FinalWin Prob.pScore
171%118
121
2029%110
107
ORTG#PossPace
LAL logo LAL
119.810198.5
SAS logo SAS
104.9102105.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventLALSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.121
100%
107
0%
Q4 - 0:15.8SpursTre Jones makes two point reverse layup121
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.1LakersMontrezl Harrell makes regular free throw 2 of 2121
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.1LakersMontrezl Harrell makes regular free throw 1 of 2120
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.1SpursDrew Eubanks shooting foul (Montrezl Harrell draws the foul)119
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.7LakersMontrezl Harrell defensive rebound119
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.8SpursTre Jones misses two point pullup jump shot119
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 0:49.2LakersQuinn Cook makes three point pullup jump shot119
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02SpursDejounte Murray personal foul (Take) (Dennis Schroder draws the foul)116
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14LakersMarkieff Morris defensive rebound116
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 1:19SpursRudy Gay misses three point jump shot116
99.8%
105
0.2%
Q4 - 1:30SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound116
99.7%
105
0.3%
Q4 - 1:32LakersMarkieff Morris misses three point jump shot116
99.7%
105
0.3%
Q4 - 1:48SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 2116
99.7%
105
0.3%
Q4 - 1:48SpursDeMar DeRozan misses regular free throw 1 of 2116
99.7%
104
0.3%
Q4 - 1:48LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)116
99.6%
104
0.4%
Q4 - 2:00LakersLeBron James makes two point running dunk (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)116
99.7%
104
0.3%
Q4 - 2:06LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound114
99.6%
104
0.4%
Q4 - 2:06SpursLonnie Walker IV misses two point driving layup114
99.5%
104
0.5%
Q4 - 2:10SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound114
99.3%
104
0.7%
Q4 - 2:13LakersRudy Gay blocks LeBron James's two point driving layup114
99.4%
104
0.6%
Q4 - 2:26LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound114
99.6%
104
0.4%
Q4 - 2:28SpursDejounte Murray misses two point driving finger roll layup114
99.5%
104
0.5%
Q4 - 2:43LakersAnthony Davis makes two point jump shot114
99.3%
104
0.7%
Q4 - 3:11SpursDeMar DeRozan makes three point jump shot (Lonnie Walker IV assists)112
98.5%
104
1.5%
Q4 - 3:28LakersLeBron James makes two point driving layup112
99.3%
101
0.7%
Q4 - 3:36SpursDejounte Murray turnover (bad pass)110
98.1%
101
1.9%
Q4 - 3:37SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound110
97.2%
101
2.8%
Q4 - 3:41LakersDennis Schroder misses two point driving finger roll layup110
97.6%
101
2.4%
Q4 - 3:55SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 2110
98.2%
101
1.8%
Q4 - 3:55SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 2110
98.3%
100
1.7%
Q4 - 3:55LakersLeBron James shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)110
98.4%
99
1.6%
Q4 - 4:06LakersAnthony Davis makes two point stepback jump shot110
98.7%
99
1.3%
Q4 - 4:29SpursDejounte Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
98.3%
99
1.7%
Q4 - 4:29SpursDejounte Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
98.4%
98
1.6%
Q4 - 4:29LakersAnthony Davis shooting foul (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)108
98.5%
97
1.5%
Q4 - 4:29SpursJakob Poeltl offensive rebound108
98.7%
97
1.3%
Q4 - 4:32SpursLonnie Walker IV misses three point jump shot108
99.0%
97
1.0%
Q4 - 4:42SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound108
98.8%
97
1.2%
Q4 - 4:45LakersLeBron James misses two point driving reverse layup108
98.9%
97
1.1%
Q4 - 5:05SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point tip layup108
98.6%
97
1.4%
Q4 - 5:05SpursJakob Poeltl offensive rebound108
99.0%
95
1.0%
Q4 - 5:10SpursLonnie Walker IV misses two point pullup jump shot108
99.2%
95
0.8%
Q4 - 5:22LakersAnthony Davis personal foul (Lonnie Walker IV draws the foul)108
99.0%
95
1.0%
Q4 - 5:38LakersMontrezl Harrell makes two point putback dunk108
99.0%
95
1.0%
Q4 - 5:38LakersMontrezl Harrell offensive rebound106
98.7%
95
1.3%
Q4 - 5:42LakersDennis Schroder misses two point driving finger roll layup106
98.3%
95
1.7%
Q4 - 5:52SpursDejounte Murray makes two point pullup jump shot106
98.7%
95
1.3%
Q4 - 6:03SpursKeldon Johnson defensive rebound106
98.6%
93
1.4%
Q4 - 6:05LakersLeBron James misses two point driving hook shot106
98.7%
93
1.3%
Q4 - 6:25SpursKeldon Johnson turnover (offensive foul)106
99.0%
93
1.0%
Q4 - 6:25SpursKeldon Johnson offensive foul (Charge) (Montrezl Harrell draws the foul)106
98.6%
93
1.4%
Q4 - 6:39LakersMontrezl Harrell turnover (traveling)106
98.6%
93
1.4%
Q4 - 6:53SpursKeldon Johnson makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)106
99.0%
93
1.0%
Q4 - 7:11LakersMontrezl Harrell makes regular free throw 2 of 2106
99.2%
90
0.8%
Q4 - 7:11LakersMontrezl Harrell makes regular free throw 1 of 2105
99.1%
90
0.9%
Q4 - 7:11SpursDeMar DeRozan shooting foul (Montrezl Harrell draws the foul)104
99.0%
90
1.0%
Q4 - 7:34SpursDejounte Murray makes two point floating jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)104
99.0%
90
1.0%
Q4 - 7:46LakersLeBron James turnover (out of bounds bad pass)104
99.2%
88
0.8%
Q4 - 7:47LakersLeBron James defensive rebound104
99.4%
88
0.6%
Q4 - 7:50SpursLonnie Walker IV misses three point jump shot104
99.4%
88
0.6%
Q4 - 8:09LakersMarkieff Morris makes two point jump shot (LeBron James assists)104
99.0%
88
1.0%
Q4 - 8:24SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
98.7%
88
1.3%
Q4 - 8:24SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 2102
98.7%
87
1.3%
Q4 - 8:24LakersMarkieff Morris shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)102
98.8%
86
1.2%
Q4 - 8:44SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound102
99.0%
86
1.0%
Q4 - 8:47LakersMontrezl Harrell misses regular free throw 2 of 2102
99.0%
86
1.0%
Q4 - 8:47LakersMontrezl Harrell misses regular free throw 1 of 2102
99.1%
86
0.9%
Q4 - 8:47SpursPatty Mills shooting foul (Montrezl Harrell draws the foul)102
99.3%
86
0.7%
Q4 - 8:49LakersMarkieff Morris defensive rebound102
99.2%
86
0.8%
Q4 - 8:51SpursDrew Eubanks misses two point jump shot102
99.1%
86
0.9%
Q4 - 9:03LakersMontrezl Harrell makes two point putback dunk102
98.7%
86
1.3%
Q4 - 9:03LakersMontrezl Harrell offensive rebound100
98.5%
86
1.5%
Q4 - 9:08LakersMontrezl Harrell misses two point layup100
98.2%
86
1.8%
Q4 - 9:30SpursLonnie Walker IV turnover (traveling)100
98.5%
86
1.5%
Q4 - 9:33LakersMarkieff Morris personal foul (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)100
98.0%
86
2.0%
Q4 - 9:35SpursDevin Vassell defensive rebound100
98.0%
86
2.0%
Q4 - 9:37LakersLeBron James misses two point fadeaway jump shot100
98.2%
86
1.8%
Q4 - 10:04SpursDrew Eubanks makes two point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)100
98.1%
86
1.9%
Q4 - 10:21LakersWesley Matthews makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)100
98.5%
84
1.5%
Q4 - 10:41SpursDejounte Murray makes two point stepback jump shot97
97.7%
84
2.3%
Q4 - 10:59LakersWesley Matthews makes three point jump shot (Markieff Morris assists)97
98.1%
82
1.9%
Q4 - 11:09LakersMarkieff Morris defensive rebound94
96.6%
82
3.4%
Q4 - 11:12SpursRudy Gay misses two point driving finger roll layup94
96.4%
82
3.6%
Q4 - 11:25LakersLeBron James makes two point driving finger roll layup94
95.9%
82
4.1%
Q4 - 11:38LakersMarkieff Morris defensive rebound92
95.0%
82
5.0%
Q4 - 11:40SpursDejounte Murray misses three point jump shot92
94.7%
82
5.3%
Q4 - 11:53LakersMontrezl Harrell personal foul (Drew Eubanks draws the foul)92
93.9%
82
6.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.92
93.9%
82
6.1%
Q3 - 0:01.7SpursPatty Mills defensive rebound92
93.4%
82
6.6%
Q3 - 0:04.1LakersLeBron James misses two point dunk92
93.8%
82
6.2%
Q3 - 0:08.8LakersMarkieff Morris defensive rebound92
94.5%
82
5.5%
Q3 - 0:11.5SpursDevin Vassell misses two point reverse layup92
94.2%
82
5.8%
Q3 - 0:16.5LakersLeBron James turnover (bad pass) (Patty Mills steals)92
93.4%
82
6.6%
Q3 - 0:35.2SpursDevin Vassell makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)92
94.5%
82
5.5%
Q3 - 0:42.6SpursDevin Vassell defensive rebound92
96.3%
79
3.7%
Q3 - 0:48.0LakersLeBron James misses three point pullup jump shot92
96.5%
79
3.5%
Q3 - 0:54.4SpursDejounte Murray makes two point pullup jump shot92
96.9%
79
3.1%
Q3 - 1:00SpursPatty Mills offensive rebound92
97.5%
77
2.5%
Q3 - 1:02SpursDevin Vassell misses three point jump shot92
97.5%
77
2.5%
Q3 - 1:18SpursDrew Eubanks defensive rebound92
97.1%
77
2.9%
Q3 - 1:18LakersMontrezl Harrell misses two point layup92
97.3%
77
2.7%
Q3 - 1:38SpursDejounte Murray turnover (bad pass) (LeBron James steals)92
97.7%
77
2.3%
Q3 - 1:46SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound92
97.1%
77
2.9%
Q3 - 1:49LakersLeBron James misses two point pullup jump shot92
97.3%
77
2.7%
Q3 - 2:04SpursDejounte Murray makes three point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)92
97.3%
77
2.7%
Q3 - 2:16SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound92
98.1%
74
1.9%
Q3 - 2:19LakersKyle Kuzma misses regular free throw 2 of 292
98.1%
74
1.9%
Q3 - 2:19LakersKyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 1 of 292
98.3%
74
1.7%
Q3 - 2:19SpursDrew Eubanks shooting foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)91
98.2%
74
1.8%
Q3 - 2:23LakersDennis Schroder defensive rebound91
98.1%
74
1.9%
Q3 - 2:26SpursRudy Gay misses three point pullup jump shot91
98.0%
74
2.0%
Q3 - 2:40LakersDennis Schroder makes three point jump shot (Kyle Kuzma assists)91
97.7%
74
2.3%
Q3 - 2:53SpursDejounte Murray personal foul (Dennis Schroder draws the foul)88
96.8%
74
3.2%
Q3 - 2:57LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound88
96.8%
74
3.2%
Q3 - 2:59SpursJakob Poeltl misses regular free throw 2 of 288
96.7%
74
3.3%
Q3 - 2:59SpursJakob Poeltl misses regular free throw 1 of 288
96.5%
74
3.5%
Q3 - 2:59LakersWesley Matthews shooting foul (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)88
96.1%
74
3.9%
Q3 - 3:14LakersWesley Matthews makes three point pullup jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)88
95.8%
74
4.2%
Q3 - 3:29SpursDeMar DeRozan turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Kuzma steals)85
94.3%
74
5.7%
Q3 - 3:52LakersWesley Matthews makes three point jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)85
93.1%
74
6.9%
Q3 - 4:02SpursPatty Mills makes regular free throw 2 of 282
90.4%
74
9.6%
Q3 - 4:02SpursPatty Mills makes regular free throw 1 of 282
90.6%
73
9.4%
Q3 - 4:02LakersDennis Schroder personal foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)82
90.8%
72
9.2%
Q3 - 4:13LakersKyle Kuzma turnover (double dribble)82
91.6%
72
8.4%
Q3 - 4:24SpursPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)82
93.0%
72
7.0%
Q3 - 4:40LakersDennis Schroder makes two point driving finger roll layup82
94.7%
69
5.3%
Q3 - 4:47LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound80
94.0%
69
6.0%
Q3 - 4:49SpursJakob Poeltl misses two point hook shot80
93.6%
69
6.4%
Q3 - 5:06SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound80
92.4%
69
7.6%
Q3 - 5:09LakersAnthony Davis misses two point jump shot80
92.8%
69
7.2%
Q3 - 5:21SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point turnaround jump shot80
93.6%
69
6.4%
Q3 - 5:35LakersDennis Schroder makes two point pullup jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)80
94.4%
67
5.6%
Q3 - 5:45LakersDennis Schroder offensive rebound78
93.6%
67
6.4%
Q3 - 5:47LakersAnthony Davis misses two point jump shot78
92.8%
67
7.2%
Q3 - 6:01SpursPatty Mills makes regular free throw 2 of 278
93.3%
67
6.7%
Q3 - 6:01SpursPatty Mills makes regular free throw 1 of 278
93.4%
66
6.6%
Q3 - 6:01LakersMarc Gasol shooting foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)78
93.6%
65
6.4%
Q3 - 6:07LakersDennis Schroder personal foul (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)78
94.1%
65
5.9%
Q3 - 6:17LakersDennis Schroder makes three point jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)78
94.1%
65
5.9%
Q3 - 6:45SpursDejounte Murray makes three point pullup jump shot75
92.3%
65
7.7%
Q3 - 6:58LakersMarc Gasol turnover (lost ball) (Dejounte Murray steals)75
94.2%
62
5.8%
Q3 - 7:10SpursSpurs turnover (shot clock violation)75
94.7%
62
5.3%
Q3 - 7:36LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point running layup (Marc Gasol assists)75
93.8%
62
6.2%
Q3 - 7:38LakersMarc Gasol defensive rebound73
93.0%
62
7.0%
Q3 - 7:41SpursLeBron James blocks Keldon Johnson's two point layup73
92.7%
62
7.3%
Q3 - 8:00LakersAnthony Davis makes two point reverse layup (LeBron James assists)73
91.8%
62
8.2%
Q3 - 8:11SpursLonnie Walker IV makes two point driving layup (Keldon Johnson assists)71
90.7%
62
9.3%
Q3 - 8:17SpursKeldon Johnson defensive rebound71
91.7%
60
8.3%
Q3 - 8:19LakersLeBron James misses two point turnaround jump shot71
92.1%
60
7.9%
Q3 - 8:34SpursLonnie Walker IV makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)71
92.9%
60
7.1%
Q3 - 8:45LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope personal foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)71
94.5%
57
5.5%
Q3 - 8:56LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)71
94.5%
57
5.5%
Q3 - 9:08LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound68
92.7%
57
7.3%
Q3 - 9:09SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point turnaround jump shot68
92.4%
57
7.6%
Q3 - 9:20LakersMarc Gasol personal foul (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)68
91.6%
57
8.4%
Q3 - 9:30LakersMarc Gasol turnover (offensive foul)68
91.6%
57
8.4%
Q3 - 9:30LakersMarc Gasol offensive foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)68
92.7%
57
7.3%
Q3 - 9:49SpursDejounte Murray makes two point dunk (DeMar DeRozan assists)68
92.7%
57
7.3%
Q3 - 9:51SpursJakob Poeltl offensive rebound68
93.5%
55
6.5%
Q3 - 9:54SpursKeldon Johnson misses three point jump shot68
94.2%
55
5.8%
Q3 - 10:06LakersDennis Schroder turnover (out of bounds bad pass)68
93.3%
55
6.7%
Q3 - 10:13SpursDejounte Murray turnover (offensive foul)68
94.3%
55
5.7%
Q3 - 10:13SpursDejounte Murray offensive foul (Charge) (Dennis Schroder draws the foul)68
93.3%
55
6.7%
Q3 - 10:28LakersLeBron James makes three point jump shot (Marc Gasol assists)68
93.3%
55
6.7%
Q3 - 10:45LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound65
91.6%
55
8.4%
Q3 - 10:47SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point turnaround jump shot65
91.2%
55
8.8%
Q3 - 11:07LakersDennis Schroder turnover (traveling)65
90.3%
55
9.7%
Q3 - 11:18SpursDejounte Murray makes two point driving finger roll layup65
91.5%
55
8.5%
Q3 - 11:24SpursKeldon Johnson offensive rebound65
92.4%
53
7.6%
Q3 - 11:25SpursKeldon Johnson misses two point driving layup65
93.1%
53
6.9%
Q3 - 11:34LakersAnthony Davis personal foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)65
92.4%
53
7.6%
Q3 - 11:47LakersAnthony Davis makes two point alley-oop dunk (LeBron James assists)65
92.4%
53
7.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.63
91.5%
53
8.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0SpursSpurs offensive rebound63
90.3%
53
9.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SpursLonnie Walker IV misses three point jump shot63
91.2%
53
8.8%
Q2 - 0:00.3LakersMarc Gasol makes regular free throw 1 of 163
90.4%
53
9.6%
Q2 - 0:00.3SpursDrew Eubanks shooting foul (Marc Gasol draws the foul)62
90.2%
53
9.8%
Q2 - 0:00.3LakersMarc Gasol offensive rebound60
87.5%
53
12.5%
Q2 - 0:01.8LakersLeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 160
86.6%
53
13.4%
Q2 - 0:01.8SpursDrew Eubanks shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)60
87.5%
53
12.5%
Q2 - 0:17.5SpursRudy Gay makes two point dunk (Patty Mills assists)58
84.4%
53
15.6%
Q2 - 0:20.2SpursDrew Eubanks defensive rebound58
86.4%
51
13.6%
Q2 - 0:23.4LakersAnthony Davis misses three point jump shot58
86.8%
51
13.2%
Q2 - 0:45.6SpursRudy Gay makes three point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)58
87.5%
51
12.5%
Q2 - 0:50.5LakersAnthony Davis turnover (bad pass) (Patty Mills steals)58
90.4%
48
9.6%
Q2 - 1:00SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 158
91.2%
48
8.8%
Q2 - 1:00LakersKyle Kuzma shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)58
91.3%
47
8.7%
Q2 - 1:15LakersLeBron James makes two point reverse layup58
93.1%
45
6.9%
Q2 - 1:26LakersLeBron James defensive rebound56
91.9%
45
8.1%
Q2 - 1:28SpursPatty Mills misses two point driving finger roll layup56
91.7%
45
8.3%
Q2 - 1:48LakersAnthony Davis makes two point running dunk (LeBron James assists)56
91.3%
45
8.7%
Q2 - 1:50LakersLeBron James defensive rebound54
89.8%
45
10.2%
Q2 - 1:51SpursLonnie Walker IV misses two point layup54
89.6%
45
10.4%
Q2 - 2:03LakersMarc Gasol turnover (out of bounds bad pass)54
88.5%
45
11.5%
Q2 - 2:12LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound54
89.7%
45
10.3%
Q2 - 2:14SpursRudy Gay misses two point turnaround jump shot54
89.4%
45
10.6%
Q2 - 2:21SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound54
88.5%
45
11.5%
Q2 - 2:23LakersKyle Kuzma misses two point turnaround jump shot54
88.9%
45
11.1%
Q2 - 2:50SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point layup54
89.7%
45
10.3%
Q2 - 3:11LakersDennis Schroder turnover (out of bounds bad pass)54
90.3%
43
9.7%
Q2 - 3:23SpursDejounte Murray makes two point pullup jump shot54
91.4%
43
8.6%
Q2 - 3:29SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound54
92.1%
41
7.9%
Q2 - 3:32LakersDennis Schroder misses two point driving finger roll layup54
92.4%
41
7.6%
Q2 - 3:42LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound54
93.0%
41
7.0%
Q2 - 3:44SpursLonnie Walker IV misses two point pullup jump shot54
92.8%
41
7.2%
Q2 - 3:56LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes technical free throw 1 of 154
92.2%
41
7.8%
Q2 - 3:56SpursGregg Popovich technical foul53
91.9%
41
8.1%
Q2 - 3:56LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes technical free throw 1 of 153
91.3%
41
8.7%
Q2 - 3:56SpursGregg Popovich technical foul52
91.0%
41
9.0%
Q2 - 3:56LakersDennis Schroder makes two point driving finger roll layup (Kyle Kuzma assists)52
90.3%
41
9.7%
Q2 - 4:01LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound50
89.1%
41
10.9%
Q2 - 4:03SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point driving layup50
88.8%
41
11.2%
Q2 - 4:18LakersAnthony Davis makes two point pullup jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)50
88.0%
41
12.0%
Q2 - 4:36SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point dunk (Dejounte Murray assists)48
86.8%
41
13.2%
Q2 - 4:42LakersDennis Schroder turnover (bad pass) (Lonnie Walker IV steals)48
88.0%
39
12.0%
Q2 - 4:43LakersDennis Schroder defensive rebound48
89.1%
39
10.9%
Q2 - 4:46SpursDejounte Murray misses two point stepback jump shot48
88.8%
39
11.2%
Q2 - 5:06LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 248
87.9%
39
12.1%
Q2 - 5:06LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 247
87.6%
39
12.4%
Q2 - 5:06SpursDrew Eubanks shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)46
87.2%
39
12.8%
Q2 - 5:13LakersMontrezl Harrell defensive rebound46
86.9%
39
13.1%
Q2 - 5:13SpursDrew Eubanks misses two point tip layup46
86.5%
39
13.5%
Q2 - 5:14SpursDrew Eubanks offensive rebound46
85.4%
39
14.6%
Q2 - 5:14SpursDejounte Murray misses two point driving finger roll layup46
86.5%
39
13.5%
Q2 - 5:20SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound46
85.4%
39
14.6%
Q2 - 5:24LakersDennis Schroder misses three point jump shot46
85.9%
39
14.1%
Q2 - 5:42SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point dunk46
86.9%
39
13.1%
Q2 - 5:47SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound46
87.9%
37
12.1%
Q2 - 5:50LakersDrew Eubanks blocks Montrezl Harrell's two point layup46
88.3%
37
11.7%
Q2 - 6:05SpursLonnie Walker IV turnover (offensive foul)46
89.2%
37
10.8%
Q2 - 6:05SpursLonnie Walker IV offensive foul (Dennis Schroder draws the foul)46
87.9%
37
12.1%
Q2 - 6:15LakersLeBron James makes two point hook shot46
87.9%
37
12.1%
Q2 - 6:27LakersMarkieff Morris defensive rebound44
87.0%
37
13.0%
Q2 - 6:29SpursLonnie Walker IV misses regular free throw 2 of 244
86.8%
37
13.2%
Q2 - 6:29SpursLonnie Walker IV makes regular free throw 1 of 244
86.0%
37
14.0%
Q2 - 6:29LakersWesley Matthews shooting foul (Lonnie Walker IV draws the foul)44
86.3%
36
13.7%
Q2 - 6:30SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound44
86.7%
36
13.3%
Q2 - 6:34LakersKyle Kuzma misses two point driving layup44
87.2%
36
12.8%
Q2 - 6:40LakersWesley Matthews offensive rebound44
88.2%
36
11.8%
Q2 - 6:43LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot44
87.2%
36
12.8%
Q2 - 6:52SpursLonnie Walker IV makes two point driving layup44
88.2%
36
11.8%
Q2 - 7:07LakersMarkieff Morris turnover (traveling)44
88.9%
34
11.1%
Q2 - 7:16SpursLonnie Walker IV makes regular free throw 2 of 244
89.9%
34
10.1%
Q2 - 7:16SpursLonnie Walker IV misses regular free throw 1 of 244
90.1%
33
9.9%
Q2 - 7:16LakersWesley Matthews shooting foul (Lonnie Walker IV draws the foul)44
89.4%
33
10.6%
Q2 - 7:30LakersMontrezl Harrell makes regular free throw 2 of 244
89.9%
33
10.1%
Q2 - 7:30LakersMontrezl Harrell makes regular free throw 1 of 243
89.6%
33
10.4%
Q2 - 7:30SpursJakob Poeltl shooting foul (Montrezl Harrell draws the foul)42
89.2%
33
10.8%
Q2 - 7:34LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound42
88.9%
33
11.1%
Q2 - 7:37SpursKeldon Johnson misses two point driving layup42
88.6%
33
11.4%
Q2 - 7:48SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound42
87.8%
33
12.2%
Q2 - 7:51LakersMarkieff Morris misses three point jump shot42
88.2%
33
11.8%
Q2 - 8:04LakersLeBron James defensive rebound42
88.6%
33
11.4%
Q2 - 8:07SpursLonnie Walker IV misses two point pullup jump shot42
88.3%
33
11.7%
Q2 - 8:19LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 242
87.5%
33
12.5%
Q2 - 8:19LakersLeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 241
87.2%
33
12.8%
Q2 - 8:19SpursKeldon Johnson shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)41
88.0%
33
12.0%
Q2 - 8:34LakersMontrezl Harrell defensive rebound41
87.5%
33
12.5%
Q2 - 8:37SpursKeldon Johnson misses two point driving finger roll layup41
87.2%
33
12.8%
Q2 - 8:56LakersLeBron James makes two point pullup jump shot41
86.3%
33
13.7%
Q2 - 9:01LakersLeBron James defensive rebound39
84.8%
33
15.2%
Q2 - 9:04SpursPatty Mills misses three point pullup jump shot39
84.4%
33
15.6%
Q2 - 9:11SpursDrew Eubanks defensive rebound39
83.4%
33
16.6%
Q2 - 9:14LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot39
83.9%
33
16.1%
Q2 - 9:32SpursPatty Mills makes two point stepback jump shot39
84.8%
33
15.2%
Q2 - 9:52LakersLeBron James makes two point driving finger roll layup39
86.0%
31
14.0%
Q2 - 9:59SpursDejounte Murray makes two point driving finger roll layup37
84.8%
31
15.2%
Q2 - 10:06SpursDrew Eubanks defensive rebound37
85.9%
29
14.1%
Q2 - 10:10LakersLeBron James misses three point pullup jump shot37
86.3%
29
13.7%
Q2 - 10:16LakersMontrezl Harrell defensive rebound37
87.1%
29
12.9%
Q2 - 10:19SpursRudy Gay misses three point jump shot37
86.8%
29
13.2%
Q2 - 10:27LakersMarkieff Morris personal foul (Devin Vassell draws the foul)37
85.9%
29
14.1%
Q2 - 10:28SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound37
85.9%
29
14.1%
Q2 - 10:31LakersDrew Eubanks blocks LeBron James's two point driving layup37
86.3%
29
13.7%
Q2 - 10:42SpursDrew Eubanks makes two point jump shot (Rudy Gay assists)37
87.1%
29
12.9%
Q2 - 10:53LakersMontrezl Harrell turnover (lost ball) (Devin Vassell steals)37
88.1%
27
11.9%
Q2 - 11:00LakersWesley Matthews defensive rebound37
89.2%
27
10.8%
Q2 - 11:03SpursRudy Gay misses three point jump shot37
88.8%
27
11.2%
Q2 - 11:05SpursRudy Gay offensive rebound37
88.1%
27
11.9%
Q2 - 11:07SpursPatty Mills misses three point pullup jump shot37
88.8%
27
11.2%
Q2 - 11:27LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point running finger roll layup (LeBron James assists)37
88.1%
27
11.9%
Q2 - 11:29LakersMontrezl Harrell defensive rebound35
87.0%
27
13.0%
Q2 - 11:31SpursDejounte Murray misses two point pullup jump shot35
86.7%
27
13.3%
Q2 - 11:41LakersKyle Kuzma turnover (lost ball) (Rudy Gay steals)35
86.0%
27
14.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.35
87.0%
27
13.0%
Q1 - 0:00.1SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound35
85.8%
27
14.2%
Q1 - 0:00.1LakersDeMar DeRozan blocks LeBron James's two point driving layup35
86.1%
27
13.9%
Q1 - 0:04.6SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 235
86.7%
27
13.3%
Q1 - 0:04.6SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 235
86.8%
26
13.2%
Q1 - 0:04.6LakersMontrezl Harrell shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)35
87.0%
25
13.0%
Q1 - 0:26.3SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound35
88.0%
25
12.0%
Q1 - 0:28.5LakersDennis Schroder misses two point driving finger roll layup35
88.2%
25
11.8%
Q1 - 0:35.3LakersMontrezl Harrell defensive rebound35
88.7%
25
11.3%
Q1 - 0:38.1SpursDrew Eubanks misses two point hook shot35
88.5%
25
11.5%
Q1 - 0:51.7SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound35
88.0%
25
12.0%
Q1 - 0:54.8LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot35
88.2%
25
11.8%
Q1 - 0:59.6LakersDennis Schroder defensive rebound35
88.7%
25
11.3%
Q1 - 1:02SpursRudy Gay misses three point jump shot35
88.4%
25
11.6%
Q1 - 1:14LakersKyle Kuzma makes three point jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)35
87.9%
25
12.1%
Q1 - 1:18LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound32
85.5%
25
14.5%
Q1 - 1:21SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot32
85.3%
25
14.7%
Q1 - 1:36LakersWesley Matthews makes three point stepback jump shot (Kyle Kuzma assists)32
84.6%
25
15.4%
Q1 - 1:51LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound29
81.8%
25
18.2%
Q1 - 1:53SpursDrew Eubanks misses two point floating jump shot29
81.4%
25
18.6%
Q1 - 2:03SpursPatty Mills defensive rebound29
80.6%
25
19.4%
Q1 - 2:05LakersAnthony Davis misses two point turnaround jump shot29
81.0%
25
19.0%
Q1 - 2:26SpursPatty Mills makes three point pullup jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)29
81.9%
25
18.1%
Q1 - 2:37SpursSpurs offensive rebound29
84.5%
22
15.5%
Q1 - 2:37SpursDeMar DeRozan misses regular free throw 1 of 129
84.5%
22
15.5%
Q1 - 2:37LakersKyle Kuzma personal foul (Away from play) (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)29
83.5%
22
16.5%
Q1 - 2:38LakersMontrezl Harrell personal foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)29
84.5%
22
15.5%
Q1 - 2:52LakersWesley Matthews makes three point jump shot (Kyle Kuzma assists)29
84.5%
22
15.5%
Q1 - 3:07SpursRudy Gay makes three point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)26
81.8%
22
18.2%
Q1 - 3:26LakersDennis Schroder makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Montrezl Harrell assists)26
84.1%
19
15.9%
Q1 - 3:28LakersMontrezl Harrell offensive rebound24
83.1%
19
16.9%
Q1 - 3:33LakersAnthony Davis misses three point jump shot24
82.1%
19
17.9%
Q1 - 3:59SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point driving finger roll layup (Lonnie Walker IV assists)24
83.1%
19
16.9%
Q1 - 4:10LakersDennis Schroder makes two point fadeaway jump shot24
84.1%
17
15.9%
Q1 - 4:16SpursDeMar DeRozan turnover (bad pass) (Dennis Schroder steals)22
83.1%
17
16.9%
Q1 - 4:33LakersAnthony Davis makes two point turnaround jump shot22
81.6%
17
18.4%
Q1 - 4:43SpursDeMar DeRozan personal foul (Take) (LeBron James draws the foul)20
80.5%
17
19.5%
Q1 - 4:43LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound20
80.5%
17
19.5%
Q1 - 4:45SpursAnthony Davis blocks Drew Eubanks's two point layup20
80.0%
17
20.0%
Q1 - 5:11LakersDennis Schroder makes three point jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)20
79.1%
17
20.9%
Q1 - 5:16LakersMarc Gasol defensive rebound17
76.4%
17
23.6%
Q1 - 5:18SpursDrew Eubanks misses two point layup17
75.9%
17
24.1%
Q1 - 5:40LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 217
74.8%
17
25.2%
Q1 - 5:40LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 216
74.5%
17
25.5%
Q1 - 5:40SpursJakob Poeltl shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)15
74.3%
17
25.7%
Q1 - 5:53SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point reverse layup (DeMar DeRozan assists)15
73.3%
17
26.7%
Q1 - 6:07LakersLeBron James makes two point driving finger roll layup15
75.0%
15
25.0%
Q1 - 6:22SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point cutting layup (Keldon Johnson assists)13
73.4%
15
26.6%
Q1 - 6:31LakersDennis Schroder personal foul (Loose ball) (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)13
75.0%
13
25.0%
Q1 - 6:31SpursSpurs offensive rebound13
75.0%
13
25.0%
Q1 - 6:31SpursDejounte Murray misses two point pullup jump shot13
75.9%
13
24.1%
Q1 - 6:40LakersDennis Schroder turnover (lost ball) (Jakob Poeltl steals)13
75.0%
13
25.0%
Q1 - 6:56SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point cutting layup (Dejounte Murray assists)13
76.4%
13
23.6%
Q1 - 7:03SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound13
78.0%
11
22.0%
Q1 - 7:06LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot13
78.4%
11
21.6%
Q1 - 7:21SpursDejounte Murray makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Jakob Poeltl assists)13
79.4%
11
20.6%
Q1 - 7:33LakersDennis Schroder makes two point driving floating jump shot13
80.5%
9
19.5%
Q1 - 7:44SpursKeldon Johnson turnover (offensive foul)11
79.4%
9
20.6%
Q1 - 7:44SpursKeldon Johnson offensive foul (Charge) (Marc Gasol draws the foul)11
78.0%
9
22.0%
Q1 - 7:56LakersAnthony Davis makes two point putback dunk11
78.0%
9
22.0%
Q1 - 7:56LakersAnthony Davis offensive rebound9
76.7%
9
23.3%
Q1 - 7:58LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point running layup9
75.7%
9
24.3%
Q1 - 8:00LakersMarc Gasol defensive rebound9
76.7%
9
23.3%
Q1 - 8:02SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot9
76.9%
9
23.1%
Q1 - 8:16LakersMarc Gasol makes two point hook shot (LeBron James assists)9
75.8%
9
24.2%
Q1 - 8:33LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound7
74.6%
9
25.4%
Q1 - 8:36SpursDejounte Murray misses two point pullup jump shot7
74.0%
9
26.0%
Q1 - 9:03LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point pullup jump shot7
72.7%
9
27.3%
Q1 - 9:05LakersMarc Gasol defensive rebound4
69.9%
9
30.1%
Q1 - 9:07SpursKeldon Johnson misses two point reverse layup4
69.3%
9
30.7%
Q1 - 9:20LakersAnthony Davis makes two point jump shot4
68.0%
9
32.0%
Q1 - 9:35SpursDejounte Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 12
66.7%
9
33.3%
Q1 - 9:35LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)2
67.0%
8
33.0%
Q1 - 9:37LakersMarc Gasol turnover (bad pass) (DeMar DeRozan steals)2
69.6%
6
30.4%
Q1 - 9:50SpursJakob Poeltl personal foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)2
71.5%
6
28.5%
Q1 - 9:51SpursDejounte Murray turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)2
71.5%
6
28.5%
Q1 - 10:06LakersLeBron James makes two point cutting dunk (Dennis Schroder assists)2
70.0%
6
30.0%
Q1 - 10:26SpursLonnie Walker IV makes two point driving finger roll layup (Dejounte Murray assists)0
68.5%
6
31.5%
Q1 - 10:30SpursDejounte Murray defensive rebound0
69.9%
4
30.1%
Q1 - 10:33LakersDennis Schroder misses three point jump shot0
70.5%
4
29.5%
Q1 - 10:49SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point pullup jump shot (Lonnie Walker IV assists)0
71.6%
4
28.4%
Q1 - 10:54SpursLonnie Walker IV defensive rebound0
73.0%
2
27.0%
Q1 - 10:57LakersLeBron James misses two point stepback jump shot0
73.5%
2
26.5%
Q1 - 11:20SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point driving dunk (DeMar DeRozan assists)0
74.7%
2
25.3%
Q1 - 11:24SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound0
76.0%
0
24.0%
Q1 - 11:26LakersAnthony Davis misses two point driving layup0
76.4%
0
23.6%
Q1 - 11:31LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound0
77.4%
0
22.6%
Q1 - 11:34SpursAnthony Davis blocks DeMar DeRozan's two point pullup jump shot0
77.0%
0
23.0%
Q1 - 12:00Anthony Davis vs. Jakob Poeltl (Lonnie Walker IV gains possession)0
76.0%
0
24.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.33 66.5%
SAS
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAL
19
35
54%
SAS
20
35
57%
Midrange
LAL
13
21
62%
SAS
10
28
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAL
14
21.0
26
54%
81%
SAS
10
15.0
24
42%
63%
Free Throws
LAL
15
20
75%
SAS
17
23
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2652%13.0 / 25
D. Schröder2170%10.5 / 15
A. Davis2063%10.0 / 16
W. Matthews18150%9.0 / 6
K. Caldwell-Pope10100%5.0 / 5
M. Harrell1056%5.0 / 9
K. Kuzma638%3.0 / 8
M. Gasol5125%2.5 / 2
Q. Cook3150%1.5 / 1
M. Morris233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Murray2973%14.5 / 20
D. DeRozan2372%11.5 / 16
P. Mills1275%6.0 / 8
L. Walker IV1139%5.5 / 14
J. Poeltl867%4.0 / 6
R. Gay840%4.0 / 10
K. Johnson739%3.5 / 9
D. Eubanks425%2.0 / 8
D. Vassell350%1.5 / 3
T. Jones250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAL
84
+7
-17
91
SAS
92
+10
-10
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.33 66.5%
SAS
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.4
111.1
LAL 119.8 +14.9
SAS 104.9
Pace
98.2
98.9
LAL 98.5
SAS 105.2 +6.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
14.7
LAL 14.6
SAS 13.7 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.7%
51.7%
LAL 64.6% +12.9%
SAS 51.7%
TO %
14.9%
11.0%
LAL 15.8%
SAS 10.2% +5.6%
ORB %
22.5%
20.1%
LAL 17.9% +3.0%
SAS 14.9%
FTrt
27.1
24.3
LAL 24.4
SAS 26.4 +2.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.7%
58.4%
LAL 54.3%
SAS 62.5% +8.2%
STL %
7.8%
7.0%
LAL 4.0%
SAS 7.8% +3.8%
BLK %
9.9%
8.9%
LAL 4.8%
SAS 7.1% +2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.8%
54.4%
LAL 66.5% +13.5%
SAS 53.0%
Rim FG%
63.6%
60.1%
LAL 54.3%
SAS 57.1% +2.8%
Mid FG%
40.0%
43.2%
LAL 61.9% +26.2%
SAS 35.7%
3P %
35.4%
35.0%
LAL 53.8% +12.1%
SAS 41.7%
FT %
73.9%
79.2%
LAL 75.0% +1.1%
SAS 73.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
33.1%
LAL 42.7% +2.5%
SAS 40.2%
Mid Att. %
26.1%
35.5%
LAL 25.6% +6.6%
SAS 32.2%
3P Att. %
36.3%
31.4%
LAL 31.7% +4.1%
SAS 27.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsLALSAS
Possessions101102
Possession Minutes24.623.3
Points121107
Rebounds4739
Assists2525
Steals48
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)10 (1)
Fouls2418
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (0)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (0)32 (0)
Field Goals46-8240-87
At-the-Rim FG19-3520-35
Midrange FG13-2110-28
2-Point FG32-5630-63
3-Point FG14-2610-24
Free Throws15-2017-23
Fast Break Pts2319
2nd Chance Pts1315
Points in Paint4646
Pts off Turnovers1125
Bench Points3929
Biggest Lead187

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 36
35.2
26
52%
5
8
1
1
2
1
0
5
3-5
60%
10-20
50%
1-3
33%
#17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 27
33.8
21
70%
4
4
1
0
5
3
1
3
0-0
-
6-10
60%
3-5
60%
#3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 28
31.6
20
63%
8
3
0
2
1
3
1
7
2-2
100%
9-13
69%
0-2
0%
#1 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 28
26.4
10
100%
2
2
1
0
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
#14 · C · 7'1" 255 · 36
20.6
5
125%
5
2
0
0
4
3
1
4
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
#0 · PF · 6'9" 221 · 25
24.1
6
38%
6
4
1
0
2
2
0
6
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
#15 · C · 6'8" 240 · 27
23.4
10
56%
9
1
0
0
2
3
3
6
6-8
75%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
#9 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34
22.4
18
150%
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
6-6
100%
#88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 31
19.4
2
33%
6
1
0
0
1
3
0
6
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
#2 · PG · 6'2" 179 · 28
1.0
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
#28 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 28
1.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#10 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 35
1.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#4 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 27
DNP - Coach's Decision
#5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 20
DNP - Coach's Decision
#12 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 24
INACTIVE
#37 · PF · 6'11" 195 · 23
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
121
67%
47
25
4
3
17
24
7
40
15-20
75%
32-56
57%
14-26
54%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.