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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 2, 2021
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Raptors55%110116
18Pelicans45%108120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 26.9
39.6
34.5
27
54%
8
5
1
1
1
0
2
6
5-5
100%
5-10
3-7
50%
44%
4-13
31%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 34.8
39.3
35.7
16
49%
6
8
0
1
0
2
1
5
5-5
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
3-11
27%
OG Anunoby
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.5
36.4
34.2
17
62%
7
3
0
1
0
2
1
6
5-6
83%
3-3
2-4
100%
57%
2-8
25%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 26.8
24.7
21.8
10
46%
4
1
1
1
0
3
2
2
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
52%
0-4
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 34.1
23.0
17.9
8
57%
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
53%
0-1
0%
Chris Boucher
F · 6'10" 200 · 28.0
28.6
17.9
24
71%
5
1
2
0
1
0
2
3
9-9
100%
6-9
2-4
67%
54%
1-4
25%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 27.6
24.0
26.5
12
60%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
3-5
0%
53%
4-6
67%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 24.6
12.0
13.0
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 27.5
7.2
13.8
2
50%
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
56%
0-1
0%
Terence Davis
G · 6'4" 205 · 23.6
5.1
10.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Matt Thomas
G · 6'5" 190 · 26.4
7.4
0
0-1
50%
Yuta Watanabe
G · 6'9" 205 · 26.2
5.4
0
1-1
48%
DeAndre' Bembry
F-G · 6'6" 210 · 26.5
4.3
0
0-1
51%
Paul Watson
G · 6'6" 210 · 26.0
2.9
0
0-0
48%
Malachi Flynn
G · 6'2" 175 · 22.7
2.5
0
0-0
45%
Jalen Harris
G · 6'5" 195 · 22.3
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.2
35.3
29.6
13
46%
4
4
0
1
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
46%
3-8
38%
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 23.3
35.3
28.7
31
67%
6
4
0
1
1
3
0
6
11-14
79%
4-9
5-9
44%
50%
4-8
50%
Zion Williamson
F · 6'7" 285 · 20.5
32.8
24.9
21
64%
7
1
0
1
1
3
2
5
7-10
70%
7-12
7-12
58%
54%
0-0
-
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.5
31.4
28.2
13
62%
10
1
2
1
0
3
4
6
5-8
63%
4-7
4-7
57%
59%
0-0
-
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 31.1
31.3
25.7
19
65%
5
10
1
1
1
0
2
3
5-6
83%
1-6
3-5
17%
53%
4-6
67%
Josh Hart
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.8
25.9
28.9
9
51%
7
2
1
1
1
2
1
6
1-2
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
55%
2-7
29%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 36.5
21.2
18.4
5
47%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-3
0%
Jaxson Hayes
C · 6'11" 220 · 20.6
16.6
12.9
6
63%
8
0
1
0
0
0
4
4
4-4
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
61%
0-0
-
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
G · 6'5" 204 · 22.3
6.6
15.2
3
30%
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
45%
1-5
20%
Nicolo Melli
F · 6'9" 236 · 29.9
3.6
13.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
53%
0-1
0%
Kira Lewis Jr.
G · 6'3" 170 · 19.7
5.1
0
1-1
46%
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.6
4.9
0
1-1
54%
Will Magnay
C · 6'10" 234 · 22.6
3.8
0
0-1
49%
Naji Marshall
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.9
2.5
0
0-0
49%
Sindarius Thornwell
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.1
Wenyen Gabriel
F · 6'9" 205 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.