Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 1, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Blazers	51%	121	123	120.6	102	97.9
	18	Warriors	49%	120	98	96.1	102	106.5

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+13

-10

105

GSW

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.17 58.6%

GSW

1.04 52.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

15 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Robert Covington #23 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 30	36.5	8	44%	11	2	1	1	1	0	0	11	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	2-7	29%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	35.4	34	74%	4	8	1	0	1	3	0	4	6-6	100%	5-11	45%	6-10	60%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 29	33.6	28	64%	1	4	3	0	0	2	0	1	2-3	67%	7-10	70%	4-11	36%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	32.8	8	67%	8	3	5	0	0	4	4	4	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 26	17.6	8	40%	8	2	1	0	1	5	2	6	1-4	25%	2-7	29%	1-1	100%

Carmelo Anthony #00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	23.8	18	82%	5	1	0	1	2	3	0	5	5-5	100%	2-5	40%	3-4	75%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 22	22.1	11	42%	6	0	0	0	0	5	0	6	2-2	100%	0-4	0%	3-8	38%
Harry Giles III #4 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	13.8	3	38%	5	2	0	1	2	3	1	4	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Enes Kanter #11 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	11.1	5	63%	2	0	0	0	2	2	1	1	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Rodney Hood #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 28	5.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
CJ Elleby #16 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 21	4.0	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Keljin Blevins #21 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	4.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Nassir Little #9 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	INACTIVE \| Health and Safety Protocols
Zach Collins #33 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Fracture
Gary Trent Jr. #2 · SF · 6'5" 204 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	59%	51	23	11	3	10	27	8	43	23-30	77%	20-49	41%	20-43	47%

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15 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Robert Covington #23 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 30	36.5	8	44%	11	2	1	1	1	0	0	11	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	2-7	29%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	35.4	34	74%	4	8	1	0	1	3	0	4	6-6	100%	5-11	45%	6-10	60%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 29	33.6	28	64%	1	4	3	0	0	2	0	1	2-3	67%	7-10	70%	4-11	36%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	32.8	8	67%	8	3	5	0	0	4	4	4	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 26	17.6	8	40%	8	2	1	0	1	5	2	6	1-4	25%	2-7	29%	1-1	100%

Carmelo Anthony #00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	23.8	18	82%	5	1	0	1	2	3	0	5	5-5	100%	2-5	40%	3-4	75%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 22	22.1	11	42%	6	0	0	0	0	5	0	6	2-2	100%	0-4	0%	3-8	38%
Harry Giles III #4 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	13.8	3	38%	5	2	0	1	2	3	1	4	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Enes Kanter #11 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	11.1	5	63%	2	0	0	0	2	2	1	1	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Rodney Hood #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 28	5.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
CJ Elleby #16 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 21	4.0	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Keljin Blevins #21 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	4.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Nassir Little #9 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	INACTIVE \| Health and Safety Protocols
Zach Collins #33 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Fracture
Gary Trent Jr. #2 · SF · 6'5" 204 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	59%	51	23	11	3	10	27	8	43	23-30	77%	20-49	41%	20-43	47%

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18 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 33	33.6	26	62%	8	5	0	0	1	1	0	8	4-4	100%	5-8	63%	4-12	33%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 26	32.6	15	50%	4	1	0	2	3	2	1	3	4-7	57%	4-9	44%	1-3	33%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #12 · SG · 6'8" 210 · 25	28.1	10	38%	4	0	0	1	2	2	0	4	2-3	67%	4-8	50%	0-4	0%
James Wiseman #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 20	19.0	8	40%	5	0	0	2	1	4	0	5	4-4	100%	2-6	33%	0-2	0%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 31	17.6	0	0%	4	4	1	0	1	4	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%

Juan Toscano-Anderson #95 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 28	17.3	5	83%	3	3	0	1	1	1	0	3	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Kent Bazemore #26 · SG · 6'5" 201 · 32	17.3	8	100%	2	1	0	0	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Eric Paschall #7 · PF · 6'7" 254 · 24	16.9	13	81%	4	1	0	1	1	1	0	4	3-3	100%	5-6	83%	0-1	0%
Damion Lee #1 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 28	16.2	2	25%	7	1	0	0	0	4	1	6	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Brad Wanamaker #10 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 31	15.5	2	25%	2	1	1	1	3	3	0	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 25	12.1	2	100%	0	0	1	1	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Mychal Mulder #15 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 27	10.5	2	33%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 22	3.4	5	83%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	5-5	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Nico Mannion #2 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 20	INACTIVE
Marquese Chriss #32 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Syndesmosis; Injury w/ Fibula Fracture
Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Alen Smailagic #6 · PF · 6'9" 216 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	52%	44	19	4	9	15	28	3	41	29-33	88%	24-44	55%	7-35	20%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	POR	GSW

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.17 58.6%

GSW

1.04 52.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

42%

GSW

86%

Midrange

POR

40%

GSW

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

30.0

47%

70%

GSW

10.5

20%

30%

Free Throws

POR

77%

GSW

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Lillard	34	74%	17.0 / 23
C. McCollum	28	64%	14.0 / 22
C. Anthony	18	82%	9.0 / 11
A. Simons	11	42%	5.5 / 13
R. Covington	8	44%	4.0 / 9
D. Jones	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Nurkić	8	40%	4.0 / 10
E. Kanter	5	63%	2.5 / 4
H. Giles	3	38%	1.5 / 4
K. Blevins	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	26	62%	13.0 / 21
A. Wiggins	15	50%	7.5 / 15
E. Paschall	13	81%	6.5 / 8
K. Oubre	10	38%	5.0 / 13
J. Wiseman	8	40%	4.0 / 10
K. Bazemore	8	100%	4.0 / 4
J. Toscano-Anderson	5	83%	2.5 / 3
J. Poole	5	83%	2.5 / 3
D. Lee	2	25%	1.0 / 4
B. Wanamaker	2	25%	1.0 / 4
K. Looney	2	100%	1.0 / 1
M. Mulder	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Green	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 117.6 20 110.9	POR 120.6 +24.5 GSW 96.1
Pace	19 98.6 3 102.4	POR 97.9 GSW 106.5 +8.6
Avg. Poss. Time	6 14.9 28 13.7	POR 14.7 GSW 13.5 −1.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.0% 7 55.1%	POR 54.3% +10.6% GSW 43.7%
TO %	1 10.9% 24 14.3%	POR 8.7% −5.1% GSW 13.8%
ORB %	11 23.1% 30 17.9%	POR 16.3% +9.8% GSW 6.5%
FTrt	22 23.8 20 23.9	POR 32.6 GSW 41.8 +9.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 51.5% 3 67.0%	POR 57.5% GSW 61.3% +3.8%
STL %	24 7.0% 8 8.0%	POR 10.8% +6.9% GSW 3.9%
BLK %	10 9.4% 17 8.7%	POR 6.8% GSW 18.4% +11.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 56.6% 7 57.3%	POR 58.6% +6.5% GSW 52.1%
Rim FG%	26 58.1% 7 63.7%	POR 42.1% GSW 85.7% +43.6%
Mid FG%	18 41.0% 20 40.4%	POR 40.0% GSW 40.0%
3P %	6 38.5% 9 37.6%	POR 46.5% +26.5% GSW 20.0%
FT %	3 82.3% 13 78.5%	POR 76.7% GSW 87.9% +11.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 31.8% 22 33.0%	POR 20.7% +2.9% GSW 17.7%
Mid Att. %	10 23.4% 9 23.1%	POR 32.6% −5.4% GSW 38.0%
3P Att. %	3 44.8% 5 43.9%	POR 46.7% +2.4% GSW 44.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	GSW
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	25.0	23.0
Points	123	98
Rebounds	51	44
Assists	23	19
Steals	11	4
Blocks	3	9
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls	27	28
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (5)	3 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	43 (0)	41 (1)
Field Goals	40-92	31-79
At-the-Rim FG	8-19	12-14
Midrange FG	12-30	12-30
2-Point FG	20-49	24-44
3-Point FG	20-43	7-35
Free Throws	23-30	29-33
Fast Break Pts	11	17
2nd Chance Pts	8	10
Points in Paint	32	34
Pts off Turnovers	23	15
Bench Points	37	39
Biggest Lead	31	2

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg