FinalWin Prob.pScore
1834%109
111
666%115
102
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
115.69694.6
TOR logo TOR
106.39697.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.111
100%
102
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)111
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.6RaptorsPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 2111
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.6RaptorsPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 2111
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.6HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)111
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.1RaptorsTerence Davis defensive rebound111
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.9HeatGoran Dragic misses two point pullup jump shot111
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.5HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound111
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.1RaptorsPascal Siakam misses two point jump shot111
99.8%
100
0.2%
Q4 - 1:08HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 2 of 2111
99.6%
100
0.4%
Q4 - 1:08HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 1 of 2110
99.6%
100
0.4%
Q4 - 1:08RaptorsPascal Siakam personal foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)109
99.6%
100
0.4%
Q4 - 1:11RaptorsOG Anunoby makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)109
99.3%
100
0.7%
Q4 - 1:18HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 2109
99.7%
97
0.3%
Q4 - 1:18HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
99.6%
97
0.4%
Q4 - 1:18RaptorsFred VanVleet personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)107
99.6%
97
0.4%
Q4 - 1:27RaptorsTerence Davis makes three point jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)107
99.3%
97
0.7%
Q4 - 1:35HeatAndre Iguodala turnover (out of bounds bad pass)107
99.6%
94
0.4%
Q4 - 1:36RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point driving hook shot (Kyle Lowry assists)107
99.8%
94
0.2%
Q4 - 1:48HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk107
99.8%
92
0.2%
Q4 - 1:53RaptorsOG Anunoby makes regular free throw 2 of 2105
99.7%
92
0.3%
Q4 - 1:53RaptorsOG Anunoby makes regular free throw 1 of 2105
99.7%
91
0.3%
Q4 - 1:53HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (OG Anunoby draws the foul)105
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 1:54RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound105
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 1:56HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot105
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 2:03HeatKendrick Nunn offensive rebound105
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:06HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating bank jump shot105
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 2:30HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound105
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:32RaptorsTerence Davis misses three point jump shot105
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:35RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound105
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 2:35RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot105
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:53HeatAndre Iguodala makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)105
99.6%
90
0.4%
Q4 - 3:11HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound102
99.2%
90
0.8%
Q4 - 3:13RaptorsFred VanVleet misses two point driving layup102
99.1%
90
0.9%
Q4 - 3:24RaptorsOG Anunoby offensive rebound102
98.7%
90
1.3%
Q4 - 3:26RaptorsKyle Lowry misses two point fadeaway jump shot102
99.1%
90
0.9%
Q4 - 3:33HeatGoran Dragic turnover (lost ball) (Fred VanVleet steals)102
97.2%
90
2.8%
Q4 - 3:39RaptorsTerence Davis personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)102
98.1%
90
1.9%
Q4 - 3:48RaptorsKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)102
98.2%
90
1.8%
Q4 - 3:57HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)102
97.4%
90
2.6%
Q4 - 4:12HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound99
95.2%
90
4.8%
Q4 - 4:15RaptorsTerence Davis misses three point jump shot99
94.6%
90
5.4%
Q4 - 4:22RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound99
93.1%
90
6.9%
Q4 - 4:24HeatGoran Dragic misses three point pullup jump shot99
93.9%
90
6.1%
Q4 - 4:33RaptorsFred VanVleet makes three point jump shot (OG Anunoby assists)99
95.3%
90
4.7%
Q4 - 4:36RaptorsOG Anunoby defensive rebound99
97.6%
87
2.4%
Q4 - 4:38HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving floating jump shot99
97.9%
87
2.1%
Q4 - 4:52HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound99
98.4%
87
1.6%
Q4 - 4:52RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot99
98.2%
87
1.8%
Q4 - 5:04HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)99
95.9%
87
4.1%
Q4 - 5:17RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point floating jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)96
92.8%
87
7.2%
Q4 - 5:23HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)96
94.6%
85
5.4%
Q4 - 5:29RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound96
94.6%
85
5.4%
Q4 - 5:31HeatGoran Dragic misses three point pullup jump shot96
95.1%
85
4.9%
Q4 - 5:45RaptorsPascal Siakam personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)96
96.1%
85
3.9%
Q4 - 5:56RaptorsTerence Davis turnover (out of bounds lost ball)96
96.2%
85
3.8%
Q4 - 6:15HeatGoran Dragic turnover (offensive foul)96
92.4%
85
7.6%
Q4 - 6:15HeatGoran Dragic offensive foul (Charge) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)96
94.5%
85
5.5%
Q4 - 6:30HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound96
94.5%
85
5.5%
Q4 - 6:33RaptorsFred VanVleet misses two point pullup jump shot96
94.0%
85
6.0%
Q4 - 6:58HeatBam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway jump shot96
92.5%
85
7.5%
Q4 - 7:12HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound94
88.2%
85
11.8%
Q4 - 7:15RaptorsAndre Iguodala blocks Norman Powell's two point reverse layup94
87.2%
85
12.8%
Q4 - 7:24HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (bad pass) (Terence Davis steals)94
84.7%
85
15.3%
Q4 - 7:35HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound94
88.3%
85
11.7%
Q4 - 7:38RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot94
87.3%
85
12.7%
Q4 - 7:52Jump ball. Chris Boucher vs. Bam Adebayo (OG Anunoby gains possession)94
84.8%
85
15.2%
Q4 - 8:06HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound94
85.9%
85
14.1%
Q4 - 8:10RaptorsOG Anunoby misses three point jump shot94
84.9%
85
15.1%
Q4 - 8:22HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (lost ball) (OG Anunoby steals)94
82.6%
85
17.4%
Q4 - 8:43HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound94
86.0%
85
14.0%
Q4 - 8:46RaptorsTerence Davis misses three point jump shot94
85.1%
85
14.9%
Q4 - 8:57HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 194
82.7%
85
17.3%
Q4 - 8:57RaptorsTerence Davis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)93
81.9%
85
18.1%
Q4 - 9:08RaptorsRaptors turnover (shot clock violation)91
72.3%
85
27.7%
Q4 - 9:33HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)91
66.9%
85
33.1%
Q4 - 9:42RaptorsTerence Davis personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)91
72.4%
85
27.6%
Q4 - 9:56RaptorsOG Anunoby turnover (out of bounds bad pass)91
72.4%
85
27.6%
Q4 - 10:13HeatAndre Iguodala makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)91
65.1%
85
34.9%
Q4 - 10:16HeatHeat offensive rebound88
54.9%
85
45.1%
Q4 - 10:16HeatKyle Lowry blocks Bam Adebayo's two point layup88
50.7%
85
49.3%
Q4 - 10:19HeatMax Strus defensive rebound88
54.9%
85
45.1%
Q4 - 10:22RaptorsAndre Iguodala blocks Chris Boucher's two point cutting layup88
53.1%
85
46.9%
Q4 - 10:27RaptorsOG Anunoby offensive rebound88
48.9%
85
51.1%
Q4 - 10:30RaptorsChris Boucher misses three point jump shot88
53.1%
85
46.9%
Q4 - 10:38RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound88
48.9%
85
51.1%
Q4 - 10:42HeatMax Strus misses two point pullup jump shot88
50.8%
85
49.2%
Q4 - 11:04RaptorsTerence Davis turnover (lost ball) (Andre Iguodala steals)88
53.6%
85
46.4%
Q4 - 11:16RaptorsRaptors defensive rebound88
48.5%
85
51.5%
Q4 - 11:16HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot88
50.0%
85
50.0%
Q4 - 11:32RaptorsOG Anunoby makes two point dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)88
53.7%
85
46.3%
Q4 - 11:46HeatAndre Iguodala turnover (out of bounds bad pass)88
59.0%
83
41.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.88
64.0%
83
36.0%
Q3 - 0:00.5HeatHeat offensive rebound88
62.2%
83
37.8%
Q3 - 0:00.5HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot88
58.9%
83
41.1%
Q3 - 0:13.5RaptorsPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 288
62.2%
83
37.8%
Q3 - 0:13.5RaptorsPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 288
63.2%
82
36.8%
Q3 - 0:13.5HeatKendrick Nunn personal foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)88
64.2%
81
35.8%
Q3 - 0:14.8RaptorsPascal Siakam offensive rebound88
67.0%
81
33.0%
Q3 - 0:17.9RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot88
69.9%
81
30.1%
Q3 - 0:31.3HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving bank hook shot88
67.0%
81
33.0%
Q3 - 0:45.5RaptorsNorman Powell makes three point jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)86
62.3%
81
37.7%
Q3 - 1:11HeatAndre Iguodala makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kendrick Nunn assists)86
69.0%
78
31.0%
Q3 - 1:24RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 2 of 284
65.3%
78
34.7%
Q3 - 1:24RaptorsFred VanVleet misses regular free throw 1 of 284
65.8%
77
34.2%
Q3 - 1:24HeatAndre Iguodala shooting foul (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)84
62.1%
77
37.9%
Q3 - 1:37HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Chris Boucher draws the foul)84
64.9%
77
35.1%
Q3 - 1:39RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound84
64.9%
77
35.1%
Q3 - 1:39RaptorsPrecious Achiuwa blocks Fred VanVleet's two point driving layup84
68.1%
77
31.9%
Q3 - 1:49RaptorsStanley Johnson offensive rebound84
64.9%
77
35.1%
Q3 - 1:53RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot84
68.2%
77
31.8%
Q3 - 2:03HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 284
62.6%
77
37.4%
Q3 - 2:03HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 283
61.9%
77
38.1%
Q3 - 2:03RaptorsChris Boucher shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)82
61.1%
77
38.9%
Q3 - 2:10HeatPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound82
58.9%
77
41.1%
Q3 - 2:11RaptorsNorman Powell misses three point jump shot82
57.4%
77
42.6%
Q3 - 2:37HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)82
54.0%
77
46.0%
Q3 - 2:54RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point tip layup79
45.6%
77
54.4%
Q3 - 2:54RaptorsPascal Siakam offensive rebound79
49.5%
75
50.5%
Q3 - 2:56RaptorsChris Boucher misses two point pullup jump shot79
53.1%
75
46.9%
Q3 - 3:07HeatGoran Dragic makes two point cutting layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)79
48.7%
75
51.3%
Q3 - 3:20RaptorsChris Boucher makes three point jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)77
45.1%
75
54.9%
Q3 - 3:42HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes two point layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)77
53.1%
72
46.9%
Q3 - 3:59HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound75
49.4%
72
50.6%
Q3 - 4:01RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot75
46.9%
72
53.1%
Q3 - 4:27HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)75
43.6%
72
56.4%
Q3 - 4:36HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound72
36.4%
72
63.6%
Q3 - 4:40HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot72
33.3%
72
66.7%
Q3 - 4:52RaptorsOG Anunoby turnover (offensive foul)72
36.4%
72
63.6%
Q3 - 4:52RaptorsOG Anunoby offensive foul (Charge) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)72
32.0%
72
68.0%
Q3 - 5:05RaptorsFred VanVleet defensive rebound72
32.3%
72
67.7%
Q3 - 5:08HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot72
33.4%
72
66.6%
Q3 - 5:15HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound72
36.1%
72
63.9%
Q3 - 5:18RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot72
34.9%
72
65.1%
Q3 - 5:31HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 2 of 272
32.2%
72
67.8%
Q3 - 5:31HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 1 of 271
31.9%
72
68.1%
Q3 - 5:31HeatBam Adebayo makes technical free throw 1 of 170
29.1%
72
70.9%
Q3 - 5:31RaptorsAron Baynes technical foul69
28.3%
72
71.7%
Q3 - 5:31RaptorsAron Baynes shooting foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)69
28.1%
72
71.9%
Q3 - 5:42HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound69
25.9%
72
74.1%
Q3 - 5:42RaptorsOG Anunoby misses three point jump shot69
24.9%
72
75.1%
Q3 - 5:52RaptorsOG Anunoby offensive rebound69
22.7%
72
77.3%
Q3 - 5:53RaptorsOG Anunoby misses two point driving layup69
24.9%
72
75.1%
Q3 - 6:14HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (offensive foul)69
22.8%
72
77.2%
Q3 - 6:14HeatKelly Olynyk offensive foul (Charge) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)69
25.9%
72
74.1%
Q3 - 6:26RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 2 of 269
25.9%
72
74.1%
Q3 - 6:26RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 1 of 269
26.3%
71
73.7%
Q3 - 6:26HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)69
26.7%
70
73.3%
Q3 - 6:48HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 169
28.7%
70
71.3%
Q3 - 6:48RaptorsKyle Lowry shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)68
28.2%
70
71.8%
Q3 - 7:02RaptorsFred VanVleet makes two point driving reverse layup (Aron Baynes assists)66
23.2%
70
76.8%
Q3 - 7:05RaptorsKyle Lowry offensive rebound66
25.4%
68
74.6%
Q3 - 7:10RaptorsDuncan Robinson blocks OG Anunoby's three point jump shot66
27.8%
68
72.2%
Q3 - 7:27HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)66
25.4%
68
74.6%
Q3 - 7:40RaptorsFred VanVleet personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)63
20.6%
68
79.4%
Q3 - 7:56RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 2 of 263
20.6%
68
79.4%
Q3 - 7:56RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 1 of 263
20.9%
67
79.1%
Q3 - 7:56HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)63
21.3%
66
78.7%
Q3 - 8:00RaptorsAron Baynes defensive rebound63
22.7%
66
77.3%
Q3 - 8:03HeatGoran Dragic misses two point pullup jump shot63
23.6%
66
76.4%
Q3 - 8:20RaptorsOG Anunoby makes three point jump shot (Aron Baynes assists)63
25.9%
66
74.1%
Q3 - 8:28RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound63
31.3%
63
68.7%
Q3 - 8:30HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot63
32.4%
63
67.6%
Q3 - 8:41HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound63
35.1%
63
64.9%
Q3 - 8:46RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot63
33.9%
63
66.1%
Q3 - 8:53RaptorsAron Baynes defensive rebound63
31.3%
63
68.7%
Q3 - 8:56HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot63
32.4%
63
67.6%
Q3 - 9:02HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound63
34.5%
63
65.5%
Q3 - 9:04RaptorsOG Anunoby misses two point putback layup63
33.4%
63
66.6%
Q3 - 9:06RaptorsOG Anunoby offensive rebound63
31.0%
63
69.0%
Q3 - 9:10RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot63
33.4%
63
66.6%
Q3 - 9:18HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Take) (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)63
31.0%
63
69.0%
Q3 - 9:19RaptorsAron Baynes defensive rebound63
31.0%
63
69.0%
Q3 - 9:20HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup63
32.1%
63
67.9%
Q3 - 9:29HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound63
34.5%
63
65.5%
Q3 - 9:32RaptorsAron Baynes misses three point jump shot63
33.4%
63
66.6%
Q3 - 9:40HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 263
31.0%
63
69.0%
Q3 - 9:40HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 262
30.5%
63
69.5%
Q3 - 9:40RaptorsAron Baynes shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)61
29.8%
63
70.2%
Q3 - 9:53RaptorsKyle Lowry personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)61
28.4%
63
71.6%
Q3 - 10:09RaptorsFred VanVleet makes two point driving finger roll layup61
28.3%
63
71.7%
Q3 - 10:25HeatGoran Dragic makes three point pullup jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)61
30.7%
61
69.3%
Q3 - 10:31HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound58
25.6%
61
74.4%
Q3 - 10:35HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot58
23.5%
61
76.5%
Q3 - 10:48RaptorsPascal Siakam turnover (offensive foul)58
25.6%
61
74.4%
Q3 - 10:48RaptorsPascal Siakam offensive foul (Charge) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)58
22.6%
61
77.4%
Q3 - 10:52HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)58
22.6%
61
77.4%
Q3 - 11:12RaptorsAron Baynes makes three point jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)58
25.3%
61
74.7%
Q3 - 11:32HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kelly Olynyk assists)58
30.5%
58
69.5%
Q3 - 11:40HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound56
27.9%
58
72.1%
Q3 - 11:42RaptorsPascal Siakam misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot56
27.0%
58
73.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.56
25.1%
58
74.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound56
27.9%
58
72.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot56
25.9%
58
74.1%
Q2 - 0:00.1HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound56
27.4%
58
72.6%
Q2 - 0:03.4HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot56
26.1%
58
73.9%
Q2 - 0:26.1RaptorsTerence Davis makes two point cutting dunk (Fred VanVleet assists)56
27.4%
58
72.6%
Q2 - 0:33.5HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point cutting layup (Goran Dragic assists)56
30.8%
56
69.2%
Q2 - 0:49.7RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point turnaround hook shot54
27.4%
56
72.6%
Q2 - 1:13HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback layup54
31.0%
54
69.0%
Q2 - 1:14HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound52
27.4%
54
72.6%
Q2 - 1:15HeatGabe Vincent misses three point driving bank jump shot52
26.4%
54
73.6%
Q2 - 1:33RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 2 of 252
27.4%
54
72.6%
Q2 - 1:33RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 1 of 252
27.7%
53
72.3%
Q2 - 1:33HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)52
28.1%
52
71.9%
Q2 - 1:34RaptorsFred VanVleet defensive rebound52
31.0%
52
69.0%
Q2 - 1:37HeatStanley Johnson blocks Duncan Robinson's two point driving layup52
31.5%
52
68.5%
Q2 - 1:52RaptorsTerence Davis makes three point jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)52
32.6%
52
67.4%
Q2 - 2:08HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)52
38.4%
49
61.6%
Q2 - 2:23RaptorsTerence Davis makes two point running dunk49
33.0%
49
67.0%
Q2 - 2:26HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (bad pass) (Terence Davis steals)49
35.7%
47
64.3%
Q2 - 2:43RaptorsFred VanVleet makes three point jump shot (Terence Davis assists)49
38.5%
47
61.5%
Q2 - 2:56HeatGoran Dragic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)49
44.5%
44
55.5%
Q2 - 3:13HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound49
46.4%
44
53.6%
Q2 - 3:16RaptorsPascal Siakam misses three point jump shot49
45.4%
44
54.6%
Q2 - 3:33HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point pullup jump shot49
43.2%
44
56.8%
Q2 - 3:38HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound46
38.0%
44
62.0%
Q2 - 3:40RaptorsFred VanVleet misses two point pullup jump shot46
37.1%
44
62.9%
Q2 - 3:46RaptorsFred VanVleet defensive rebound46
35.0%
44
65.0%
Q2 - 3:50HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point pullup jump shot46
35.9%
44
64.1%
Q2 - 3:56HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound46
38.0%
44
62.0%
Q2 - 3:58RaptorsPascal Siakam misses two point jump shot46
37.1%
44
62.9%
Q2 - 4:07HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (offensive foul)46
34.7%
44
65.3%
Q2 - 4:07HeatKendrick Nunn offensive foul (Charge) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)46
37.3%
44
62.7%
Q2 - 4:09HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound46
37.3%
44
62.7%
Q2 - 4:10RaptorsPascal Siakam misses two point tip layup46
36.5%
44
63.5%
Q2 - 4:10RaptorsPascal Siakam offensive rebound46
34.7%
44
65.3%
Q2 - 4:17RaptorsTerence Davis misses three point jump shot46
36.5%
44
63.5%
Q2 - 4:29RaptorsTerence Davis defensive rebound46
34.7%
44
65.3%
Q2 - 4:34HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot46
35.5%
44
64.5%
Q2 - 4:54RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point stepback jump shot46
37.3%
44
62.7%
Q2 - 5:01RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound46
39.2%
42
60.8%
Q2 - 5:04HeatPrecious Achiuwa misses regular free throw 2 of 246
39.6%
42
60.4%
Q2 - 5:04HeatPrecious Achiuwa misses regular free throw 1 of 246
41.0%
42
59.0%
Q2 - 5:04RaptorsKyle Lowry shooting foul (Precious Achiuwa draws the foul)46
42.8%
42
57.2%
Q2 - 5:27RaptorsTerence Davis makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)46
42.4%
42
57.6%
Q2 - 5:49HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds step)46
47.3%
39
52.7%
Q2 - 5:57HeatPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound46
50.5%
39
49.5%
Q2 - 5:59RaptorsKelly Olynyk blocks Fred VanVleet's two point driving layup46
49.5%
39
50.5%
Q2 - 6:11HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kendrick Nunn assists)46
46.7%
39
53.3%
Q2 - 6:22RaptorsKyle Lowry turnover (traveling)44
44.7%
39
55.3%
Q2 - 6:29HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 1 of 144
41.4%
39
58.6%
Q2 - 6:29RaptorsChris Boucher shooting foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)43
41.2%
39
58.8%
Q2 - 6:43RaptorsChris Boucher makes two point layup (OG Anunoby assists)41
36.9%
39
63.1%
Q2 - 6:51RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound41
38.9%
37
61.1%
Q2 - 6:53HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot41
39.8%
37
60.2%
Q2 - 7:03HeatMax Strus defensive rebound41
41.3%
37
58.7%
Q2 - 7:03RaptorsTerence Davis misses two point tip layup41
40.5%
37
59.5%
Q2 - 7:03RaptorsTerence Davis offensive rebound41
38.7%
37
61.3%
Q2 - 7:09RaptorsNorman Powell misses three point jump shot41
40.5%
37
59.5%
Q2 - 7:16HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot41
38.7%
37
61.3%
Q2 - 7:32RaptorsOG Anunoby makes two point layup (Kyle Lowry assists)39
36.4%
37
63.6%
Q2 - 7:42HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot39
38.7%
35
61.3%
Q2 - 7:49HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound37
36.4%
35
63.6%
Q2 - 7:51RaptorsKyle Lowry misses regular free throw 2 of 237
36.1%
35
63.9%
Q2 - 7:51RaptorsKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 237
34.4%
35
65.6%
Q2 - 7:51HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)37
34.8%
34
65.2%
Q2 - 7:54RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound37
36.3%
34
63.7%
Q2 - 7:56HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot37
37.1%
34
62.9%
Q2 - 8:15RaptorsOG Anunoby makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)37
38.7%
34
61.3%
Q2 - 8:21RaptorsOG Anunoby defensive rebound37
43.5%
31
56.5%
Q2 - 8:25HeatTerence Davis blocks Max Strus's three point jump shot37
44.3%
31
55.7%
Q2 - 8:35RaptorsNorman Powell personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)37
46.1%
31
53.9%
Q2 - 8:54RaptorsTerence Davis makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)37
46.1%
31
53.9%
Q2 - 9:02HeatMax Strus personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)37
50.3%
28
49.7%
Q2 - 9:08HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (bad pass) (Terence Davis steals)37
50.3%
28
49.7%
Q2 - 9:28RaptorsNorman Powell makes two point driving layup (Chris Boucher assists)37
53.0%
28
47.0%
Q2 - 9:47HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)37
55.4%
26
44.6%
Q2 - 9:47HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Charge) (Chris Boucher draws the foul)37
57.9%
26
42.1%
Q2 - 9:53HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound37
57.9%
26
42.1%
Q2 - 9:57RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot37
57.2%
26
42.8%
Q2 - 10:21HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)37
54.8%
26
45.2%
Q2 - 10:28HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound34
50.1%
26
49.9%
Q2 - 10:31RaptorsTerence Davis misses three point bank jump shot34
49.3%
26
50.7%
Q2 - 10:42RaptorsTerence Davis defensive rebound34
47.5%
26
52.5%
Q2 - 10:44HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving layup34
48.3%
26
51.7%
Q2 - 11:09RaptorsOG Anunoby makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)34
48.9%
26
51.1%
Q2 - 11:20HeatKendrick Nunn personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)34
53.9%
23
46.1%
Q2 - 11:27HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)34
54.0%
23
46.0%
Q2 - 11:31HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound31
49.0%
23
51.0%
Q2 - 11:33RaptorsNorman Powell misses three point pullup jump shot31
48.4%
23
51.6%
Q2 - 11:48HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point running layup31
46.9%
23
53.1%
Q2 - 11:50RaptorsNorman Powell turnover (bad pass) (Kendrick Nunn steals)29
44.3%
23
55.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.29
42.1%
23
57.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound29
42.1%
23
57.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0RaptorsChris Boucher misses two point jump shot29
43.7%
23
56.3%
Q1 - 0:22.0RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound29
41.6%
23
58.4%
Q1 - 0:25.7HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot29
42.2%
23
57.8%
Q1 - 0:38.9RaptorsFred VanVleet personal foul (Take) (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)29
43.4%
23
56.6%
Q1 - 0:40.8RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point cutting dunk (Fred VanVleet assists)29
43.4%
23
56.6%
Q1 - 0:55.5HeatAndre Iguodala makes two point running dunk (Kendrick Nunn assists)29
46.2%
21
53.8%
Q1 - 0:57.1HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound27
43.4%
21
56.6%
Q1 - 0:59.5RaptorsNorman Powell misses three point jump shot27
42.9%
21
57.1%
Q1 - 1:18HeatAndre Iguodala makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)27
41.6%
21
58.4%
Q1 - 1:25HeatAndre Iguodala offensive rebound24
36.7%
21
63.3%
Q1 - 1:29HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point pullup jump shot24
35.6%
21
64.4%
Q1 - 1:48RaptorsFred VanVleet makes two point pullup jump shot24
36.7%
21
63.3%
Q1 - 1:55HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (lost ball) (Pascal Siakam steals)24
39.4%
19
60.6%
Q1 - 2:15RaptorsChris Boucher turnover (bad pass) (Precious Achiuwa steals)24
40.9%
19
59.1%
Q1 - 2:35HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 1 of 124
38.9%
19
61.1%
Q1 - 2:35RaptorsNorman Powell shooting foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)23
38.6%
19
61.4%
Q1 - 2:37HeatPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound21
34.6%
19
65.4%
Q1 - 2:39RaptorsStanley Johnson misses two point reverse layup21
34.0%
19
66.0%
Q1 - 2:52HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)21
32.7%
19
67.3%
Q1 - 3:02RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)18
28.7%
19
71.3%
Q1 - 3:16HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point cutting layup (Kendrick Nunn assists)18
30.3%
17
69.7%
Q1 - 3:34RaptorsNorman Powell makes two point jump shot (Chris Boucher assists)16
28.7%
17
71.3%
Q1 - 3:49HeatGoran Dragic makes two point running layup16
30.3%
15
69.7%
Q1 - 3:52RaptorsFred VanVleet turnover (lost ball) (Goran Dragic steals)14
28.7%
15
71.3%
Q1 - 3:54RaptorsFred VanVleet offensive rebound14
26.7%
15
73.3%
Q1 - 3:55RaptorsFred VanVleet misses two point driving layup14
28.1%
15
71.9%
Q1 - 4:13HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)14
26.7%
15
73.3%
Q1 - 4:28RaptorsOG Anunoby personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)11
23.7%
15
76.3%
Q1 - 4:38RaptorsFred VanVleet makes two point pullup jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)11
23.7%
15
76.3%
Q1 - 4:57HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving hook shot11
25.0%
13
75.0%
Q1 - 5:10RaptorsChris Boucher makes three point jump shot (OG Anunoby assists)9
23.7%
13
76.3%
Q1 - 5:16RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound9
26.7%
10
73.3%
Q1 - 5:16HeatPrecious Achiuwa misses two point putback layup9
27.2%
10
72.8%
Q1 - 5:18HeatPrecious Achiuwa offensive rebound9
28.4%
10
71.6%
Q1 - 5:19HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point cutting layup9
27.2%
10
72.8%
Q1 - 5:32HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound9
28.4%
10
71.6%
Q1 - 5:34RaptorsPascal Siakam misses two point driving layup9
27.9%
10
72.1%
Q1 - 5:44HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)9
26.7%
10
73.3%
Q1 - 5:45RaptorsOG Anunoby defensive rebound9
26.7%
10
73.3%
Q1 - 5:48HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving finger roll layup9
27.2%
10
72.8%
Q1 - 5:56HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound9
28.4%
10
71.6%
Q1 - 6:01RaptorsOG Anunoby misses three point jump shot9
27.7%
10
72.3%
Q1 - 6:13RaptorsFred VanVleet offensive rebound9
26.6%
10
73.4%
Q1 - 6:16RaptorsPascal Siakam misses three point jump shot9
27.7%
10
72.3%
Q1 - 6:21RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound9
26.6%
10
73.4%
Q1 - 6:24HeatGabe Vincent misses three point fadeaway jump shot9
27.1%
10
72.9%
Q1 - 6:42RaptorsFred VanVleet makes three point jump shot9
28.2%
10
71.8%
Q1 - 7:00HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)9
31.5%
7
68.5%
Q1 - 7:14RaptorsFred VanVleet turnover (out of bounds step)6
28.0%
7
72.0%
Q1 - 7:18RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound6
26.3%
7
73.7%
Q1 - 7:21HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot6
26.8%
7
73.2%
Q1 - 7:27HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound6
28.0%
7
72.0%
Q1 - 7:30RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point stepback jump shot6
27.5%
7
72.5%
Q1 - 7:47RaptorsAron Baynes defensive rebound6
26.4%
7
73.6%
Q1 - 7:50HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot6
26.9%
7
73.1%
Q1 - 8:14RaptorsKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Aron Baynes assists)6
28.0%
7
72.0%
Q1 - 8:28RaptorsAron Baynes defensive rebound6
30.8%
4
69.2%
Q1 - 8:30HeatGoran Dragic misses two point floating jump shot6
31.4%
4
68.6%
Q1 - 8:41HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound6
32.7%
4
67.3%
Q1 - 8:44RaptorsAron Baynes misses three point jump shot6
32.2%
4
67.8%
Q1 - 9:02HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)6
30.7%
4
69.3%
Q1 - 9:03HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound3
27.9%
4
72.1%
Q1 - 9:06HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot3
26.7%
4
73.3%
Q1 - 9:16RaptorsPascal Siakam turnover (out of bounds bad pass)3
27.9%
4
72.1%
Q1 - 9:22RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound3
26.2%
4
73.8%
Q1 - 9:25HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot3
26.7%
4
73.3%
Q1 - 9:40HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound3
27.9%
4
72.1%
Q1 - 9:44RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot3
27.4%
4
72.6%
Q1 - 10:01HeatGoran Dragic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)3
26.0%
4
74.0%
Q1 - 10:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound3
27.6%
4
72.4%
Q1 - 10:11RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot3
27.1%
4
72.9%
Q1 - 10:26RaptorsRaptors defensive rebound3
26.0%
4
74.0%
Q1 - 10:26HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving finger roll layup3
26.5%
4
73.5%
Q1 - 10:33HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound3
27.6%
4
72.4%
Q1 - 10:36RaptorsPascal Siakam misses three point jump shot3
27.1%
4
72.9%
Q1 - 10:55HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)3
26.0%
4
74.0%
Q1 - 11:11RaptorsKyle Lowry makes two point fadeaway jump shot0
23.2%
4
76.8%
Q1 - 11:15RaptorsAron Baynes defensive rebound0
24.4%
2
75.6%
Q1 - 11:18HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot0
24.9%
2
75.1%
Q1 - 11:31RaptorsKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 20
26.0%
2
74.0%
Q1 - 11:31RaptorsKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 20
26.2%
1
73.8%
Q1 - 11:31HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)0
26.4%
0
73.6%
Q1 - 11:33RaptorsAron Baynes defensive rebound0
27.3%
0
72.7%
Q1 - 11:35HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot0
27.8%
0
72.2%
Q1 - 11:45RaptorsAron Baynes personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)0
28.9%
0
71.1%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Aron Baynes (Goran Dragic gains possession)0
28.9%
0
71.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.25 62.4%
TOR
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
26
65%
TOR
9
19
47%
Midrange
MIA
4
14
29%
TOR
10
20
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
18
27.0
40
45%
68%
TOR
16
24.0
49
33%
49%
Free Throws
MIA
15
17
88%
TOR
16
18
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Nunn28100%14.0 / 14
G. Dragic1750%8.5 / 17
K. Olynyk1568%7.5 / 11
D. Robinson1488%7.0 / 8
B. Adebayo1450%7.0 / 14
A. Iguodala13108%6.5 / 6
P. Achiuwa450%2.0 / 4
G. Vincent319%1.5 / 8
M. Strus338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
F. VanVleet2455%12.0 / 22
O. Anunoby1869%9.0 / 13
P. Siakam1853%9.0 / 17
T. Davis1667%8.0 / 12
K. Lowry829%4.0 / 14
C. Boucher857%4.0 / 7
N. Powell744%3.5 / 8
A. Baynes350%1.5 / 3
S. Johnson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+11
-18
89
TOR
84
+16
-12
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.25 62.4%
TOR
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.1
112.0
MIA 115.6 +9.4
TOR 106.3
Pace
96.7
99.2
MIA 94.6
TOR 97.4 +2.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
14.3
MIA 15.2
TOR 14.8 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.6%
53.0%
MIA 60.0% +11.1%
TOR 48.9%
TO %
13.7%
12.5%
MIA 17.8%
TOR 11.9% +5.9%
ORB %
19.4%
20.8%
MIA 21.6%
TOR 24.0% +2.4%
FTrt
25.2
24.1
MIA 21.3 +0.8
TOR 20.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
67.1%
60.7%
MIA 74.4%
TOR 77.1% +2.7%
STL %
8.2%
8.7%
MIA 4.2%
TOR 8.3% +4.1%
BLK %
8.5%
11.3%
MIA 12.8% +5.3%
TOR 7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.14 and 2.14.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.5%
55.5%
MIA 62.4% +11.4%
TOR 51.0%
Rim FG%
64.8%
59.0%
MIA 65.4% +18.0%
TOR 47.4%
Mid FG%
41.8%
38.2%
MIA 28.6%
TOR 50.0% +21.4%
3P %
35.8%
36.8%
MIA 45.0% +12.3%
TOR 32.7%
FT %
79.0%
81.5%
MIA 88.2%
TOR 88.9% +0.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
34.8%
MIA 32.5% +10.9%
TOR 21.6%
Mid Att. %
23.5%
20.8%
MIA 17.5% +5.2%
TOR 22.7%
3P Att. %
43.2%
44.4%
MIA 50.0%
TOR 55.7% +5.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points111102
Rebounds4641
Assists2927
Steals48
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)12 (1)
Fouls1921
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (0)29 (2)
Field Goals39-8035-88
At-the-Rim FG17-269-19
Midrange FG4-1410-20
2-Point FG21-4019-39
3-Point FG18-4016-49
Free Throws15-1716-18
Fast Break Pts1211
2nd Chance Pts177
Points in Paint3828
Pts off Turnovers2120
Bench Points4831
Biggest Lead155

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 27
37.4
14
88%
3
1
0
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
4-6
67%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 24
33.6
14
50%
13
7
0
0
2
1
5
8
2-2
100%
6-14
43%
0-0
-
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35
31.4
17
50%
4
5
1
0
5
5
0
4
2-2
100%
3-9
33%
3-7
43%
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 30
28.2
15
68%
8
8
0
1
3
3
0
8
3-3
100%
3-4
75%
2-6
33%
#2 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 25
28.1
3
19%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-8
13%
#25 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 25
34.6
28
100%
8
5
1
0
5
4
1
7
6-6
100%
5-6
83%
4-6
67%
#28 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 37
21.5
13
108%
3
1
1
2
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
#5 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 21
14.4
4
50%
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
#31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25
10.8
3
38%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
#8 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21
DND - Injury/Illness | Neck; Spasms
#4 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
#0 · C · 7'1" 255 · 29
NWT - Injury/Illness | Left Shoulder Strain
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41
DNP - Coach's Decision
#11 · SG · 6'2" 180 · 30
INACTIVE
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
62%
46
29
4
5
18
19
8
38
15-17
88%
21-40
53%
18-40
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.