Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, January 17, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Pacers	29%	107	96	92.3	104	110.9
	3	Clippers	71%	115	129	124.0	104	97.9

Scoring Opportunities

IND

-16

LAC

+12

-16

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

0.99 49.5%

LAC

1.29 64.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Justin Holiday #8 · SF · 6'6" 185 · 32	34.6	15	58%	3	1	3	0	2	0	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-9	33%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	34.3	19	56%	14	6	2	0	1	4	3	11	5-8	63%	7-11	64%	0-3	0%
Malcolm Brogdon #7 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 28	33.6	16	38%	2	8	1	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	5-12	42%	2-9	22%
Doug McDermott #20 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 29	32.4	23	96%	1	2	0	0	3	0	0	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	5-7	71%
Edmond Sumner #5 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 25	21.3	9	56%	3	2	3	0	2	4	1	2	2-3	67%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%

T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 29	25.6	2	33%	3	6	2	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	19.2	2	20%	1	2	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 21	15.6	5	42%	2	0	2	1	1	2	1	1	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Cassius Stanley #2 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	7.9	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	4	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Kelan Martin #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	5.2	0	0%	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Brian Bowen II #10 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 22	5.1	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jalen Lecque #0 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 21	5.1	2	33%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jeremy Lamb #26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
T.J. Warren #1 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Stress Fracture
JaKarr Sampson #14 · SF · 6'9" 207 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Sore Back
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Sore
Caris LeVert #22 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Not Available; Medical Condition
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	50%	33	28	13	2	16	19	6	27	11-16	69%	26-51	51%	11-38	29%

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14 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Justin Holiday #8 · SF · 6'6" 185 · 32	34.6	15	58%	3	1	3	0	2	0	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-9	33%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	34.3	19	56%	14	6	2	0	1	4	3	11	5-8	63%	7-11	64%	0-3	0%
Malcolm Brogdon #7 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 28	33.6	16	38%	2	8	1	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	5-12	42%	2-9	22%
Doug McDermott #20 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 29	32.4	23	96%	1	2	0	0	3	0	0	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	5-7	71%
Edmond Sumner #5 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 25	21.3	9	56%	3	2	3	0	2	4	1	2	2-3	67%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%

T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 29	25.6	2	33%	3	6	2	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	19.2	2	20%	1	2	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 21	15.6	5	42%	2	0	2	1	1	2	1	1	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Cassius Stanley #2 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	7.9	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	4	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Kelan Martin #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	5.2	0	0%	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Brian Bowen II #10 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 22	5.1	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jalen Lecque #0 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 21	5.1	2	33%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jeremy Lamb #26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
T.J. Warren #1 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Stress Fracture
JaKarr Sampson #14 · SF · 6'9" 207 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Sore Back
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Sore
Caris LeVert #22 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Not Available; Medical Condition
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	50%	33	28	13	2	16	19	6	27	11-16	69%	26-51	51%	11-38	29%

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3 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul George #13 · SG · 6'8" 230 · 31	33.7	20	77%	7	4	1	0	4	2	0	7	4-4	100%	5-6	83%	2-5	40%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 30	30.8	17	65%	7	5	0	0	1	2	2	5	0-0	-	7-11	64%	1-2	50%
Patrick Beverley #21 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 33	26.4	11	61%	5	6	0	1	0	2	1	4	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	24.9	10	56%	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 24	16.2	6	100%	6	2	1	1	1	4	1	5	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-

Marcus Morris Sr. #8 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	26.6	20	83%	7	3	1	0	1	1	2	5	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	4-7	57%
Luke Kennard #5 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 25	20.9	20	83%	4	2	0	0	2	2	0	4	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	5-8	63%
Patrick Patterson #54 · PF · 6'9" 230 · 32	18.1	10	71%	0	1	1	0	2	2	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	3-6	50%
Reggie Jackson #1 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 31	13.9	6	38%	3	3	0	0	3	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 24	10.9	2	50%	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Amir Coffey #7 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 24	7.3	2	33%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Daniel Oturu #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21	5.1	4	50%	3	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Mfiondu Kabengele #25 · C · 6'10" 256 · 23	5.1	1	50%	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Lou Williams #23 · SG · 6'1" 175 · 34	DNP - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Discomfort
Jay Scrubb #4 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 20	INACTIVE
Serge Ibaka #9 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Non-Covid
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	65%	52	27	4	3	16	19	9	43	14-20	70%	29-48	60%	19-39	49%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	IND	LAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND

0.99 49.5%

LAC

1.29 64.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

65%

LAC

81%

Midrange

IND

24%

LAC

19%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

16.5

29%

43%

LAC

28.5

49%

73%

Free Throws

IND

69%

LAC

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. McDermott	23	96%	11.5 / 12
D. Sabonis	19	56%	9.5 / 17
M. Brogdon	16	38%	8.0 / 21
J. Holiday	15	58%	7.5 / 13
E. Sumner	9	56%	4.5 / 8
G. Bitadze	5	42%	2.5 / 6
B. Bowen II	3	75%	1.5 / 2
T. McConnell	2	33%	1.0 / 3
A. Holiday	2	20%	1.0 / 5
J. Lecque	2	33%	1.0 / 3
C. Stanley	0	-	0.0 / 3
K. Martin	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. George	20	77%	10.0 / 13
M. Morris	20	83%	10.0 / 12
L. Kennard	20	83%	10.0 / 12
K. Leonard	17	65%	8.5 / 13
P. Beverley	11	61%	5.5 / 9
N. Batum	10	56%	5.0 / 9
P. Patterson	10	71%	5.0 / 7
I. Zubac	6	100%	3.0 / 3
R. Jackson	6	38%	3.0 / 8
D. Oturu	4	50%	2.0 / 4
T. Mann	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. Coffey	2	33%	1.0 / 3
M. Kabengele	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 112.3 3 117.1	IND 92.3 LAC 124.0 +31.7
Pace	4 101.6 27 97.4	IND 110.9 +12.9 LAC 97.9
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 5 15.0	IND 13.0 −1.7 LAC 14.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 54.2% 4 56.4%	IND 47.8% LAC 66.1% +18.3%
TO %	9 12.7% 10 12.8%	IND 14.3% −1.5% LAC 15.8%
ORB %	26 20.2% 13 22.7%	IND 12.2% LAC 25.0% +12.8%
FTrt	26 22.7 27 22.2	IND 18.0 LAC 23.0 +5.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 63.3% 21 58.4%	IND 75.7% +19.4% LAC 56.3%
STL %	5 8.3% 20 7.3%	IND 12.5% +8.7% LAC 3.8%
BLK %	3 10.7% 29 7.6%	IND 4.2% LAC 5.9% +1.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 56.3% 4 58.2%	IND 49.5% LAC 64.5% +15.0%
Rim FG%	20 60.0% 12 61.9%	IND 64.7% LAC 81.3% +16.6%
Mid FG%	12 43.2% 9 43.8%	IND 23.5% +4.7% LAC 18.8%
3P %	17 36.4% 1 41.1%	IND 28.9% LAC 48.7% +19.8%
FT %	9 79.2% 1 83.9%	IND 68.8% LAC 70.0% +1.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 40.4% 28 30.2%	IND 38.2% +1.4% LAC 36.8%
Mid Att. %	7 22.4% 23 29.8%	IND 19.1% LAC 18.4% −0.7%
3P Att. %	21 37.2% 13 40.0%	IND 42.7% LAC 44.8% +2.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.45 and 2.45.

Game Totals	IND	LAC
Possessions	104	104
Possession Minutes	22.5	25.5
Points	96	129
Rebounds	33	52
Assists	28	27
Steals	13	4
Blocks	2	3
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	16 (2)
Fouls	19	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (3)	9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (3)	43 (3)
Field Goals	37-89	48-87
At-the-Rim FG	22-34	26-32
Midrange FG	4-17	3-16
2-Point FG	26-51	29-48
3-Point FG	11-38	19-39
Free Throws	11-16	14-20
Fast Break Pts	14	12
2nd Chance Pts	9	10
Points in Paint	48	56
Pts off Turnovers	18	18
Bench Points	14	65
Biggest Lead	5	34

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg