Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Timberwolves	23%	106	91	85.8	106	108.7
	6	Lakers	77%	117	127	119.8	106	103.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 21	27.8	11	42%	5	4	2	0	1	5	1	4	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-4	25%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 24	24.4	8	40%	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	5	2-3	67%	3-6	50%	0-3	0%
D'Angelo Russell #0 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 25	20.6	4	29%	0	3	1	1	7	4	0	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Jake Layman #10 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 27	14.8	10	56%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Josh Okogie #20 · SF · 6'4" 213 · 22	11.0	4	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%

Jarrett Culver #23 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 22	29.4	8	36%	4	0	1	1	5	4	2	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-4	0%
Anthony Edwards #1 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 19	28.5	15	34%	4	2	1	0	1	2	2	2	2-2	100%	5-12	42%	1-9	11%
Ricky Rubio #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 30	18.1	9	56%	4	4	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	16.3	4	40%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Jarred Vanderbilt #8 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 22	15.4	2	20%	7	6	3	1	1	0	2	5	2-4	50%	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Juancho Hernangomez #41 · PF · 6'9" 230 · 25	13.4	6	43%	5	0	0	1	0	1	2	3	1-3	33%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Ed Davis #17 · C · 6'10" 245 · 32	12.5	4	40%	7	1	0	1	2	4	7	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	7.7	6	100%	1	0	2	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Ashton Hagans #22 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 21	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Jaylen Nowell #4 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Soleus; Strain
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Perilunate; Subluxation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	41%	48	24	11	6	17	24	17	31	9-14	64%	32-68	47%	6-35	17%

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20 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 21	27.8	11	42%	5	4	2	0	1	5	1	4	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-4	25%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 24	24.4	8	40%	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	5	2-3	67%	3-6	50%	0-3	0%
D'Angelo Russell #0 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 25	20.6	4	29%	0	3	1	1	7	4	0	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Jake Layman #10 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 27	14.8	10	56%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Josh Okogie #20 · SF · 6'4" 213 · 22	11.0	4	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%

Jarrett Culver #23 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 22	29.4	8	36%	4	0	1	1	5	4	2	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-4	0%
Anthony Edwards #1 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 19	28.5	15	34%	4	2	1	0	1	2	2	2	2-2	100%	5-12	42%	1-9	11%
Ricky Rubio #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 30	18.1	9	56%	4	4	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	16.3	4	40%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Jarred Vanderbilt #8 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 22	15.4	2	20%	7	6	3	1	1	0	2	5	2-4	50%	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Juancho Hernangomez #41 · PF · 6'9" 230 · 25	13.4	6	43%	5	0	0	1	0	1	2	3	1-3	33%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Ed Davis #17 · C · 6'10" 245 · 32	12.5	4	40%	7	1	0	1	2	4	7	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	7.7	6	100%	1	0	2	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Ashton Hagans #22 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 21	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Jaylen Nowell #4 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Soleus; Strain
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Perilunate; Subluxation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	41%	48	24	11	6	17	24	17	31	9-14	64%	32-68	47%	6-35	17%

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6 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Kuzma #0 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 25	29.1	20	83%	3	3	0	3	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	4-6	67%
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 36	26.2	18	56%	9	5	1	0	4	1	0	9	5-7	71%	5-8	63%	1-5	20%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 27	25.2	11	55%	4	4	1	0	3	3	0	4	1-1	100%	5-7	71%	0-3	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #1 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 28	23.2	8	100%	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	2	2-3	67%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Marc Gasol #14 · C · 7'1" 255 · 36	20.6	12	150%	7	8	0	4	3	2	2	5	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	3-3	100%

Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 20	20.8	12	46%	2	3	2	1	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	2-5	40%
Montrezl Harrell #15 · C · 6'8" 240 · 27	19.7	12	60%	1	2	1	1	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	6-9	67%	0-1	0%
Wesley Matthews #9 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34	17.9	4	50%	1	2	0	1	1	1	0	1	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 31	15.1	7	50%	6	1	0	2	1	3	1	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Alex Caruso #4 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 27	10.5	7	88%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Quinn Cook #2 · PG · 6'2" 179 · 28	8.6	5	50%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Kostas Antetokounmpo #37 · PF · 6'11" 195 · 23	7.7	0	0%	4	0	0	2	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Alfonzo McKinnie #28 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 28	7.7	8	100%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Jared Dudley #10 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 35	7.7	3	150%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Devontae Cacok #12 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 24	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	65%	46	32	6	14	17	19	5	41	14-18	78%	37-55	67%	13-35	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

0.81 40.6%

LAL

1.30 64.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

28

51

55%

LAL

27

37

73%

Midrange

MIN

4

17

24%

LAL

10

18

56%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

6

9.0

35

17%

26%

LAL

13

19.5

35

37%

56%

Free Throws

MIN

9

14

64%

LAL

14

18

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	15	34%	7.5 / 22
N. Reid	11	42%	5.5 / 13
J. Layman	10	56%	5.0 / 9
R. Rubio	9	56%	4.5 / 8
M. Beasley	8	40%	4.0 / 10
J. Culver	8	36%	4.0 / 11
J. Hernangomez	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. McDaniels	6	100%	3.0 / 3
D. Russell	4	29%	2.0 / 7
J. Okogie	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. McLaughlin	4	40%	2.0 / 5
E. Davis	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Vanderbilt	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Kuzma	20	83%	10.0 / 12
L. James	18	56%	9.0 / 16
M. Gasol	12	150%	6.0 / 4
T. Horton-Tucker	12	46%	6.0 / 13
M. Harrell	12	60%	6.0 / 10
D. Schröder	11	55%	5.5 / 10
K. Caldwell-Pope	8	100%	4.0 / 4
A. McKinnie	8	100%	4.0 / 4
M. Morris	7	50%	3.5 / 7
A. Caruso	7	88%	3.5 / 4
Q. Cook	5	50%	2.5 / 5
W. Matthews	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Dudley	3	150%	1.5 / 1
K. Antetokounmpo	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 109.9 24 110.4	MIN 85.8 LAL 119.8 +34.0
Pace	5 101.3 22 98.2	MIN 108.7 +5.4 LAL 103.4
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.2 7 14.9	MIN 13.2 −0.7 LAL 13.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 52.0% 18 53.7%	MIN 39.8% LAL 62.8% +23.0%
TO %	17 13.4% 29 14.9%	MIN 14.2% −0.6% LAL 14.8%
ORB %	12 22.8% 14 22.5%	MIN 29.3% +15.4% LAL 13.9%
FTrt	9 25.4 6 27.1	MIN 13.6 LAL 20.0 +6.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 63.0% 15 60.7%	MIN 63.2% LAL 64.0% +0.8%
STL %	4 8.6% 12 7.8%	MIN 10.4% +4.7% LAL 5.7%
BLK %	6 9.9% 8 9.9%	MIN 10.9% LAL 20.6% +9.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 54.3% 18 55.8%	MIN 40.6% LAL 64.8% +24.2%
Rim FG%	23 59.4% 8 63.6%	MIN 54.9% LAL 73.0% +18.1%
Mid FG%	28 37.5% 23 40.0%	MIN 23.5% LAL 55.6% +32.1%
3P %	25 34.9% 21 35.4%	MIN 17.1% LAL 37.1% +20.0%
FT %	22 76.1% 28 73.9%	MIN 64.3% LAL 77.8% +13.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 38.3% 8 37.6%	MIN 49.5% +8.4% LAL 41.1%
Mid Att. %	2 20.4% 16 26.1%	MIN 16.5% −3.5% LAL 20.0%
3P Att. %	10 41.4% 22 36.3%	MIN 34.0% LAL 38.9% +4.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	LAL
Possessions	106	106
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	91	127
Rebounds	48	46
Assists	24	32
Steals	11	6
Blocks	6	14
Turnovers (Team)	17 (1)	17 (0)
Fouls	24	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (6)	5 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (1)	41 (3)
Field Goals	38-103	50-90
At-the-Rim FG	28-51	27-37
Midrange FG	4-17	10-18
2-Point FG	32-68	37-55
3-Point FG	6-35	13-35
Free Throws	9-14	14-18
Fast Break Pts	8	20
2nd Chance Pts	18	13
Points in Paint	58	60
Pts off Turnovers	17	19
Bench Points	54	58
Biggest Lead	0	42

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg