Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Blazers	34%	112	115	115.0	100	93.4
	1	Lakers	66%	117	107	109.2	98	107.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Robert Covington #23 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 30	37.8	4	22%	6	2	3	1	0	2	1	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-6	0%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 29	36.9	20	43%	3	11	3	1	2	1	1	2	3-3	100%	4-11	36%	3-11	27%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	36.8	5	23%	2	1	0	3	1	4	0	2	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	0-5	0%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	36.4	31	86%	4	5	0	1	5	1	0	4	6-6	100%	5-6	83%	5-10	50%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 26	25.9	10	71%	12	3	1	0	0	1	2	10	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-1	0%

Gary Trent Jr. #2 · SF · 6'5" 204 · 22	23.7	28	93%	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	7-11	64%
Enes Kanter #11 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	22.1	12	67%	14	0	1	0	0	3	3	11	0-0	-	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Rodney Hood #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 28	15.5	5	42%	1	3	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 22	4.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Harry Giles III #4 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
CJ Elleby #16 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Keljin Blevins #21 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Zach Collins #33 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	INACTIVE \| Left Ankle Stress Fracture
Carmelo Anthony #00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	INACTIVE \| Health and Safety Protocols
Nassir Little #9 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Health and Safety Protocols
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	56%	45	27	9	6	9	16	7	38	13-15	87%	27-46	59%	16-46	35%

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10 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Robert Covington #23 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 30	37.8	4	22%	6	2	3	1	0	2	1	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-6	0%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 29	36.9	20	43%	3	11	3	1	2	1	1	2	3-3	100%	4-11	36%	3-11	27%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	36.8	5	23%	2	1	0	3	1	4	0	2	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	0-5	0%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	36.4	31	86%	4	5	0	1	5	1	0	4	6-6	100%	5-6	83%	5-10	50%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 26	25.9	10	71%	12	3	1	0	0	1	2	10	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-1	0%

Gary Trent Jr. #2 · SF · 6'5" 204 · 22	23.7	28	93%	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	7-11	64%
Enes Kanter #11 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	22.1	12	67%	14	0	1	0	0	3	3	11	0-0	-	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Rodney Hood #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 28	15.5	5	42%	1	3	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 22	4.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Harry Giles III #4 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
CJ Elleby #16 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Keljin Blevins #21 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Zach Collins #33 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	INACTIVE \| Left Ankle Stress Fracture
Carmelo Anthony #00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	INACTIVE \| Health and Safety Protocols
Nassir Little #9 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Health and Safety Protocols
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	56%	45	27	9	6	9	16	7	38	13-15	87%	27-46	59%	16-46	35%

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1 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 28	37.8	13	46%	10	5	1	0	3	1	1	9	1-2	50%	6-14	43%	0-0	-
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 27	36.3	24	67%	4	4	1	0	2	3	0	4	7-7	100%	7-14	50%	1-2	50%
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 36	35.9	29	66%	9	6	2	1	3	2	2	7	4-5	80%	8-13	62%	3-7	43%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #1 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 28	28.6	14	78%	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	4-5	80%
Marc Gasol #14 · C · 7'1" 255 · 36	19.4	4	50%	7	0	1	2	0	2	1	6	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%

Montrezl Harrell #15 · C · 6'8" 240 · 27	27.3	9	75%	6	1	0	0	1	1	2	4	3-3	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Kyle Kuzma #0 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 25	23.1	6	33%	0	0	0	1	2	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-8	25%
Wesley Matthews #9 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34	15.3	2	33%	1	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 20	9.6	6	50%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 31	6.8	0	0%	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Quinn Cook #2 · PG · 6'2" 179 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Alfonzo McKinnie #28 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jared Dudley #10 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 35	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kostas Antetokounmpo #37 · PF · 6'11" 195 · 23	INACTIVE
Devontae Cacok #12 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 24	INACTIVE
Alex Caruso #4 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand Strain; Health and Safety Protocols
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	57%	41	20	6	5	14	14	6	35	15-18	83%	31-60	52%	10-27	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	POR	LAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.12 55.8%

LAL

1.15 57.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

16

26

62%

LAL

20

31

65%

Midrange

POR

11

20

55%

LAL

11

29

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

16

24.0

46

35%

52%

LAL

10

15.0

27

37%

56%

Free Throws

POR

13

15

87%

LAL

15

18

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Lillard	31	86%	15.5 / 18
G. Trent	28	93%	14.0 / 15
C. McCollum	20	43%	10.0 / 23
E. Kanter	12	67%	6.0 / 9
J. Nurkić	10	71%	5.0 / 7
D. Jones	5	23%	2.5 / 11
R. Hood	5	42%	2.5 / 6
R. Covington	4	22%	2.0 / 9

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	29	66%	14.5 / 22
D. Schröder	24	67%	12.0 / 18
K. Caldwell-Pope	14	78%	7.0 / 9
A. Davis	13	46%	6.5 / 14
M. Harrell	9	75%	4.5 / 6
K. Kuzma	6	33%	3.0 / 9
T. Horton-Tucker	6	50%	3.0 / 6
M. Gasol	4	50%	2.0 / 4
W. Matthews	2	33%	1.0 / 3
M. Morris	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 117.6 24 110.4	POR 115.0 +5.8 LAL 109.2
Pace	19 98.6 22 98.2	POR 93.4 LAL 107.3 +13.9
Avg. Poss. Time	6 14.9 7 14.9	POR 15.4 LAL 13.4 −2.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.0% 18 53.7%	POR 55.4% +2.5% LAL 52.9%
TO %	1 10.9% 29 14.9%	POR 9.2% −4.4% LAL 13.6%
ORB %	11 23.1% 14 22.5%	POR 16.7% +3.1% LAL 13.6%
FTrt	22 23.8 6 27.1	POR 16.3 LAL 20.7 +4.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 51.5% 15 60.7%	POR 62.8% +14.0% LAL 48.8%
STL %	24 7.0% 12 7.8%	POR 9.0% +2.9% LAL 6.1%
BLK %	10 9.4% 8 9.9%	POR 10.0% LAL 10.9% +0.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.33 and 2.33.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 56.6% 18 55.8%	POR 55.8% LAL 57.5% +1.7%
Rim FG%	26 58.1% 8 63.6%	POR 61.5% LAL 64.5% +3.0%
Mid FG%	18 41.0% 23 40.0%	POR 55.0% +17.1% LAL 37.9%
3P %	6 38.5% 21 35.4%	POR 34.8% LAL 37.0% +2.2%
FT %	3 82.3% 28 73.9%	POR 86.7% +3.4% LAL 83.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 31.8% 8 37.6%	POR 28.3% LAL 35.6% +7.4%
Mid Att. %	10 23.4% 16 26.1%	POR 21.7% −11.6% LAL 33.3%
3P Att. %	3 44.8% 22 36.3%	POR 50.0% +19.0% LAL 31.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	LAL
Possessions	100	98
Possession Minutes	25.7	21.9
Points	115	107
Rebounds	45	41
Assists	27	20
Steals	9	6
Blocks	6	5
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	14 (1)
Fouls	16	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (5)	6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (1)	35 (4)
Field Goals	43-92	41-87
At-the-Rim FG	16-26	20-31
Midrange FG	11-20	11-29
2-Point FG	27-46	31-60
3-Point FG	16-46	10-27
Free Throws	13-15	15-18
Fast Break Pts	16	16
2nd Chance Pts	8	16
Points in Paint	40	52
Pts off Turnovers	18	10
Bench Points	45	23
Biggest Lead	8	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg