Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Bucks	54%	114	144	139.8	103	102.1
	14	Heat	46%	112	97	94.2	103	103.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jrue Holiday #21 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 31	26.1	24	80%	3	7	3	1	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	6-10	60%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 29	25.3	25	96%	4	5	2	0	5	3	2	2	1-1	100%	6-8	75%	4-5	80%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 26	24.2	9	41%	6	6	3	0	2	2	0	6	3-5	60%	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 24	19.3	17	106%	1	2	2	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	5-6	83%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 33	18.2	14	117%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	3-4	75%

Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 26	26.3	11	50%	9	1	1	0	2	4	3	6	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
D.J. Augustin #12 · PG · 6'0" 183 · 33	20.7	10	83%	4	2	0	0	1	0	3	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 28	20.0	5	83%	5	4	1	0	4	2	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Bryn Forbes #7 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	17.6	12	75%	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-5	40%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 28	12.2	3	50%	2	3	1	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Jordan Nwora #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 22	11.8	8	50%	2	0	1	0	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	0-4	0%	2-3	67%
D.J. Wilson #5 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 25	9.4	3	30%	3	0	0	0	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Sam Merrill #15 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 25	8.8	3	150%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Mamadi Diakite #25 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 24	INACTIVE
Jaylen Adams #6 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25	INACTIVE
Torrey Craig #3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nasal; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	144	72%	45	32	14	2	17	22	10	35	13-15	87%	22-41	54%	29-51	57%

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3 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jrue Holiday #21 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 31	26.1	24	80%	3	7	3	1	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	6-10	60%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 29	25.3	25	96%	4	5	2	0	5	3	2	2	1-1	100%	6-8	75%	4-5	80%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 26	24.2	9	41%	6	6	3	0	2	2	0	6	3-5	60%	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 24	19.3	17	106%	1	2	2	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	5-6	83%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 33	18.2	14	117%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	3-4	75%

Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 26	26.3	11	50%	9	1	1	0	2	4	3	6	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
D.J. Augustin #12 · PG · 6'0" 183 · 33	20.7	10	83%	4	2	0	0	1	0	3	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 28	20.0	5	83%	5	4	1	0	4	2	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Bryn Forbes #7 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	17.6	12	75%	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-5	40%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 28	12.2	3	50%	2	3	1	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Jordan Nwora #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 22	11.8	8	50%	2	0	1	0	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	0-4	0%	2-3	67%
D.J. Wilson #5 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 25	9.4	3	30%	3	0	0	0	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Sam Merrill #15 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 25	8.8	3	150%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Mamadi Diakite #25 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 24	INACTIVE
Jaylen Adams #6 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25	INACTIVE
Torrey Craig #3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nasal; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	144	72%	45	32	14	2	17	22	10	35	13-15	87%	22-41	54%	29-51	57%

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14 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyler Herro #14 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 21	33.1	23	68%	3	7	1	0	1	2	0	3	2-3	67%	6-8	75%	3-8	38%
Bam Adebayo #13 · PF · 6'9" 260 · 23	25.0	12	75%	6	4	1	1	5	2	0	6	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 27	24.1	4	50%	2	1	1	1	3	2	0	2	1-1	100%	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Maurice Harkless #8 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 28	3.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Meyers Leonard #0 · C · 7'1" 255 · 29	2.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%

Kendrick Nunn #25 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 25	30.8	15	42%	3	6	1	1	1	0	1	2	2-2	100%	5-11	45%	1-6	17%
KZ Okpala #4 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 22	27.4	3	30%	4	0	1	0	0	1	1	3	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Kelly Olynyk #9 · C · 7'0" 240 · 30	24.8	5	36%	5	2	2	2	2	2	1	4	2-4	50%	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Avery Bradley #11 · SG · 6'2" 180 · 30	24.3	14	78%	2	1	1	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	4-6	67%
Precious Achiuwa #5 · SF · 6'8" 243 · 21	17.6	10	56%	4	0	1	0	2	3	0	4	0-2	0%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Max Strus #31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25	12.0	7	70%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Goran Dragic #7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	9.7	2	50%	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Chris Silva #30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	5.3	2	100%	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41	DNP - Coach's Decision
Andre Iguodala #28 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 37	DND - Rest
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	INACTIVE
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	54%	30	23	9	6	21	18	3	27	12-18	67%	26-42	62%	11-37	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.44 72.0%

MIA

1.08 53.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

12

18

67%

MIA

13

17

76%

Midrange

MIL

10

23

43%

MIA

13

25

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

29

43.5

51

57%

85%

MIA

11

16.5

37

30%

45%

Free Throws

MIL

13

15

87%

MIA

12

18

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Middleton	25	96%	12.5 / 13
J. Holiday	24	80%	12.0 / 15
D. DiVincenzo	17	106%	8.5 / 8
B. Lopez	14	117%	7.0 / 6
B. Forbes	12	75%	6.0 / 8
B. Portis	11	50%	5.5 / 11
D. Augustin	10	83%	5.0 / 6
G. Antetokounmpo	9	41%	4.5 / 11
J. Nwora	8	50%	4.0 / 8
T. Antetokounmpo	5	83%	2.5 / 3
P. Connaughton	3	50%	1.5 / 3
D. Wilson	3	30%	1.5 / 5
S. Merrill	3	150%	1.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Herro	23	68%	11.5 / 17
K. Nunn	15	42%	7.5 / 18
A. Bradley	14	78%	7.0 / 9
B. Adebayo	12	75%	6.0 / 8
P. Achiuwa	10	56%	5.0 / 9
M. Strus	7	70%	3.5 / 5
K. Olynyk	5	36%	2.5 / 7
D. Robinson	4	50%	2.0 / 4
K. Okpala	3	30%	1.5 / 5
G. Dragic	2	50%	1.0 / 2
C. Silva	2	100%	1.0 / 1
M. Harkless	0	-	0.0 / 1
M. Leonard	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 116.9 19 111.1	MIL 139.8 +45.6 MIA 94.2
Pace	2 102.5 29 96.7	MIL 102.1 MIA 103.9 +1.7
Avg. Poss. Time	29 13.6 12 14.7	MIL 14.1 MIA 13.9 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 56.6% 11 54.6%	MIL 71.2% +17.4% MIA 53.8%
TO %	15 13.0% 21 13.7%	MIL 14.7% −5.5% MIA 20.2%
ORB %	9 23.3% 29 19.4%	MIL 27.0% +19.1% MIA 7.9%
FTrt	24 23.3 11 25.2	MIL 16.3 MIA 22.8 +6.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	25 56.9% 2 67.1%	MIL 62.7% +0.5% MIA 62.2%
STL %	10 7.9% 7 8.2%	MIL 13.6% +4.9% MIA 8.7%
BLK %	20 8.6% 22 8.5%	MIL 4.8% MIA 14.6% +9.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 58.2% 13 56.5%	MIL 72.0% +18.1% MIA 53.9%
Rim FG%	1 65.0% 2 64.8%	MIL 66.7% MIA 76.5% +9.8%
Mid FG%	11 43.5% 16 41.8%	MIL 43.5% MIA 52.0% +8.5%
3P %	5 38.9% 19 35.8%	MIL 56.9% +27.2% MIA 29.7%
FT %	23 76.0% 12 79.0%	MIL 86.7% +20.0% MIA 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	23 32.9% 20 33.3%	MIL 19.6% MIA 21.5% +2.0%
Mid Att. %	18 26.7% 11 23.5%	MIL 25.0% −6.6% MIA 31.6%
3P Att. %	12 40.4% 7 43.2%	MIL 55.4% +8.6% MIA 46.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIL	MIA
Possessions	103	103
Possession Minutes	24.2	23.8
Points	144	97
Rebounds	45	30
Assists	32	23
Steals	14	9
Blocks	2	6
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	21 (1)
Fouls	22	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	3 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (2)	27 (1)
Field Goals	51-92	37-79
At-the-Rim FG	12-18	13-17
Midrange FG	10-23	13-25
2-Point FG	22-41	26-42
3-Point FG	29-51	11-37
Free Throws	13-15	12-18
Fast Break Pts	31	10
2nd Chance Pts	17	11
Points in Paint	26	36
Pts off Turnovers	31	13
Bench Points	55	58
Biggest Lead	51	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg