Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, January 9, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	13	Blazers	59%	121	125	116.8	107	98.0
	20	Kings	41%	118	99	93.4	106	116.7

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+14

-8

113

SAC

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.11 55.3%

SAC

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

13 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	29.7	17	45%	4	6	1	0	0	0	0	4	6-6	100%	4-9	44%	1-7	14%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 29	29.3	37	77%	3	3	2	0	1	3	0	3	5-5	100%	7-11	64%	6-11	55%
Robert Covington #23 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 30	27.6	6	75%	8	4	1	0	0	1	0	8	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 26	23.2	10	56%	8	5	3	1	2	2	2	6	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	20.5	9	75%	2	0	1	1	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-2	50%

Gary Trent Jr. #2 · SF · 6'5" 204 · 22	30.5	10	56%	2	1	0	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-4	50%
Carmelo Anthony #00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	21.8	13	43%	2	0	0	1	0	3	0	2	4-6	67%	3-7	43%	1-5	20%
Enes Kanter #11 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	19.1	11	55%	15	0	0	0	1	3	6	9	3-4	75%	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Rodney Hood #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 28	14.9	0	0%	2	4	2	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 22	6.6	6	75%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Harry Giles III #4 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	5.5	0	0%	2	2	0	2	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Nassir Little #9 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	5.5	3	75%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
CJ Elleby #16 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 21	5.5	3	150%	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Keljin Blevins #21 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Zach Collins #33 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	55%	50	26	10	5	8	27	9	41	20-23	87%	27-59	46%	17-41	41%

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13 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	29.7	17	45%	4	6	1	0	0	0	0	4	6-6	100%	4-9	44%	1-7	14%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 29	29.3	37	77%	3	3	2	0	1	3	0	3	5-5	100%	7-11	64%	6-11	55%
Robert Covington #23 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 30	27.6	6	75%	8	4	1	0	0	1	0	8	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 26	23.2	10	56%	8	5	3	1	2	2	2	6	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	20.5	9	75%	2	0	1	1	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-2	50%

Gary Trent Jr. #2 · SF · 6'5" 204 · 22	30.5	10	56%	2	1	0	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-4	50%
Carmelo Anthony #00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	21.8	13	43%	2	0	0	1	0	3	0	2	4-6	67%	3-7	43%	1-5	20%
Enes Kanter #11 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	19.1	11	55%	15	0	0	0	1	3	6	9	3-4	75%	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Rodney Hood #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 28	14.9	0	0%	2	4	2	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 22	6.6	6	75%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Harry Giles III #4 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	5.5	0	0%	2	2	0	2	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Nassir Little #9 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	5.5	3	75%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
CJ Elleby #16 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 21	5.5	3	150%	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Keljin Blevins #21 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Zach Collins #33 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	55%	50	26	10	5	8	27	9	41	20-23	87%	27-59	46%	17-41	41%

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20 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 29	32.5	10	63%	7	2	0	1	1	0	1	6	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · SF · 6'5" 185 · 21	30.7	12	75%	2	8	1	0	3	1	0	2	1-1	100%	4-4	100%	1-4	25%
Buddy Hield #24 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 28	25.9	8	40%	5	1	0	1	2	2	0	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-8	25%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 23	25.4	10	42%	2	2	0	0	3	4	0	2	4-6	67%	3-8	38%	0-1	0%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22	24.3	15	44%	8	0	0	0	2	3	1	7	4-6	67%	4-12	33%	1-2	50%

Hassan Whiteside #20 · C · 7'0" 265 · 32	23.6	11	50%	8	2	1	1	0	3	1	7	5-9	56%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Glenn Robinson III #30 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 27	22.5	11	79%	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	4	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Cory Joseph #9 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 29	18.4	8	50%	1	1	1	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Justin James #10 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 24	12.9	1	13%	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Nemanja Bjelica #8 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 33	11.8	4	33%	3	1	0	0	2	5	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Chimezie Metu #25 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 24	6.6	6	60%	3	1	1	2	0	0	3	0	4-5	80%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jahmi'us Ramsey #3 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Robert Woodard II #13 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	2.2	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Richaun Holmes #22 · C · 6'9" 235 · 27	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
Jabari Parker #33 · PF · 6'8" 250 · 26	INACTIVE
Kyle Guy #7 · SG · 6'1" 167 · 23	Inactive - Coach's Decision
DaQuan Jeffries #19 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	51%	47	21	4	5	15	20	6	41	25-35	71%	25-51	49%	8-30	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	POR	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.11 55.3%

SAC

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

47%

SAC

65%

Midrange

POR

44%

SAC

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

25.5

41%

62%

SAC

12.0

27%

40%

Free Throws

POR

87%

SAC

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. McCollum	37	77%	18.5 / 24
D. Lillard	17	45%	8.5 / 19
C. Anthony	13	43%	6.5 / 15
E. Kanter	11	55%	5.5 / 10
J. Nurkić	10	56%	5.0 / 9
G. Trent	10	56%	5.0 / 9
D. Jones	9	75%	4.5 / 6
R. Covington	6	75%	3.0 / 4
A. Simons	6	75%	3.0 / 4
N. Little	3	75%	1.5 / 2
C. Elleby	3	150%	1.5 / 1
R. Hood	0	-	0.0 / 5
H. Giles	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Bagley	15	44%	7.5 / 17
T. Haliburton	12	75%	6.0 / 8
H. Whiteside	11	50%	5.5 / 11
G. Robinson III	11	79%	5.5 / 7
H. Barnes	10	63%	5.0 / 8
D. Fox	10	42%	5.0 / 12
B. Hield	8	40%	4.0 / 10
C. Joseph	8	50%	4.0 / 8
C. Metu	6	60%	3.0 / 5
N. Bjelica	4	33%	2.0 / 6
R. Woodard II	3	150%	1.5 / 1
J. James	1	13%	0.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 117.6 12 113.2	POR 116.8 +23.4 SAC 93.4
Pace	19 98.6 8 100.4	POR 98.0 SAC 116.7 +18.6
Avg. Poss. Time	6 14.9 24 14.1	POR 14.7 SAC 12.3 −2.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.0% 9 54.9%	POR 52.5% +6.8% SAC 45.7%
TO %	1 10.9% 11 12.8%	POR 6.8% −6.7% SAC 13.5%
ORB %	11 23.1% 20 21.3%	POR 18.0% +5.2% SAC 12.8%
FTrt	22 23.8 12 24.8	POR 23.0 SAC 43.2 +20.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 51.5% 17 59.9%	POR 59.1% SAC 63.6% +4.5%
STL %	24 7.0% 14 7.5%	POR 9.3% +5.5% SAC 3.8%
BLK %	10 9.4% 16 8.8%	POR 9.8% +1.3% SAC 8.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.33 and 2.33.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 56.6% 10 56.6%	POR 55.3% +4.8% SAC 50.5%
Rim FG%	26 58.1% 9 63.4%	POR 46.9% SAC 65.4% +18.5%
Mid FG%	18 41.0% 6 44.7%	POR 44.4% +12.4% SAC 32.0%
3P %	6 38.5% 16 36.4%	POR 41.5% +14.8% SAC 26.7%
FT %	3 82.3% 25 74.5%	POR 87.0% +15.6% SAC 71.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 31.8% 14 34.7%	POR 32.0% SAC 32.1% +0.1%
Mid Att. %	10 23.4% 20 27.7%	POR 27.0% −3.9% SAC 30.9%
3P Att. %	3 44.8% 20 37.6%	POR 41.0% +4.0% SAC 37.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	SAC
Possessions	107	106
Possession Minutes	26.2	21.8
Points	125	99
Rebounds	50	47
Assists	26	21
Steals	10	4
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	8 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls	27	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (5)	6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	41 (5)	41 (3)
Field Goals	44-100	33-81
At-the-Rim FG	15-32	17-26
Midrange FG	12-27	8-25
2-Point FG	27-59	25-51
3-Point FG	17-41	8-30
Free Throws	20-23	25-35
Fast Break Pts	14	17
2nd Chance Pts	12	8
Points in Paint	42	48
Pts off Turnovers	30	11
Bench Points	46	44
Biggest Lead	31	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg