Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, January 3, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Blazers	53%	119	122	115.1	106	112.4
	21	Warriors	47%	118	137	126.9	108	102.2

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+18

-12

112

GSW

+14

-15

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.09 54.5%

GSW

1.29 64.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

15 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	39.1	32	59%	4	4	0	0	5	3	0	4	6-7	86%	4-9	44%	6-15	40%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 29	38.0	28	54%	9	5	2	0	1	4	1	8	6-8	75%	8-15	53%	2-8	25%
Robert Covington #23 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 30	27.2	6	75%	2	1	2	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-2	100%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 26	23.3	7	32%	6	3	2	2	2	2	2	4	1-2	50%	3-9	33%	0-1	0%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	16.9	3	50%	1	0	0	0	2	5	1	0	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%

Gary Trent Jr. #2 · SF · 6'5" 204 · 22	31.6	7	32%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-6	17%
Carmelo Anthony #00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	27.2	10	50%	3	0	0	0	0	6	0	3	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	2-7	29%
Enes Kanter #11 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	24.2	24	75%	12	1	1	0	0	3	8	4	8-10	80%	8-12	67%	0-0	-
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 22	12.4	5	63%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Nassir Little #9 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Harry Giles III #4 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
CJ Elleby #16 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Keljin Blevins #21 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Zach Collins #33 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Fracture
Rodney Hood #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	55%	40	16	7	2	12	27	12	28	26-33	79%	27-55	49%	14-43	33%

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15 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	39.1	32	59%	4	4	0	0	5	3	0	4	6-7	86%	4-9	44%	6-15	40%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 29	38.0	28	54%	9	5	2	0	1	4	1	8	6-8	75%	8-15	53%	2-8	25%
Robert Covington #23 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 30	27.2	6	75%	2	1	2	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-2	100%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 26	23.3	7	32%	6	3	2	2	2	2	2	4	1-2	50%	3-9	33%	0-1	0%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	16.9	3	50%	1	0	0	0	2	5	1	0	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%

Gary Trent Jr. #2 · SF · 6'5" 204 · 22	31.6	7	32%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-6	17%
Carmelo Anthony #00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	27.2	10	50%	3	0	0	0	0	6	0	3	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	2-7	29%
Enes Kanter #11 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	24.2	24	75%	12	1	1	0	0	3	8	4	8-10	80%	8-12	67%	0-0	-
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 22	12.4	5	63%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Nassir Little #9 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Harry Giles III #4 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
CJ Elleby #16 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Keljin Blevins #21 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Zach Collins #33 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Fracture
Rodney Hood #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	55%	40	16	7	2	12	27	12	28	26-33	79%	27-55	49%	14-43	33%

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21 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 33	36.5	62	79%	5	4	0	0	5	0	1	4	18-19	95%	10-15	67%	8-16	50%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 26	35.3	21	55%	7	2	0	2	2	5	1	6	4-7	57%	7-11	64%	1-5	20%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #12 · SG · 6'8" 210 · 25	33.0	17	61%	5	0	2	1	1	3	2	3	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	1-5	20%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 31	27.8	1	17%	3	8	1	1	1	3	0	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
James Wiseman #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 20	21.6	12	67%	11	1	0	2	3	4	2	9	0-2	0%	6-8	75%	0-1	0%

Kent Bazemore #26 · SG · 6'5" 201 · 32	20.4	6	50%	8	2	0	0	0	1	2	6	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 25	17.3	2	100%	5	2	0	0	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Damion Lee #1 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 28	17.1	6	100%	2	2	0	0	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Eric Paschall #7 · PF · 6'7" 254 · 24	16.5	10	83%	3	1	0	0	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Brad Wanamaker #10 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 31	10.8	0	0%	2	1	1	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Juan Toscano-Anderson #95 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 28	3.5	0	0%	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mychal Mulder #15 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 27	0.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Nico Mannion #2 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 20	INACTIVE
Marquese Chriss #32 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Syndesmosis; Injury w/ Fibula Fracture
Alen Smailagic #6 · PF · 6'9" 216 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Meniscus Tear
Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	137	65%	53	23	4	7	15	24	11	42	26-34	76%	36-54	67%	13-34	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	POR	GSW

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.09 54.5%

GSW

1.29 64.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

57%

GSW

79%

Midrange

POR

40%

GSW

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

21.0

33%

49%

GSW

19.5

38%

57%

Free Throws

POR

79%

GSW

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Lillard	32	59%	16.0 / 27
C. McCollum	28	54%	14.0 / 26
E. Kanter	24	75%	12.0 / 16
C. Anthony	10	50%	5.0 / 10
J. Nurkić	7	32%	3.5 / 11
G. Trent	7	32%	3.5 / 11
R. Covington	6	75%	3.0 / 4
A. Simons	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. Jones	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	62	79%	31.0 / 39
A. Wiggins	21	55%	10.5 / 19
K. Oubre	17	61%	8.5 / 14
J. Wiseman	12	67%	6.0 / 9
E. Paschall	10	83%	5.0 / 6
K. Bazemore	6	50%	3.0 / 6
D. Lee	6	100%	3.0 / 3
K. Looney	2	100%	1.0 / 1
D. Green	1	17%	0.5 / 3
B. Wanamaker	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 117.6 20 110.9	POR 115.1 GSW 126.9 +11.8
Pace	19 98.6 3 102.4	POR 112.4 +10.2 GSW 102.2
Avg. Poss. Time	6 14.9 28 13.7	POR 12.8 −1.3 GSW 14.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.0% 7 55.1%	POR 49.0% GSW 63.1% +14.1%
TO %	1 10.9% 24 14.3%	POR 9.6% −3.1% GSW 12.7%
ORB %	11 23.1% 30 17.9%	POR 22.2% GSW 28.2% +6.0%
FTrt	22 23.8 20 23.9	POR 33.7 GSW 38.6 +4.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 51.5% 3 67.0%	POR 39.0% GSW 46.9% +7.9%
STL %	24 7.0% 8 8.0%	POR 6.6% +2.9% GSW 3.7%
BLK %	10 9.4% 17 8.7%	POR 3.7% GSW 12.7% +9.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 56.6% 7 57.3%	POR 54.5% GSW 64.6% +10.1%
Rim FG%	26 58.1% 7 63.7%	POR 56.7% GSW 79.3% +22.6%
Mid FG%	18 41.0% 20 40.4%	POR 40.0% GSW 52.0% +12.0%
3P %	6 38.5% 9 37.6%	POR 32.6% GSW 38.2% +5.6%
FT %	3 82.3% 13 78.5%	POR 78.8% +2.3% GSW 76.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 31.8% 22 33.0%	POR 30.6% GSW 33.0% +2.3%
Mid Att. %	10 23.4% 9 23.1%	POR 25.5% −2.9% GSW 28.4%
3P Att. %	3 44.8% 5 43.9%	POR 43.9% +5.2% GSW 38.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	GSW
Possessions	106	108
Possession Minutes	22.6	25.4
Points	122	137
Rebounds	40	53
Assists	16	23
Steals	7	4
Blocks	2	7
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls	27	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (6)	11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (1)	42 (0)
Field Goals	41-98	49-88
At-the-Rim FG	17-30	23-29
Midrange FG	10-25	13-25
2-Point FG	27-55	36-54
3-Point FG	14-43	13-34
Free Throws	26-33	26-34
Fast Break Pts	12	13
2nd Chance Pts	25	15
Points in Paint	40	60
Pts off Turnovers	19	13
Bench Points	46	24
Biggest Lead	7	20

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg