
Rim FG%	6 62.0% 27 58.5%	DEN 44.8% TOR 58.8% +14.0%
Mid FG%	7 42.5% 28 37.3%	DEN 35.0% +1.7% TOR 33.3%
3P %	15 35.9% 5 37.4%	DEN 42.1% TOR 51.4% +9.3%
FT %	16 77.7% 6 79.6%	DEN 91.3% +27.0% TOR 64.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 36.5% 3 39.8%	DEN 33.3% TOR 37.8% +4.4%
Mid Att. %	22 29.1% 4 18.1%	DEN 23.0% −0.3% TOR 23.3%
3P Att. %	27 34.4% 6 42.1%	DEN 43.7% +4.8% TOR 38.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	TOR
Possessions	99	100
Possession Minutes	26.3	21.7
Points	109	117
Rebounds	41	51
Assists	27	27
Steals	9	8
Blocks	11	5
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	19 (0)
Fouls	15	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (1)	38 (2)
Field Goals	36-87	45-90
At-the-Rim FG	13-29	20-34
Midrange FG	7-20	7-21
2-Point FG	20-49	27-55
3-Point FG	16-38	18-35
Free Throws	21-23	9-14
Fast Break Pts	25	21
2nd Chance Pts	13	15
Points in Paint	32	48
Pts off Turnovers	20	27
Bench Points	81	68
Biggest Lead	5	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg