Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, December 26, 2020

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Pacers	62%	118	125	116.8	107	111.4
	25	Bulls	38%	114	106	98.1	108	105.0

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+11

-16

102

CHI

+17

-20

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.23 61.3%

CHI

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

10 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	33.9	22	69%	10	11	1	0	5	6	1	9	6-11	55%	8-10	80%	0-1	0%
Malcolm Brogdon #7 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 28	28.9	18	64%	2	6	1	0	1	1	0	2	1-1	100%	7-10	70%	1-4	25%
T.J. Warren #1 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	27.0	23	64%	6	3	0	0	0	3	2	4	3-4	75%	10-14	71%	0-2	0%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 25	25.2	9	56%	5	1	2	4	1	4	0	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29	25.1	22	92%	7	1	2	0	2	2	0	7	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	5-5	100%

Justin Holiday #8 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 32	31.4	5	42%	2	2	2	0	0	3	0	2	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Doug McDermott #20 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 29	22.1	12	75%	8	0	0	0	1	2	2	6	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 29	19.1	4	40%	3	8	3	0	3	2	2	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	18.9	6	30%	2	2	3	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-3	0%
Kelan Martin #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	2.1	2	100%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
JaKarr Sampson #14 · SF · 6'9" 207 · 28	2.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cassius Stanley #2 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	2.1	2	50%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jalen Lecque #0 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 21	2.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Brian Bowen II #10 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Partial Tear
Edmond Sumner #5 · PG · 6'5" 188 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Not Available; Illness
Jeremy Lamb #26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	61%	49	34	15	4	16	26	9	40	12-19	63%	43-67	64%	9-26	35%

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10 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	33.9	22	69%	10	11	1	0	5	6	1	9	6-11	55%	8-10	80%	0-1	0%
Malcolm Brogdon #7 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 28	28.9	18	64%	2	6	1	0	1	1	0	2	1-1	100%	7-10	70%	1-4	25%
T.J. Warren #1 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	27.0	23	64%	6	3	0	0	0	3	2	4	3-4	75%	10-14	71%	0-2	0%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 25	25.2	9	56%	5	1	2	4	1	4	0	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29	25.1	22	92%	7	1	2	0	2	2	0	7	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	5-5	100%

Justin Holiday #8 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 32	31.4	5	42%	2	2	2	0	0	3	0	2	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Doug McDermott #20 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 29	22.1	12	75%	8	0	0	0	1	2	2	6	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 29	19.1	4	40%	3	8	3	0	3	2	2	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	18.9	6	30%	2	2	3	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-3	0%
Kelan Martin #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	2.1	2	100%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
JaKarr Sampson #14 · SF · 6'9" 207 · 28	2.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cassius Stanley #2 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	2.1	2	50%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jalen Lecque #0 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 21	2.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Brian Bowen II #10 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Partial Tear
Edmond Sumner #5 · PG · 6'5" 188 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Not Available; Illness
Jeremy Lamb #26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	61%	49	34	15	4	16	26	9	40	12-19	63%	43-67	64%	9-26	35%

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25 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26	28.8	17	61%	1	2	1	0	3	4	0	1	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	3-6	50%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 22	27.4	9	35%	6	2	0	2	1	3	3	3	5-6	83%	2-9	22%	0-1	0%
Lauri Markkanen #24 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 24	27.1	16	53%	9	0	0	0	2	2	2	7	2-3	67%	4-6	67%	2-8	25%
Coby White #0 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	24.9	12	60%	2	3	0	1	4	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	4-7	57%
Patrick Williams #9 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 19	22.1	9	56%	2	1	0	1	4	0	1	1	4-4	100%	1-5	20%	1-1	100%

Tomas Satoransky #31 · PG · 6'7" 210 · 29	24.9	6	50%	4	9	2	1	3	0	2	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 35	19.9	6	43%	2	2	2	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-4	50%
Otto Porter Jr. #22 · SF · 6'8" 198 · 28	19.1	10	42%	6	2	0	0	2	1	1	5	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	1-5	20%
Denzel Valentine #45 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 27	12.9	11	92%	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-4	75%
Daniel Gafford #12 · C · 6'10" 265 · 22	11.9	3	38%	4	0	0	1	0	0	2	2	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Ryan Arcidiacono #51 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 27	8.4	5	63%	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	3	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Chandler Hutchison #15 · SF · 6'7" 197 · 25	7.5	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Adam Mokoka #20 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	5.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Luke Kornet #2 · C · 7'1" 250 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Cristiano Felicio #6 · PF · 6'9" 280 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Devon Dotson #3 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 21	INACTIVE
Thaddeus Young #21 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Infection
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	51%	41	23	7	7	20	16	13	28	22-25	88%	18-52	35%	16-39	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	CHI
Clock	Team	Event	IND	CHI

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.23 61.3%

CHI

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

72%

CHI

47%

Midrange

IND

50%

CHI

15%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

13.5

35%

52%

CHI

24.0

41%

62%

Free Throws

IND

63%

CHI

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Warren	23	64%	11.5 / 18
D. Sabonis	22	69%	11.0 / 16
V. Oladipo	22	92%	11.0 / 12
M. Brogdon	18	64%	9.0 / 14
D. McDermott	12	75%	6.0 / 8
M. Turner	9	56%	4.5 / 8
A. Holiday	6	30%	3.0 / 10
J. Holiday	5	42%	2.5 / 6
T. McConnell	4	40%	2.0 / 5
K. Martin	2	100%	1.0 / 1
C. Stanley	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Lecque	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Z. LaVine	17	61%	8.5 / 14
L. Markkanen	16	53%	8.0 / 15
C. White	12	60%	6.0 / 10
D. Valentine	11	92%	5.5 / 6
O. Porter Jr.	10	42%	5.0 / 12
W. Carter	9	35%	4.5 / 13
P. Williams	9	56%	4.5 / 8
T. Satoransky	6	50%	3.0 / 6
G. Temple	6	43%	3.0 / 7
R. Arcidiacono	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. Gafford	3	38%	1.5 / 4
C. Hutchison	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. Mokoka	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 112.3 21 110.9	IND 116.8 +18.7 CHI 98.1
Pace	4 101.6 13 99.2	IND 111.4 +6.4 CHI 105.0
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 17 14.6	IND 12.9 −0.8 CHI 13.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 54.2% 10 54.7%	IND 60.8% +14.6% CHI 46.2%
TO %	9 12.7% 27 14.5%	IND 13.6% −2.8% CHI 16.4%
ORB %	26 20.2% 15 22.3%	IND 24.3% CHI 24.5% +0.2%
FTrt	26 22.7 30 19.7	IND 20.4 CHI 27.5 +7.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 63.3% 4 63.5%	IND 65.4% CHI 67.6% +2.2%
STL %	5 8.3% 27 6.7%	IND 14.0% +7.5% CHI 6.5%
BLK %	3 10.7% 28 7.6%	IND 7.7% CHI 10.4% +2.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 56.3% 15 56.1%	IND 61.3% +10.8% CHI 50.5%
Rim FG%	20 60.0% 14 61.8%	IND 72.1% +25.2% CHI 46.9%
Mid FG%	12 43.2% 13 43.2%	IND 50.0% +35.0% CHI 15.0%
3P %	17 36.4% 13 37.0%	IND 34.6% CHI 41.0% +6.4%
FT %	9 79.2% 11 79.1%	IND 63.2% CHI 88.0% +24.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 40.4% 10 36.3%	IND 46.2% +11.1% CHI 35.2%
Mid Att. %	7 22.4% 14 25.3%	IND 25.8% CHI 22.0% −3.8%
3P Att. %	21 37.2% 17 38.4%	IND 28.0% CHI 42.9% +14.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	CHI
Possessions	107	108
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.7
Points	125	106
Rebounds	49	41
Assists	34	23
Steals	15	7
Blocks	4	7
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	20 (0)
Fouls	26	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	40 (1)	28 (5)
Field Goals	52-93	34-91
At-the-Rim FG	31-43	15-32
Midrange FG	12-24	3-20
2-Point FG	43-67	18-52
3-Point FG	9-26	16-39
Free Throws	12-19	22-25
Fast Break Pts	10	4
2nd Chance Pts	20	13
Points in Paint	76	34
Pts off Turnovers	25	14
Bench Points	31	43
Biggest Lead	30	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg