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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 9, 2021
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Hawks57%118105
22Hornets43%115113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trae Young
G · 6'2" 178 · 22.3
37.1
34.2
15
35%
2
10
0
1
0
5
2
0
5-5
100%
5-14
6-11
36%
51%
0-5
0%
De'Andre Hunter
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.1
33.7
32.5
20
76%
8
1
1
1
2
1
2
6
7-7
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
51%
1-2
50%
John Collins
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
30.3
30.6
12
62%
10
0
1
1
0
0
6
4
3-6
50%
3-6
6-10
50%
62%
1-1
100%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 26.6
27.3
26.8
7
45%
13
1
1
1
0
2
4
9
3-4
75%
2-6
5-8
33%
63%
0-0
-
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.4
10.8
20.9
5
42%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
51%
1-5
20%
Cam Reddish
F-G · 6'8" 208 · 21.4
33.6
27.6
21
53%
5
1
4
1
0
3
0
5
5-6
83%
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
4-13
31%
Kevin Huerter
G · 6'7" 194 · 22.4
32.6
29.0
11
42%
4
6
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
3-10
30%
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 29.8
19.6
13.3
9
90%
3
3
3
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
3-5
60%
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.3
12.9
14.4
5
42%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Nathan Knight
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 23.3
2.1
2.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 29.2
15.9
0
1-1
51%
Bruno Fernando
F · 6'10" 233 · 22.4
4.4
0
1-1
57%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 32.4
Skylar Mays
G · 6'4" 205 · 23.3
Onyeka Okongwu
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 20.1
Kris Dunn
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.8
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 34.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
P.J. Washington
F · 6'7" 236 · 22.4
36.5
28.1
22
81%
7
1
0
1
6
1
0
7
6-6
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
49%
2-4
50%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 30.8
35.9
34.9
13
46%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
5-10
5-10
50%
53%
1-4
25%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.8
35.5
30.8
23
67%
4
2
4
1
0
3
0
4
3-5
60%
4-6
3-7
67%
45%
4-9
44%
Devonte' Graham
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.9
32.1
33.1
9
47%
5
7
2
1
0
3
0
5
6-8
75%
0-1
2-5
0%
39%
1-5
20%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 28.4
21.2
26.2
4
50%
7
0
0
0
1
2
3
4
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
54%
0-0
-
LaMelo Ball
G · 6'8" 180 · 19.4
31.2
25.5
22
79%
12
11
1
1
0
1
3
9
1-2
50%
6-8
3-7
75%
50%
3-5
60%
Miles Bridges
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.8
25.3
26.3
2
20%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-3
3-5
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.3
17.3
14.3
15
79%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
3-5
1-3
60%
51%
3-4
75%
Cody Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.3
5.2
9.2
3
150%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
1-1
100%
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.9
6.9
0
1-2
50%
Jalen McDaniels
F · 6'10" 192 · 22.9
6.7
0
1-1
54%
Nick Richards
C · 6'11" 245 · 23.1
2.7
0
0-1
54%
Vernon Carey Jr.
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 19.9
1.5
0
0-0
52%
Grant Riller
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.9
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 28.3
Nate Darling
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.