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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 5, 2021
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Bulls29%116111
14Trail Blazers71%123108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.8
42.6
33.6
18
47%
4
9
0
1
2
4
0
4
3-3
100%
3-8
6-11
38%
50%
3-10
30%
Coby White
G · 6'5" 191 · 20.9
38.6
32.1
21
51%
10
5
0
1
0
2
2
8
3-4
75%
6-12
3-7
50%
44%
2-7
29%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 27.6
28.2
25.9
19
64%
13
1
0
1
0
0
2
11
1-2
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
53%
4-7
57%
Wendell Carter Jr.
F · 6'10" 251 · 21.7
25.2
24.8
13
56%
3
5
1
1
1
1
2
1
5-6
83%
4-7
3-6
57%
55%
0-2
0%
Patrick Williams
F · 6'8" 215 · 19.4
24.9
24.5
14
79%
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
2-2
100%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 34.7
28.4
23.1
14
70%
1
0
3
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
4-9
44%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.5
23.2
23.7
10
59%
8
4
0
1
0
3
2
6
1-1
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
53%
1-2
50%
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 27.1
19.2
15.1
0
0%
8
2
1
1
0
1
0
8
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Daniel Gafford
F-C · 6'11" 238 · 22.3
9.5
16.5
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
61%
0-0
-
Adam Mokoka
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.5
5.7
0
0-1
50%
Luke Kornet
F-C · 7'2" 250 · 25.5
5.1
0
0-1
55%
Devon Dotson
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.4
4.6
0
0-1
46%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 28.5
4.2
0
0-1
56%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 29.2
Ryan Arcidiacono
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.8
Chandler Hutchison
F · 6'7" 197 · 24.7
Lauri Markkanen
F · 7'0" 230 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.5
36.7
35.5
24
55%
5
9
0
1
0
0
0
5
9-11
82%
3-6
4-9
50%
52%
3-11
27%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.1
36.5
29.2
14
70%
6
1
1
2
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
53%
4-9
44%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.3
36.0
34.6
26
62%
5
4
3
1
0
5
0
5
0-0
-
4-7
6-11
57%
50%
6-14
43%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 23.9
31.4
25.6
5
29%
3
1
3
1
1
1
2
1
1-4
25%
2-4
2-4
50%
60%
0-3
0%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 26.4
28.0
22.5
12
40%
11
6
0
1
1
1
3
8
0-0
-
6-13
4-7
46%
52%
0-2
0%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 36.6
28.0
24.2
12
67%
4
0
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
46%
4-6
67%
Gary Trent Jr.
G-F · 6'5" 209 · 22.0
18.6
24.6
13
60%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
2-5
40%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 28.6
15.6
20.2
2
33%
10
2
0
0
0
1
3
7
0-0
-
1-3
4-7
33%
58%
0-0
-
Anfernee Simons
G · 6'4" 183 · 21.6
5.0
14.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Harry Giles III
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 22.7
4.2
6.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
Nassir Little
F · 6'6" 220 · 20.9
5.9
0
1-1
53%
CJ Elleby
F-G · 6'6" 200 · 20.6
3.5
0
0-1
52%
Keljin Blevins
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.1
3.1
0
0-1
50%
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 23.1
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 28.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.