Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Spurs	24%	105	118	118.0	100	90.4
	3	Lakers	76%	115	109	110.1	99	110.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 31	36.2	19	59%	4	8	2	1	0	1	0	4	7-8	88%	3-7	43%	2-6	33%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 24	31.6	18	60%	8	2	0	0	0	3	0	8	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	2-4	50%
LaMarcus Aldridge #12 · C · 6'11" 260 · 35	31.3	28	74%	5	3	0	0	1	1	0	5	3-3	100%	8-11	73%	3-7	43%
Keldon Johnson #3 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	30.7	5	25%	2	2	1	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-8	13%	1-2	50%
Lonnie Walker IV #1 · PG · 6'5" 196 · 22	26.6	14	64%	6	2	0	1	1	1	1	5	0-0	-	4-7	57%	2-4	50%

Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 32	25.2	10	56%	2	7	0	0	2	0	0	2	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Rudy Gay #22 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 34	24.4	15	75%	6	0	0	0	0	3	1	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	3-5	60%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 25	15.7	3	50%	6	2	0	0	1	3	3	3	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 20	14.3	6	75%	1	2	1	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 25	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 21	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 21	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Drew Eubanks #14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 24	INACTIVE
Derrick White #4 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Second Toe; Fracture
Quinndary Weatherspoon #15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	57%	40	28	4	3	6	15	6	34	16-17	94%	27-57	47%	16-35	46%

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16 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 31	36.2	19	59%	4	8	2	1	0	1	0	4	7-8	88%	3-7	43%	2-6	33%
Dejounte Murray #5 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 24	31.6	18	60%	8	2	0	0	0	3	0	8	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	2-4	50%
LaMarcus Aldridge #12 · C · 6'11" 260 · 35	31.3	28	74%	5	3	0	0	1	1	0	5	3-3	100%	8-11	73%	3-7	43%
Keldon Johnson #3 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	30.7	5	25%	2	2	1	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-8	13%	1-2	50%
Lonnie Walker IV #1 · PG · 6'5" 196 · 22	26.6	14	64%	6	2	0	1	1	1	1	5	0-0	-	4-7	57%	2-4	50%

Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 32	25.2	10	56%	2	7	0	0	2	0	0	2	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Rudy Gay #22 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 34	24.4	15	75%	6	0	0	0	0	3	1	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	3-5	60%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 25	15.7	3	50%	6	2	0	0	1	3	3	3	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 20	14.3	6	75%	1	2	1	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 25	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 21	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 21	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Drew Eubanks #14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 24	INACTIVE
Derrick White #4 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Second Toe; Fracture
Quinndary Weatherspoon #15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	57%	40	28	4	3	6	15	6	34	16-17	94%	27-57	47%	16-35	46%

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3 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 36	34.9	27	68%	6	12	0	0	4	3	0	6	7-11	64%	4-8	50%	4-7	57%
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 28	34.3	23	64%	10	3	1	3	1	2	2	8	0-2	0%	10-14	71%	1-3	33%
Kyle Kuzma #0 · SG · 6'8" 221 · 25	30.4	13	41%	10	0	0	0	0	1	4	6	0-0	-	5-10	50%	1-6	17%
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 27	27.2	6	27%	4	2	1	0	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-3	0%
Marc Gasol #14 · C · 7'1" 255 · 36	13.6	4	100%	1	0	0	1	3	4	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Wesley Matthews #9 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34	21.5	3	25%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 20	20.8	10	50%	4	3	0	0	2	2	0	4	2-3	67%	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Alex Caruso #4 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 27	20.4	8	133%	3	1	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Montrezl Harrell #15 · C · 6'8" 240 · 27	18.2	10	71%	6	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	0-1	0%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 31	12.6	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Quinn Cook #2 · PG · 6'2" 179 · 28	2.0	5	125%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Jared Dudley #10 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 35	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Alfonzo McKinnie #28 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 28	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Devontae Cacok #12 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 24	INACTIVE
Kostas Antetokounmpo #37 · PF · 6'11" 195 · 23	INACTIVE
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #1 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	57%	48	21	2	4	13	20	9	39	13-21	62%	33-56	59%	10-30	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	LAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.15 57.3%

LAL

1.14 56.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

13

28

46%

LAL

33

45

73%

Midrange

SAS

14

29

48%

LAL

11

0%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

16

24.0

35

46%

69%

LAL

10

15.0

30

33%

50%

Free Throws

SAS

16

17

94%

LAL

13

21

62%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge	28	74%	14.0 / 19
D. DeRozan	19	59%	9.5 / 16
D. Murray	18	60%	9.0 / 15
R. Gay	15	75%	7.5 / 10
L. Walker IV	14	64%	7.0 / 11
P. Mills	10	56%	5.0 / 9
D. Vassell	6	75%	3.0 / 4
K. Johnson	5	25%	2.5 / 10
J. Poeltl	3	50%	1.5 / 3
K. Bates-Diop	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	27	68%	13.5 / 20
A. Davis	23	64%	11.5 / 18
K. Kuzma	13	41%	6.5 / 16
T. Horton-Tucker	10	50%	5.0 / 10
M. Harrell	10	71%	5.0 / 7
A. Caruso	8	133%	4.0 / 3
D. Schröder	6	27%	3.0 / 11
Q. Cook	5	125%	2.5 / 2
M. Gasol	4	100%	2.0 / 2
W. Matthews	3	25%	1.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 111.1 24 110.4	SAS 118.0 +7.9 LAL 110.1
Pace	16 98.9 22 98.2	SAS 90.4 LAL 110.8 +20.4
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.7 7 14.9	SAS 15.9 LAL 13.0 −2.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 51.7% 18 53.7%	SAS 55.4% LAL 55.8% +0.4%
TO %	2 11.0% 29 14.9%	SAS 7.4% −4.6% LAL 12.0%
ORB %	27 20.1% 14 22.5%	SAS 13.3% LAL 20.9% +7.6%
FTrt	14 24.3 6 27.1	SAS 18.5 LAL 24.4 +5.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 58.4% 15 60.7%	SAS 65.1% +16.3% LAL 48.8%
STL %	22 7.0% 12 7.8%	SAS 4.0% +2.0% LAL 2.0%
BLK %	15 8.9% 8 9.9%	SAS 5.4% LAL 7.0% +1.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 54.4% 18 55.8%	SAS 57.3% +0.5% LAL 56.8%
Rim FG%	19 60.1% 8 63.6%	SAS 46.4% LAL 73.3% +26.9%
Mid FG%	14 43.2% 23 40.0%	SAS 48.3% +48.3% LAL 0.0%
3P %	24 35.0% 21 35.4%	SAS 45.7% +12.4% LAL 33.3%
FT %	10 79.2% 28 73.9%	SAS 94.1% +32.2% LAL 61.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 33.1% 8 37.6%	SAS 30.4% LAL 52.3% +21.9%
Mid Att. %	30 35.5% 16 26.1%	SAS 31.5% LAL 12.8% −18.7%
3P Att. %	30 31.4% 22 36.3%	SAS 38.0% +3.2% LAL 34.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	LAL
Possessions	100	99
Possession Minutes	26.6	21.5
Points	118	109
Rebounds	40	48
Assists	28	21
Steals	4	2
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	6 (2)	13 (0)
Fouls	15	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (3)	9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (3)	39 (1)
Field Goals	43-92	43-86
At-the-Rim FG	13-28	33-45
Midrange FG	14-29	0-11
2-Point FG	27-57	33-56
3-Point FG	16-35	10-30
Free Throws	16-17	13-21
Fast Break Pts	11	8
2nd Chance Pts	9	14
Points in Paint	34	66
Pts off Turnovers	16	11
Bench Points	34	36
Biggest Lead	15	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg