Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, January 19, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Thunder	24%	106	101	97.1	104	106.5
	8	Nuggets	76%	116	119	114.4	104	103.8

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

+13

-19

DEN

+22

-14

112

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.02 51.0%

DEN

1.06 53.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · SG · 6'6" 195 · 23	27.2	14	50%	5	7	0	1	4	0	0	5	3-6	50%	4-7	57%	1-4	25%
Isaiah Roby #22 · C · 6'8" 230 · 23	26.2	10	50%	9	3	4	0	3	3	6	3	3-3	100%	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 22	24.6	20	83%	5	3	1	0	0	1	0	5	1-2	50%	5-5	100%	3-6	50%
Darius Bazley #7 · PF · 6'9" 208 · 21	23.7	12	55%	2	0	0	2	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-7	29%
George Hill #3 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 35	22.0	6	60%	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-3	67%

Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · C · 7'0" 190 · 19	24.3	0	0%	4	2	1	1	3	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-5	0%
Theo Maledon #11 · PG · 6'5" 175 · 20	20.5	7	50%	3	3	1	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Hamidou Diallo #6 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 22	18.7	8	40%	6	0	0	0	1	2	2	4	3-5	60%	1-6	17%	1-2	50%
Mike Muscala #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 30	14.0	3	50%	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Josh Hall #15 · SF · 6'9" 190 · 20	13.1	6	50%	2	1	0	0	2	1	0	2	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Justin Jackson #44 · PF · 6'8" 220 · 26	7.3	9	113%	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Darius Miller #12 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 31	6.6	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 26	6.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Moses Brown #9 · C · 7'2" 258 · 21	5.7	6	100%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Trevor Ariza #8 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 36	INACTIVE
Ty Jerome #16 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 35	Inactive - Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	51%	41	22	8	4	19	15	9	32	15-23	65%	22-43	51%	14-43	33%

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28 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · SG · 6'6" 195 · 23	27.2	14	50%	5	7	0	1	4	0	0	5	3-6	50%	4-7	57%	1-4	25%
Isaiah Roby #22 · C · 6'8" 230 · 23	26.2	10	50%	9	3	4	0	3	3	6	3	3-3	100%	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 22	24.6	20	83%	5	3	1	0	0	1	0	5	1-2	50%	5-5	100%	3-6	50%
Darius Bazley #7 · PF · 6'9" 208 · 21	23.7	12	55%	2	0	0	2	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-7	29%
George Hill #3 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 35	22.0	6	60%	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-3	67%

Aleksej Pokusevski #17 · C · 7'0" 190 · 19	24.3	0	0%	4	2	1	1	3	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-5	0%
Theo Maledon #11 · PG · 6'5" 175 · 20	20.5	7	50%	3	3	1	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Hamidou Diallo #6 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 22	18.7	8	40%	6	0	0	0	1	2	2	4	3-5	60%	1-6	17%	1-2	50%
Mike Muscala #33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 30	14.0	3	50%	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Josh Hall #15 · SF · 6'9" 190 · 20	13.1	6	50%	2	1	0	0	2	1	0	2	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Justin Jackson #44 · PF · 6'8" 220 · 26	7.3	9	113%	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Darius Miller #12 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 31	6.6	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 26	6.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Moses Brown #9 · C · 7'2" 258 · 21	5.7	6	100%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Trevor Ariza #8 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 36	INACTIVE
Ty Jerome #16 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 35	Inactive - Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	51%	41	22	8	4	19	15	9	32	15-23	65%	22-43	51%	14-43	33%

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8 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	28.4	27	61%	12	6	1	1	1	2	5	7	3-3	100%	12-17	71%	0-4	0%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	26.4	13	59%	12	3	2	1	1	3	4	8	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	25.6	11	61%	3	3	1	0	1	2	2	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-6	50%
Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30	24.6	13	93%	3	6	1	0	4	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-4	75%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	20.6	5	25%	2	4	2	0	1	2	0	2	1-1	100%	2-7	29%	0-3	0%

Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 26	21.5	15	68%	4	5	0	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	6-7	86%	1-4	25%
PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	19.0	11	69%	2	0	1	0	1	0	1	1	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	18.0	3	25%	0	1	1	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	16.6	10	42%	8	1	0	1	2	3	4	4	0-0	-	2-7	29%	2-5	40%
Isaiah Hartenstein #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 23	12.9	5	83%	7	0	1	0	0	3	1	6	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
R.J. Hampton #13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 20	6.7	2	33%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	6.6	2	33%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	5.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 24	4.3	0	0%	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Markus Howard #00 · PG · 5'11" 175 · 22	3.7	2	25%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 23	INACTIVE
Greg Whittington #3 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	53%	58	29	11	3	14	22	18	40	13-14	93%	32-63	51%	14-42	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.02 51.0%

DEN

1.06 53.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

64%

DEN

68%

Midrange

OKC

27%

DEN

24%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

21.0

33%

49%

DEN

21.0

33%

50%

Free Throws

OKC

65%

DEN

93%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Dort	20	83%	10.0 / 12
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	14	50%	7.0 / 14
D. Bazley	12	55%	6.0 / 11
I. Roby	10	50%	5.0 / 10
J. Jackson	9	113%	4.5 / 4
H. Diallo	8	40%	4.0 / 10
T. Maledon	7	50%	3.5 / 7
G. Hill	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Hall	6	50%	3.0 / 6
M. Brown	6	100%	3.0 / 3
M. Muscala	3	50%	1.5 / 3
A. Pokusevski	0	-	0.0 / 7
D. Miller	0	-	0.0 / 2
K. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	27	61%	13.5 / 22
M. Morris	15	68%	7.5 / 11
P. Millsap	13	59%	6.5 / 11
W. Barton	13	93%	6.5 / 7
G. Harris	11	61%	5.5 / 9
P. Dozier	11	69%	5.5 / 8
J. Green	10	42%	5.0 / 12
J. Murray	5	25%	2.5 / 10
I. Hartenstein	5	83%	2.5 / 3
F. Campazzo	3	25%	1.5 / 6
R. Hampton	2	33%	1.0 / 3
B. Bol	2	33%	1.0 / 3
M. Howard	2	25%	1.0 / 4
V. Cancar	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 103.2 7 116.8	OKC 97.1 DEN 114.4 +17.3
Pace	6 101.3 28 97.4	OKC 106.5 +2.8 DEN 103.8
Avg. Poss. Time	19 14.3 4 15.1	OKC 13.5 −0.4 DEN 13.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 50.9% 6 55.7%	OKC 50.0% DEN 50.5% +0.5%
TO %	30 15.1% 13 13.0%	OKC 16.5% DEN 11.9% −4.6%
ORB %	22 21.3% 2 24.8%	OKC 18.4% DEN 36.0% +17.6%
FTrt	16 24.2 28 21.9	OKC 26.7 +13.4 DEN 13.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 56.8% 11 62.1%	OKC 61.1% DEN 63.0% +1.9%
STL %	26 6.9% 6 8.2%	OKC 7.7% DEN 10.6% +2.9%
BLK %	26 8.0% 14 9.0%	OKC 6.3% DEN 7.0% +0.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 52.4% 6 57.5%	OKC 51.0% DEN 53.1% +2.1%
Rim FG%	28 57.6% 6 63.9%	OKC 64.3% DEN 68.4% +4.1%
Mid FG%	26 39.4% 5 44.9%	OKC 26.7% +2.7% DEN 24.0%
3P %	29 33.9% 8 37.7%	OKC 32.6% DEN 33.3% +0.7%
FT %	30 72.4% 7 80.3%	OKC 65.2% DEN 92.9% +27.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 37.9% 18 33.5%	OKC 32.6% DEN 36.2% +3.6%
Mid Att. %	6 22.2% 22 28.2%	OKC 17.4% −6.4% DEN 23.8%
3P Att. %	14 39.9% 18 38.3%	OKC 50.0% +10.0% DEN 40.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	OKC	DEN
Possessions	104	104
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.1
Points	101	119
Rebounds	41	58
Assists	22	29
Steals	8	11
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	14 (1)
Fouls	15	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	18 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (5)	40 (0)
Field Goals	36-86	46-105
At-the-Rim FG	18-28	26-38
Midrange FG	4-15	6-25
2-Point FG	22-43	32-63
3-Point FG	14-43	14-42
Free Throws	15-23	13-14
Fast Break Pts	15	9
2nd Chance Pts	3	32
Points in Paint	44	62
Pts off Turnovers	16	28
Bench Points	39	50
Biggest Lead	8	29

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg