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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 1, 2021
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Heat45%11383
7Mavericks55%11593
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 23.5
36
31
19
11
2
4
1
0
3
2
9
3-4
75%
8-12
6-10
67%
56%
0-0
-
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.7
33
25
5
6
3
1
1
0
2
0
6
2-4
50%
0-0
1-1
-
64%
1-8
13%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 20.9
29
34
11
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
49%
1-4
25%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 31.3
27
23
2
3
2
2
1
0
3
1
2
2-3
67%
0-6
4-8
0%
49%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 36.9
13
14
3
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
58%
1-3
33%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 29.7
29
24
8
3
2
2
1
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
56%
2-7
29%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 34.7
29
21
10
5
7
0
1
0
4
0
5
4-4
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
0-6
0%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 30.1
18
25
15
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
3-4
2-3
75%
48%
2-4
50%
Precious Achiuwa
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.3
12
15
10
6
1
0
0
0
1
2
4
4-6
67%
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.6
8
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
56%
0-1
0%
Kendrick Nunn
G · 6'3" 193 · 25.4
6
17
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
KZ Okpala
F · 6'9" 210 · 21.7
10
0
1-2
52%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.8
6
0
0-1
58%
Chris Silva
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.3
4
0
0-1
53%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 40.6
2
0
0-0
45%
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 28.8
39
26
18
2
3
2
1
1
2
0
2
3-4
75%
3-8
2-5
38%
49%
3-10
30%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 21.8
36
27
27
15
7
0
1
1
5
1
14
6-9
67%
6-12
6-10
50%
55%
3-10
30%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 27.3
35
27
11
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-5
3-5
80%
48%
1-5
20%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.5
28
22
2
8
1
2
1
0
0
0
8
2-4
50%
0-0
3-4
-
67%
0-1
0%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.7
22
24
12
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
57%
2-5
40%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 28.9
28
21
5
4
1
1
0
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
59%
1-3
33%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 28.1
17
19
8
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Jalen Brunson
G · 6'2" 198 · 24.3
12
17
2
3
2
2
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
3-5
20%
52%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.9
12
17
8
3
1
2
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
54%
2-2
100%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.4
11
12
0
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
56%
0-0
-
Josh Green
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.1
11
0
1-2
50%
Wes Iwundu
F · 6'7" 195 · 26.0
6
0
0-1
46%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 32.4
6
0
1-2
59%
Tyrell Terry
G · 6'3" 160 · 20.3
5
0
0-1
48%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 25.4
Tyler Bey
F · 6'7" 215 · 22.9
Nate Hinton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.