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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 23, 2020
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Spurs41%106131
17Grizzlies59%109119
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.4
35
29
28
9
9
1
1
1
1
2
7
14-15
93%
7-14
6-11
50%
50%
0-0
-
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.0
34
16
16
6
2
1
1
1
1
1
5
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
3-4
75%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 21.2
32
10
16
5
3
3
0
0
2
0
5
5-7
71%
4-7
1-2
57%
50%
1-3
33%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 24.3
31
24
21
6
9
2
2
0
3
0
6
2-2
100%
8-12
4-8
67%
46%
1-3
33%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 35.4
29
28
20
3
1
0
1
1
2
0
3
1-1
100%
8-13
5-10
62%
50%
1-4
25%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 34.4
21
15
10
7
1
0
0
3
1
0
7
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
1-5
20%
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 20.3
20
19
3
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.4
19
20
13
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
3-7
1-2
43%
50%
2-4
50%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 25.2
19
20
4
7
1
1
1
1
0
4
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-4
33%
61%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.1
21
1
2-3
50%
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.0
12
0
1-2
44%
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 24.9
11
0
1-2
49%
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.9
8
0
1-2
53%
Luka Samanic
F · 6'11" 227 · 21.0
5
0
0-1
49%
Quinndary Weatherspoon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.3
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 21.4
35
30
44
2
9
2
1
1
1
0
2
7-8
88%
17-25
5-10
68%
51%
1-2
50%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 24.9
33
26
16
4
6
2
1
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
6-11
4-8
55%
46%
1-3
33%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.6
30
26
15
13
2
1
1
1
1
3
10
2-6
33%
5-10
5-8
50%
59%
1-1
100%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.3
29
20
7
10
2
0
1
0
2
0
10
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
55%
1-3
33%
Grayson Allen
G · 6'5" 198 · 25.2
27
12
6
2
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
2-6
33%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 24.3
26
23
10
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-1
0%
5-7
4-6
71%
62%
0-2
0%
De'Anthony Melton
G · 6'3" 193 · 22.6
25
21
3
2
1
0
1
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 24.6
14
21
7
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
3-4
3-5
75%
49%
0-1
0%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 30.9
12
18
5
1
1
1
1
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
53%
1-2
50%
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.5
11
14
6
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
2-4
50%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
13
0
1-2
54%
Sean McDermott
F · 6'6" 195 · 24.1
11
0
1-2
51%
Killian Tillie
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 22.8
Jontay Porter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 21.1
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 21.9
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 21.3
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.