Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, January 14, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Warriors	43%	112	104	99.0	105	119.4
	10	Nuggets	57%	115	114	107.5	106	94.6

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

-19

DEN

+13

-13

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.13 56.5%

DEN

1.08 53.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

11 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 33	37.0	35	76%	11	4	2	0	7	2	0	11	2-2	100%	9-12	75%	5-11	45%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 26	35.6	16	47%	3	3	0	1	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	7-12	58%	0-4	0%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #12 · SG · 6'8" 210 · 25	30.4	14	54%	5	2	1	1	1	2	0	5	5-6	83%	0-2	0%	3-8	38%
James Wiseman #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 20	27.4	18	64%	5	2	1	2	1	4	1	4	2-2	100%	8-13	62%	0-0	-
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 31	25.3	1	13%	4	7	1	0	5	5	0	4	1-4	25%	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Eric Paschall #7 · PF · 6'7" 254 · 24	20.8	8	36%	5	0	0	0	0	2	1	4	3-4	75%	1-7	14%	1-2	50%
Damion Lee #1 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 28	18.9	2	33%	2	5	2	0	1	4	1	1	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Brad Wanamaker #10 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 31	16.8	3	150%	1	3	0	0	1	2	0	1	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Kent Bazemore #26 · SG · 6'5" 201 · 32	10.4	4	67%	2	1	2	0	3	2	0	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 25	9.7	0	0%	4	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Mychal Mulder #15 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 27	6.8	3	150%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 22	1.0	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Juan Toscano-Anderson #95 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 28	INACTIVE
Nico Mannion #2 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 20	INACTIVE
Marquese Chriss #32 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Syndesmosis; Injury w/ Fibula Fracture
Alen Smailagic #6 · PF · 6'9" 216 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Arthroscopy
Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	56%	43	29	9	4	19	25	5	38	17-24	71%	27-52	52%	11-29	38%

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11 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 33	37.0	35	76%	11	4	2	0	7	2	0	11	2-2	100%	9-12	75%	5-11	45%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 26	35.6	16	47%	3	3	0	1	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	7-12	58%	0-4	0%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #12 · SG · 6'8" 210 · 25	30.4	14	54%	5	2	1	1	1	2	0	5	5-6	83%	0-2	0%	3-8	38%
James Wiseman #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 20	27.4	18	64%	5	2	1	2	1	4	1	4	2-2	100%	8-13	62%	0-0	-
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 31	25.3	1	13%	4	7	1	0	5	5	0	4	1-4	25%	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Eric Paschall #7 · PF · 6'7" 254 · 24	20.8	8	36%	5	0	0	0	0	2	1	4	3-4	75%	1-7	14%	1-2	50%
Damion Lee #1 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 28	18.9	2	33%	2	5	2	0	1	4	1	1	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Brad Wanamaker #10 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 31	16.8	3	150%	1	3	0	0	1	2	0	1	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Kent Bazemore #26 · SG · 6'5" 201 · 32	10.4	4	67%	2	1	2	0	3	2	0	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 25	9.7	0	0%	4	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Mychal Mulder #15 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 27	6.8	3	150%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 22	1.0	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Juan Toscano-Anderson #95 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 28	INACTIVE
Nico Mannion #2 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 20	INACTIVE
Marquese Chriss #32 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Syndesmosis; Injury w/ Fibula Fracture
Alen Smailagic #6 · PF · 6'9" 216 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Arthroscopy
Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	56%	43	29	9	4	19	25	5	38	17-24	71%	27-52	52%	11-29	38%

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10 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	37.5	17	40%	9	6	2	0	3	3	2	7	4-6	67%	5-10	50%	1-8	13%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	35.9	23	61%	14	10	3	0	3	4	1	13	7-7	100%	8-12	67%	0-4	0%
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 30	32.0	17	53%	4	3	1	1	0	4	1	3	2-3	67%	3-7	43%	3-8	38%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	23.2	12	75%	4	4	3	1	1	1	3	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Bol Bol #10 · SF · 7'2" 208 · 21	9.6	4	50%	1	0	0	1	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%

Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 26	32.0	11	50%	2	3	2	1	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-5	20%
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	28.1	15	68%	9	0	0	0	1	2	3	6	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	3-4	75%
PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	23.0	10	71%	6	2	0	0	1	1	0	6	2-3	67%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	12.0	3	50%	0	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Isaiah Hartenstein #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 23	6.7	2	50%	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	2-4	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	DNP - Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	DNP - Coach's Decision
R.J. Hampton #13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 20	DNP - Coach's Decision
Markus Howard #00 · PG · 5'11" 175 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 23	INACTIVE
Greg Whittington #3 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	54%	50	29	11	5	13	23	10	40	21-27	78%	30-53	57%	11-37	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.13 56.5%

DEN

1.08 53.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

55%

DEN

61%

Midrange

GSW

47%

DEN

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

16.5

38%

57%

DEN

16.5

30%

45%

Free Throws

GSW

71%

DEN

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	35	76%	17.5 / 23
J. Wiseman	18	64%	9.0 / 14
A. Wiggins	16	47%	8.0 / 17
K. Oubre	14	54%	7.0 / 13
E. Paschall	8	36%	4.0 / 11
K. Bazemore	4	67%	2.0 / 3
B. Wanamaker	3	150%	1.5 / 1
M. Mulder	3	150%	1.5 / 1
D. Lee	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Green	1	13%	0.5 / 4
K. Looney	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	23	61%	11.5 / 19
J. Murray	17	40%	8.5 / 21
W. Barton	17	53%	8.5 / 16
J. Green	15	68%	7.5 / 11
P. Millsap	12	75%	6.0 / 8
M. Morris	11	50%	5.5 / 11
P. Dozier	10	71%	5.0 / 7
B. Bol	4	50%	2.0 / 4
F. Campazzo	3	50%	1.5 / 3
I. Hartenstein	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 110.9 7 116.8	GSW 99.0 DEN 107.5 +8.5
Pace	3 102.4 28 97.4	GSW 119.4 +24.8 DEN 94.6
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.7 4 15.1	GSW 12.1 −3.2 DEN 15.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 55.1% 6 55.7%	GSW 53.7% +2.0% DEN 51.7%
TO %	24 14.3% 13 13.0%	GSW 17.2% DEN 12.1% −5.1%
ORB %	30 17.9% 2 24.8%	GSW 11.1% DEN 20.8% +9.7%
FTrt	20 23.9 28 21.9	GSW 29.6 DEN 30.0 +0.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 67.0% 11 62.1%	GSW 76.3% +5.6% DEN 70.7%
STL %	8 8.0% 6 8.2%	GSW 8.6% DEN 10.4% +1.8%
BLK %	17 8.7% 14 9.0%	GSW 7.5% DEN 9.6% +2.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	7 57.3% 6 57.5%	GSW 56.5% +2.7% DEN 53.8%
Rim FG%	7 63.7% 6 63.9%	GSW 54.5% DEN 61.1% +6.6%
Mid FG%	20 40.4% 5 44.9%	GSW 47.4% +0.3% DEN 47.1%
3P %	9 37.6% 8 37.7%	GSW 37.9% +8.2% DEN 29.7%
FT %	13 78.5% 7 80.3%	GSW 70.8% DEN 77.8% +7.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 33.0% 18 33.5%	GSW 40.7% +0.7% DEN 40.0%
Mid Att. %	9 23.1% 22 28.2%	GSW 23.5% DEN 18.9% −4.6%
3P Att. %	5 43.9% 18 38.3%	GSW 35.8% DEN 41.1% +5.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	DEN
Possessions	105	106
Possession Minutes	21.1	26.9
Points	104	114
Rebounds	43	50
Assists	29	29
Steals	9	11
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	13 (1)
Fouls	25	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (1)	10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (1)	40 (1)
Field Goals	38-81	41-90
At-the-Rim FG	18-33	22-36
Midrange FG	9-19	8-17
2-Point FG	27-52	30-53
3-Point FG	11-29	11-37
Free Throws	17-24	21-27
Fast Break Pts	25	9
2nd Chance Pts	11	15
Points in Paint	40	54
Pts off Turnovers	20	17
Bench Points	20	41
Biggest Lead	5	17

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg