Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, January 10, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Nuggets	53%	110	114	125.3	91	93.1
	24	Knicks	47%	109	89	96.7	92	90.0

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+11

-12

NYK

+11

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.27 63.3%

NYK

1.01 50.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	31.8	14	70%	3	1	2	1	1	2	2	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-4	50%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	30.1	22	69%	10	5	1	1	2	1	3	7	3-3	100%	8-12	67%	1-3	33%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	29.3	9	50%	0	3	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30	21.8	5	31%	2	4	0	0	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	21.4	10	50%	5	0	2	0	1	2	0	5	2-3	67%	1-3	33%	2-6	33%

JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	22.9	10	100%	8	1	1	0	0	2	1	7	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-2	100%
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 26	22.8	12	60%	3	3	1	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	17.3	12	86%	5	2	1	1	1	3	0	5	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	3-4	75%
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	14.2	5	50%	2	2	2	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Isaiah Hartenstein #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 23	11.5	8	100%	2	1	1	0	3	6	1	1	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
R.J. Hampton #13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 20	3.7	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	3.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	3.7	3	150%	1	0	0	1	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 24	2.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Markus Howard #00 · PG · 5'11" 175 · 22	2.9	2	33%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 23	INACTIVE
Greg Whittington #3 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Sprained Left Knee
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	63%	43	23	11	4	12	25	8	35	9-12	75%	30-49	61%	15-35	43%

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14 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	31.8	14	70%	3	1	2	1	1	2	2	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-4	50%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	30.1	22	69%	10	5	1	1	2	1	3	7	3-3	100%	8-12	67%	1-3	33%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	29.3	9	50%	0	3	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30	21.8	5	31%	2	4	0	0	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	21.4	10	50%	5	0	2	0	1	2	0	5	2-3	67%	1-3	33%	2-6	33%

JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	22.9	10	100%	8	1	1	0	0	2	1	7	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-2	100%
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 26	22.8	12	60%	3	3	1	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	17.3	12	86%	5	2	1	1	1	3	0	5	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	3-4	75%
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	14.2	5	50%	2	2	2	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Isaiah Hartenstein #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 23	11.5	8	100%	2	1	1	0	3	6	1	1	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
R.J. Hampton #13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 20	3.7	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	3.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	3.7	3	150%	1	0	0	1	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 24	2.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Markus Howard #00 · PG · 5'11" 175 · 22	2.9	2	33%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 23	INACTIVE
Greg Whittington #3 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Sprained Left Knee
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	63%	43	23	11	4	12	25	8	35	9-12	75%	30-49	61%	15-35	43%

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24 New York Knicks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 26	38.5	29	81%	10	5	0	0	3	2	1	9	5-6	83%	9-11	82%	2-5	40%
Mitchell Robinson #23 · C · 7'0" 240 · 23	34.4	11	92%	5	0	1	1	0	0	2	3	1-2	50%	5-5	100%	0-0	-
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 21	33.4	9	32%	9	4	0	0	3	1	3	6	1-3	33%	4-10	40%	0-3	0%
Elfrid Payton #6 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 27	32.2	12	50%	3	5	1	0	2	4	0	3	4-5	80%	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 30	24.9	7	44%	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-1	100%

Austin Rivers #8 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 28	22.1	6	50%	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Kevin Knox II #20 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 21	17.8	6	43%	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 22	13.2	4	33%	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	4-4	100%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Nerlens Noel #3 · C · 6'11" 220 · 27	11.8	1	17%	4	1	0	0	2	3	2	2	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Dennis Smith Jr. #4 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 23	6.4	4	50%	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Theo Pinson #21 · SG · 6'6" 218 · 25	3.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Ignas Brazdeikis #17 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 22	1.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jared Harper #0 · PG · 5'11" 175 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 36	INACTIVE
Alec Burks #18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Sprained Left Ankle
Frank Ntilikina #11 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Sprained Right Knee
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Sprained Right Calf
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	51%	36	19	4	1	16	15	8	28	19-25	76%	26-53	49%	6-21	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	NYK
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	NYK

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.27 63.3%

NYK

1.01 50.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

65%

NYK

58%

Midrange

DEN

53%

NYK

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

22.5

43%

64%

NYK

9.0

29%

43%

Free Throws

DEN

75%

NYK

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	22	69%	11.0 / 16
G. Harris	14	70%	7.0 / 10
M. Morris	12	60%	6.0 / 10
P. Dozier	12	86%	6.0 / 7
P. Millsap	10	50%	5.0 / 10
J. Green	10	100%	5.0 / 5
J. Murray	9	50%	4.5 / 9
I. Hartenstein	8	100%	4.0 / 4
W. Barton	5	31%	2.5 / 8
F. Campazzo	5	50%	2.5 / 5
B. Bol	3	150%	1.5 / 1
R. Hampton	2	100%	1.0 / 1
M. Howard	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Knicks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Randle	29	81%	14.5 / 18
E. Payton	12	50%	6.0 / 12
M. Robinson	11	92%	5.5 / 6
R. Barrett	9	32%	4.5 / 14
R. Bullock	7	44%	3.5 / 8
A. Rivers	6	50%	3.0 / 6
K. Knox	6	43%	3.0 / 7
I. Quickley	4	33%	2.0 / 6
D. Smith	4	50%	2.0 / 4
N. Noel	1	17%	0.5 / 3
T. Pinson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 116.8 22 110.6	DEN 125.3 +28.5 NYK 96.7
Pace	28 97.4 30 95.9	DEN 93.1 +3.1 NYK 90.0
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.1 1 15.3	DEN 15.5 −0.5 NYK 16.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 55.7% 23 52.4%	DEN 62.5% +15.2% NYK 47.3%
TO %	13 13.0% 7 12.6%	DEN 11.8% −4.0% NYK 15.8%
ORB %	2 24.8% 17 22.0%	DEN 22.2% +3.6% NYK 18.6%
FTrt	28 21.9 17 24.2	DEN 14.3 NYK 33.8 +19.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 62.1% 29 54.3%	DEN 51.1% NYK 59.4% +8.3%
STL %	6 8.2% 19 7.3%	DEN 12.1% +7.8% NYK 4.3%
BLK %	14 9.0% 5 10.0%	DEN 7.5% +5.5% NYK 2.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 57.5% 23 54.6%	DEN 63.3% +12.7% NYK 50.6%
Rim FG%	6 63.9% 29 57.2%	DEN 64.7% +7.0% NYK 57.7%
Mid FG%	5 44.9% 22 40.1%	DEN 53.3% +12.6% NYK 40.7%
3P %	8 37.7% 3 39.2%	DEN 42.9% +14.3% NYK 28.6%
FT %	7 80.3% 14 78.4%	DEN 75.0% NYK 76.0% +1.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 33.5% 15 34.0%	DEN 40.5% +5.3% NYK 35.1%
Mid Att. %	22 28.2% 24 31.3%	DEN 17.9% −18.6% NYK 36.5%
3P Att. %	18 38.3% 24 34.7%	DEN 41.7% +13.3% NYK 28.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	NYK
Possessions	91	92
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	114	89
Rebounds	43	36
Assists	23	19
Steals	11	4
Blocks	4	1
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	16 (0)
Fouls	25	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (3)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (0)	28 (1)
Field Goals	45-84	32-74
At-the-Rim FG	22-34	15-26
Midrange FG	8-15	11-27
2-Point FG	30-49	26-53
3-Point FG	15-35	6-21
Free Throws	9-12	19-25
Fast Break Pts	11	0
2nd Chance Pts	11	11
Points in Paint	48	42
Pts off Turnovers	22	10
Bench Points	54	21
Biggest Lead	30	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg