for complete access.
All Games Monday, January 4, 2021
FinalWin Prob.pScore
24
Thunder
27%105
90
10
Heat
73%114
118
ORTG#PossPace
OKC logo OKC
90.010094.0
MIA logo MIA
116.8101108.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventOKCMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.90
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:03.9HeatChris Silva defensive rebound90
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:05.3ThunderMoses Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 290
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:05.3ThunderMoses Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 290
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:05.3HeatChris Silva shooting foul (Moses Brown draws the foul)89
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:05.3ThunderMoses Brown offensive rebound89
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:08.4ThunderDarius Miller misses three point jump shot89
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:17.7HeatChris Silva turnover (out of bounds lost ball)89
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:33.3HeatChris Silva defensive rebound89
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:34.8ThunderMoses Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 289
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:34.8ThunderMoses Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 289
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:34.8HeatKZ Okpala personal foul (Moses Brown draws the foul)89
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:44.3HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot89
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:56.3ThunderMoses Brown makes two point cutting dunk (Josh Hall assists)89
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 1:04HeatChris Silva turnover (back court violation)87
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 1:04HeatChris Silva offensive rebound87
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 1:09HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point pullup jump shot87
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 1:17ThunderIsaiah Roby makes three point jump shot (Kenrich Williams assists)87
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 1:28HeatChris Silva makes two point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)84
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 1:39ThunderDarius Miller makes three point jump shot (Josh Hall assists)84
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:42ThunderJosh Hall defensive rebound81
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:47HeatKenrich Williams blocks Kendrick Nunn's three point stepback jump shot81
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 2:00ThunderKenrich Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 281
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 2:00ThunderKenrich Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 280
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 2:00HeatKendrick Nunn personal foul (Kenrich Williams draws the foul)79
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 2:06HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving finger roll layup (Chris Silva assists)79
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 2:12HeatChris Silva defensive rebound79
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 2:18ThunderJosh Hall misses two point driving floating jump shot79
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 2:30HeatChris Silva turnover (3-second violation)79
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 2:44HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound79
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 2:47ThunderIsaiah Roby misses three point jump shot79
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 3:00HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot79
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10HeatChris Silva defensive rebound79
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13ThunderIsaiah Roby misses two point driving finger roll layup79
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18HeatKZ Okpala turnover (bad pass) (Moses Brown steals)79
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound79
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30ThunderJosh Hall misses three point jump shot79
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:37ThunderThunder defensive rebound79
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39HeatMaurice Harkless misses regular free throw 2 of 279
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39HeatMaurice Harkless misses regular free throw 1 of 279
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39ThunderJosh Hall shooting foul (Maurice Harkless draws the foul)79
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:50ThunderJosh Hall turnover (back court violation)79
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59ThunderKenrich Williams defensive rebound79
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02HeatKZ Okpala misses two point pullup jump shot79
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20ThunderIsaiah Roby turnover (out of bounds step)79
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:25ThunderThunder offensive rebound79
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27ThunderMoses Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 279
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27ThunderMoses Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 279
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27HeatMaurice Harkless personal foul (Moses Brown draws the foul)78
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:32HeatKZ Okpala makes two point running dunk (Kendrick Nunn assists)78
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:36ThunderDarius Miller turnover (lost ball) (KZ Okpala steals)78
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:42ThunderMoses Brown defensive rebound78
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:42HeatPrecious Achiuwa misses two point putback layup78
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:43HeatPrecious Achiuwa offensive rebound78
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:48HeatIsaiah Roby blocks Precious Achiuwa's two point jump shot78
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:01ThunderDarius Miller personal foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)78
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:09HeatPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound78
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:12ThunderMoses Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 278
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:12ThunderMoses Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 278
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:12HeatAvery Bradley personal foul (Moses Brown draws the foul)77
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:20HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot77
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:31ThunderKenrich Williams turnover (traveling)77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:45ThunderMoses Brown defensive rebound77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48HeatKZ Okpala misses regular free throw 2 of 277
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48HeatKZ Okpala misses regular free throw 1 of 277
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48ThunderJosh Hall shooting foul (KZ Okpala draws the foul)77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:59ThunderKenrich Williams turnover (out of bounds step)77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:03ThunderJosh Hall defensive rebound77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:08HeatGoran Dragic misses two point stepback jump shot77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:15HeatPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:18ThunderTheo Maledon misses three point jump shot77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:25ThunderJosh Hall offensive rebound77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:25ThunderJustin Jackson misses three point jump shot77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:25ThunderJustin Jackson offensive rebound77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:28ThunderDarius Miller misses three point jump shot77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:33ThunderJustin Jackson defensive rebound77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:36HeatPrecious Achiuwa misses two point putback layup77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:38HeatPrecious Achiuwa offensive rebound77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:41HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:55ThunderJustin Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 277
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:55ThunderJustin Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 276
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:55HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Justin Jackson draws the foul)75
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 7:04HeatAvery Bradley makes two point alley-oop layup (Goran Dragic assists)75
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 7:18ThunderJustin Jackson personal foul (Precious Achiuwa draws the foul)75
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 7:38ThunderTheo Maledon makes three point stepback jump shot (Kenrich Williams assists)75
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 7:45HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Kenrich Williams steals)72
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 7:55HeatHeat defensive rebound72
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 7:58ThunderTheo Maledon misses three point pullup jump shot72
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 8:09HeatGoran Dragic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)72
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 8:30ThunderHamidou Diallo makes two point pullup jump shot (Isaiah Roby assists)72
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 8:38ThunderIsaiah Roby offensive rebound70
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 8:43ThunderIsaiah Roby misses two point driving hook shot70
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 8:59HeatAndre Iguodala makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)70
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 9:18ThunderTheo Maledon turnover (traveling)70
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 9:25HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving finger roll layup70
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 9:35HeatHeat defensive rebound70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 9:38ThunderMike Muscala misses three point jump shot70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 9:53HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Goran Dragic assists)70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 10:03ThunderHamidou Diallo makes regular free throw 2 of 270
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 10:03ThunderHamidou Diallo makes regular free throw 1 of 269
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 10:03HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Hamidou Diallo draws the foul)68
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 10:14ThunderMike Muscala defensive rebound68
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 10:17HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot68
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 10:24ThunderTheo Maledon turnover (bad pass) (Avery Bradley steals)68
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 10:37HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop layup (Duncan Robinson assists)68
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 10:49ThunderJustin Jackson turnover (offensive foul)68
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 10:49ThunderJustin Jackson offensive foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)68
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 10:54HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (Theo Maledon steals)68
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 11:01ThunderTheo Maledon makes regular free throw 2 of 268
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 11:01ThunderTheo Maledon misses regular free throw 1 of 267
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 11:01HeatAvery Bradley shooting foul (Theo Maledon draws the foul)67
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 11:13ThunderJustin Jackson defensive rebound67
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 11:16HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 167
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 11:16ThunderMike Muscala shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)67
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 11:27ThunderHamidou Diallo makes regular free throw 2 of 267
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 11:27ThunderHamidou Diallo misses regular free throw 1 of 266
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 11:27HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Hamidou Diallo draws the foul)66
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 11:45HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving finger roll layup66
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.66
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q3 - 0:04.8HeatPrecious Achiuwa personal foul (Isaiah Roby draws the foul)66
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q3 - 0:22.5ThunderMike Muscala defensive rebound66
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q3 - 0:25.2HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot66
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q3 - 0:51.1HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound66
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q3 - 0:55.9ThunderMike Muscala misses three point jump shot66
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q3 - 1:06HeatAndre Iguodala makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)66
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q3 - 1:16ThunderTheo Maledon turnover (out of bounds bad pass)66
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q3 - 1:26ThunderJustin Jackson defensive rebound66
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q3 - 1:29HeatPrecious Achiuwa misses regular free throw 2 of 266
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q3 - 1:29HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes regular free throw 1 of 266
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q3 - 1:29ThunderIsaiah Roby shooting foul (Precious Achiuwa draws the foul)66
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q3 - 1:46ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point jump shot (Theo Maledon assists)66
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q3 - 2:05HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes regular free throw 1 of 163
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q3 - 2:05ThunderHamidou Diallo shooting foul (Precious Achiuwa draws the foul)63
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q3 - 2:24HeatPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound63
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q3 - 2:26ThunderJustin Jackson misses three point jump shot63
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q3 - 2:37ThunderJustin Jackson defensive rebound63
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q3 - 2:39HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot63
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q3 - 2:53ThunderJustin Jackson personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)63
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q3 - 2:57HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound63
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q3 - 3:01ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point pullup jump shot63
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q3 - 3:11HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)63
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q3 - 3:24HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound63
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q3 - 3:27ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point jump shot63
1.5%
82
98.5%
Q3 - 3:35HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Isaiah Roby draws the foul)63
1.7%
82
98.3%
Q3 - 3:59HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)63
1.7%
82
98.3%
Q3 - 4:10Jump ball. Precious Achiuwa vs. Justin Jackson (Kelly Olynyk gains possession)63
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q3 - 4:26HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)63
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q3 - 4:33HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound63
3.4%
77
96.6%
Q3 - 4:38ThunderJustin Jackson misses three point jump shot63
3.7%
77
96.3%
Q3 - 4:43ThunderThunder offensive rebound63
4.2%
77
95.8%
Q3 - 4:46ThunderJustin Jackson misses three point jump shot63
3.6%
77
96.4%
Q3 - 4:58HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point pullup jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)63
4.2%
77
95.8%
Q3 - 5:03HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound63
6.1%
74
93.9%
Q3 - 5:06ThunderAl Horford misses two point hook shot63
6.4%
74
93.6%
Q3 - 5:28HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)63
7.1%
74
92.9%
Q3 - 5:38HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound63
9.4%
71
90.6%
Q3 - 5:42ThunderGeorge Hill misses three point jump shot63
9.8%
71
90.2%
Q3 - 6:00HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)63
10.9%
71
89.1%
Q3 - 6:00HeatHeat offensive rebound63
9.3%
71
90.7%
Q3 - 6:00HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot63
10.4%
71
89.6%
Q3 - 6:22HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound63
9.6%
71
90.4%
Q3 - 6:26ThunderDarius Bazley misses two point pullup jump shot63
10.0%
71
90.0%
Q3 - 6:48HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 263
11.1%
71
88.9%
Q3 - 6:48HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 263
11.3%
70
88.7%
Q3 - 6:48ThunderDarius Bazley shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)63
11.6%
69
88.4%
Q3 - 6:52HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound63
12.6%
69
87.4%
Q3 - 6:54ThunderAl Horford misses three point jump shot63
13.2%
69
86.8%
Q3 - 7:09HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup63
14.7%
69
85.3%
Q3 - 7:12HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound63
16.3%
67
83.7%
Q3 - 7:15ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving finger roll layup63
17.1%
67
82.9%
Q3 - 7:21ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound63
18.8%
67
81.2%
Q3 - 7:25HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot63
18.0%
67
82.0%
Q3 - 7:44ThunderDarius Bazley makes regular free throw 2 of 263
16.3%
67
83.7%
Q3 - 7:44ThunderDarius Bazley makes regular free throw 1 of 262
15.9%
67
84.1%
Q3 - 7:44HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Darius Bazley draws the foul)61
15.4%
67
84.6%
Q3 - 7:48ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound61
14.7%
67
85.3%
Q3 - 7:50HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot61
14.0%
67
86.0%
Q3 - 8:01ThunderDarius Bazley makes three point jump shot (Luguentz Dort assists)61
12.7%
67
87.3%
Q3 - 8:08ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound58
10.0%
67
90.0%
Q3 - 8:13HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot58
9.6%
67
90.4%
Q3 - 8:38ThunderDarius Bazley makes three point pullup jump shot58
8.6%
67
91.4%
Q3 - 8:54HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 255
6.7%
67
93.3%
Q3 - 8:54HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 255
6.9%
66
93.1%
Q3 - 8:54ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)55
7.2%
65
92.8%
Q3 - 8:56HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound55
7.5%
65
92.5%
Q3 - 9:01ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point pullup jump shot55
8.0%
65
92.0%
Q3 - 9:08ThunderAl Horford offensive rebound55
8.9%
65
91.1%
Q3 - 9:13ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point jump shot55
8.0%
65
92.0%
Q3 - 9:33ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound55
8.9%
65
91.1%
Q3 - 9:37HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot55
8.5%
65
91.5%
Q3 - 9:56HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound55
7.6%
65
92.4%
Q3 - 9:59ThunderGeorge Hill misses two point running layup55
8.0%
65
92.0%
Q3 - 10:04ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound55
9.0%
65
91.0%
Q3 - 10:07HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot55
8.6%
65
91.4%
Q3 - 10:15HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound55
7.8%
65
92.2%
Q3 - 10:18ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point pullup jump shot55
8.1%
65
91.9%
Q3 - 10:32HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (traveling)55
9.0%
65
91.0%
Q3 - 10:59ThunderGeorge Hill makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)55
7.8%
65
92.2%
Q3 - 11:24HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot52
6.2%
65
93.8%
Q3 - 11:48ThunderLuguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (George Hill assists)52
7.0%
63
93.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.49
5.5%
63
94.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0HeatHeat offensive rebound49
5.1%
63
94.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot49
5.5%
63
94.5%
Q2 - 0:06.0ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)49
5.1%
63
94.9%
Q2 - 0:18.1HeatTyler Herro makes two point running layup (Jimmy Butler assists)49
5.6%
63
94.4%
Q2 - 0:20.4ThunderDarius Bazley turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Herro steals)49
6.5%
61
93.5%
Q2 - 0:23.0ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound49
7.1%
61
92.9%
Q2 - 0:25.6HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot49
6.9%
61
93.1%
Q2 - 0:40.4HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound49
6.5%
61
93.5%
Q2 - 0:44.0ThunderAl Horford misses three point jump shot49
6.7%
61
93.3%
Q2 - 1:07HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)49
7.4%
61
92.6%
Q2 - 1:17HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound49
9.7%
58
90.3%
Q2 - 1:20ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point jump shot49
9.9%
58
90.1%
Q2 - 1:41HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup49
10.4%
58
89.6%
Q2 - 1:51ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving layup49
12.2%
56
87.8%
Q2 - 1:54ThunderAl Horford defensive rebound47
10.4%
56
89.6%
Q2 - 2:02HeatGeorge Hill blocks Duncan Robinson's three point jump shot47
10.6%
56
89.4%
Q2 - 2:21HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound47
9.8%
56
90.2%
Q2 - 2:23ThunderLuguentz Dort misses regular free throw 1 of 147
10.0%
56
90.0%
Q2 - 2:23HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)47
10.7%
56
89.3%
Q2 - 2:45HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)45
8.8%
56
91.2%
Q2 - 2:54ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 245
10.9%
53
89.1%
Q2 - 2:54ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 244
10.7%
53
89.3%
Q2 - 2:54HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)43
10.5%
53
89.5%
Q2 - 3:02HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 243
10.2%
53
89.8%
Q2 - 3:02HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 243
10.3%
52
89.7%
Q2 - 3:02ThunderAl Horford shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)43
10.5%
51
89.5%
Q2 - 3:14ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)43
11.1%
51
88.9%
Q2 - 3:32HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)40
9.2%
51
90.8%
Q2 - 3:46ThunderLuguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)40
10.0%
49
90.0%
Q2 - 4:00HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)37
8.2%
49
91.8%
Q2 - 4:07HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound37
10.3%
46
89.7%
Q2 - 4:10ThunderDarius Bazley misses three point jump shot37
10.6%
46
89.4%
Q2 - 4:36HeatJimmy Butler makes two point floating jump shot37
11.4%
46
88.6%
Q2 - 4:54ThunderAl Horford makes two point cutting layup (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)37
12.5%
44
87.5%
Q2 - 5:04ThunderAl Horford defensive rebound35
11.5%
44
88.5%
Q2 - 5:06HeatJimmy Butler misses two point layup35
11.1%
44
88.9%
Q2 - 5:24ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point running layup (Darius Bazley assists)35
10.2%
44
89.8%
Q2 - 5:29HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Darius Bazley steals)33
9.4%
44
90.6%
Q2 - 5:37HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound33
8.4%
44
91.6%
Q2 - 5:41ThunderGeorge Hill misses three point jump shot33
8.7%
44
91.3%
Q2 - 6:00HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 233
9.4%
44
90.6%
Q2 - 6:00HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 233
9.6%
43
90.4%
Q2 - 6:00ThunderLuguentz Dort shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)33
9.7%
42
90.3%
Q2 - 6:16ThunderLuguentz Dort makes two point driving layup (Darius Bazley assists)33
10.2%
42
89.8%
Q2 - 6:25ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound31
9.5%
42
90.5%
Q2 - 6:30HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot31
9.2%
42
90.8%
Q2 - 6:40HeatPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound31
8.4%
42
91.6%
Q2 - 6:45ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving floating jump shot31
8.7%
42
91.3%
Q2 - 6:59HeatPrecious Achiuwa personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)31
9.5%
42
90.5%
Q2 - 7:14HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Goran Dragic assists)31
9.7%
42
90.3%
Q2 - 7:19ThunderThunder turnover (shot clock violation)31
10.6%
40
89.4%
Q2 - 7:46HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)31
11.7%
40
88.3%
Q2 - 8:00ThunderThunder turnover (shot clock violation)31
13.9%
37
86.1%
Q2 - 8:28HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)31
15.4%
37
84.6%
Q2 - 8:37HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound31
18.2%
34
81.8%
Q2 - 8:40ThunderIsaiah Roby misses three point jump shot31
18.7%
34
81.3%
Q2 - 8:50HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Avery Bradley assists)31
19.9%
34
80.1%
Q2 - 9:03HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound31
21.4%
32
78.6%
Q2 - 9:08ThunderTheo Maledon misses three point jump shot31
21.9%
32
78.1%
Q2 - 9:16ThunderHamidou Diallo offensive rebound31
23.2%
32
76.8%
Q2 - 9:19ThunderTheo Maledon misses three point jump shot31
21.9%
32
78.1%
Q2 - 9:28ThunderIsaiah Roby defensive rebound31
23.2%
32
76.8%
Q2 - 9:32HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot31
22.6%
32
77.4%
Q2 - 9:36ThunderHamidou Diallo turnover (bad pass) (Andre Iguodala steals)31
21.4%
32
78.6%
Q2 - 9:52ThunderTheo Maledon defensive rebound31
23.2%
32
76.8%
Q2 - 9:55HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot31
22.6%
32
77.4%
Q2 - 10:08HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound31
21.4%
32
78.6%
Q2 - 10:12ThunderMike Muscala misses three point jump shot31
21.9%
32
78.1%
Q2 - 10:16ThunderJustin Jackson defensive rebound31
23.2%
32
76.8%
Q2 - 10:18HeatAvery Bradley misses two point cutting layup31
22.6%
32
77.4%
Q2 - 10:28ThunderHamidou Diallo makes two point driving reverse layup31
21.4%
32
78.6%
Q2 - 10:47HeatAvery Bradley makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)29
19.9%
32
80.1%
Q2 - 11:02ThunderHamidou Diallo turnover (offensive foul)29
22.8%
29
77.2%
Q2 - 11:02ThunderHamidou Diallo offensive foul (Charge) (Andre Iguodala draws the foul)29
24.4%
29
75.6%
Q2 - 11:15HeatAndre Iguodala makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)29
24.4%
29
75.6%
Q2 - 11:34ThunderTheo Maledon makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Roby assists)29
28.3%
26
71.7%
Q2 - 11:39HeatAndre Iguodala personal foul (Loose ball) (Mike Muscala draws the foul)26
24.5%
26
75.5%
Q2 - 11:39ThunderThunder offensive rebound26
24.5%
26
75.5%
Q2 - 11:40ThunderJustin Jackson misses three point jump shot26
23.3%
26
76.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.26
24.5%
26
75.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0ThunderJustin Jackson makes two point floating jump shot26
22.7%
26
77.3%
Q1 - 0:02.4HeatPrecious Achiuwa turnover (bad pass) (Justin Jackson steals)24
20.8%
26
79.2%
Q1 - 0:04.8ThunderMike Muscala makes regular free throw 1 of 124
19.6%
26
80.4%
Q1 - 0:04.8HeatPrecious Achiuwa shooting foul (Mike Muscala draws the foul)23
19.4%
26
80.6%
Q1 - 0:25.8HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)20
15.3%
26
84.7%
Q1 - 0:25.8HeatHeat offensive rebound20
14.4%
26
85.6%
Q1 - 0:25.8HeatAndre Iguodala misses two point driving floating jump shot20
15.0%
26
85.0%
Q1 - 0:49.7HeatAvery Bradley defensive rebound20
14.4%
26
85.6%
Q1 - 0:52.3ThunderMike Muscala misses three point jump shot20
14.7%
26
85.3%
Q1 - 1:03ThunderJustin Jackson defensive rebound20
15.4%
26
84.6%
Q1 - 1:05HeatGoran Dragic misses two point layup20
15.2%
26
84.8%
Q1 - 1:09HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound20
14.5%
26
85.5%
Q1 - 1:13ThunderTheo Maledon misses three point pullup jump shot20
14.8%
26
85.2%
Q1 - 1:29HeatAvery Bradley makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)20
15.4%
26
84.6%
Q1 - 1:41ThunderJustin Jackson makes two point driving layup (Hamidou Diallo assists)20
18.3%
23
81.7%
Q1 - 1:52HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating bank jump shot18
16.7%
23
83.3%
Q1 - 2:02ThunderHamidou Diallo makes two point driving layup18
18.2%
21
81.8%
Q1 - 2:09ThunderHamidou Diallo defensive rebound16
16.8%
21
83.2%
Q1 - 2:11HeatGoran Dragic misses two point stepback jump shot16
16.5%
21
83.5%
Q1 - 2:19HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound16
15.7%
21
84.3%
Q1 - 2:23ThunderMike Muscala misses three point jump shot16
16.0%
21
84.0%
Q1 - 2:38ThunderHamidou Diallo defensive rebound16
16.8%
21
83.2%
Q1 - 2:40HeatPrecious Achiuwa misses regular free throw 2 of 216
16.7%
21
83.3%
Q1 - 2:40HeatPrecious Achiuwa misses regular free throw 1 of 216
15.9%
21
84.1%
Q1 - 2:40ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander shooting foul (Precious Achiuwa draws the foul)16
15.1%
21
84.9%
Q1 - 2:47HeatPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound16
15.7%
21
84.3%
Q1 - 2:49ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point stepback jump shot16
16.0%
21
84.0%
Q1 - 3:01ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound16
16.9%
21
83.1%
Q1 - 3:04HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot16
16.5%
21
83.5%
Q1 - 3:13HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound16
15.5%
21
84.5%
Q1 - 3:19ThunderMike Muscala misses three point jump shot16
15.9%
21
84.1%
Q1 - 3:41HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)16
16.9%
21
83.1%
Q1 - 3:50ThunderLuguentz Dort makes regular free throw 2 of 216
19.3%
18
80.7%
Q1 - 3:50ThunderLuguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 215
19.0%
18
81.0%
Q1 - 3:50HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)14
18.7%
18
81.3%
Q1 - 3:58ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound14
18.2%
18
81.8%
Q1 - 4:00HeatTyler Herro misses two point jump shot14
17.7%
18
82.3%
Q1 - 4:19ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving layup14
16.8%
18
83.2%
Q1 - 4:31ThunderAl Horford defensive rebound12
15.8%
18
84.2%
Q1 - 4:34HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot12
15.4%
18
84.6%
Q1 - 4:44ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving layup12
14.5%
18
85.5%
Q1 - 4:59HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)10
13.6%
18
86.4%
Q1 - 5:10HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound10
14.7%
16
85.3%
Q1 - 5:12ThunderLuguentz Dort misses two point driving layup10
15.1%
16
84.9%
Q1 - 5:28ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound10
15.8%
16
84.2%
Q1 - 5:32HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot10
15.5%
16
84.5%
Q1 - 5:53ThunderDarius Bazley makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)10
14.7%
16
85.3%
Q1 - 6:08HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (traveling)7
12.9%
16
87.1%
Q1 - 6:26HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound7
12.1%
16
87.9%
Q1 - 6:29ThunderAl Horford misses three point jump shot7
12.4%
16
87.6%
Q1 - 6:37HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)7
12.9%
16
87.1%
Q1 - 6:40HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback dunk7
12.9%
16
87.1%
Q1 - 6:43HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound7
13.9%
14
86.1%
Q1 - 6:46HeatDarius Bazley blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup7
14.5%
14
85.5%
Q1 - 6:56ThunderDarius Bazley makes two point running dunk7
13.9%
14
86.1%
Q1 - 6:59HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Darius Bazley steals)5
12.9%
14
87.1%
Q1 - 7:09HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound5
12.1%
14
87.9%
Q1 - 7:12ThunderGeorge Hill misses two point pullup jump shot5
12.4%
14
87.6%
Q1 - 7:29HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)5
13.0%
14
87.0%
Q1 - 7:35HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound5
14.7%
11
85.3%
Q1 - 7:36ThunderLuguentz Dort misses two point driving layup5
15.1%
11
84.9%
Q1 - 7:40ThunderAl Horford defensive rebound5
15.8%
11
84.2%
Q1 - 7:46HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot5
15.5%
11
84.5%
Q1 - 8:09ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point pullup jump shot5
14.6%
11
85.4%
Q1 - 8:29HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)3
13.8%
11
86.2%
Q1 - 8:34HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound3
15.6%
8
84.4%
Q1 - 8:36ThunderDarius Bazley misses two point driving layup3
16.0%
8
84.0%
Q1 - 9:00HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)3
16.8%
8
83.2%
Q1 - 9:11ThunderDarius Bazley makes regular free throw 1 of 13
17.7%
6
82.3%
Q1 - 9:11HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Darius Bazley draws the foul)2
17.4%
6
82.6%
Q1 - 9:32HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point running layup (Tyler Herro assists)0
15.8%
6
84.2%
Q1 - 9:35HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound0
16.6%
4
83.4%
Q1 - 9:38ThunderDarius Bazley misses two point pullup jump shot0
17.0%
4
83.0%
Q1 - 9:59HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)0
17.9%
4
82.1%
Q1 - 10:00HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound0
16.6%
4
83.4%
Q1 - 10:03ThunderDarius Bazley misses three point jump shot0
16.8%
4
83.2%
Q1 - 10:11ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound0
17.6%
4
82.4%
Q1 - 10:13HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point pullup jump shot0
17.2%
4
82.8%
Q1 - 10:23HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound0
16.4%
4
83.6%
Q1 - 10:27ThunderAl Horford misses three point jump shot0
16.8%
4
83.2%
Q1 - 10:38HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)0
17.6%
4
82.4%
Q1 - 10:42ThunderDarius Bazley turnover (lost ball) (Duncan Robinson steals)0
16.4%
4
83.6%
Q1 - 10:59HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup0
17.6%
4
82.4%
Q1 - 11:15ThunderThunder turnover (shot clock violation)0
18.4%
2
81.6%
Q1 - 11:18ThunderThunder offensive rebound0
19.7%
2
80.3%
Q1 - 11:18ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving layup0
18.8%
2
81.2%
Q1 - 11:44HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)0
19.7%
2
80.3%
Q1 - 12:00Al Horford vs. Bam Adebayo (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
20.8%
0
79.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
0.95 47.4%
MIA
1.26 62.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
OKC
14
22
64%
MIA
20
26
77%
Midrange
OKC
2
9
22%
MIA
10
21
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
OKC
13
19.5
48
27%
41%
MIA
16
24.0
34
47%
71%
Free Throws
OKC
19
27
70%
MIA
10
18
56%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander1856%9.0 / 16
D. Bazley1673%8.0 / 11
L. Dort1267%6.0 / 9
H. Diallo990%4.5 / 5
T. Maledon744%3.5 / 8
J. Jackson638%3.0 / 8
M. Brown550%2.5 / 5
M. Muscala429%2.0 / 7
G. Hill330%1.5 / 5
I. Roby330%1.5 / 5
D. Miller350%1.5 / 3
A. Horford217%1.0 / 6
K. Williams2100%1.0 / 1
J. Hall0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2091%10.0 / 11
K. Olynyk19106%9.5 / 9
J. Butler1860%9.0 / 15
D. Robinson1255%6.0 / 11
A. Iguodala990%4.5 / 5
A. Bradley8100%4.0 / 4
K. Nunn867%4.0 / 6
T. Herro739%3.5 / 9
G. Dragic750%3.5 / 7
P. Achiuwa643%3.0 / 7
K. Okpala233%1.0 / 3
C. Silva2100%1.0 / 1
M. Harkless0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

OKC
85
+10
-15
95
MIA
87
+7
-14
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
0.95 47.4%
MIA
1.26 62.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.2
111.1
OKC 90.0 +26.8
MIA 116.8
Pace
101.3
96.7
OKC 94.0
MIA 108.9 +14.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
14.7
OKC 15.3
MIA 13.2 +2.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.9%
54.6%
OKC 44.9%
MIA 66.7% +21.8%
TO %
15.1%
13.7%
OKC 16.5%
MIA 15.2% +1.3%
ORB %
21.3%
19.4%
OKC 12.2% +1.1%
MIA 11.1%
FTrt
24.2
25.2
OKC 34.2 +12.0
MIA 22.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.8%
67.1%
OKC 69.0%
MIA 73.9% +4.9%
STL %
6.9%
8.2%
OKC 6.0%
MIA 6.9% +0.9%
BLK %
8.0%
8.5%
OKC 8.5% +8.5%
MIA 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
56.5%
OKC 47.4%
MIA 62.8% +15.4%
Rim FG%
57.6%
64.8%
OKC 63.6%
MIA 76.9% +13.3%
Mid FG%
39.4%
41.8%
OKC 22.2%
MIA 47.6% +25.4%
3P %
33.9%
35.8%
OKC 27.1%
MIA 47.1% +20.0%
FT %
72.4%
79.0%
OKC 70.4% +14.8%
MIA 55.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.9%
33.3%
OKC 27.8%
MIA 32.1% +4.3%
Mid Att. %
22.2%
23.5%
OKC 11.4% +14.5%
MIA 25.9%
3P Att. %
39.9%
43.2%
OKC 60.8% +18.8%
MIA 42.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsOKCMIA
Possessions100101
Possession Minutes25.522.3
Points90118
Rebounds3847
Assists2034
Steals67
Blocks40
Turnovers (Team)15 (3)14 (2)
Fouls1520
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (4)4 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)43 (2)
Field Goals29-7946-81
At-the-Rim FG14-2220-26
Midrange FG2-910-21
2-Point FG16-3130-47
3-Point FG13-4816-34
Free Throws19-2710-18
Fast Break Pts1213
2nd Chance Pts62
Points in Paint2852
Pts off Turnovers1927
Bench Points3942
Biggest Lead335

BOXSCORE

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24 Oklahoma City Thunder
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
#2 · SG · 6'6" 195 · 22
27.9
18
56%
2
4
0
0
2
2
0
2
2-2
100%
5-9
56%
2-6
33%
Darius Bazley
#7 · PF · 6'9" 208 · 21
25.9
16
73%
8
2
2
1
2
1
0
8
3-3
100%
2-5
40%
3-5
60%
Luguentz Dort
#5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 22
23.6
12
67%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
Al Horford
#42 · C · 6'10" 245 · 35
21.2
2
17%
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
George Hill
#3 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 35
21.2
3
30%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
Isaiah Roby
#22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 23
24.1
3
30%
2
2
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
Justin Jackson
#44 · PF · 6'8" 220 · 26
19.0
6
38%
7
0
1
0
1
3
1
6
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
0-5
0%
Theo Maledon
#11 · PG · 6'5" 175 · 20
17.8
7
44%
1
2
1
0
3
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
2-7
29%
Hamidou Diallo
#6 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 22
17.1
9
90%
3
1
0
0
2
2
1
2
3-4
75%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
Mike Muscala
#33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 30
13.7
4
29%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
0-0
-
1-7
14%
Kenrich Williams
#34 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 26
8.2
2
100%
1
2
1
1
2
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
Darius Miller
#12 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 31
7.3
3
50%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
Josh Hall
#15 · SF · 6'9" 190 · 20
7.3
0
0%
3
2
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
Moses Brown
#9 · C · 7'1" 245 · 21
5.8
5
50%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
3-8
38%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Ty Jerome
#16 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Sprain
Trevor Ariza
#8 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 36
Inactive - Not With Team
Aleksej Pokusevski
#17 · C · 7'0" 190 · 19
Inactive - Injury/Illness | N/a; Concussion Protocols
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
47%
38
20
6
4
15
15
6
32
19-27
70%
16-31
52%
13-48
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.