Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Spurs	55%	119	125	113.6	110	107.1
	25	Timberwolves	45%	117	122	114.0	107	90.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 31	43.8	38	66%	5	5	0	0	1	1	1	4	12-13	92%	13-21	62%	0-2	0%
Keldon Johnson #3 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	41.8	17	61%	9	4	1	0	0	3	3	6	3-4	75%	4-7	57%	2-5	40%
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	40.9	22	52%	14	4	1	1	2	2	2	12	5-6	83%	4-12	33%	3-6	50%
LaMarcus Aldridge #12 · C · 6'11" 260 · 35	32.8	10	42%	3	1	2	1	0	4	1	2	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	1-3	33%
Lonnie Walker IV #1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22	27.8	7	39%	2	0	2	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	1-3	33%

Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 32	30.2	21	75%	0	1	0	0	0	4	0	0	0-0	-	3-6	50%	5-8	63%
Rudy Gay #22 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 34	16.9	9	50%	4	3	0	1	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 25	16.4	1	13%	7	1	1	0	2	1	3	4	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 20	14.6	0	0%	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Keita Bates-Diop #6 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Drew Eubanks #14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 24	INACTIVE
Derrick White #4 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Second Toe; Fracture
Quinndary Weatherspoon #15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	125	52%	48	22	8	3	6	19	12	36	24-29	83%	31-69	45%	13-32	41%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

15 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 31	43.8	38	66%	5	5	0	0	1	1	1	4	12-13	92%	13-21	62%	0-2	0%
Keldon Johnson #3 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	41.8	17	61%	9	4	1	0	0	3	3	6	3-4	75%	4-7	57%	2-5	40%
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	40.9	22	52%	14	4	1	1	2	2	2	12	5-6	83%	4-12	33%	3-6	50%
LaMarcus Aldridge #12 · C · 6'11" 260 · 35	32.8	10	42%	3	1	2	1	0	4	1	2	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	1-3	33%
Lonnie Walker IV #1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22	27.8	7	39%	2	0	2	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	1-3	33%

Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 32	30.2	21	75%	0	1	0	0	0	4	0	0	0-0	-	3-6	50%	5-8	63%
Rudy Gay #22 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 34	16.9	9	50%	4	3	0	1	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 25	16.4	1	13%	7	1	1	0	2	1	3	4	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 20	14.6	0	0%	4	3	1	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Keita Bates-Diop #6 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Drew Eubanks #14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 24	INACTIVE
Derrick White #4 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Second Toe; Fracture
Quinndary Weatherspoon #15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	125	52%	48	22	8	3	6	19	12	36	24-29	83%	31-69	45%	13-32	41%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

25 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 24	40.0	29	73%	4	2	0	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	4-9	44%	7-11	64%
D'Angelo Russell #0 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 25	37.7	16	35%	3	6	1	1	1	2	1	2	1-3	33%	6-16	38%	1-6	17%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 25	37.0	25	63%	13	4	0	3	3	2	6	7	5-6	83%	7-14	50%	2-3	67%
Jarrett Culver #23 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 22	30.6	10	63%	8	3	0	0	1	4	1	7	2-4	50%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Juancho Hernangomez #41 · PF · 6'9" 230 · 25	22.6	5	63%	7	0	0	0	1	2	1	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%

Ricky Rubio #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 30	33.5	6	43%	5	8	0	0	2	2	1	4	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Anthony Edwards #1 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 19	30.3	13	54%	4	4	0	0	3	3	0	4	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	1-4	25%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 21	16.0	16	89%	7	1	0	3	2	1	1	6	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	3-4	75%
Jarred Vanderbilt #8 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 22	12.2	2	100%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jake Layman #10 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 27	4.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ed Davis #17 · C · 6'10" 245 · 32	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jaylen Nowell #4 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Ashton Hagans #22 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 22	INACTIVE
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	INACTIVE
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	122	58%	53	29	1	7	16	20	11	42	11-17	65%	33-66	50%	15-30	50%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MIN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.04 52.1%

MIN

1.16 58.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

14

29

48%

MIN

21

37

57%

Midrange

SAS

17

40

43%

MIN

12

29

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

13

19.5

32

41%

61%

MIN

15

22.5

30

50%

75%

Free Throws

SAS

24

29

83%

MIN

11

17

65%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	38	66%	19.0 / 29
D. Murray	22	52%	11.0 / 21
P. Mills	21	75%	10.5 / 14
K. Johnson	17	61%	8.5 / 14
L. Aldridge	10	42%	5.0 / 12
R. Gay	9	50%	4.5 / 9
L. Walker IV	7	39%	3.5 / 9
J. Poeltl	1	13%	0.5 / 4
D. Vassell	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Beasley	29	73%	14.5 / 20
K. Towns	25	63%	12.5 / 20
D. Russell	16	35%	8.0 / 23
N. Reid	16	89%	8.0 / 9
A. Edwards	13	54%	6.5 / 12
J. Culver	10	63%	5.0 / 8
R. Rubio	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Hernangomez	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Vanderbilt	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 111.1 25 109.9	SAS 113.6 MIN 114.0 +0.4
Pace	16 98.9 5 101.3	SAS 107.1 +16.6 MIN 90.5
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.7 23 14.2	SAS 13.4 −2.5 MIN 15.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 51.7% 25 52.0%	SAS 50.0% MIN 57.8% +7.8%
TO %	2 11.0% 17 13.4%	SAS 5.0% −9.1% MIN 14.1%
ORB %	27 20.1% 12 22.8%	SAS 22.2% MIN 23.4% +1.2%
FTrt	14 24.3 9 25.4	SAS 28.7 +11.0 MIN 17.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 58.4% 6 63.0%	SAS 50.0% MIN 60.4% +10.4%
STL %	22 7.0% 4 8.6%	SAS 7.3% +6.4% MIN 0.9%
BLK %	15 8.9% 6 9.9%	SAS 4.5% MIN 10.1% +5.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 54.4% 26 54.3%	SAS 52.1% MIN 58.1% +6.0%
Rim FG%	19 60.1% 23 59.4%	SAS 48.3% MIN 56.8% +8.5%
Mid FG%	14 43.2% 28 37.5%	SAS 42.5% +1.1% MIN 41.4%
3P %	24 35.0% 25 34.9%	SAS 40.6% MIN 50.0% +9.4%
FT %	10 79.2% 22 76.1%	SAS 82.8% +18.1% MIN 64.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 33.1% 5 38.3%	SAS 28.7% MIN 38.5% +9.8%
Mid Att. %	30 35.5% 2 20.4%	SAS 39.6% MIN 30.2% −9.4%
3P Att. %	30 31.4% 10 41.4%	SAS 31.7% +0.4% MIN 31.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	MIN
Possessions	110	107
Possession Minutes	24.7	28.4
Points	125	122
Rebounds	48	53
Assists	22	29
Steals	8	1
Blocks	3	7
Turnovers (Team)	6 (0)	16 (1)
Fouls	19	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (4)	11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (1)	42 (2)
Field Goals	44-101	48-96
At-the-Rim FG	14-29	21-37
Midrange FG	17-40	12-29
2-Point FG	31-69	33-66
3-Point FG	13-32	15-30
Free Throws	24-29	11-17
Fast Break Pts	20	4
2nd Chance Pts	13	20
Points in Paint	48	52
Pts off Turnovers	24	7
Bench Points	31	37
Biggest Lead	8	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg