Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, December 29, 2020

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Nuggets	51%	115	115	113.9	101	102.6
	17	Kings	49%	114	125	123.8	101	100.0

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+10

-19

SAC

+14

-10

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.24 61.8%

SAC

1.19 59.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

11 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 23	40.3	30	79%	10	1	0	2	0	4	4	6	2-2	100%	8-11	73%	4-7	57%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	38.5	26	76%	10	12	2	0	10	4	1	9	7-7	100%	8-11	73%	1-3	33%
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 26	36.8	24	80%	1	4	2	1	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	8-9	89%	2-6	33%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	31.4	11	50%	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-5	20%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	27.9	5	42%	4	2	0	0	1	0	0	4	3-5	60%	1-4	25%	0-0	-

Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 30	21.7	7	44%	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-1	100%
PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	16.7	8	100%	4	1	0	2	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-2	100%
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	12.6	1	13%	2	5	2	0	3	4	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Isaiah Hartenstein #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 23	9.0	3	38%	3	1	0	0	2	1	1	2	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	3.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
R.J. Hampton #13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 20	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Markus Howard #00 · PG · 5'11" 175 · 22	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Right elbow; Contusion
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Greg Whittington #3 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	62%	39	27	7	5	19	18	7	32	16-20	80%	33-53	62%	11-28	39%

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11 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 23	40.3	30	79%	10	1	0	2	0	4	4	6	2-2	100%	8-11	73%	4-7	57%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	38.5	26	76%	10	12	2	0	10	4	1	9	7-7	100%	8-11	73%	1-3	33%
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 26	36.8	24	80%	1	4	2	1	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	8-9	89%	2-6	33%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	31.4	11	50%	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-5	20%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	27.9	5	42%	4	2	0	0	1	0	0	4	3-5	60%	1-4	25%	0-0	-

Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 30	21.7	7	44%	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-1	100%
PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	16.7	8	100%	4	1	0	2	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-2	100%
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	12.6	1	13%	2	5	2	0	3	4	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Isaiah Hartenstein #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 23	9.0	3	38%	3	1	0	0	2	1	1	2	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	3.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
R.J. Hampton #13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 20	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Markus Howard #00 · PG · 5'11" 175 · 22	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Right elbow; Contusion
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Greg Whittington #3 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	62%	39	27	7	5	19	18	7	32	16-20	80%	33-53	62%	11-28	39%

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17 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 23	35.0	24	67%	3	9	2	1	2	2	1	2	6-7	86%	6-11	55%	2-4	50%
Buddy Hield #24 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 28	34.6	12	60%	8	3	0	0	2	2	1	7	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	3-7	43%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29	33.1	13	41%	6	8	0	0	2	0	5	1	0-0	-	2-10	20%	3-6	50%
Richaun Holmes #22 · C · 6'9" 235 · 27	32.0	20	77%	5	3	2	1	1	2	2	3	0-1	0%	10-13	77%	0-0	-
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 22	23.2	18	60%	2	1	1	0	0	2	0	2	4-6	67%	4-7	57%	2-5	40%

Tyrese Haliburton #0 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21	24.9	13	93%	3	6	3	0	2	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-4	75%
Cory Joseph #9 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 29	23.4	7	50%	0	2	1	0	0	3	0	0	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Nemanja Bjelica #8 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 33	20.9	12	67%	5	1	0	0	1	3	0	5	2-3	67%	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Hassan Whiteside #20 · C · 7'0" 265 · 32	12.7	6	38%	5	0	0	0	0	3	2	3	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Glenn Robinson III #30 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 27	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jabari Parker #33 · PF · 6'8" 250 · 26	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kyle Guy #7 · SG · 6'1" 167 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jahmi'us Ramsey #3 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	DNP - Coach's Decision
Robert Woodard II #13 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Justin James #10 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Chimezie Metu #25 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 24	Inactive - Coach's Decision
DaQuan Jeffries #19 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	60%	37	33	9	2	10	18	12	25	17-22	77%	30-61	49%	16-33	48%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	SAC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.24 61.8%

SAC

1.19 59.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

68%

SAC

52%

Midrange

DEN

55%

SAC

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

16.5

39%

59%

SAC

24.0

48%

73%

Free Throws

DEN

80%

SAC

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Porter	30	79%	15.0 / 19
N. Jokić	26	76%	13.0 / 17
M. Morris	24	80%	12.0 / 15
G. Harris	11	50%	5.5 / 11
P. Dozier	8	100%	4.0 / 4
W. Barton	7	44%	3.5 / 8
P. Millsap	5	42%	2.5 / 6
I. Hartenstein	3	38%	1.5 / 4
F. Campazzo	1	13%	0.5 / 4
B. Bol	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Fox	24	67%	12.0 / 18
R. Holmes	20	77%	10.0 / 13
M. Bagley	18	60%	9.0 / 15
H. Barnes	13	41%	6.5 / 16
T. Haliburton	13	93%	6.5 / 7
B. Hield	12	60%	6.0 / 10
N. Bjelica	12	67%	6.0 / 9
C. Joseph	7	50%	3.5 / 7
H. Whiteside	6	38%	3.0 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 116.8 12 113.2	DEN 113.9 SAC 123.8 +9.9
Pace	28 97.4 8 100.4	DEN 102.6 +2.6 SAC 100.0
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.1 24 14.1	DEN 14.0 −0.4 SAC 14.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 55.7% 9 54.9%	DEN 61.1% +3.7% SAC 57.4%
TO %	13 13.0% 11 12.8%	DEN 18.2% SAC 9.6% −8.6%
ORB %	2 24.8% 20 21.3%	DEN 21.9% SAC 27.3% +5.4%
FTrt	28 21.9 12 24.8	DEN 24.7 +1.3 SAC 23.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 62.1% 17 59.9%	DEN 61.4% SAC 71.7% +10.3%
STL %	6 8.2% 14 7.5%	DEN 6.9% SAC 8.9% +2.0%
BLK %	14 9.0% 16 8.8%	DEN 8.2% +4.4% SAC 3.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 57.5% 10 56.6%	DEN 61.8% +2.3% SAC 59.5%
Rim FG%	6 63.9% 9 63.4%	DEN 67.7% +15.8% SAC 51.9%
Mid FG%	5 44.9% 6 44.7%	DEN 54.5% +7.4% SAC 47.1%
3P %	8 37.7% 16 36.4%	DEN 39.3% SAC 48.5% +9.2%
FT %	7 80.3% 25 74.5%	DEN 80.0% +2.7% SAC 77.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 33.5% 14 34.7%	DEN 38.3% +9.5% SAC 28.7%
Mid Att. %	22 28.2% 20 27.7%	DEN 27.2% −9.0% SAC 36.2%
3P Att. %	18 38.3% 20 37.6%	DEN 34.6% SAC 35.1% +0.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	SAC
Possessions	101	101
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.2
Points	115	125
Rebounds	39	37
Assists	27	33
Steals	7	9
Blocks	5	2
Turnovers (Team)	19 (1)	10 (1)
Fouls	18	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (3)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (5)	25 (2)
Field Goals	44-81	46-94
At-the-Rim FG	21-31	14-27
Midrange FG	12-22	16-34
2-Point FG	33-53	30-61
3-Point FG	11-28	16-33
Free Throws	16-20	17-22
Fast Break Pts	14	14
2nd Chance Pts	10	13
Points in Paint	54	54
Pts off Turnovers	14	37
Bench Points	19	38
Biggest Lead	10	14

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg