Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, December 28, 2020

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Rockets	47%	111	111	106.7	104	108.6
	9	Nuggets	53%	112	124	120.4	103	98.8

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+10

-15

DEN

+14

-14

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.12 56.1%

DEN

1.20 60.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

4 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Christian Wood #35 · C · 6'9" 214 · 25	36.8	23	55%	3	1	2	2	0	1	0	3	1-2	50%	5-15	33%	4-5	80%
David Nwaba #2 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 28	32.0	14	54%	5	1	2	0	1	2	1	4	3-5	60%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
James Harden #13 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 31	31.5	34	89%	6	8	1	0	5	2	0	6	9-9	100%	5-7	71%	5-9	56%
Danuel House Jr. #4 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 28	28.9	3	15%	4	6	0	0	0	5	0	4	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-5	0%
P.J. Tucker #17 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 36	27.0	9	113%	3	4	2	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-4	75%

Sterling Brown #0 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 26	30.7	12	75%	4	2	1	0	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-5	40%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 25	25.4	5	42%	7	2	0	1	3	5	2	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Bruno Caboclo #5 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 25	19.5	6	33%	6	0	0	0	4	3	1	5	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-3	0%
Brodric Thomas #33 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 24	8.2	5	50%	0	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	3-5	60%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
John Wall #1 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 30	DNP - Coach's Decision \| Health and safety protocol
Eric Gordon #10 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 32	DNP - Coach's Decision \| Heath and safety protocol
DeMarcus Cousins #15 · C · 6'11" 270 · 30	DNP - Coach's Decision \| Health and safety protocol
Mason Jones #9 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision \| Health and safety protocol
Ben McLemore #16 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	INACTIVE
KJ Martin #6 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20	INACTIVE
Chris Clemons #3 · SG · 5'9" 180 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	56%	38	25	8	3	15	25	5	33	17-23	74%	23-47	49%	16-39	41%

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4 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Christian Wood #35 · C · 6'9" 214 · 25	36.8	23	55%	3	1	2	2	0	1	0	3	1-2	50%	5-15	33%	4-5	80%
David Nwaba #2 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 28	32.0	14	54%	5	1	2	0	1	2	1	4	3-5	60%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
James Harden #13 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 31	31.5	34	89%	6	8	1	0	5	2	0	6	9-9	100%	5-7	71%	5-9	56%
Danuel House Jr. #4 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 28	28.9	3	15%	4	6	0	0	0	5	0	4	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-5	0%
P.J. Tucker #17 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 36	27.0	9	113%	3	4	2	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-4	75%

Sterling Brown #0 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 26	30.7	12	75%	4	2	1	0	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-5	40%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 25	25.4	5	42%	7	2	0	1	3	5	2	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Bruno Caboclo #5 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 25	19.5	6	33%	6	0	0	0	4	3	1	5	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-3	0%
Brodric Thomas #33 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 24	8.2	5	50%	0	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	3-5	60%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
John Wall #1 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 30	DNP - Coach's Decision \| Health and safety protocol
Eric Gordon #10 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 32	DNP - Coach's Decision \| Heath and safety protocol
DeMarcus Cousins #15 · C · 6'11" 270 · 30	DNP - Coach's Decision \| Health and safety protocol
Mason Jones #9 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision \| Health and safety protocol
Ben McLemore #16 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	INACTIVE
KJ Martin #6 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20	INACTIVE
Chris Clemons #3 · SG · 5'9" 180 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	56%	38	25	8	3	15	25	5	33	17-23	74%	23-47	49%	16-39	41%

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9 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	34.1	19	79%	12	18	3	1	3	2	4	8	2-3	67%	7-10	70%	1-1	100%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	31.1	21	62%	5	2	0	1	2	0	2	3	3-7	43%	3-8	38%	4-6	67%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	28.9	14	70%	3	2	3	0	1	1	1	2	0-1	0%	4-4	100%	2-6	33%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	24.7	19	106%	3	1	0	0	3	1	0	3	2-3	67%	4-4	100%	3-4	75%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 22	23.6	14	58%	9	2	0	1	0	2	0	9	2-3	67%	3-5	60%	2-6	33%

Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 26	23.5	12	75%	4	5	0	1	0	2	0	4	1-3	33%	4-4	100%	1-3	33%
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 30	22.7	11	46%	4	0	0	1	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	4-8	50%	1-4	25%
PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	19.6	3	25%	5	1	1	1	1	1	2	3	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Isaiah Hartenstein #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 23	9.7	5	42%	4	0	1	0	1	4	2	2	3-6	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	5.4	4	67%	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	5.2	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
R.J. Hampton #13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 20	4.1	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	3.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 24	3.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Markus Howard #00 · PG · 5'11" 175 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Greg Whittington #3 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	60%	52	31	8	7	14	18	11	41	18-32	56%	32-56	57%	14-31	45%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.12 56.1%

DEN

1.20 60.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

76%

DEN

71%

Midrange

HOU

DEN

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

24.0

41%

62%

DEN

21.0

45%

68%

Free Throws

HOU

74%

DEN

56%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Harden	34	89%	17.0 / 19
C. Wood	23	55%	11.5 / 21
D. Nwaba	14	54%	7.0 / 13
S. Brown	12	75%	6.0 / 8
P. Tucker	9	113%	4.5 / 4
B. Caboclo	6	33%	3.0 / 9
J. Tate	5	42%	2.5 / 6
B. Thomas	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. House	3	15%	1.5 / 10

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	21	62%	10.5 / 17
N. Jokić	19	79%	9.5 / 12
P. Millsap	19	106%	9.5 / 9
G. Harris	14	70%	7.0 / 10
M. Porter	14	58%	7.0 / 12
M. Morris	12	75%	6.0 / 8
W. Barton	11	46%	5.5 / 12
I. Hartenstein	5	42%	2.5 / 6
F. Campazzo	4	67%	2.0 / 3
P. Dozier	3	25%	1.5 / 6
R. Hampton	2	100%	1.0 / 1
B. Bol	0	-	0.0 / 2
Z. Nnaji	0	-	0.0 / 1
V. Cancar	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 107.4 7 116.8	HOU 106.7 DEN 120.4 +13.7
Pace	7 101.1 28 97.4	HOU 108.6 +9.9 DEN 98.8
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 4 15.1	HOU 13.3 −1.3 DEN 14.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 52.1% 6 55.7%	HOU 54.7% DEN 60.9% +6.2%
TO %	23 14.1% 13 13.0%	HOU 14.3% DEN 13.7% −0.6%
ORB %	28 19.9% 2 24.8%	HOU 10.9% DEN 25.0% +14.1%
FTrt	10 25.2 28 21.9	HOU 26.7 DEN 36.8 +10.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 60.1% 11 62.1%	HOU 64.1% DEN 67.4% +3.3%
STL %	16 7.5% 6 8.2%	HOU 7.7% DEN 7.8% +0.1%
BLK %	12 9.3% 14 9.0%	HOU 5.4% DEN 14.9% +9.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 54.4% 6 57.5%	HOU 56.1% DEN 60.2% +4.1%
Rim FG%	15 61.2% 6 63.9%	HOU 75.9% +5.3% DEN 70.6%
Mid FG%	30 34.6% 5 44.9%	HOU 5.6% DEN 36.4% +30.8%
3P %	28 33.9% 8 37.7%	HOU 41.0% DEN 45.2% +4.2%
FT %	27 74.0% 7 80.3%	HOU 73.9% +17.6% DEN 56.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 37.8% 18 33.5%	HOU 33.7% DEN 39.1% +5.4%
Mid Att. %	1 16.4% 22 28.2%	HOU 20.9% −4.4% DEN 25.3%
3P Att. %	2 45.9% 18 38.3%	HOU 45.3% +9.7% DEN 35.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.37 and 2.37.

Game Totals	HOU	DEN
Possessions	104	103
Possession Minutes	23.0	25.0
Points	111	124
Rebounds	38	52
Assists	25	31
Steals	8	8
Blocks	3	7
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	14 (2)
Fouls	25	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (5)	11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (2)	41 (1)
Field Goals	39-86	46-87
At-the-Rim FG	22-29	24-34
Midrange FG	1-18	8-22
2-Point FG	23-47	32-56
3-Point FG	16-39	14-31
Free Throws	17-23	18-32
Fast Break Pts	18	16
2nd Chance Pts	4	17
Points in Paint	46	58
Pts off Turnovers	15	20
Bench Points	28	37
Biggest Lead	4	25

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg