Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Wizards	41%	119	130	123.8	105	107.3
	25	Timberwolves	59%	122	109	104.8	104	102.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 28	28.0	31	74%	3	7	1	0	2	1	0	3	4-5	80%	9-15	60%	3-5	60%
Deni Avdija #9 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 20	27.2	11	79%	7	3	3	0	1	3	0	7	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
Raul Neto #19 · PG · 6'1" 179 · 29	22.3	12	86%	0	2	2	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-2	100%
Thomas Bryant #13 · C · 6'9" 248 · 23	22.0	18	113%	7	2	0	0	2	1	2	5	3-4	75%	6-6	100%	1-1	100%
Rui Hachimura #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	19.5	11	50%	4	2	0	0	1	3	1	3	5-6	83%	3-8	38%	0-0	-

Jerome Robinson #12 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 24	22.1	13	72%	2	3	1	0	0	1	0	2	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	2-3	67%
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 32	20.9	5	42%	6	9	0	0	2	0	1	5	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-1	100%
Robin Lopez #15 · C · 7'0" 277 · 33	19.7	11	61%	6	2	0	3	1	5	2	4	1-1	100%	5-7	71%	0-2	0%
Davis Bertans #42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 28	19.5	11	69%	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-7	43%
Troy Brown Jr. #6 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 21	13.8	4	50%	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	3	0-2	0%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	9.1	3	38%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Anžejs Pasečņiks #18 · C · 7'2" 229 · 25	6.3	0	0%	1	1	0	0	5	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Isaac Bonga #17 · SG · 6'9" 203 · 21	4.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	4.7	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Cassius Winston #5 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 23	INACTIVE
Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 32	Inactive - Rest \| Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	66%	43	35	9	3	16	19	8	35	16-21	76%	33-56	59%	16-33	48%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

21 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 28	28.0	31	74%	3	7	1	0	2	1	0	3	4-5	80%	9-15	60%	3-5	60%
Deni Avdija #9 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 20	27.2	11	79%	7	3	3	0	1	3	0	7	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
Raul Neto #19 · PG · 6'1" 179 · 29	22.3	12	86%	0	2	2	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-2	100%
Thomas Bryant #13 · C · 6'9" 248 · 23	22.0	18	113%	7	2	0	0	2	1	2	5	3-4	75%	6-6	100%	1-1	100%
Rui Hachimura #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	19.5	11	50%	4	2	0	0	1	3	1	3	5-6	83%	3-8	38%	0-0	-

Jerome Robinson #12 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 24	22.1	13	72%	2	3	1	0	0	1	0	2	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	2-3	67%
Ish Smith #14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 32	20.9	5	42%	6	9	0	0	2	0	1	5	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-1	100%
Robin Lopez #15 · C · 7'0" 277 · 33	19.7	11	61%	6	2	0	3	1	5	2	4	1-1	100%	5-7	71%	0-2	0%
Davis Bertans #42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 28	19.5	11	69%	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-7	43%
Troy Brown Jr. #6 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 21	13.8	4	50%	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	3	0-2	0%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	9.1	3	38%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Anžejs Pasečņiks #18 · C · 7'2" 229 · 25	6.3	0	0%	1	1	0	0	5	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Isaac Bonga #17 · SG · 6'9" 203 · 21	4.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	4.7	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Cassius Winston #5 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 23	INACTIVE
Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 32	Inactive - Rest \| Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	66%	43	35	9	3	16	19	8	35	16-21	76%	33-56	59%	16-33	48%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

25 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Malik Beasley #5 · SF · 6'5" 196 · 24	26.3	21	75%	3	0	0	0	1	4	0	3	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	3-6	50%
D'Angelo Russell #0 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 25	25.9	14	41%	4	3	1	0	5	0	1	3	0-2	0%	4-9	44%	2-7	29%
Ricky Rubio #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 30	25.3	3	38%	2	5	2	0	3	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 21	24.3	17	77%	6	1	1	2	2	4	1	5	2-3	67%	6-7	86%	1-3	33%
Jarrett Culver #23 · PF · 6'7" 195 · 22	20.6	4	50%	2	0	0	0	2	5	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%

Anthony Edwards #1 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 19	26.4	17	50%	3	2	0	1	3	2	0	3	1-4	25%	5-8	63%	2-8	25%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	24.3	10	71%	4	0	1	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Ed Davis #17 · C · 6'10" 245 · 32	16.4	0	0%	10	3	0	0	0	1	4	6	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Jake Layman #10 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 27	15.1	12	60%	1	1	3	0	1	3	0	1	7-9	78%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Juancho Hernangomez #41 · PF · 6'9" 230 · 25	14.3	5	83%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Jarred Vanderbilt #8 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 22	12.0	6	100%	4	1	1	0	3	1	2	2	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	9.1	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Ashton Hagans #22 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 21	INACTIVE
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Perilunate; Subluxation
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Jaylen Nowell #4 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Soleus; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	56%	43	17	9	3	20	22	11	32	12-21	57%	29-52	56%	13-36	36%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.31 65.7%

MIN

1.12 56.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

19

27

70%

MIN

19

35

54%

Midrange

WAS

14

29

48%

MIN

10

17

59%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

16

24.0

33

48%

73%

MIN

13

19.5

36

36%

54%

Free Throws

WAS

16

21

76%

MIN

12

21

57%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Beal	31	74%	15.5 / 21
T. Bryant	18	113%	9.0 / 8
J. Robinson	13	72%	6.5 / 9
R. Neto	12	86%	6.0 / 7
D. Avdija	11	79%	5.5 / 7
R. Hachimura	11	50%	5.5 / 11
R. Lopez	11	61%	5.5 / 9
D. Bertans	11	69%	5.5 / 8
I. Smith	5	42%	2.5 / 6
T. Brown Jr.	4	50%	2.0 / 4
G. Mathews	3	38%	1.5 / 4
A. Pasecniks	0	-	0.0 / 1
I. Bonga	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Beasley	21	75%	10.5 / 14
N. Reid	17	77%	8.5 / 11
A. Edwards	17	50%	8.5 / 17
D. Russell	14	41%	7.0 / 17
J. Layman	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. McLaughlin	10	71%	5.0 / 7
J. Vanderbilt	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. Hernangomez	5	83%	2.5 / 3
J. Culver	4	50%	2.0 / 4
R. Rubio	3	38%	1.5 / 4
E. Davis	0	-	0.0 / 4
J. McDaniels	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 111.2 25 109.9	WAS 123.8 +19.0 MIN 104.8
Pace	1 104.1 5 101.3	WAS 107.3 +4.4 MIN 102.9
Avg. Poss. Time	30 13.5 23 14.2	WAS 13.4 −0.6 MIN 14.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.1% 25 52.0%	WAS 64.0% +8.9% MIN 55.1%
TO %	16 13.3% 17 13.4%	WAS 14.0% −3.1% MIN 17.1%
ORB %	21 21.3% 12 22.8%	WAS 20.0% MIN 23.9% +3.9%
FTrt	3 28.8 9 25.4	WAS 23.6 MIN 23.9 +0.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 59.0% 6 63.0%	WAS 71.4% +30.9% MIN 40.5%
STL %	23 7.0% 4 8.6%	WAS 8.6% MIN 8.7% +0.1%
BLK %	30 7.1% 6 9.9%	WAS 5.8% +0.4% MIN 5.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 56.0% 26 54.3%	WAS 65.7% +9.5% MIN 56.2%
Rim FG%	5 64.3% 23 59.4%	WAS 70.4% +16.1% MIN 54.3%
Mid FG%	17 41.6% 28 37.5%	WAS 48.3% MIN 58.8% +10.5%
3P %	22 35.1% 25 34.9%	WAS 48.5% +12.4% MIN 36.1%
FT %	19 76.9% 22 76.1%	WAS 76.2% +19.1% MIN 57.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 35.0% 5 38.3%	WAS 30.3% MIN 39.8% +9.4%
Mid Att. %	27 33.1% 2 20.4%	WAS 32.6% MIN 19.3% −13.3%
3P Att. %	29 31.9% 10 41.4%	WAS 37.1% MIN 40.9% +3.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	MIN
Possessions	105	104
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.3
Points	130	109
Rebounds	43	43
Assists	35	17
Steals	9	9
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	20 (0)
Fouls	19	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (2)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (3)	32 (1)
Field Goals	49-89	42-88
At-the-Rim FG	19-27	19-35
Midrange FG	14-29	10-17
2-Point FG	33-56	29-52
3-Point FG	16-33	13-36
Free Throws	16-21	12-21
Fast Break Pts	16	14
2nd Chance Pts	12	11
Points in Paint	56	54
Pts off Turnovers	33	17
Bench Points	47	50
Biggest Lead	37	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg