Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, December 25, 2020

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Warriors	21%	107	99	90.8	109	104.4
	2	Bucks	79%	119	138	125.5	110	115.0

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+13

-11

111

MIL

+13

-17

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

0.89 44.6%

MIL

1.30 65.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

24 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 33	29.0	19	50%	4	6	1	0	2	2	0	4	5-5	100%	4-7	57%	2-10	20%
James Wiseman #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 20	25.1	18	64%	8	0	0	3	2	4	3	5	5-6	83%	2-7	29%	3-4	75%
Eric Paschall #7 · PF · 6'7" 254 · 24	25.0	7	44%	2	1	1	0	1	2	1	1	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 26	24.9	12	33%	6	0	1	0	1	3	3	3	0-0	-	6-14	43%	0-4	0%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #12 · SG · 6'8" 210 · 25	19.8	3	14%	5	1	1	0	2	3	1	4	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	0-5	0%

Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 22	19.0	11	46%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-6	17%
Brad Wanamaker #10 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 31	19.0	11	69%	1	2	1	0	0	3	0	1	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Damion Lee #1 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 28	18.9	9	90%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	3-3	100%	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Mychal Mulder #15 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 27	17.6	3	38%	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Marquese Chriss #32 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	14.3	4	33%	5	1	0	2	2	1	0	5	2-4	50%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Juan Toscano-Anderson #95 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 28	12.6	0	0%	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 25	11.0	2	33%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Kent Bazemore #26 · SG · 6'5" 201 · 31	3.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Nico Mannion #2 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 20	INACTIVE
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| right foot soreness
Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| right achilles tendon; repair
Alen Smailagic #6 · PF · 6'9" 216 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| right knee soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	45%	43	14	5	6	11	22	10	33	21-25	84%	24-54	44%	10-45	22%

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24 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 33	29.0	19	50%	4	6	1	0	2	2	0	4	5-5	100%	4-7	57%	2-10	20%
James Wiseman #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 20	25.1	18	64%	8	0	0	3	2	4	3	5	5-6	83%	2-7	29%	3-4	75%
Eric Paschall #7 · PF · 6'7" 254 · 24	25.0	7	44%	2	1	1	0	1	2	1	1	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 26	24.9	12	33%	6	0	1	0	1	3	3	3	0-0	-	6-14	43%	0-4	0%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #12 · SG · 6'8" 210 · 25	19.8	3	14%	5	1	1	0	2	3	1	4	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	0-5	0%

Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 22	19.0	11	46%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-6	17%
Brad Wanamaker #10 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 31	19.0	11	69%	1	2	1	0	0	3	0	1	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Damion Lee #1 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 28	18.9	9	90%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	3-3	100%	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Mychal Mulder #15 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 27	17.6	3	38%	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Marquese Chriss #32 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	14.3	4	33%	5	1	0	2	2	1	0	5	2-4	50%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Juan Toscano-Anderson #95 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 28	12.6	0	0%	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 25	11.0	2	33%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Kent Bazemore #26 · SG · 6'5" 201 · 31	3.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Nico Mannion #2 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 20	INACTIVE
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| right foot soreness
Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| right achilles tendon; repair
Alen Smailagic #6 · PF · 6'9" 216 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| right knee soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	45%	43	14	5	6	11	22	10	33	21-25	84%	24-54	44%	10-45	22%

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2 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 26	26.7	15	36%	13	4	0	0	2	2	4	9	7-15	47%	4-11	36%	0-3	0%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 29	25.8	31	91%	4	5	2	0	2	2	0	4	5-5	100%	4-7	57%	6-8	75%
Jrue Holiday #21 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 31	25.4	12	75%	4	6	0	1	3	1	1	3	0-0	-	6-7	86%	0-1	0%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 24	20.0	13	81%	4	0	2	0	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-5	60%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 33	19.7	8	57%	4	0	0	1	2	1	2	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%

Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 26	25.9	10	56%	12	2	1	1	1	1	1	11	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-3	0%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 28	18.9	2	33%	7	2	0	0	0	0	0	7	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
D.J. Wilson #5 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 25	13.9	9	113%	4	0	0	1	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-3	100%
D.J. Augustin #12 · PG · 6'0" 183 · 33	13.4	13	93%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	3-3	100%
Bryn Forbes #7 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	13.3	8	80%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Torrey Craig #3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 30	9.8	0	0%	4	0	0	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 28	9.8	4	100%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Jordan Nwora #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 22	9.8	7	50%	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Sam Merrill #15 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 25	7.6	6	100%	3	4	1	0	1	0	2	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-2	100%
Jaylen Adams #6 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Mamadi Diakite #25 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 24	Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	138	65%	60	25	6	4	17	17	11	49	18-26	69%	30-54	56%	20-36	56%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	MIL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

0.89 44.6%

MIL

1.30 65.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

56%

MIL

64%

Midrange

GSW

33%

MIL

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

15.0

22%

33%

MIL

30.0

56%

83%

Free Throws

GSW

84%

MIL

69%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	19	50%	9.5 / 19
J. Wiseman	18	64%	9.0 / 14
A. Wiggins	12	33%	6.0 / 18
J. Poole	11	46%	5.5 / 12
B. Wanamaker	11	69%	5.5 / 8
D. Lee	9	90%	4.5 / 5
E. Paschall	7	44%	3.5 / 8
M. Chriss	4	33%	2.0 / 6
K. Oubre	3	14%	1.5 / 11
M. Mulder	3	38%	1.5 / 4
K. Looney	2	33%	1.0 / 3
K. Bazemore	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Middleton	31	91%	15.5 / 17
G. Antetokounmpo	15	36%	7.5 / 21
D. DiVincenzo	13	81%	6.5 / 8
D. Augustin	13	93%	6.5 / 7
J. Holiday	12	75%	6.0 / 8
B. Portis	10	56%	5.0 / 9
D. Wilson	9	113%	4.5 / 4
B. Lopez	8	57%	4.0 / 7
B. Forbes	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Nwora	7	50%	3.5 / 7
S. Merrill	6	100%	3.0 / 3
T. Antetokounmpo	4	100%	2.0 / 2
P. Connaughton	2	33%	1.0 / 3
T. Craig	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 110.9 5 116.9	GSW 90.8 MIL 125.5 +34.6
Pace	3 102.4 2 102.5	GSW 104.4 MIL 115.0 +10.6
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.7 29 13.6	GSW 13.8 MIL 12.5 −1.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 55.1% 2 56.6%	GSW 39.4% MIL 66.7% +27.3%
TO %	24 14.3% 15 13.0%	GSW 9.1% −6.0% MIL 15.1%
ORB %	30 17.9% 9 23.3%	GSW 16.9% MIL 25.0% +8.1%
FTrt	20 23.9 24 23.3	GSW 25.3 MIL 28.9 +3.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 67.0% 25 56.9%	GSW 41.2% MIL 50.0% +8.8%
STL %	8 8.0% 10 7.9%	GSW 4.6% MIL 5.5% +0.9%
BLK %	17 8.7% 20 8.6%	GSW 11.1% +3.7% MIL 7.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	7 57.3% 3 58.2%	GSW 44.6% MIL 65.1% +20.5%
Rim FG%	7 63.7% 1 65.0%	GSW 55.6% MIL 63.6% +8.0%
Mid FG%	20 40.4% 11 43.5%	GSW 33.3% MIL 42.9% +9.6%
3P %	9 37.6% 5 38.9%	GSW 22.2% MIL 55.6% +33.4%
FT %	13 78.5% 23 76.0%	GSW 84.0% +14.8% MIL 69.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 33.0% 23 32.9%	GSW 27.3% MIL 36.7% +9.4%
Mid Att. %	9 23.1% 18 26.7%	GSW 27.3% MIL 23.3% −3.9%
3P Att. %	5 43.9% 12 40.4%	GSW 45.5% +5.5% MIL 40.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	MIL
Possessions	109	110
Possession Minutes	25.0	23.0
Points	99	138
Rebounds	43	60
Assists	14	25
Steals	5	6
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	17 (1)
Fouls	22	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (0)	49 (4)
Field Goals	34-99	50-90
At-the-Rim FG	15-27	21-33
Midrange FG	9-27	9-21
2-Point FG	24-54	30-54
3-Point FG	10-45	20-36
Free Throws	21-25	18-26
Fast Break Pts	10	20
2nd Chance Pts	12	10
Points in Paint	38	50
Pts off Turnovers	21	10
Bench Points	40	59
Biggest Lead	2	43

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg