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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 1, 2021
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Lakers68%117109
17Spurs32%110103
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 36.0
36
32
26
11
10
2
1
0
4
1
10
7-7
100%
5-15
7-12
33%
58%
3-7
43%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 27.8
35
32
34
11
5
2
1
0
1
7
4
4-7
57%
9-20
7-12
45%
56%
4-6
67%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 27.3
33
30
15
4
3
1
1
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
3-10
5-10
30%
51%
3-5
60%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 35.9
20
19
0
8
3
0
1
2
0
2
6
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-1
0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.9
17
26
11
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
2-2
100%
3-6
2-3
50%
53%
1-2
50%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 34.2
25
18
0
2
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-2
0%
Kyle Kuzma
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.4
23
25
11
4
1
1
0
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
4-7
3-5
57%
53%
1-4
25%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 26.9
23
24
4
11
1
1
1
0
2
2
9
0-0
-
2-6
5-8
33%
61%
0-0
-
Talen Horton-Tucker
G · 6'4" 235 · 20.1
14
8
5
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
51%
1-2
50%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 31.3
13
15
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
1-4
25%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 26.8
9
0
0-1
51%
Quinn Cook
G · 6'2" 179 · 27.8
3
0
0-1
50%
Alfonzo McKinnie
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.3
3
0
0-1
57%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 35.5
3
0
0-0
54%
Kostas Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 195 · 23.1
Devontae Cacok
F-C · 6'7" 240 · 24.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.4
37
33
23
9
7
0
1
1
0
1
8
4-5
80%
5-12
6-12
42%
51%
3-4
75%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 21.2
35
26
26
10
1
2
1
1
4
1
9
7-8
88%
2-2
3-6
100%
50%
5-9
56%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 24.3
30
32
12
8
1
1
2
0
2
2
6
2-4
50%
5-9
5-11
56%
48%
0-4
0%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.1
24
30
8
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 25.2
20
22
0
5
3
0
1
0
2
3
2
0-4
0%
0-1
3-5
0%
61%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.4
25
23
10
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
50%
2-4
50%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 34.4
24
25
15
3
2
0
1
1
1
1
2
1-1
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
49%
2-8
25%
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.9
23
15
0
5
1
0
0
3
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.5
23
24
9
1
1
0
1
2
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
1-4
25%
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 20.4
13
0
1-2
46%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.2
4
0
0-1
50%
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.0
2
0
0-0
44%
Luka Samanic
F · 6'11" 227 · 21.0
1
0
0-0
50%
Quinndary Weatherspoon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.3
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 24.9
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 35.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.