Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Kings	35%	110	124	111.7	111	103.5
	12	Nuggets	65%	115	122	108.9	112	98.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29	42.0	21	58%	9	5	2	0	1	1	1	8	5-7	71%	8-12	67%	0-3	0%
Buddy Hield #24 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 28	41.1	22	69%	4	3	1	0	3	5	1	3	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	5-11	45%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 23	38.7	21	50%	4	7	1	1	2	2	2	2	4-5	80%	7-18	39%	1-2	50%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 22	27.4	13	38%	10	0	0	1	2	6	2	8	3-4	75%	5-11	45%	0-4	0%
Richaun Holmes #22 · C · 6'9" 235 · 27	23.0	6	50%	9	1	0	1	1	6	6	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-

Tyrese Haliburton #0 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	30.0	12	67%	2	4	0	1	0	0	1	1	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Cory Joseph #9 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 29	29.4	15	68%	3	4	1	2	2	4	0	3	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Hassan Whiteside #20 · C · 7'0" 265 · 32	17.6	4	29%	9	1	0	1	2	2	2	7	0-2	0%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Nemanja Bjelica #8 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 33	15.9	10	50%	4	2	0	0	1	3	3	1	4-4	100%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Glenn Robinson III #30 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 27	DNP - Coach's Decision
Robert Woodard II #13 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jahmi'us Ramsey #3 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	DNP - Coach's Decision
Justin James #10 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kyle Guy #7 · SG · 6'1" 167 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
DaQuan Jeffries #19 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Soreness
Jabari Parker #33 · PF · 6'8" 250 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Tightness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	124	53%	54	27	5	7	14	29	18	36	24-31	77%	35-71	49%	10-31	32%

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19 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29	42.0	21	58%	9	5	2	0	1	1	1	8	5-7	71%	8-12	67%	0-3	0%
Buddy Hield #24 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 28	41.1	22	69%	4	3	1	0	3	5	1	3	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	5-11	45%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 23	38.7	21	50%	4	7	1	1	2	2	2	2	4-5	80%	7-18	39%	1-2	50%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 22	27.4	13	38%	10	0	0	1	2	6	2	8	3-4	75%	5-11	45%	0-4	0%
Richaun Holmes #22 · C · 6'9" 235 · 27	23.0	6	50%	9	1	0	1	1	6	6	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-

Tyrese Haliburton #0 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	30.0	12	67%	2	4	0	1	0	0	1	1	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Cory Joseph #9 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 29	29.4	15	68%	3	4	1	2	2	4	0	3	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Hassan Whiteside #20 · C · 7'0" 265 · 32	17.6	4	29%	9	1	0	1	2	2	2	7	0-2	0%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Nemanja Bjelica #8 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 33	15.9	10	50%	4	2	0	0	1	3	3	1	4-4	100%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Glenn Robinson III #30 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 27	DNP - Coach's Decision
Robert Woodard II #13 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jahmi'us Ramsey #3 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	DNP - Coach's Decision
Justin James #10 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kyle Guy #7 · SG · 6'1" 167 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
DaQuan Jeffries #19 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Soreness
Jabari Parker #33 · PF · 6'8" 250 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Tightness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	124	53%	54	27	5	7	14	29	18	36	24-31	77%	35-71	49%	10-31	32%

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12 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	41.8	29	69%	15	14	0	2	6	3	3	12	6-9	67%	10-16	63%	1-2	50%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	41.5	10	50%	2	2	0	1	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-4	0%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	36.1	16	62%	7	3	0	0	1	3	2	5	0-0	-	5-8	63%	2-5	40%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	34.5	9	38%	4	1	2	0	2	6	0	4	7-7	100%	1-4	25%	0-5	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 22	29.6	24	80%	5	2	2	3	2	3	1	4	3-3	100%	6-8	75%	3-7	43%

Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 30	33.5	16	47%	2	4	2	1	0	2	0	2	1-2	50%	6-13	46%	1-3	33%
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 25	16.3	2	17%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-1	0%
PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	14.7	7	70%	5	2	0	2	1	1	2	3	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Hartenstein #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 23	8.9	6	50%	3	0	0	2	2	4	2	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	8.1	3	150%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
R.J. Hampton #13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 20	DNP - Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	DNP - Coach's Decision
Markus Howard #00 · PG · 5'11" 175 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Greg Whittington #3 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	122	55%	46	28	6	11	15	25	10	36	20-24	83%	39-69	57%	8-29	28%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.05 52.5%

DEN

1.10 55.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

23

35

66%

DEN

26

36

72%

Midrange

SAC

12

36

33%

DEN

13

33

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

10

15.0

31

32%

48%

DEN

8

12.0

29

28%

41%

Free Throws

SAC

24

31

77%

DEN

20

24

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Hield	22	69%	11.0 / 16
H. Barnes	21	58%	10.5 / 18
D. Fox	21	50%	10.5 / 21
C. Joseph	15	68%	7.5 / 11
M. Bagley	13	38%	6.5 / 17
T. Haliburton	12	67%	6.0 / 9
N. Bjelica	10	50%	5.0 / 10
R. Holmes	6	50%	3.0 / 6
H. Whiteside	4	29%	2.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	29	69%	14.5 / 21
M. Porter	24	80%	12.0 / 15
P. Millsap	16	62%	8.0 / 13
W. Barton	16	47%	8.0 / 17
G. Harris	10	50%	5.0 / 10
J. Murray	9	38%	4.5 / 12
P. Dozier	7	70%	3.5 / 5
I. Hartenstein	6	50%	3.0 / 6
F. Campazzo	3	150%	1.5 / 1
M. Morris	2	17%	1.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 113.2 7 116.8	SAC 111.7 +2.8 DEN 108.9
Pace	8 100.4 28 97.4	SAC 103.5 +4.9 DEN 98.6
Avg. Poss. Time	24 14.1 4 15.1	SAC 13.9 −0.7 DEN 14.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	9 54.9% 6 55.7%	SAC 49.0% DEN 52.0% +3.0%
TO %	11 12.8% 13 13.0%	SAC 11.5% −0.6% DEN 12.1%
ORB %	20 21.3% 2 24.8%	SAC 33.3% +11.6% DEN 21.7%
FTrt	12 24.8 28 21.9	SAC 30.4 +5.9 DEN 24.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 59.9% 11 62.1%	SAC 60.0% +0.4% DEN 59.6%
STL %	14 7.5% 6 8.2%	SAC 4.5% DEN 5.4% +0.9%
BLK %	16 8.8% 14 9.0%	SAC 10.1% DEN 15.5% +5.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 56.6% 6 57.5%	SAC 52.5% DEN 55.0% +2.5%
Rim FG%	9 63.4% 6 63.9%	SAC 65.7% DEN 72.2% +6.5%
Mid FG%	6 44.7% 5 44.9%	SAC 33.3% DEN 39.4% +6.1%
3P %	16 36.4% 8 37.7%	SAC 32.3% +4.7% DEN 27.6%
FT %	25 74.5% 7 80.3%	SAC 77.4% DEN 83.3% +5.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 34.7% 18 33.5%	SAC 34.3% DEN 36.7% +2.4%
Mid Att. %	20 27.7% 22 28.2%	SAC 35.3% DEN 33.7% −1.6%
3P Att. %	20 37.6% 18 38.3%	SAC 30.4% +0.8% DEN 29.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAC	DEN
Possessions	111	112
Possession Minutes	25.7	27.3
Points	124	122
Rebounds	54	46
Assists	27	28
Steals	5	6
Blocks	7	11
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	15 (0)
Fouls	29	25
Off. Rebounds (Team)	18 (1)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (6)	36 (4)
Field Goals	45-102	47-98
At-the-Rim FG	23-35	26-36
Midrange FG	12-36	13-33
2-Point FG	35-71	39-69
3-Point FG	10-31	8-29
Free Throws	24-31	20-24
Fast Break Pts	19	11
2nd Chance Pts	9	14
Points in Paint	62	66
Pts off Turnovers	11	18
Bench Points	41	34
Biggest Lead	8	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg