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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 7, 2021
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Mavericks
124
13Nuggets
117
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 21.9
43
26
38
9
13
4
1
1
8
0
9
10-15
67%
11-15
6-10
73%
55%
2-7
29%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 27.3
41
31
14
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
48%
2-7
29%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.7
37
30
14
8
2
3
1
2
0
3
5
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
57%
4-8
50%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 28.9
36
23
9
8
3
0
0
2
1
1
7
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
60%
3-5
60%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.4
26
16
5
9
1
1
1
1
0
2
7
3-4
75%
1-1
2-4
100%
56%
0-0
-
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 28.8
25
31
11
3
4
0
1
1
0
0
3
2-3
67%
0-3
3-5
0%
50%
3-8
38%
Jalen Brunson
G · 6'2" 198 · 24.4
19
22
7
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
53%
1-3
33%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 32.4
16
4
12
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
5-7
1-2
71%
59%
0-0
-
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.5
10
20
7
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
66%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.9
9
16
7
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
52%
1-2
50%
Josh Green
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.1
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Wes Iwundu
F · 6'7" 195 · 26.1
3
0
0-1
47%
Tyrell Terry
G · 6'3" 160 · 20.3
2
0
0-0
50%
Nate Hinton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 21.6
1
0
0-0
50%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 25.4
Tyler Bey
F · 6'7" 215 · 22.9
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 28.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 23.9
46
32
21
4
9
1
1
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
5-10
5-9
50%
52%
3-9
33%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 25.9
41
34
38
11
4
2
1
0
3
1
10
6-10
60%
10-21
7-12
48%
58%
4-10
40%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.3
40
30
15
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
5-5
2-5
100%
51%
1-4
25%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 30.0
34
30
8
7
2
1
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 35.9
29
20
5
5
4
1
1
0
2
2
3
3-3
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
51%
0-2
0%
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 24.2
26
18
9
3
1
2
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.5
25
27
11
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-3
3-5
67%
53%
2-4
50%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 30.5
19
20
10
9
0
0
0
0
3
2
7
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
53%
2-6
33%
Isaiah Hartenstein
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 22.7
5
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
58%
0-0
-
Facundo Campazzo
G · 5'11" 195 · 29.8
18
1
1-2
47%
Bol Bol
C · 7'2" 208 · 21.1
2
0
0-0
54%
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.7
2
0
0-0
52%
R.J. Hampton
G · 6'4" 175 · 19.9
1
0
0-0
50%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 20.0
1
0
0-0
56%
Markus Howard
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.9
1
0
0-0
45%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 22.5
Greg Whittington
F · 6'9" 210 · 27.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.